Full-Text PDF
... no longer be maintained through adaptation [26]. The boundaries of the adaptation frontier for a given system are difficult to define due to uncertainty regarding the capacity of systems to adapt to changes in climate, as well as the complex interactions among driving forces that influence where a s ...
... no longer be maintained through adaptation [26]. The boundaries of the adaptation frontier for a given system are difficult to define due to uncertainty regarding the capacity of systems to adapt to changes in climate, as well as the complex interactions among driving forces that influence where a s ...
Regional climate change experiments over southern South America
... the MM5 simulations were obtained from corresponding time slice experiments with the global atmospheric model HadAM3H (Pope et al. 2000). The length of the simulations is 10 years to give a reasonable idea of the mean climate change. Certainly 10 years is a minimum that allows obtaining some informa ...
... the MM5 simulations were obtained from corresponding time slice experiments with the global atmospheric model HadAM3H (Pope et al. 2000). The length of the simulations is 10 years to give a reasonable idea of the mean climate change. Certainly 10 years is a minimum that allows obtaining some informa ...
Forests and climate change in Latin America : linking
... validated in Latin America by the CCB Standards (Viana 2010). Although the project was developed as a mitigation project, many aspects of its project design and benefit sharing address both mitigation and adaptation concerns. The project created a new mechanism building on earlier federal experience ...
... validated in Latin America by the CCB Standards (Viana 2010). Although the project was developed as a mitigation project, many aspects of its project design and benefit sharing address both mitigation and adaptation concerns. The project created a new mechanism building on earlier federal experience ...
Downscaling climate change scenarios for apple pest and disease
... Note that assumptions inherent in many climate projections are that the range of model uncertainty is fully sampled by the available model projections, and that systematic model biases do not change with time. These assumptions were also made here (for more details, see Fischer et al., 2011). Despit ...
... Note that assumptions inherent in many climate projections are that the range of model uncertainty is fully sampled by the available model projections, and that systematic model biases do not change with time. These assumptions were also made here (for more details, see Fischer et al., 2011). Despit ...
Winners and losers: Ecological and biogeochemical changes in a
... [4] Published numerical projections of future oceans suggest very different changes in global integrated primary production in future scenarios [Sarmiento et al., 2004; Schmittner et al., 2008; Steinacher et al., 2010; Marinov et al., 2010; Taucher and Oschlies, 2011; Bopp et al., 2005; Bopp et al., ...
... [4] Published numerical projections of future oceans suggest very different changes in global integrated primary production in future scenarios [Sarmiento et al., 2004; Schmittner et al., 2008; Steinacher et al., 2010; Marinov et al., 2010; Taucher and Oschlies, 2011; Bopp et al., 2005; Bopp et al., ...
STRIVE Elucidating the Impact of Report Series No.52
... � Office of Climate, Licensing and Resource Use � Office of Environmental Enforcement � Office of Environmental Assessment ...
... � Office of Climate, Licensing and Resource Use � Office of Environmental Enforcement � Office of Environmental Assessment ...
Potential effects of climate change and adaptive
... to cope with, the adverse effects of climatic change. In a world where climate change and other stressors are affecting natural and social systems, resource managers are working to integrate climate models (top-down projections of possible future climates) with vulnerability analyses (bottom-up asse ...
... to cope with, the adverse effects of climatic change. In a world where climate change and other stressors are affecting natural and social systems, resource managers are working to integrate climate models (top-down projections of possible future climates) with vulnerability analyses (bottom-up asse ...
Developing a climate change analysis
... National meteorology institutions often lack adequate resources, are understaffed and may lack facilities to generate timely climate data and support early warning systems. Their ability to develop a grid of weather stations that can provide reliable ongoing data across all geographical and agro-e ...
... National meteorology institutions often lack adequate resources, are understaffed and may lack facilities to generate timely climate data and support early warning systems. Their ability to develop a grid of weather stations that can provide reliable ongoing data across all geographical and agro-e ...
“Migration with Dignity”: Towards a New
... in legal scholarship,11 reports by international organisations and non-governmental organisations,12 and international and regional fora,13 and it is now well-accepted that in most cases, those who are displaced by climate change will be unable to gain protection either under the Convention Relating ...
