CESifo Working Paper 3959
... production technologies more generally as a reaction to changes in temperature and in the quantity or timing of rainfall. Human capital investment and improvements in farming technology may facilitate such adjustment processes. Research and development on seeds and plants may help provide a wider ra ...
... production technologies more generally as a reaction to changes in temperature and in the quantity or timing of rainfall. Human capital investment and improvements in farming technology may facilitate such adjustment processes. Research and development on seeds and plants may help provide a wider ra ...
2 Forest soil functions
... maize, oilseed rape) may be grown in the future. Climate change might result in lower fertiliser usage although water stress could affect cropping in Southeast Scotland and high water demand crops such as potatoes. Water logging could cause problems with fieldwork and harvesting. Increased demands f ...
... maize, oilseed rape) may be grown in the future. Climate change might result in lower fertiliser usage although water stress could affect cropping in Southeast Scotland and high water demand crops such as potatoes. Water logging could cause problems with fieldwork and harvesting. Increased demands f ...
Robust Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis of Climate System Properties
... and estimate their uncertainty, it is reasonable to use comparisons between model predictions and climate observations. The methods of Bayesian statistics seem to be best suited to combine prior knowledge about the climate system with observational evidence (Knutti et al. 2002, 2003; Forest et al. 2 ...
... and estimate their uncertainty, it is reasonable to use comparisons between model predictions and climate observations. The methods of Bayesian statistics seem to be best suited to combine prior knowledge about the climate system with observational evidence (Knutti et al. 2002, 2003; Forest et al. 2 ...
i4332e04
... models and their CC projections, outliers (i.e. the worst and best cases) should not be ignored, as they illustrate the (plausible) extreme responses. The best choice for a given impact study, therefore, is not to rely on the ensemble mean plus the single most extreme outliers in both directions. In ...
... models and their CC projections, outliers (i.e. the worst and best cases) should not be ignored, as they illustrate the (plausible) extreme responses. The best choice for a given impact study, therefore, is not to rely on the ensemble mean plus the single most extreme outliers in both directions. In ...
Methane pollution - National Wildlife Federation
... (CPP), which will put first-ever limits on carbon pollution from our electric power sector. One of the main options that states will be able to use to comply with the plan is to increase reliance on “low-emitting power sources”, which may mean increased reliance on natural gas, for many states.11 Th ...
... (CPP), which will put first-ever limits on carbon pollution from our electric power sector. One of the main options that states will be able to use to comply with the plan is to increase reliance on “low-emitting power sources”, which may mean increased reliance on natural gas, for many states.11 Th ...
Now You “Sea” Ice, Now You Don`t
... You may photocopy, print, or e-mail up to five copies of an NSTA book chapter for personal use only; this does not include display or promotional use. Elementary, middle, and high school teachers only may reproduce a single NSTA book chapter for classroom- or noncommercial, professional-development ...
... You may photocopy, print, or e-mail up to five copies of an NSTA book chapter for personal use only; this does not include display or promotional use. Elementary, middle, and high school teachers only may reproduce a single NSTA book chapter for classroom- or noncommercial, professional-development ...
Biogeophysical effects of historical land cover changes simulated by
... of land cover changes occurred prior to 1700, the differences in tree area changes between the KNMI (for which changes are from 1700 to 1992) and the other models (changes are from 1000 to 1992) may be explained by the differences in initial states (Fig. 1b). Atmospheric CO2 concentration in simulati ...
... of land cover changes occurred prior to 1700, the differences in tree area changes between the KNMI (for which changes are from 1700 to 1992) and the other models (changes are from 1000 to 1992) may be explained by the differences in initial states (Fig. 1b). Atmospheric CO2 concentration in simulati ...
Inequality, communication and the avoidance of disastrous climate change: Working Paper 34 (1 MB) (opens in new window)
... in contrast may lead to early political lock-ins and disastrous consequences. Future research is needed to bring more realism and complexity in the collective-risk social dilemma, introducing uncertain thresholds and gradual climate change for instance. Climate change also entails not only asymmetry ...
