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Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists versus Scientific Forecasts
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists versus Scientific Forecasts

... have access to empirical studies and other information, but they use their knowledge to make predictions without the aid of well-established forecasting principles. Thus, they could simply use the information to come up with judgmental forecasts. Alternatively, they could translate their beliefs int ...
Pacific Islands Framework for Action on Climate Change
Pacific Islands Framework for Action on Climate Change

... In 2007 the Pacific Islands Leaders called on the international community to reach agreement urgently on an effective global response to deliver on the ultimate objective of the UNFCCC to avoid dangerous levels of interference with the climate system, including further commitments in the future by a ...
Adapting to Climate Change in Australia
Adapting to Climate Change in Australia

... 16 CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology (2007) Climate Change in Australia: Technical Report 2007, CSIRO 17 CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology (2007) Climate Change in Australia: Technical Report 2007, CSIRO 18 Department of Climate Change (2009) Australia’s Biodiversity and Climate Change: Summary for p ...
Public Perception of Climate Change in a Period of Economic Crisis
Public Perception of Climate Change in a Period of Economic Crisis

... One of the greatest challenges faced by humanity today is climate change. However, as the direct effects on human welfare are not always clear, it is hard for people to conceptualize the causes of climate change and, conversely, the possible effects of climate change on their lives. This, however, d ...
Climate extremes and ozone pollution: a growing threat to China`s
Climate extremes and ozone pollution: a growing threat to China`s

... Abstract. Ensuring global food security requires a sound understanding of climate and environmental controls on crop productivity. The majority of existing assessments have focused on physical climate variables (i.e., mean temperature and precipitation), but less on the increasing climate extremes ( ...
A Two-Step Flow of Influence? Opinion-Leader
A Two-Step Flow of Influence? Opinion-Leader

- carbonn Climate Registry
- carbonn Climate Registry

... recorded history, a trend that is projected to cause extensive damage to forests, marine ecosystems, biodiversity and agriculture. The change in weather patterns that Nelson Mandela Bay has experienced the last couple of years, evident in the increase in floods and number of coastal storm events, co ...
- Human Organization, Practicing Anthropology
- Human Organization, Practicing Anthropology

... with similar dire predictions that global warming will eliminate all glaciers and snow from the mountains within a few years” (Watanabe, Lamsal, and Ives 2009:255). The authors stressed that they had no intention to imply that rising temperatures are not affecting Himalayan glaciers and snow cover, ...
Costing Climate Change Adaptation: A Review of Estimates and Approaches
Costing Climate Change Adaptation: A Review of Estimates and Approaches

How to read a Climate-Fact-Sheet
How to read a Climate-Fact-Sheet

... 3. The bandwidth of climate projections It is not possible on the basis of climate projections from several models to state a concrete value for future climate change in a specific region. However, it is possible to indicate a range of possible developments. In addition to the natural variability of ...
Climatic change in mountain regions: a review of
Climatic change in mountain regions: a review of

... consequence, mountains exhibit high biodiversity, often with sharp transitions (ecotones) in vegetation sequences, and equally rapid changes from vegetation and soil to snow and ice. In addition, mountains ecosystems are often endemic, because many species remain isolated at high elevations compared ...
Uncertainty in climate change impacts on water resources in the Rio
Uncertainty in climate change impacts on water resources in the Rio

... were calibrated using data from 1970 to 1980, while the period 1981 to 2001 was used for model validation. The model was calibrated by modifying values of parameters, following the approach described by Collischonn et al. (2007a). The multi-objective MOCOM-UA optimization algorithm (Yapo et al., 199 ...
Assessing the Physical Science of Climate Change
Assessing the Physical Science of Climate Change

... IPCC Working Group 1 (2007) ...
Conceptual framework: Definitions for key concepts
Conceptual framework: Definitions for key concepts

... 3.3 Integrated impact assessment The IPCC AR4 (IPCC, 2007) defines an integrated impact assessment as: “An interdisciplinary process of combining, interpreting and communicating knowledge from diverse scientific disciplines so that all relevant aspects of a complex societal issue can be evaluated an ...
Waste - Cumbria County Council
Waste - Cumbria County Council

... Fire and Rescue Services (F&RS) already deal with the impacts of severe weather, but climate change projections suggest that in future F&RS may need the capacity to respond to increasingly frequent and severe weather events. A study for CLG in 2006 into the Effects of Climate Change on Fire and Resc ...
Climate change implications for the glaciers of the Hindu Kush
Climate change implications for the glaciers of the Hindu Kush