... in legal scholarship,11 reports by international organisations and non-governmental organisations,12 and international and regional fora,13 and it is now well-accepted that in most cases, those who are displaced by climate change will be unable to gain protection either under the Convention Relating ...
PDF
... adaptation. An important policy message from these results is that enhanced access to credit, information (climatic and agronomic) as well as to markets (input and output) can significantly increase farm-level adaptation. Maddison (2007) examines the perception of and adaptation to climate change of ...
... adaptation. An important policy message from these results is that enhanced access to credit, information (climatic and agronomic) as well as to markets (input and output) can significantly increase farm-level adaptation. Maddison (2007) examines the perception of and adaptation to climate change of ...
A Brewing Storm: The climate change risks to
... World production has more than trebled since the 1960s, consumption goes up by 5 per cent every year, and the industry boasts a strong potential for further growth.4 In Australia coffee recently supplanted tea as our lead stimulant-of-choice, with 46 per cent of us now enjoying it daily.5 Market gro ...
... World production has more than trebled since the 1960s, consumption goes up by 5 per cent every year, and the industry boasts a strong potential for further growth.4 In Australia coffee recently supplanted tea as our lead stimulant-of-choice, with 46 per cent of us now enjoying it daily.5 Market gro ...
Emerging threats to human health from global environmental change.
... Three-quarters of monitored fisheries are being fished at, or beyond, their sustainable limits (4). To harness electricity, control flooding, and impound freshwater, we have built over 45,000 large dams (the size of a four-story building or larger) and an additional 800,000 smaller dams around the worl ...
... Three-quarters of monitored fisheries are being fished at, or beyond, their sustainable limits (4). To harness electricity, control flooding, and impound freshwater, we have built over 45,000 large dams (the size of a four-story building or larger) and an additional 800,000 smaller dams around the worl ...
Assessment of impact of climate change on water resources: a long
... Specifically, in the Great Lakes Basin, both empirical and aerodynamic techniques have been used to estimate evaporation, and studies conducted by Cohen (1986, 1990), Sanderson (1987), and Croley (1990, 2004) have found that evaporation would be significantly increased under climate change scenarios ...
... Specifically, in the Great Lakes Basin, both empirical and aerodynamic techniques have been used to estimate evaporation, and studies conducted by Cohen (1986, 1990), Sanderson (1987), and Croley (1990, 2004) have found that evaporation would be significantly increased under climate change scenarios ...
Extinction vulnerability of tropical montane endemism from warming
... (Jenkins, 1987). For example six of 35 Calumma chameleon species are endemic to zones within 600 m elevation of the highest summits (Raxworthy, in press; Raxworthy & Nussbaum, 2006). Many of Madagascar’s montane species might thus be potentially vulnerable to upslope distribution shifts from climate ...
... (Jenkins, 1987). For example six of 35 Calumma chameleon species are endemic to zones within 600 m elevation of the highest summits (Raxworthy, in press; Raxworthy & Nussbaum, 2006). Many of Madagascar’s montane species might thus be potentially vulnerable to upslope distribution shifts from climate ...
Adapting to Climate Change: A Business Approach
... II. The Case for Business Adaptation: What is at Risk? Business efforts to address the potential risks posed by the physical effects of climate change have in general lagged behind consideration of the financial risks associated with mitigation. Moreover, although the hurricanes, cyclones, heat wa ...
... II. The Case for Business Adaptation: What is at Risk? Business efforts to address the potential risks posed by the physical effects of climate change have in general lagged behind consideration of the financial risks associated with mitigation. Moreover, although the hurricanes, cyclones, heat wa ...
A Brewing Storm - The Climate Institute
... risen by nearly 1°C. By 2100, the world is projected to warm by a further 2.6°C to 4.8°C in a likely scenario.6 This may sound like a small change but the consequences for global agriculture and development will be far-reaching, complex, and dire.7 Between 80 and 90 per cent of the world’s 25 millio ...
... risen by nearly 1°C. By 2100, the world is projected to warm by a further 2.6°C to 4.8°C in a likely scenario.6 This may sound like a small change but the consequences for global agriculture and development will be far-reaching, complex, and dire.7 Between 80 and 90 per cent of the world’s 25 millio ...
to review/download the Cookeville Case Study.