... in contrast may lead to early political lock-ins and disastrous consequences. Future research is needed to bring more realism and complexity in the collective-risk social dilemma, introducing uncertain thresholds and gradual climate change for instance. Climate change also entails not only asymmetry ...
Bias corrections of global models for regional climate simulations
... Note that here we are using the term bias in the context of systematic errors in the model, as compared to some base ‘truth’ (specifically the NNRP). We also partially consider the ‘bias’ that may arise from sampling from relatively short time periods within a climate that varies on long and short t ...
... Note that here we are using the term bias in the context of systematic errors in the model, as compared to some base ‘truth’ (specifically the NNRP). We also partially consider the ‘bias’ that may arise from sampling from relatively short time periods within a climate that varies on long and short t ...
Future of carbon capture and storage in the UK
... as Contracts for Difference (CfDs)—to support the initial stages of commercialisation. In November 2015, just weeks before the final bids were to be submitted in this process, the Government unexpectedly announced that the money was no longer available. This decision came as a shock to the industry ...
... as Contracts for Difference (CfDs)—to support the initial stages of commercialisation. In November 2015, just weeks before the final bids were to be submitted in this process, the Government unexpectedly announced that the money was no longer available. This decision came as a shock to the industry ...
Sustainable Agriculture and Climate Changes in Egypt
... The main role of agriculture is to produce food for a growing population. However, this production has to be achieved in an environmentally friendly way that minimizes the external effects of agriculture related to the emission of green house gases, the release of nitrogen and phosphorous to the env ...
... The main role of agriculture is to produce food for a growing population. However, this production has to be achieved in an environmentally friendly way that minimizes the external effects of agriculture related to the emission of green house gases, the release of nitrogen and phosphorous to the env ...
Climate Change in Northern New Hampshire
... body of scientific evidence indicates that human activities—including the burning of fossil fuel (coal, oil, and natural gas) for energy, clearing of forested lands for agriculture, and raising livestock—are now the primary force driving change in the Earth’s climate system. This report describes ho ...
... body of scientific evidence indicates that human activities—including the burning of fossil fuel (coal, oil, and natural gas) for energy, clearing of forested lands for agriculture, and raising livestock—are now the primary force driving change in the Earth’s climate system. This report describes ho ...
PDF
... 17). To the former, technical experts remained the Cassandras one should not believe, while to the latter scientists became the ‘prophets’ of an ominous truth. Mass media outlets—bound by a long-standing ‘balancing’ norm—reported on, and helped construct and magnify, the resulting climate change dis ...
... 17). To the former, technical experts remained the Cassandras one should not believe, while to the latter scientists became the ‘prophets’ of an ominous truth. Mass media outlets—bound by a long-standing ‘balancing’ norm—reported on, and helped construct and magnify, the resulting climate change dis ...
Northern New Hampshire
... body of scientific evidence indicates that human activities—including the burning of fossil fuel (coal, oil, and natural gas) for energy, clearing of forested lands for agriculture, and raising livestock—are now the primary force driving change in the Earth’s climate system. This report describes ho ...
... body of scientific evidence indicates that human activities—including the burning of fossil fuel (coal, oil, and natural gas) for energy, clearing of forested lands for agriculture, and raising livestock—are now the primary force driving change in the Earth’s climate system. This report describes ho ...
Impacts of climate change from 2000 to 2050 on wildfire activity and
... predicted annual area burned in the Pacific Northwest and Rocky Mountains Forest ecoregions. The observations show large interannual variability in area burned, with a range of 7500 ha/a to 440,000 ha/a in the Pacific Northwest and 4800 ha/a to 1.45 million ha/a in the Rocky Mountains Forest. In the ...
... predicted annual area burned in the Pacific Northwest and Rocky Mountains Forest ecoregions. The observations show large interannual variability in area burned, with a range of 7500 ha/a to 440,000 ha/a in the Pacific Northwest and 4800 ha/a to 1.45 million ha/a in the Rocky Mountains Forest. In the ...