... erogeneity, although Kääb et al. (2012) and others found no evidence for this. Snow avalanches may also be an important mass balance component in the Karakoram due to the steep and rugged terrain (Hewitt, 2011). The spatial heterogeneity in mass balance is therefore likely to be partly linked to spa ...
Long-term changes in climate and insect damage
Long-term changes in climate and insect damage

... Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Synthesis Report, Climate Change (IPCC, 2007)). Thus, it is also likely that the increases in temperatures will be experienced in unregulated indoor environments. Climate change has emerged as a key concern for the twenty-first century. The socio-economic si ...
Adaptation Research Program - Department of Agriculture and
Adaptation Research Program - Department of Agriculture and

... plasticity in other yield components, such as, increased kernel weight. These results on specific traits can be used as guidance for selecting traits to be incorporated into breeding programs for future elevated carbon dioxide levels. Elevated carbon dioxide stimulated grain yield in virtually all i ...
4.3 Approach to CLIMATE CHANGE Scenario Development
4.3 Approach to CLIMATE CHANGE Scenario Development

... change, and as a tool to engage stakeholders in policy dialogue, both within and beyond the national communications process.1 Scenarios can be defined as plausible combinations of conditions that can represent possible future situations. Scenarios are often used to assess the consequences of possibl ...
View/Open - Sokoine University of Agriculture
View/Open - Sokoine University of Agriculture

... data were obtained from the Tanzanian Meteorological Agency (http://www.meteo.go.tz/) for the corresponding 49 year period. In order to preserve important local climatic heterogeneity, four stations representing the main arabica growing regions of Tanzania were used. These include Lyamungu, Arusha a ...
Climate change vulnerability assessment for aquatic ecosystems in
Climate change vulnerability assessment for aquatic ecosystems in

... Paul Gray and Nicholas Jones for reviewing an earlier version of the manuscript, and Trudy Vaittinen for report production. ...
Agriculture and Climate: Short and Long-term Implications
Agriculture and Climate: Short and Long-term Implications

... Climate and farming activity have a two-way causal relationship [Dale, 1997]. On the one hand, agricultural activity influences the flow of mass and energy in the atmosphere. As land use patterns change, these flows are altered, changing the climate 9. On the other hand, and more important for this ...
3.47 MB - Asian Development Bank
3.47 MB - Asian Development Bank

... areas must be prepared for (IPCC, 2012). Climate change is linked with the increase of extreme weather events, i.e. increase of extreme winds, heat waves and torrential precipitation. These extreme events can lead to disastrous impacts at different sectors of society. In Central Asia there has been ...
Coffea arabica yields decline in Tanzania due to climate change
Coffea arabica yields decline in Tanzania due to climate change

... data were obtained from the Tanzanian Meteorological Agency (http://www.meteo.go.tz/) for the corresponding 49 year period. In order to preserve important local climatic heterogeneity, four stations representing the main arabica growing regions of Tanzania were used. These include Lyamungu, Arusha a ...
variability of freezing levels, melting season indicators, and snow
variability of freezing levels, melting season indicators, and snow

... significant. The pre-1958 data may contain biases, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere, arising from changes in the observing system (Kistler et al., 2001). However, we note that the cooler temperatures and lower FLH evident for these early years of the record are consistent with the generally l ...
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Climatic Research Unit email controversy

The Climatic Research Unit email controversy (also known as ""Climategate"") began in November 2009 with the hacking of a server at the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia (UEA) by an external attacker, copying thousands of emails and computer files to various internet locations several weeks before the Copenhagen Summit on climate change.The story was first broken by climate change critics with columnist James Delingpole popularising the term ""Climategate"" to describe the controversy. Those denying the significance of human caused climate change argued that the emails showed global warming was a scientific conspiracy, that scientists manipulated climate data and attempted to suppress critics. The CRU rejected this, saying the emails had been taken out of context and merely reflected an honest exchange of ideas.The mainstream media picked up the story as negotiations over climate change mitigation began in Copenhagen on 7 December. Because of the timing, scientists, policy makers and public relations experts said that the release of emails was a smear campaign intended to undermine the climate conference. In response to the controversy, the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), the American Meteorological Society (AMS) and the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) released statements supporting the scientific consensus that the Earth's mean surface temperature had been rising for decades, with the AAAS concluding ""based on multiple lines of scientific evidence that global climate change caused by human activities is now underway...it is a growing threat to society.""Eight committees investigated the allegations and published reports, finding no evidence of fraud or scientific misconduct. However, the reports called on the scientists to avoid any such allegations in the future by taking steps to regain public confidence in their work, for example by opening up access to their supporting data, processing methods and software, and by promptly honouring freedom of information requests. The scientific consensus that global warming is occurring as a result of human activity remained unchanged throughout the investigations.
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