... would impact both communities. Experts from across the state and throughout the country, including the Southern Forest Research Station, Oak Ridge National Laboratories, Cumberland River Compact, The Climate Project, the University of Maryland, and the EPA were engaged to provide valuable informatio ...
... would impact both communities. Experts from across the state and throughout the country, including the Southern Forest Research Station, Oak Ridge National Laboratories, Cumberland River Compact, The Climate Project, the University of Maryland, and the EPA were engaged to provide valuable informatio ...
Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat
... of wheat-producing areas worldwide8 . In this point-based approach estimates from sentinel sites were scaled up and extrapolated to cover geographical areas with similar conditions. In further contrast, statistical regressions based on global and country-level data have been used to quantify the imp ...
... of wheat-producing areas worldwide8 . In this point-based approach estimates from sentinel sites were scaled up and extrapolated to cover geographical areas with similar conditions. In further contrast, statistical regressions based on global and country-level data have been used to quantify the imp ...
CHANGING HOW EARTH SYSTEM MODELING IS DONE TO
... as a set of plausible examples of what might happen to decide on how best to act in that can be placed in their projections. By “confidence” light of that knowledge and uncertainty (Stainforth we mean an estimate of the probability of how the et al. 2007b; Dessai et al. 2009; Kunreuther et al. 2013) ...
... as a set of plausible examples of what might happen to decide on how best to act in that can be placed in their projections. By “confidence” light of that knowledge and uncertainty (Stainforth we mean an estimate of the probability of how the et al. 2007b; Dessai et al. 2009; Kunreuther et al. 2013) ...
Primary Impacts of Climate Change in the Chicago Region
... and later. However, the degree of warming can differ substantially from one study to the next. Compiling information from several studies for Chicago and surrounding regions, a majority of studies project annual temperatures to be 5-9°F higher than they are today by the end of the 21st century. Some ...
... and later. However, the degree of warming can differ substantially from one study to the next. Compiling information from several studies for Chicago and surrounding regions, a majority of studies project annual temperatures to be 5-9°F higher than they are today by the end of the 21st century. Some ...
The Nation Ex-Situ: On climate change, deterritorialized nationhood
... The most relevant to the subject matter are the 1951 Geneva Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees—the key legal document in defining who is a refugee, their rights, and the legal obligations of states—and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, a treaty addressing the mann ...
... The most relevant to the subject matter are the 1951 Geneva Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees—the key legal document in defining who is a refugee, their rights, and the legal obligations of states—and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, a treaty addressing the mann ...
early human health effects of climate change and stratospheric
... The agenda for action on environment and health in Europe for the beginning of the next century will be defined at the Third Ministerial Conference on Environment and Health in London, June 1999. This background document has been prepared by the Working Group on the Early Human Health Impacts of Cli ...
... The agenda for action on environment and health in Europe for the beginning of the next century will be defined at the Third Ministerial Conference on Environment and Health in London, June 1999. This background document has been prepared by the Working Group on the Early Human Health Impacts of Cli ...
Using expert knowledge to assess uncertainties in future polar bear
... these cases, the range of conventional modelling techniques and approaches such as extrapolation, PVA and climate envelope modelling, may not be satisfactory (Sutherland 2006). The required data may not be available (for example, reliable estimates of parameters such as abundance are not available f ...
... these cases, the range of conventional modelling techniques and approaches such as extrapolation, PVA and climate envelope modelling, may not be satisfactory (Sutherland 2006). The required data may not be available (for example, reliable estimates of parameters such as abundance are not available f ...
IFC Definitions and Metrics for Climate
... temperature and rainfall patterns, rising sea levels, and more frequent natural disasters bring new risks that must be professionally managed in order for their companies to stay competitive. At the same time as climate change increasingly strains scarce resources such as water, energy, food, and la ...
... temperature and rainfall patterns, rising sea levels, and more frequent natural disasters bring new risks that must be professionally managed in order for their companies to stay competitive. At the same time as climate change increasingly strains scarce resources such as water, energy, food, and la ...
The Contours of Cap and Trade: The Evolution of Emissions Trading
... until a decision is made about whether to use cap and trade as a tool for addressing climate change (Date 2). This marks a transition to the design phase, which continues until policy makers have worked out the specific rules and operational details (Date 3). A venue moves to the operational phase w ...