Responses of vegetation distribution to climate change in China
... studies. The initiative to study the potential effects of climate change is motivated by the increasing scientific and political interests in the interrelationship between climate change and ecosystems in regional levels. To date, few studies have investigated the influence of regional climate scena ...
... studies. The initiative to study the potential effects of climate change is motivated by the increasing scientific and political interests in the interrelationship between climate change and ecosystems in regional levels. To date, few studies have investigated the influence of regional climate scena ...
Climate of the Past
... operation and decommissioning of past and current nuclear facilities, and also from industrial, medical and research sources: – a near surface type disposal facility – designed to accept short-lived low and intermediate level radioactive waste (category A waste); ...
... operation and decommissioning of past and current nuclear facilities, and also from industrial, medical and research sources: – a near surface type disposal facility – designed to accept short-lived low and intermediate level radioactive waste (category A waste); ...
Communicating climate change: history, challenges, process and
... 17). To the former, technical experts remained the Cassandras one should not believe, while to the latter scientists became the ‘prophets’ of an ominous truth. Mass media outlets—bound by a long-standing ‘balancing’ norm—reported on, and helped construct and magnify, the resulting climate change dis ...
... 17). To the former, technical experts remained the Cassandras one should not believe, while to the latter scientists became the ‘prophets’ of an ominous truth. Mass media outlets—bound by a long-standing ‘balancing’ norm—reported on, and helped construct and magnify, the resulting climate change dis ...
PDF
... the potential to treat the interplay between supply, demand and trade endogenously. Economic models focus on drivers of land-use change on the side of food production and consumption. Starting out from certain preferences, motivations, market and population structures, they aim to explain changes in ...
... the potential to treat the interplay between supply, demand and trade endogenously. Economic models focus on drivers of land-use change on the side of food production and consumption. Starting out from certain preferences, motivations, market and population structures, they aim to explain changes in ...
PDF
... distinct combinations of crops. However, some of the combinations were rare, with only a handful of observations. We only examine crop alternatives where there are at least 100 observations. We are restricted to analyzing this subset of the data given that the district specific climate and soil vari ...
... distinct combinations of crops. However, some of the combinations were rare, with only a handful of observations. We only examine crop alternatives where there are at least 100 observations. We are restricted to analyzing this subset of the data given that the district specific climate and soil vari ...
LLoyd's Science of Risk Conference Booklet 2012
... Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability Losses from weather related risks are preconditioned by slowly evolving changes in ocean temperatures. Not only do these changes influence how active Atlantic Hurricanes will be over a given decade they are ...
... Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability Losses from weather related risks are preconditioned by slowly evolving changes in ocean temperatures. Not only do these changes influence how active Atlantic Hurricanes will be over a given decade they are ...
(2012) Blue Carbon Policy Framework 2.0
... Many natural environments contain large stores of carbon laid down by vegetation and other natural processes over centuries. The storage of carbon is the consequence of the capacity of those ecosystems to act as a net carbon sink over very long periods of time. If these ecosystems are degraded or da ...
... Many natural environments contain large stores of carbon laid down by vegetation and other natural processes over centuries. The storage of carbon is the consequence of the capacity of those ecosystems to act as a net carbon sink over very long periods of time. If these ecosystems are degraded or da ...
Key steps in adaptation assessment for LULUCF sector
... Why consider Climate Change in development planning Climate change impacts different sectors, cross-cutting If not addressed in long-term action, climate change costs will be high Countries may want to position themselves To ensure that the negotiation outcomes are coherent with national inter ...
... Why consider Climate Change in development planning Climate change impacts different sectors, cross-cutting If not addressed in long-term action, climate change costs will be high Countries may want to position themselves To ensure that the negotiation outcomes are coherent with national inter ...
Death by Degrees: Ohio - Physicians for Social Responsibility
... that the persistence of La Niña and El Niño events—which by causing warmer and cooler than normal sea-surface temperatures affect worldwide weather patterns—might be part of a larger, long-lasting climate pattern.20 Most recently the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reported th ...
