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Aalborg Universitet Heiselberg, Per Kvols
Aalborg Universitet Heiselberg, Per Kvols

Working Paper No 4 Kyoto Protocol Dilemma: Better to have a weak
Working Paper No 4 Kyoto Protocol Dilemma: Better to have a weak

... Kyoto Protocol (Barrett 2003, Hagem & Holtsmark 2001, and Holtsmark 2003). A pessimistic expression is like this: “even if Kyoto enters into force, victory for the treaty can not be declared. Like all other countries, Russia has nothing to lose by ratifying, given its hot air” (Barrett 2003: 373). A ...
Global Warming: The Origin and Nature of the Alleged Scientif
Global Warming: The Origin and Nature of the Alleged Scientif

Sposito et al. 2012. Austr Decision
Sposito et al. 2012. Austr Decision

... studies. There are nevertheless important limitations on our ability to accurately and precisely predict future climate conditions (or, more generally, future behaviour of any complex system). These include widening uncertainties (a ‘cascade’ or ‘explosion’ of uncertainty), lack of objective constra ...
UK Climate Projections science report: Marine and coastal projections
UK Climate Projections science report: Marine and coastal projections

... Panel, and secondly by a smaller international panel of experts. Reviewers’ comments have been taken into account in improving the reports. The science is not yet at a point where the same type of approach can be reliably applied to models of the marine environment so the majority of this report pre ...
Beyond long-term averages: making biological sense of a rapidly
Beyond long-term averages: making biological sense of a rapidly

... accurately capture limits under future, novel climatic conditions [24,25]. An explicit focus on the weather patterns likely to occur under future climate scenarios [26] coupled with knowledge of which factors most affect organisms [14] will provide insights into this dilemma. For example, many studi ...
Global Warming and Climate Change - Have You Been Presented The Full Story?
Global Warming and Climate Change - Have You Been Presented The Full Story?

... Climate Variability and Change (USNA) - in which we were involved-did not attempt to provide regional or even national predictions of climate change.” Later in the letter in Nature, they conclude with, “We strongly agree that much more reliable regional climate simulations and analyses are needed. H ...
Global Warming`s Increasingly Visible Impacts
Global Warming`s Increasingly Visible Impacts

... undisputed that the average temperature at the surface of the Earth has increased over the past century by about 1°F (0.6°C), with both the air and the oceans warming.1 Since 1880, when people in many locations first began to keep temperature records, the 25 warmest years have all occurred within th ...
The 4 ‘I’s of Adaptation
The 4 ‘I’s of Adaptation

... an important tool for mainstreaming adaptation. If they are to be successful, they must be informed by examples of how households and communities approach vulnerability and their adaptation strategies.14 A suggested first step is to examine ongoing projects in the fields of natural resources managem ...
Climate Change and Human Security
Climate Change and Human Security

... These linkages are complex in many ways. To begin with, climate change involves the interactions of many systems such as the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, and biosphere that are immensely complex in their own right. Thus, a recurrent theme in IPCC reports is the significance of thresholds and ...
The challenge to detect and attribute effects of climate change on
The challenge to detect and attribute effects of climate change on

... compared. When it comes to the impacts of climate change, interpreting baseline detection of change becomes a very complex matter, due to the multiple changes in the global environment, including human society itself (e.g. Bouwer 2011). Many human systems (e.g. the economy) and natural systems (e.g. ...
6. Atolls in the ocean— canaries in the mine?
6. Atolls in the ocean— canaries in the mine?

... Australian journalism contesting climate change impacts in the Pacific Abstract: This article has two complementary aspects, empirical and theoretical. Empirically, it examines the reportage of the two most prolific Australian journalists on the threat posed by climate change to low-lying Pacific is ...
What shapes perceptions of climate change?
What shapes perceptions of climate change?

