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An Enduring Conundrum for Wise Policy Advice
An Enduring Conundrum for Wise Policy Advice

... It is therefore surprising to discover that by all the various real world data considered here, the weather in the first half of the 20th century was, if anything, more extreme than in the second half. I have not found any data, including in SREX, that contradicts these trends. Furthermore there are ...
CLIMATE CHANGE AND VECTOR BORNE DISEASES
CLIMATE CHANGE AND VECTOR BORNE DISEASES

... malaria transmission based on Temperature, and T & RH at each grid (0.44 X 0.44 deg. Pixel, roughly 50 X50 Km) were prepared for baseline and projected scenario. ...
Climate Refugees - Lutheran Office for Public Policy in Wisconsin
Climate Refugees - Lutheran Office for Public Policy in Wisconsin

... The prophet Isaiah’s words teach us that to help those who are hungry, to work for justice for all people, is to experience the transformative and connecting power of God. As Lutheran Christians, freed by the grace of God and the death and resurrection of Jesus Christ to serve our neighbors, this di ...
Climate Change Adaptation in Tanzania Agricultural Systems
Climate Change Adaptation in Tanzania Agricultural Systems

... Estimates from Crop Environment Resource Synthesis Model (CERES-Maize) (Jones and Kiniry, 1986) show that the average yield decrease over the entire country would be 33% and as high as 84% in the central regions of Dodoma and Tabora. Yields in the north-eastern highlands showed decreases of 22% whil ...
Enabling environment for integrating disaster risk
Enabling environment for integrating disaster risk

... National Adaptation Plan of Action (NAPA) Climate Forecast Applications (CFA) Livelihoods Adaptation to Climate Change (LACC) Climate Risk Management (CRM) Climate Resilient Cities (CRC) ...
Agricultural development and food security under climate uncertainty
Agricultural development and food security under climate uncertainty

... Notwithstanding these achievements, nowadays the largest agricultural area (1.1 billion ha) is still without any water management system (Table 1). In this context it is expected that 90% of the increase in food production will have to come from existing cultivated land and only 10% from new land re ...
Limitations of integrated assessment models of climate change
Limitations of integrated assessment models of climate change

... The scientific consensus on climate change is clear and unambiguous; climate change is an observable phenomenon with the potential for catastrophic impacts (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007a). The large-scale computer models that helped build this consensus have acquired a good reputat ...
Climate Change, the Oceans, and the Business of Seafood: A View
Climate Change, the Oceans, and the Business of Seafood: A View

... But overfishing is of serious concern, and to some, the message of “eat fish” can seem counterintuitive when placed without context next to warnings of dwindling fish populations. The global wild capture of fish exceeds 90 million metric tons, which significantly impacts marine environments.3 Larger ...
Analysis of the Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations
Analysis of the Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations

... In conclusion, the Kyoto Protocol is outdated and has failed in several ways. Not only is there a lack of success in the slowing of global warming and climate change, but also it has stifled discussion of alternative policy approaches that could both combat climate change and adapt to its unavoidabl ...
TOL/Yohe
TOL/Yohe

... Conclusion about the results • there are many perspectives to view the future costs and benefits policies to slow global warming • these figures illustrate that it is not only the discount rate which determines the carbon tax – but the combination of the discount rate and consumtion elasticity work ...
Improving predictions and management of hydrological extremes
Improving predictions and management of hydrological extremes

... The climatology of weather patterns also in the present climate dictates their exceptionality, which will impact the way our structural and non-structural measures planned for climate change adaptation will respond. There is therefore a need to support decision making facing future weather that may ...
Canada`s Marine Coasts in a Changing Climate – Chapter 1
Canada`s Marine Coasts in a Changing Climate – Chapter 1

... sinks) are sometimes portrayed as distinct responses to climate change, they are inextricably linked. The success of mitigation directly affects the need for adaptation, as well as the viability of different adaptation options. Mitigation reduces both the magnitude and the rate of climate change. Th ...
Resistance to change: A social psychological
Resistance to change: A social psychological

... consequences, and manifestations of climate change over the last 10 to 20 years, ideological polarization has increased rather than decreased during this time period (Guber 2012; McCright and Dunlap 2011b). Other contributions to this special issue of Social Research address some of the institution ...
How Climate Science Became a Victim of the Cold War
How Climate Science Became a Victim of the Cold War

... Among scientists today, anthropogenic global warming is no longer considered a prediction, but an observation. In the summer of 2005, for example, the new president of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Ralph Cicerone, affirmed in testimony to the U.S. Congress: “Carbon dioxide in the atmosphere ...
DO THE UNCERTAINTY RANGES IN THE IPCC AND U.S.
DO THE UNCERTAINTY RANGES IN THE IPCC AND U.S.