... that the persistence of La Niña and El Niño events—which by causing warmer and cooler than normal sea-surface temperatures affect worldwide weather patterns—might be part of a larger, long-lasting climate pattern.20 Most recently the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reported th ...
Politics of global warming
The politics of global warming are complex due to numerous factors that arise from the global economy's interdependence on carbon dioxide emitting hydrocarbon energy sources and because carbon dioxide is directly implicated in global warming - making global warming a non-traditional environmental challenge:Implications to all aspects of a nation-state's economy - The vast majority of the world economy relies on energy sources or manufacturing techniques that release greenhouse gases at almost every stage of production, transportation, storage, delivery & disposal while a consensus of the world's scientists attribute global warming to the release of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. This intimate linkage between global warming and economic vitality implicates almost every aspect of a nation-state's economy; Perceived lack of adequate advanced energy technologies - Fossil fuel abundance and low prices continue to put pressure on the development of adequate advanced energy technologies that can realistically replace the role of fossil fuels - as of 2010, over 91% of the worlds energy is derived from fossil fuels and non carbon-neutral technologies. Developing countries do not have cost effective access to the advanced energy technologies that they need for development (most advanced technologies has been developed by and exist in the developed world). Without adequate and cost effective post-hydrocarbon energy sources, it is unlikely the countries of the developed or developing world would accept policies that would materially affect their economic vitality or economic development prospects;Industrialization of the developing world - As developing nations industrialize their energy needs increase and since conventional energy sources produce carbon dioxide, the carbon dioxide emissions of developing countries are beginning to rise at a time when the scientific community, global governance institutions and advocacy groups are telling the world that carbon dioxide emissions should be decreasing. Without access to cost effective and abundant energy sources many developing countries see climate change as a hindrance to their unfettered economic development;Metric selection (transparency) and perceived responsibility / ability to respond - Among the countries of the world, disagreements exist over which greenhouse gas emission metrics should be used like total emissions per year, per capita emissions per year, CO2 emissions only, deforestation emissions, livestock emissions or even total historical emissions. Historically, the release of carbon dioxide has not been historically even among all nation-states and nation-states have challenges with determining who should restrict emissions and at what point of their industrial development they should be subject to such commitments;Vulnerable developing countries and developed country legacy emissions - Some developing nations blame the developed world for having created the global warming crisis because it was the developed countries that emitted most of the carbon dioxide over the twentieth century and vulnerable countries perceive that it should be the developed countries that should pay to address the challenge;Consensus-driven global governance models - The global governance institutions that evolved during the 20th century are all consensus driven deliberative forums where agreement is difficult to achieve and even when agreement is achieved it is almost impossible to enforce;Well organized and funded special-interest lobbying bodies - Special interest lobbying by well organized groups distort and amplify aspects of the challenge (environmental lobbying, energy industry lobbying, other special interest lobbying);Politicization of climate science - Although there is a consensus on the science of global warming and its likely effects - some special interests groups work to suppress the consensus while others work to amplify the alarm of global warming. All parties that engage in such acts add to the politicization of the science of global warming. The result is a clouding of the reality of the global warming problem.The focus areas for global warming politics are Adaptation, Mitigation, Finance, Technology and Losses which are well quantified and studied but the urgency of the global warming challenge combined with the implication to almost every facet of a nation-state's economic interests places significant burdens on the established largely-voluntary global institutions that have developed over the last century; institutions that have been unable to effectively reshape themselves and move fast enough to deal with this unique challenge. Rapidly developing countries who see traditional energy sources as a means to fuel their development, well funded aggressive environmental lobbying groups and an established fossil fuel energy paradigm boasting a mature and sophisticated political lobbying infrastructure all combine to make global warming politics extremely polarized. Distrust between developed and developing countries at most international conferences that seek to address the topic add to the challenges. Further adding to the complexity is the advent of the Internet and the development of media technologies like blogs and other mechanisms for disseminating information that enable the exponential growth in production and dissemination of competing points of view which make it nearly impossible for the development and dissemination of an objective view into the enormity of the subject matter and its politics.