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Evaluation, characterization, and communication of uncertainty by
Evaluation, characterization, and communication of uncertainty by

... reports) asserted that “Responding to climate change involves an iterative risk management process that includes both adaptation and mitigation and takes into account climate change damages, co-benefits, sustainability, equity, and attitudes toward risk” (IPCC 2007b, pg 22). Indeed, Mastrandrea et a ...
kenya national climate change policy
kenya national climate change policy

... the climate in Kenya and globally is changing at an unprecedented rate and that unparalleled levels of human induced greenhouse gas (GHG), especially carbon dioxide, emissions are causing an increase in global temperatures that creates changes in the earth’s weather. It is now clear that climate cha ...
Integrated Risk and Uncertainty Assessment of Climate Change
Integrated Risk and Uncertainty Assessment of Climate Change

... highlight the importance of considering the likelihood of events over time and the importance of  focusing on long‐term horizons when evaluating climate change mitigation and adaptation policies.  CBA enables governments and other collective decision‐making units to compare the social costs and  ben ...
Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation A Literature Review
Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation A Literature Review

... In addition and correctly, many farmers are concerned with immediate, non-weather-related risks, such as total production and yields, market fluctuations, declining farm income, and overall declining interest in farming. These ‘market’ variables are beyond the control of individual farmers and can p ...
Inequality and the Social Cost of CarbonThe authors would like to
Inequality and the Social Cost of CarbonThe authors would like to

... r=1 Pt rt (1 + ρ) . In this formulation welfare only depends on global average per capita consumption levels, i.e. any inequality in consumption between regions is ignored in the welfare evaluation. The corresponding Social Cost of Carbon expression discounts world marginal damages with one Ramsey d ...
PDF
PDF

... publication bias and selection bias introduced by the analysts. This includes making sure that all primary studies measure the same effect,3 and discussing any necessary adjustment of the dependent variable. While testing for publication bias is recommended in meta-analysis studies, these tests cann ...
Vivid Economics
Vivid Economics

... vulnerability to climate change. A broad sense of the main vulnerabilities will help policy makers to set the right sector and geographic priorities. Developing this sense of key vulnerabilities is not the same as adopting a science-first approach to adaptation (Ranger et al. 2010). A science-first ...
Working Paper 235 - Watkiss and Cimato (opens in new window)
Working Paper 235 - Watkiss and Cimato (opens in new window)

... decision making under uncertainty. The analysis has first considered the mainstreaming of adaptation, recognising the recent emphasis on integrating (mainstreaming) adaptation into current policy and development, rather than implementing measures as a stand-alone activity. This requires the integrat ...
Module 1: Introduction to climate change in the context of
Module 1: Introduction to climate change in the context of

... development and its fundamental dependence on energy; b) the challenges facing political leaders and policy makers to agree and enact courses of action for mitigation and adaptation. While human beings impact on climate change, mainly through their energy requirements, climate change in turn impacts ...
Climate Change and Agricultural Policy Processes in
Climate Change and Agricultural Policy Processes in

... make up ‘coalitions’ or interest groups around different policy perspectives; and how influential are these coalitions in promoting their preferred framing of the climate change-agriculture‘problem’? The underlying hypothesis for this paper is that as climate change funding enters complex domestic p ...
Adaptation planning for climate change
Adaptation planning for climate change

... suitable balance between the risks of acting (too) early and those of acting (too) late? Eventually, adaptation planning is about making recommendations about who should do what more, less, or differently, and with what resources. Depending on the specific issue under consideration, adaptation to cl ...
From Impacts Assessment to Adaptation Priorities: the Shaping of
From Impacts Assessment to Adaptation Priorities: the Shaping of

... mitigation as a policy response. Adaptation research has been used to help answer to related but distinct questions. (1) To what extent can adaptation reduce impacts of climate change? (2) What adaptation policies are needed, and how can they best be developed, applied and funded? For the first ques ...
Omitted Damages What`s Missing from the Social Cost of Carbon.indd
Omitted Damages What`s Missing from the Social Cost of Carbon.indd

... socially contingent damages (including increases in violence and other social conflict); decreasing growth rates (including decreases in labor productivity and increases in capital depreciation); weather variability (including increased drought and in-land flooding); and catastrophic impacts (includin ...
Assessing Current Climate Risks
Assessing Current Climate Risks

... Using a response relationship between climate and other drivers and specific outcomes, we can select criteria or indicators representing different levels of performance for the purposes of assessing risk (Figure 4-2, lower left). For example, a yield relationship can be divided into good, poor or di ...
Governing Climate Change: Towards a New Paradigm for Risk
Governing Climate Change: Towards a New Paradigm for Risk

... era of risk regulation and calls for the establishment of a new paradigm for risk regulation. Climate change is altering the EU’s conception of environmental risks and its design of regulatory responses. In contrast to conventional risk regulation, climate change regulation must prioritise the risks ...
Adaptation to Climate Change in Low‐Income Countries
Adaptation to Climate Change in Low‐Income Countries

