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Probability in the attribution and prediction of climate change
Probability in the attribution and prediction of climate change

... Tuyuksu mass balance ...
Guidelines for Responding to the Effects of Climate Change in
Guidelines for Responding to the Effects of Climate Change in

... the underlying natural statistical variability of these phenomena through long term measurement programs, sophisticated numerical modelling and statistical simulation. The proven rise in carbon dioxide levels and the possibility of the Earth being subject to a changing climate over engineering times ...
Functional and Phylogenetic Approaches to Forecasting Species
Functional and Phylogenetic Approaches to Forecasting Species

... Predicting species responses to climate change is a challenge central to both maintaining biodiversity and assessing our understanding of constraints on species abundance and distribution. In response to past climate changes, species in a variety of taxa have shifted their phenology (Parmesan 2006), ...
GCOS - WMO
GCOS - WMO

... GCOS is the single point for coordination, working through bodies such as the WMO Integrated Global Observing System (WIGOS), GOOS, the Committee on Earth Observation Satellites (CEOS) and the Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites (CGMS) for implementation; and plays a significant role fo ...
What do stakeholders need to manage for climate change
What do stakeholders need to manage for climate change

... that about half of the documents found were from the water sector (twenty-six total). Although relatively few documents were found from the agriculture, recreation/tourism, and tribes sectors, many stakeholders from those sectors were involved in the development of documents classified as multiple. ...
Miller-vita-short web version-2016 - UCAR Staff
Miller-vita-short web version-2016 - UCAR Staff

... "The Right to Use vs. the Right to Sell: Water Rights in the Western United States." ...
doc
doc

... models that offer a more complacent picture of climate costs for the United States. In this report, we begin by highlighting just a few categories of costs, which, if present trends continue, will add up to a bottom line of almost $1.9 trillion (in today’s dollars), or 1.8 percent of U.S. output per ...
Did the Stern Review underestimate climate damages
Did the Stern Review underestimate climate damages

... discount rate, varied with different runs of the Monte Carlo analysis; the average value of the discount rate was 1.4 percent per year, well below the discount rates used in many other analyses (although not unprecedented; see Cline 2004, and Ackerman and Finlayson 2006 for climate analyses with sim ...
A Tipping-Elements Expedition in the Footsteps of
A Tipping-Elements Expedition in the Footsteps of

DISCUSSION PAPER Climate Policy in the United States
DISCUSSION PAPER Climate Policy in the United States

... international policy sessions were smaller by design. Session I: Domestic Climate Policy Update The aim of the first session was to inform participants of the latest policy developments in the two countries. The discussion began with presentations by Osamu Mizuno, Ministry of the Environment, and Ta ...
Uncertainties of Climate Observation Data and Simulation Modelling
Uncertainties of Climate Observation Data and Simulation Modelling

... changes, the laws of paleoclimate, and in substantiation of scenarios of possible changes of climate in future (the matter concerns with scenarios and not with predictions whose possibilities should be assessed as doubtful) [1-146]. Unfortunately, the growing interest in the problems of climate is p ...
Relative humidity changes in a warmer climate
Relative humidity changes in a warmer climate

... dynamical mechanisms. [8] The largest R changes are increases around the extratropical tropopause and just above the tropical tropopause, each of which reaches ∼2% or more per kelvin of warming. Negative dR occurs in a horseshoe‐shaped region, including the midlatitude and tropical uppermost troposp ...
Arctic Environmental Change of the Last Four Centuries
Arctic Environmental Change of the Last Four Centuries

... years. From 1840 to the mid-20th century, the Arctic warmed to the highest temperatures in four centuries. This warming ended the Little Ice Age in the Arctic and has caused retreats of glaciers, melting of permafrost and sea ice, and alteration of terrestrial and lake ecosystems. Although warming, ...
Direct and Indirect Effects of Climate Change on Amphibian
Direct and Indirect Effects of Climate Change on Amphibian

... these environmental changes, they may experience increased mortality and significant sublethal effects. Additionally, a number of scientists suggested that global warming and ozone depletion will affect entire ecological communities [13-15]. It is now abundantly clear that the Earth’s climate is cha ...
Is the ice burning?
Is the ice burning?

NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES CLIMATE ECONOMICS: A META-REVIEW AND SOME SUGGESTIONS Geoffrey Heal
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES CLIMATE ECONOMICS: A META-REVIEW AND SOME SUGGESTIONS Geoffrey Heal

... topic: we have probably seen more economics papers on climate change in the last year than in all preceding history, including an entire issue of The Economists’Voice and a large collection in World Economics.1 And many of them were by very distinguished colleagues, so the Stern Review provoked not ...
Adapting to climate change
Adapting to climate change

... represent strong and credible climate science. They begin to quantify the uncertainties we face and so will help us to understand the risks that lie ahead. The Projections show – through three different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios – how our future climate could change dramatically should the ...
Regulatory Watchdogs Call for Oversight Reform | Heartlander Ma
Regulatory Watchdogs Call for Oversight Reform | Heartlander Ma

... other task is examining the regulations and accompanying analyses to make sure they are consistent with the principles of the executive orders.” ...
Climate change and ocean acidification in OSPAR
Climate change and ocean acidification in OSPAR

... Absorption of CO2 into the marine environment has lowered the average pH of the oceans by about 0.1 units from pre-industrial (1750) levels8. Nearly half of anthropogenic CO2 (burning fossil fuels and cement manufacture) has already been absorbed by the surfaces of our seas over the same period9. In ...
Can terrestrial ectotherms escape the heat of climate change by
Can terrestrial ectotherms escape the heat of climate change by

... Do these effects result in a latitudinal gradient in the potential to use movement to escape the fitness impacts of climate change? Temperate areas with highly seasonal temperatures will experience the greatest warming, but climate change is expected to increase the fitness of populations in these a ...
Analyzing Urban Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change: A
Analyzing Urban Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change: A

... emissions. Cities occupy two percent of the world’s land mass and contribute more than twothirds of global GHG emissions. But cities should not only be blamed for their role as problem causers. They can also contribute substantially to problem-solving. The analysis of mega-cities as key areas of res ...
Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Urban Forests in the
Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Urban Forests in the

... more pronounced in the cities in the east side of the Cascades than those in the Puget Sound area. More extensive analysis covering more cities and their surrounding areas will be needed to be able to separate the urban heat island effect from the impacts of global climate change in the region. Bioc ...
Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes
Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes

... averages by mapping extreme precipitation amounts onto a zero-toone scale15. The resulting ‘probability-based index’ (PI) equalizes the weighting given to grid-points in different locations and climatic regions in large area averages and facilitates comparison between observations and model simulati ...
"shared vision", at heart of climate talks by Meena Raman (11 June
"shared vision", at heart of climate talks by Meena Raman (11 June

... responsibilities and respective capabilities,” the G77 and China said that developed country parties should take the lead in combating climate change and the adverse effects thereof, which have historic responsibilities for creating this problem, but continue to this day to emit the greater part of ...
Time-Dependent Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climate Change
Time-Dependent Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climate Change

... such as the horizontal and vertical diffusion coefficients are typically adjusted to improve the fit In box-diffusion models, which generally have a much coarser resolution, the currents and mixing are inferred directly from tracer distributions or are chosen to represent the aggregated effect of tr ...
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Climate change in Tuvalu

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