... until a decision is made about whether to use cap and trade as a tool for addressing climate change (Date 2). This marks a transition to the design phase, which continues until policy makers have worked out the specific rules and operational details (Date 3). A venue moves to the operational phase w ...
Politics of global warming
The politics of global warming are complex due to numerous factors that arise from the global economy's interdependence on carbon dioxide emitting hydrocarbon energy sources and because carbon dioxide is directly implicated in global warming - making global warming a non-traditional environmental challenge:Implications to all aspects of a nation-state's economy - The vast majority of the world economy relies on energy sources or manufacturing techniques that release greenhouse gases at almost every stage of production, transportation, storage, delivery & disposal while a consensus of the world's scientists attribute global warming to the release of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. This intimate linkage between global warming and economic vitality implicates almost every aspect of a nation-state's economy; Perceived lack of adequate advanced energy technologies - Fossil fuel abundance and low prices continue to put pressure on the development of adequate advanced energy technologies that can realistically replace the role of fossil fuels - as of 2010, over 91% of the worlds energy is derived from fossil fuels and non carbon-neutral technologies. Developing countries do not have cost effective access to the advanced energy technologies that they need for development (most advanced technologies has been developed by and exist in the developed world). Without adequate and cost effective post-hydrocarbon energy sources, it is unlikely the countries of the developed or developing world would accept policies that would materially affect their economic vitality or economic development prospects;Industrialization of the developing world - As developing nations industrialize their energy needs increase and since conventional energy sources produce carbon dioxide, the carbon dioxide emissions of developing countries are beginning to rise at a time when the scientific community, global governance institutions and advocacy groups are telling the world that carbon dioxide emissions should be decreasing. Without access to cost effective and abundant energy sources many developing countries see climate change as a hindrance to their unfettered economic development;Metric selection (transparency) and perceived responsibility / ability to respond - Among the countries of the world, disagreements exist over which greenhouse gas emission metrics should be used like total emissions per year, per capita emissions per year, CO2 emissions only, deforestation emissions, livestock emissions or even total historical emissions. Historically, the release of carbon dioxide has not been historically even among all nation-states and nation-states have challenges with determining who should restrict emissions and at what point of their industrial development they should be subject to such commitments;Vulnerable developing countries and developed country legacy emissions - Some developing nations blame the developed world for having created the global warming crisis because it was the developed countries that emitted most of the carbon dioxide over the twentieth century and vulnerable countries perceive that it should be the developed countries that should pay to address the challenge;Consensus-driven global governance models - The global governance institutions that evolved during the 20th century are all consensus driven deliberative forums where agreement is difficult to achieve and even when agreement is achieved it is almost impossible to enforce;Well organized and funded special-interest lobbying bodies - Special interest lobbying by well organized groups distort and amplify aspects of the challenge (environmental lobbying, energy industry lobbying, other special interest lobbying);Politicization of climate science - Although there is a consensus on the science of global warming and its likely effects - some special interests groups work to suppress the consensus while others work to amplify the alarm of global warming. All parties that engage in such acts add to the politicization of the science of global warming. The result is a clouding of the reality of the global warming problem.The focus areas for global warming politics are Adaptation, Mitigation, Finance, Technology and Losses which are well quantified and studied but the urgency of the global warming challenge combined with the implication to almost every facet of a nation-state's economic interests places significant burdens on the established largely-voluntary global institutions that have developed over the last century; institutions that have been unable to effectively reshape themselves and move fast enough to deal with this unique challenge. Rapidly developing countries who see traditional energy sources as a means to fuel their development, well funded aggressive environmental lobbying groups and an established fossil fuel energy paradigm boasting a mature and sophisticated political lobbying infrastructure all combine to make global warming politics extremely polarized. Distrust between developed and developing countries at most international conferences that seek to address the topic add to the challenges. Further adding to the complexity is the advent of the Internet and the development of media technologies like blogs and other mechanisms for disseminating information that enable the exponential growth in production and dissemination of competing points of view which make it nearly impossible for the development and dissemination of an objective view into the enormity of the subject matter and its politics.