Projected poleward shift of king penguins
... we were more interested in the rate of warming than in its baseline level, we applied a correction factor to scale each time series to the same SST baseline (see electronic supplementary material, §S3 for correction factor calculation and table S3). The rate of warming from 2000 to 2100 was then cal ...
... we were more interested in the rate of warming than in its baseline level, we applied a correction factor to scale each time series to the same SST baseline (see electronic supplementary material, §S3 for correction factor calculation and table S3). The rate of warming from 2000 to 2100 was then cal ...
Helping Biodiversity Adapt
... Evidence over the last decade has shown that ecological change in response to climate change is likely to be unavoidable, widespread and substantial. As a result, some of our approaches to biodiversity conservation may need to change – including not just the actions we take now but also the overarch ...
... Evidence over the last decade has shown that ecological change in response to climate change is likely to be unavoidable, widespread and substantial. As a result, some of our approaches to biodiversity conservation may need to change – including not just the actions we take now but also the overarch ...
“It Was Raining All the Time!”: Ex Post Tourist Weather Perceptions
... Note that respondents apparently used the terms “experiences” and “expectations” interchangeably, but differences in terminology use were not explored. Given the exploratory character of this study, several limitations need to be outlined. As the objective was to identify negative travel experiences ...
... Note that respondents apparently used the terms “experiences” and “expectations” interchangeably, but differences in terminology use were not explored. Given the exploratory character of this study, several limitations need to be outlined. As the objective was to identify negative travel experiences ...
Assessing the Response of Terrestrial Ecosystems to Potential
... of precipitation in the tropics and at midlatitudes and high latitudes will increase over this century, while precipitation at subtropical latitudes will decrease. Moreover, the intensity of precipitation events and the frequency of extreme events, which have already increased across the globe, are ...
... of precipitation in the tropics and at midlatitudes and high latitudes will increase over this century, while precipitation at subtropical latitudes will decrease. Moreover, the intensity of precipitation events and the frequency of extreme events, which have already increased across the globe, are ...
Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate
... Towards a common goal: to improve the assessment and communication of uncertainties What should be the IPCC goal in elaborating common guidelines on uncertainties for its future reports, and how much convergence should be aimed for? In our view, the primary goal of guidance to authors is to encourag ...
... Towards a common goal: to improve the assessment and communication of uncertainties What should be the IPCC goal in elaborating common guidelines on uncertainties for its future reports, and how much convergence should be aimed for? In our view, the primary goal of guidance to authors is to encourag ...
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... The designations employed and the presentation of material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) concerning the legal or development status of any country, territory, city or ...
... The designations employed and the presentation of material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) concerning the legal or development status of any country, territory, city or ...
Florida on the Coast of Climate Change: Responding to
... contribute to warming and sea level rise for more than a millennium," even if GHG emissions levels were immediately stabilized.' 7 Thermal expansion alone will continue for many centuries and could result in a two-and-a-half-foot increase in sea level by 2300.18 In addition, "[w]arming tends to redu ...
... contribute to warming and sea level rise for more than a millennium," even if GHG emissions levels were immediately stabilized.' 7 Thermal expansion alone will continue for many centuries and could result in a two-and-a-half-foot increase in sea level by 2300.18 In addition, "[w]arming tends to redu ...
Role of CO2 and Southern Ocean winds in glacial abrupt climate
... northward retreat of the sea-ice front in response to higher temperatures. This leads to enhanced heat loss to the atmosphere as well as reduced freshwater fluxes via reduced seaice import into the region. In this way, a new mechanism that is consistent with proxy data is identified by which abrupt ...
... northward retreat of the sea-ice front in response to higher temperatures. This leads to enhanced heat loss to the atmosphere as well as reduced freshwater fluxes via reduced seaice import into the region. In this way, a new mechanism that is consistent with proxy data is identified by which abrupt ...
Migration and Climate Change: Toward an Integrated Assessment of
... drought affecting agricultural production and access to clean water; rising sea levels making coastal areas uninhabitable and increasing the number of sinking island states; and increased competition over natural resources that may lead to conflict (Martin 2009). Although they will vary regionally, ...
... drought affecting agricultural production and access to clean water; rising sea levels making coastal areas uninhabitable and increasing the number of sinking island states; and increased competition over natural resources that may lead to conflict (Martin 2009). Although they will vary regionally, ...
