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Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science
Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science

... years of geological time.9 In their now-famous Tellus article, published in 1957, Suess and Revelle argued primarily for the importance of monitoring — a project commenced during the International Geophysical Year and pursued for the next four and half decades by Charles David Keeling. Political sci ...
climate change and sustainability of agrodiversity in traditional
climate change and sustainability of agrodiversity in traditional

... between the vertical elevation gradients from tropical (300 m) to the Trans-Himalayan region (5000 m), where about 65% of the total population of 6,07,688 (Census 2011) depend on agriculture for their livelihood. The mountain farmers are facing numerous unpredictable scenarios related to global warm ...
Reversible and irreversible impacts of greenhouse gas
Reversible and irreversible impacts of greenhouse gas

... the inclusion of carbon cycle representations in coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models provide now the opportunity to close this information gap. In this study, we quantify the reversible and irreversible commitment of 21st century anthropogenic emissions on human timescales and their ...
8. equal per capita entitlements
8. equal per capita entitlements

... expansion of the global economy and attendant GHG emissions into the globally common atmosphere. This realization stimulated the associated debate on the sharing of scarce atmospheric resources, that is, establishing equitable access to this limited space, as the right to emit implies scarcity, and ...
Vivid Economics
Vivid Economics

... outcomes and quantify in some detail the likely effects of climate change under each different scenario. The need for adaptation would then follow from the nature of these effects (see e.g. World Bank 2010a). While science-first is the method of choice for impact assessments, it raises issues for ad ...
save
save

... I. The Basic Science of Climate Change Roughly 40 years ago, a small group of scientists and policy makers began to realize that humanity was on a dramatic collision course, as the rapidly growing world economy and population threatened to collide with the planet’s finite resources and fragile ecosy ...
The Effects and Linkages of Deforestation and Temperature on
The Effects and Linkages of Deforestation and Temperature on

... construction, for firewood, for the production of charcoal and so on. Spore, 2011 reported that forests also play a pivotal role in providing water resources, due to their influence on volumes and distribution of rainfall, the dynamics of water in soil and the quantities of water discharged into the ...
Land Use Change Impacts on Air Quality and Climate
Land Use Change Impacts on Air Quality and Climate

... response may be larger at a local scale or when considering multiple future scenarios, for example isoprene emissions over the same time horizon are projected to increase by 26-41% in Europe.88 Several of these studies have projected isoprene emissions under simultaneous changes in climate and atmos ...
Viticultureclimate relationships in Greece: the impacts
Viticultureclimate relationships in Greece: the impacts

... were gathered and systematically explored using linear regression models and principal component analysis for three ‘effective’ growing season time period definitions (calendar year, growing season and ripening period). The eight study regions had marked differences in their general climatic charact ...
a new report
a new report

... to prevent destabilizing effects from climate change, including setting targets for long term reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. 3. The U.S. should commit to global partnerships that help less developed nations build the capacity and resiliency to better manage climate impacts. As President Bush ...
II. Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability: Technical Summary
II. Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability: Technical Summary

... 3. A global synthesis of studies in this Assessment strongly demonstrates that the spatial agreement between regions of significant regional warming across the globe and the locations of significant observed changes in many systems consistent with warming is very unlikely6 to be due solely to natura ...
Personal Efficacy, the Information Environment
Personal Efficacy, the Information Environment

... like stem-cell research, where scientists will line up on opposing sides to debate the scientific merits of differing positions. In fact, Bord, O’Connor, and Fisher (2000, p. 215) report that “[a]ccurate knowledge of global warming is the strongest single predictor of behavioral intentions . . .”.(5 ...
Navigating scales of knowledge and decision
Navigating scales of knowledge and decision

... also were concerned about the level of skill involved in the seasonal predictions and about ensuring that the managers understood that skill. Thus, the workshop intended to discover if more skillful forecasts might have a place in reservoir management and what temporal and spatial levels of forecast ...
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON WATER
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON WATER

... the global averages suggest (IPCC, 2001; Parry et al., 2001). Thus in regions already under water stress today, including Africa, climate change will exacerbate the situation. For many of the water-distressed regions, global mean temperature increases above 1.5ºC are identified as leading to decreas ...
National Security and the Threat of Climate Change
National Security and the Threat of Climate Change

... to prevent destabilizing effects from climate change, including setting targets for long term reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. 3. The U.S. should commit to global partnerships that help less developed nations build the capacity and resiliency to better manage climate impacts. As President Bush ...
Coastal flooding and wetland loss in the 21st century: changes
Coastal flooding and wetland loss in the 21st century: changes