... fact that the models were not complete. Were this still the case, Pielke’s suggested omissions could be seen as implicitly accounted for in the estimated global average temperature response (although not in the regional response), even if being able to include them directly might have made the proje ...
The 4 ‘I’s of Adaptation
The 4 ‘I’s of Adaptation

... and ability to deal with change. However, in many cases they are under-resourced and may require technical as well as financial support to help strengthen their adaptive capacity. Risk management approaches are commonly top-down in nature; however, they are potentially an important tool for mainstre ...
First comprehensive review of the state of Antarctica`s climate
First comprehensive review of the state of Antarctica`s climate

... and natural variability; and the extraordinary finding that the ozone hole has shielded most of Antarctica from global warming. Dr. Colin Summerhayes, Executive Director of the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research said, “Antarctica is an unrivalled source of information about our planet. This ...
Draft Resolution X
Draft Resolution X

... increasing abstraction of water especially for agriculture, that many surface and groundwater-dependent wetland systems and their catchments are already water-stressed, and that demand for water, particularly for irrigated agriculture as well as other uses, is projected to continue to increase; ...
Read the Backgrounder on why Fossil Fuel
Read the Backgrounder on why Fossil Fuel

... impacts on Canadians have so far been buffered by our financial ability to rescue those affected, and to rebuild. In 2013, Alberta and Toronto had all-time record floods, with a combined cost of over $7 billion. Over the past 10 years, over half of the merchantable timber of British Columbia was des ...
Carbon-Pipelines-Affirmative---Supplement---NDI-2012
Carbon-Pipelines-Affirmative---Supplement---NDI-2012

... miles of public roads, 160,000 miles of railroad track, 25,000 miles of navigable waterways, 9,800 coastal and inland waterway facilities, nearly 400,000 miles of oil and fuel pipelines, and 5,200 public-use airports.5 The aviation industry provides for the movement of passengers and freight by both ...
2011 - Northwest Fire Science Consortium
2011 - Northwest Fire Science Consortium

... to climate change effects Intensive research on climate change over the past two decades has led most scientists to conclude that significant climate shifts and increased climate variability are already under way, and that this trend will continue for many centuries into the future (IPCC 2007). Ther ...
Adaptive Response Framework for Drinking Water
Adaptive Response Framework for Drinking Water

... “climate ready.” This Framework supports and guides utilities as they learn about and pursue management techniques and adaptive actions that can be implemented to build climate readiness. The Framework is described in the Climate Ready Water Utilities report, developed by the National Drinking Water ...
Project Document for CEO Approval
Project Document for CEO Approval

... 40. The project will be executed by the Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources (MENR), which is the institution responsible for all environmental matters in the country. It is also the national focal point for UNFCCC and GEF. The Ministry is the host to the Inter-Ministerial Committee on Envi ...
Climate variability and change: a perspective from the oceania region
Climate variability and change: a perspective from the oceania region

... ozone. Such studies, which involve “single-forcing” simulations of, for example, greenhouse gases, ozone or aerosols are a tool that can be used for attribution of observed changes, and reconciling the differences between recent and projected changes. Climatologists have long known that the Hadley c ...
Biomes Individual and Collaborative Project
Biomes Individual and Collaborative Project

... develop, present and defend a position or course of action, based on findings ...
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Climate change denial

Climate change denial, or global warming denial, involves denial, dismissal, or unwarranted doubt about the scientific consensus on the rate and extent of global warming, the extent to which it is caused by humans, its impacts on nature and human society, or the potential for human actions to reduce these impacts. Climate change skepticism and climate change denial form an overlapping range of views, and generally have the same characteristics; both reject to a greater or lesser extent current scientific opinion on climate change. Climate change denial can also be implicit, when individuals or social groups accept the science but divert their attention to less difficult topics rather than take action. Several social science studies have analyzed these positions as forms of denialism.In the global warming controversy, campaigning to undermine public trust in climate science has been described as a ""denial machine"" of industrial, political and ideological interests, supported by conservative media and skeptical bloggers in manufacturing uncertainty about global warming. In the public debate, phrases such as climate skepticism have frequently been used with the same meaning as climate denialism. The labels are contested: those actively challenging climate science commonly describe themselves as ""skeptics"", but many do not comply with scientific skepticism and, regardless of evidence, continue to deny the validity of human caused global warming.Although there is a scientific consensus that human activity is the primary driver of climate change, the politics of global warming has been impacted by climate change denial, hindering efforts to prevent climate change and adapt to the warming climate. Typically, public debate on climate change denial may have the appearance of legitimate scientific discourse, but does not conform to scientific principles.Organised campaigning to undermine public trust in climate science is associated with conservative economic policies and backed by industrial interests opposed to the regulation of CO2 emissions. Climate change denial has been associated with the fossil fuels lobby, the Koch brothers, industry advocates and libertarian think tanks, often in the United States. Between 2002 and 2010, nearly $120 million (£77 million) was anonymously donated, some by conservative billionaires via the Donors Trust and Donors Capital Fund, to more than 100 organizations seeking to undermine the public perception of the science on climate change. In 2013 the Center for Media and Democracy reported that the State Policy Network (SPN), an umbrella group of 64 U.S. think tanks, had been lobbying on behalf of major corporations and conservative donors to oppose climate change regulation.
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