Climate Change Analysis
... This report has been prepared as a collaborative effort led by the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium. We gratefully acknowledge: • The financial support of the Columbia Basin Trust, a regional corporation created to deliver social, economic and environmental benefits to the residents of the Columbi ...
... This report has been prepared as a collaborative effort led by the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium. We gratefully acknowledge: • The financial support of the Columbia Basin Trust, a regional corporation created to deliver social, economic and environmental benefits to the residents of the Columbi ...
ACSRI report - Columbia University
... believe that such an across-the-board divestment approach would satisfy the demanding criteria for a divestment recommendation. The Carbon Underground 200TM list consists of “the top 100 coal companies globally and the top 100 public oil and gas companies globally, ranked by the potential carbon emi ...
... believe that such an across-the-board divestment approach would satisfy the demanding criteria for a divestment recommendation. The Carbon Underground 200TM list consists of “the top 100 coal companies globally and the top 100 public oil and gas companies globally, ranked by the potential carbon emi ...
UNIVERSIDAD DE CANTABRIA
... currently affected each year by coastal flooding and that such figures will increase under all climate-change scenarios ([Nicholls, 2004]). The problems with coastal flooding will obviously be much more serious if certain potentially catastrophic events, whose probability is uncertain, were to happe ...
... currently affected each year by coastal flooding and that such figures will increase under all climate-change scenarios ([Nicholls, 2004]). The problems with coastal flooding will obviously be much more serious if certain potentially catastrophic events, whose probability is uncertain, were to happe ...
A NEPA Climate Paradox: Taking Greenhouse Gases into Account
... problem of global warming.25 The GHG emissions associated with federal actions, in turn, implicate various aspects of NEPA’s regulatory process, including identification and quantification of environmental impacts; analysis of reasonable alternatives (including the climate consequences of taking no ...
... problem of global warming.25 The GHG emissions associated with federal actions, in turn, implicate various aspects of NEPA’s regulatory process, including identification and quantification of environmental impacts; analysis of reasonable alternatives (including the climate consequences of taking no ...
SADC Policy paper on Climate Change
... countries have contributed most of the GHG found in the atmosphere today (see Figure 1 below). GHG emissions from SADC countries have remained very small over the years, especially given that GHG emissions are largely associated with energy production and level of economic development. Even with the ...
... countries have contributed most of the GHG found in the atmosphere today (see Figure 1 below). GHG emissions from SADC countries have remained very small over the years, especially given that GHG emissions are largely associated with energy production and level of economic development. Even with the ...
Stranded Assets: the transition to a low carbon
... proportional value would be much higher in the second case where societal response to environmental factors accelerates the materialisation of these risks. However, slow-moving risks can still pose challenges to companies and entire sectors. Climate change is a process that happens over many decades ...
... proportional value would be much higher in the second case where societal response to environmental factors accelerates the materialisation of these risks. However, slow-moving risks can still pose challenges to companies and entire sectors. Climate change is a process that happens over many decades ...
MIGRATION AND CLIMATE CHANGE: AN OVERVIEW 1
... other push or pull factors, whether of a social, political, or economic nature. Understanding the role of the environment in migration dynamics implies analysing how and why people are vulnerable to climate change, as well as an examination of the different strategies they develop to cope with (or a ...
... other push or pull factors, whether of a social, political, or economic nature. Understanding the role of the environment in migration dynamics implies analysing how and why people are vulnerable to climate change, as well as an examination of the different strategies they develop to cope with (or a ...
August 2012 - CREE
... (2008). Two examples of this can be: who would suffer from climate change (inaction), and how should the burdens of mitigation (action) be distributed? In the years to come, the world may face large climatic changes such as increased temperatures, sea level rise, changed wind and precipitation patte ...
... (2008). Two examples of this can be: who would suffer from climate change (inaction), and how should the burdens of mitigation (action) be distributed? In the years to come, the world may face large climatic changes such as increased temperatures, sea level rise, changed wind and precipitation patte ...
The Politicization of Climate Change and Polarization in the American
... credibility of their claims (McCright and Dunlap 2003; Boykoff and Boykoff 2004). The effectiveness of this strategy is reflected by comparative studies showing that U.S. newspapers are more likely to portray climate science as “uncertain” than are those in other developed nations (Dispensa and Brul ...