... All impacts are evaluated for 2025, 2055 and 2085, representing the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s, respectively. Assessments include both changes in impacts in a world without climate change (the baseline), and with climate change, so that the relative effect of climate change can be assessed. A more detai ...
Climate change and freshwater ecosystems: impacts across multiple
Climate change and freshwater ecosystems: impacts across multiple

... energetic constraints imposed on individuals, and outline the potential for integrating these approaches to develop the more coherent theoretical framework that is needed to predict future impacts. Since energy is arguably the ultimate currency in ecology, and individual metabolism is driven by a co ...
Climate Change and Internal Displacement
Climate Change and Internal Displacement

... conflict which can, in turn, cause further displacement. Subsequently, the effects of climate change may lead to increased competition over scarce resources and the loss of livelihoods which may increase the risk of conflict and violence, causing additional displacement. The Security Council debate ...
Climate change and freshwater ecosystems: impacts
Climate change and freshwater ecosystems: impacts

... energetic constraints imposed on individuals, and outline the potential for integrating these approaches to develop the more coherent theoretical framework that is needed to predict future impacts. Since energy is arguably the ultimate currency in ecology, and individual metabolism is driven by a co ...
The American Environmental Values Survey: American Views on the
The American Environmental Values Survey: American Views on the

... McCright and Dunlap. The Sociological Quarterly, 52(2), 211-219. Johns, D. (2007). Like it or not, politics is the solution. Conservation Biology, 21(2), 287-288. Joireman, J., Truelove, H., & Duell, B. (2010). Effect of outdoor temperature, heat primes and anchoring on belief in global warming. Jou ...
Migration and Climate - International Institute for Sustainable
Migration and Climate - International Institute for Sustainable

... of people displaced by shoreline erosion, coastal flooding and agricultural disruption. Since then various analysts have tried to put numbers on future flows of climate migrants (sometimes called “climate refugees”)—the most widely repeated prediction being 200 million by 2050. But repetition d ...
Chapter 19 Climate Change Effects on Watershed Processes in
Chapter 19 Climate Change Effects on Watershed Processes in

... Historical trends1 in air temperature and precipitation provide important context against which future climate projections may be evaluated. Trend results, however, vary with the time period of analysis (i.e., 30, 50, 00 years), and in particular with the starting point of any trend calculation. Cl ...
- UNDP Climate Change Adaptation
- UNDP Climate Change Adaptation

... ranching, although some dryland cropping under irrigation also takes place. Cattle rearing is predominant in the central and northern regions of the country, while karakul sheep, goat, and ostrich farming are concentrated in the more arid southern regions. The cultivation of rainfed crops in Namibia ...
National Climate Change Action Plan
National Climate Change Action Plan

... Climate change is recognized as one of the most complex global environmental problems, one which presents the greatest challenges to society as a whole, including the scientific and technical community and government authorities. The greenhouse effect, a beneficial natural phenomenon that enables li ...
A review of ENSO and Climate Change
A review of ENSO and Climate Change

... and damping feedbacks, and it is likely that one or more of the major physical processes that are responsible for determining the characteristics of ENSO will be modified by climate change • While the possibility of large changes in ENSO cannot be ruled out, research conducted to date does not yet e ...
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Economics of global warming

There are a number of policies that governments might consider in response to global warming. The assessment of such policies involves the economics of global warming.Global warming is a long-term problem. One of the most important greenhouse gases is carbon dioxide. Around 20% of carbon dioxide which is emitted due to human activities can remain in the atmosphere for many thousands of years. The long time scales and uncertainty associated with global warming have led analysts to develop ""scenarios"" of future environmental, social and economic changes. These scenarios can help governments understand the potential consequences of their decisions.The impacts of climate change include the loss of biodiversity, sea level rise, increased frequency and severity of some extreme weather events, and acidification of the oceans. Economists have attempted to quantify these impacts in monetary terms, but these assessments can be controversial.The two main policy responses to global warming are to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and to adapt to the impacts of global warming (e.g., by building levees in response to sea level rise). Another policy response which has recently received greater attention is geoengineering of the climate system (e.g. injecting aerosols into the atmosphere to reflect sunlight away from the Earth's surface).One of the responses to the uncertainties of global warming is to adopt a strategy of sequential decision making. This strategy recognizes that decisions on global warming need to be made with incomplete information, and that decisions in the near term will have potentially long-term impacts. Governments might choose to use risk management as part of their policy response to global warming. For instance, a risk-based approach can be applied to climate impacts which are difficult to quantify in economic terms, e.g., the impacts of global warming on indigenous peoples.Analysts have assessed global warming in relation to sustainable development. Sustainable development considers how future generations might be affected by the actions of the current generation. In some areas, policies designed to address global warming may contribute positively towards other development objectives. In other areas, the cost of global warming policies may divert resources away from other socially and environmentally beneficial investments (the opportunity costs of climate change policy).
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