... climate change mitigation measures. This includes utilities and other companies in the energy and transportation sector, reinsurance companies, and governments at different levels. Average citizens are typically more concerned about the weather, rather than the climate in their region.13 However, cl ...
The challenge to detect and attribute effects of climate change on
The challenge to detect and attribute effects of climate change on

Australian rangelands and climate change – native species
Australian rangelands and climate change – native species

... climate suitability for the species that ranges from 0 to 1 (1 being the most suitable). ...
IOSR Journal Of Humanities And Social Science (IOSR-JHSS)
IOSR Journal Of Humanities And Social Science (IOSR-JHSS)

Federated States of Micronesia - Pacific Climate Change Science
Federated States of Micronesia - Pacific Climate Change Science

... Pacific Ocean and affects weather around the world. There are two extreme phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: El Niño and La Niña. There is also a neutral phase. In Pohnpei, El Niño tends to result in drier conditions during the dry season, but higher than average rainfall during the wet sea ...
Clustering Earth Science Data: Goals, Issues and Results
Clustering Earth Science Data: Goals, Issues and Results

Appealed to ITU and its Administrations to ensure the absolute
Appealed to ITU and its Administrations to ensure the absolute

... thunderstorms, the effluent from volcanoes, major forest fires, measuring sea level (see Figure 2), many Earth’s surface parameters (for example: soil moisture, sea surface temperature, snow cover, rainfall, water vapour content, important gases), etc.; radio-based meteorological aid systems that co ...
plattnerMSUslides
plattnerMSUslides

The Structure of Economic Modeling of the Potential Impacts
The Structure of Economic Modeling of the Potential Impacts

PDF
PDF

Durham Research Online
Durham Research Online

... such judgments out of reach: many of the methodological choices will have been made by other scientists, over the (perhaps decades-long) history of the model’s development; the impact of a given choice on the model’s results often will be sensitive to earlier and later choices; the interactions amon ...
The Changing Himalayas
The Changing Himalayas

... ies on the Tibetan Plateau) show that both wet and disappear altogether. Various attempts to model dry periods have occurred in the last millennium changes in the ice cover and discharge of glacial melt (Tan et al., 2008, Yao et al., 2008). During the last few decades, inter-seasonal, interannual, a ...
1 - QUBES hub
1 - QUBES hub

... Climate change as a result of anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is clear in both climatological and biological data. Global temperatures have increased by 0.74°C ± 0.18°C over the past 100 years (1906-2005), although some regions experience locally greater warming (IPCC 2007). Along with ...
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Climatic Research Unit email controversy

The Climatic Research Unit email controversy (also known as ""Climategate"") began in November 2009 with the hacking of a server at the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia (UEA) by an external attacker, copying thousands of emails and computer files to various internet locations several weeks before the Copenhagen Summit on climate change.The story was first broken by climate change critics with columnist James Delingpole popularising the term ""Climategate"" to describe the controversy. Those denying the significance of human caused climate change argued that the emails showed global warming was a scientific conspiracy, that scientists manipulated climate data and attempted to suppress critics. The CRU rejected this, saying the emails had been taken out of context and merely reflected an honest exchange of ideas.The mainstream media picked up the story as negotiations over climate change mitigation began in Copenhagen on 7 December. Because of the timing, scientists, policy makers and public relations experts said that the release of emails was a smear campaign intended to undermine the climate conference. In response to the controversy, the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), the American Meteorological Society (AMS) and the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) released statements supporting the scientific consensus that the Earth's mean surface temperature had been rising for decades, with the AAAS concluding ""based on multiple lines of scientific evidence that global climate change caused by human activities is now underway...it is a growing threat to society.""Eight committees investigated the allegations and published reports, finding no evidence of fraud or scientific misconduct. However, the reports called on the scientists to avoid any such allegations in the future by taking steps to regain public confidence in their work, for example by opening up access to their supporting data, processing methods and software, and by promptly honouring freedom of information requests. The scientific consensus that global warming is occurring as a result of human activity remained unchanged throughout the investigations.
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