... credibility of their claims (McCright and Dunlap 2003; Boykoff and Boykoff 2004). The effectiveness of this strategy is reflected by comparative studies showing that U.S. newspapers are more likely to portray climate science as “uncertain” than are those in other developed nations (Dispensa and Brul ...
Projecting future climate change: Implications of carbon cycle
... [Cubasch et al., 2001] communicated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in its Third Assessment Report (TAR) did not account for uncertainty in future carbon cycle behavior. Uncertainty in carbon cycle behavior was, however, assessed in the reported IPCC CO2 projections [Prentice ...
... [Cubasch et al., 2001] communicated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in its Third Assessment Report (TAR) did not account for uncertainty in future carbon cycle behavior. Uncertainty in carbon cycle behavior was, however, assessed in the reported IPCC CO2 projections [Prentice ...
Climate sensitivity, sea level and atmospheric carbon dioxide
... fossil fuels, thus injecting into the atmosphere an amount of CO2 at least comparable to that injected during the PETM, the CO2 would stay in the surface carbon reservoirs (atmosphere, ocean, soil, biosphere) for tens of thousands of years, long enough for the atmosphere, ocean and ice sheets to ful ...
... fossil fuels, thus injecting into the atmosphere an amount of CO2 at least comparable to that injected during the PETM, the CO2 would stay in the surface carbon reservoirs (atmosphere, ocean, soil, biosphere) for tens of thousands of years, long enough for the atmosphere, ocean and ice sheets to ful ...
Effects of climate change on an emperor penguin population
... Our analysis is based on a long-term dataset on breeding emperor penguins at Dumont D’Urville, Terre Adélie, in Antarctica (66°40′S 140°01′E). The colony has been monitored every year, during the breeding season (March–December), from 1962 onwards. For details of the history and data, see Prevost ( ...
... Our analysis is based on a long-term dataset on breeding emperor penguins at Dumont D’Urville, Terre Adélie, in Antarctica (66°40′S 140°01′E). The colony has been monitored every year, during the breeding season (March–December), from 1962 onwards. For details of the history and data, see Prevost ( ...
Protecting health in Europe from climate change
... There is now scientific consensus that climate change affects health through changing weather patterns (for example, more intense and frequent extreme events) and indirectly through changes in water, air, food quality and quantity, ecosystems, agriculture, livelihoods and infrastructure. The effects ...
... There is now scientific consensus that climate change affects health through changing weather patterns (for example, more intense and frequent extreme events) and indirectly through changes in water, air, food quality and quantity, ecosystems, agriculture, livelihoods and infrastructure. The effects ...
The Indian monsoon and climate change
... more than 2 billion people across South Asia, and provides more than 75% of total annual rainfall. Agricultural and industrial consumers require reliable source of water, together with an appropriate forecast on seasonal and intraseasonal timescales. How monsoon characteristics may change in the fut ...
... more than 2 billion people across South Asia, and provides more than 75% of total annual rainfall. Agricultural and industrial consumers require reliable source of water, together with an appropriate forecast on seasonal and intraseasonal timescales. How monsoon characteristics may change in the fut ...
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... stronger than that in the eastern Indian Ocean. This warming pattern is related to a persistent shoaling of the thermocline in the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean (EIO) over the past 60 years (Alory et al. 2007; Tokinaga et al. 2012). This is consistent with climate projections, where the Walker cir ...
... stronger than that in the eastern Indian Ocean. This warming pattern is related to a persistent shoaling of the thermocline in the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean (EIO) over the past 60 years (Alory et al. 2007; Tokinaga et al. 2012). This is consistent with climate projections, where the Walker cir ...
Vulnerability of Tasmania`s Natural Environment to Climate Change
... Climate change is a global issue and Tasmania, like other parts of Australia, is already showing evidence of change. Much of Tasmania has experienced a warming in average maximum temperatures since the 1970’s, accompanied by strong decreases in rainfall. Sea level has risen 10-20 cm in the last cent ...
... Climate change is a global issue and Tasmania, like other parts of Australia, is already showing evidence of change. Much of Tasmania has experienced a warming in average maximum temperatures since the 1970’s, accompanied by strong decreases in rainfall. Sea level has risen 10-20 cm in the last cent ...