... have been highlighted by Weitzman (2009), who has emphasized the need to consider possible “fat tails” in the distribution of the consequences of climate change when formulating climate policy. Uncertainty about climate impacts is clearly also relevant to adaptation: uncertain climate impacts make i ...
Climate Change Law in Latin America
Climate Change Law in Latin America

... targets, actions to be implemented, policy instruments and incentives, as well as sectoral competitiveness studies to estimate the costs and impacts of such policies. 11 In addition, Brazil is the only country in Latin America to have created a specific structure to compile advances in research rela ...
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PDF

... thus more vulnerable to (climate-induced) malaria. Taking this into account the Kyoto Protocol might potentially increase malaria mortality by 4%. In a world of scarcity, alternative strategies to combat climate change entail opportunity costs: more resources devoted to mitigation lower the resource ...
The Value of Linking Mitigation and Adaptation: A Case Study of
The Value of Linking Mitigation and Adaptation: A Case Study of

... sustainable development because adaptation is more closely aligned with the development objectives of the South than mitigation. In practice, because adaptation requires reducing vulnerability and increasing adaptive capacity, there is a significant amount of overlap with development methodologies ( ...
CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENTS: AN
CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENTS: AN

... experience to the assessment of societies’ socio-economic vulnerability to climate change. The major concepts of vulnerability, and the contexts within which they were developed, are briefly reviewed in Section 2.2. However, it is beyond the scope ...
Integrating Climate-Change Adaptation into Sectoral Policies in Ireland Report Series No. 10
Integrating Climate-Change Adaptation into Sectoral Policies in Ireland Report Series No. 10

... Change Research Programme 2007-2013. The programme is financed by the Irish Government under the National Development Plan 2007–2013. It is administered on behalf of the Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government by the Environmental Protection Agency, which has the statutory funct ...
Adaptive Capacity Benchmarking: Handbook and Tool Kit
Adaptive Capacity Benchmarking: Handbook and Tool Kit

... 1.1 Overview Climate change presents society with massive challenges, which go far beyond business as usual. As weather patterns change in ways that are both predictable and unpredictable, altering sea and river levels and the water cycle more generally, there will be impacts on communities, on asse ...
4. Financial transfers and adaptation in the South
4. Financial transfers and adaptation in the South

... In reality, there will also be quick wins in improving adaptation capacity and productivity. At the same time, some mitigation efforts will only curb emission intensity in the long run. We abstract from these possibilities mainly because it allows us to keep the model tractable. ...
Communicating climate change – Learning from business
Communicating climate change – Learning from business

... 32), any attempt to understand and interpret climate change knowledge requires a thorough ”political, economic, social, and legal debate over values and beliefs” through which social consensus emerges (Hoffman 2012: 37). Social consensus is contingent upon shared mutually constituted understandings ...
PDF
PDF

... nificant weakening of the THC within the next century under Business as Usual (BAU) (Challenor et al. 2006, Schlesinger et al. 2006).4 Some climate scientists think that the risk is negligible (Wunsch 2006). Models of dynamic management under event uncertainty (Cropper 1976, Clarke and Reed 1994, T ...
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Stern Review

The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change is a 700-page report released for the British government on 30 October 2006 by economist Nicholas Stern, chair of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at the London School of Economics and also chair of the Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy (CCCEP) at Leeds University and LSE. The report discusses the effect of global warming on the world economy. Although not the first economic report on climate change, it is significant as the largest and most widely known and discussed report of its kind.The Review states that climate change is the greatest and widest-ranging market failure ever seen, presenting a unique challenge for economics. The Review provides prescriptions including environmental taxes to minimise the economic and social disruptions. The Stern Review's main conclusion is that the benefits of strong, early action on climate change far outweigh the costs of not acting. The Review points to the potential impacts of climate change on water resources, food production, health, and the environment. According to the Review, without action, the overall costs of climate change will be equivalent to losing at least 5% of global gross domestic product (GDP) each year, now and forever. Including a wider range of risks and impacts could increase this to 20% of GDP or more, also indefinitely. Stern believes that 5–6 degrees of temperature increase is ""a real possibility.""The Review proposes that one percent of global GDP per annum is required to be invested to avoid the worst effects of climate change. In June 2008, Stern increased the estimate for the annual cost of achieving stabilisation between 500 and 550 ppm CO2e to 2% of GDP to account for faster than expected climate change.There has been a mixed reaction to the Stern Review from economists. Several economists have been critical of the Review, for example, a paper by Byatt et al. (2006) describes the Review as ""deeply flawed"". Some economists (such as Brad DeLong and John Quiggin) have supported the Review. Others have criticised aspects of Review's analysis, but argued that some of its conclusions might still be justified based on other grounds, e.g., see papers by Martin Weitzman (2007) and Dieter Helm (2008).
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