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The global warming hiatus: Slowdown or redistribution?
The global warming hiatus: Slowdown or redistribution?

... original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made. ...
Homework 3, due February 28
Homework 3, due February 28

Document
Document

... 19-1 How Might the Earth’s Temperature and Climate Change in the Future? • Concept 19-1 Considerable scientific evidence indicates that the earth’s atmosphere is warming, because of a combination of natural effects and human activities, and that this warming is likely to lead to significant climate ...
To see the U.S. Public Interest Research Group Fact Sheet on
To see the U.S. Public Interest Research Group Fact Sheet on

... compares the bills with pathways for stabilizing the concentration of global warming pollutants in the atmosphere at 450 parts per million (ppm) and 550 ppm; the chart provides a more detailed overview of the legislation. Many scientists and policymakers (such as the European Union) recognize a 2˚ C ...
Power Point presentation
Power Point presentation

... (data from NOAA) - http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/… This plots atmospheric CO2 concentration synthesizing ice core proxy data 650,000 years in the past capped by modern direct measurements. ...
Powerpoint
Powerpoint

... unprecedented in recent climate history. This greenhouse gas causes global warming and a rise in sea level. • The oceans mediate the atmospheric CO2 increase by the action of the physical and biological carbon pump, which absorb about one third of fossil fuel CO2. Both are in turn subject to climate ...
EOS, TRANSACTIONS AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION, VOL
EOS, TRANSACTIONS AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION, VOL

... There is little detail of how many peer reviewed papers are needed to qualify as a specialist, it could by their definition be just two papers, one of which needs to be on climate change. What a poor example of scientific enquiry this survey really is There were supposed to have been nine questions ...
Origins of CDM - Capacity Development for the CDM
Origins of CDM - Capacity Development for the CDM

...  Climate: the “average” of a series of weather events over 30-year period ...
here - Boston University
here - Boston University

... -4 billion people vulnerable, -500 million people are at extreme risk.’ ...
The Cost of Climate Change What We’ll Pay if Global Warming
The Cost of Climate Change What We’ll Pay if Global Warming

... the world continues to emit heat-trapping gases at an increasing rate. We base our economic projections on the most pessimistic of the business-as-usual climate forecasts considered “likely” by the scientific community.1 In this projected climate future, which is still far from the worst-case scenar ...
Climate change: evidence from natural sciences and
Climate change: evidence from natural sciences and

... farming practices are represented using nonlinear (process-based or empirical) functions, implemented through the agricultural crops component in the LPJ model (Bondeau et al., 2007). Adaptation of farming practices is considered by allowing shifts in planting dates, varieties, and irrigation (Rosen ...
Under 2 Degrees Celsius: Fast Action Policies to Protect People and
Under 2 Degrees Celsius: Fast Action Policies to Protect People and

... The Paris Agreement is an historic achievement. For the first time, effectively all nations have committed to limit their greenhouse gas emissions and take other actions to limit and adapt to climate change to hold “the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial ...
Impacts of Climate Change on the Agricultural Sector in Korea
Impacts of Climate Change on the Agricultural Sector in Korea

... Through extensive research and analysis of global warming, the average temperature of the earth has risen 1.5°C per year, over the past 100 years. Meanwhile the winter seasons have been reduced, and summer seasons have lengthened. Thus advancing the flowering season later in during spring. As a resu ...
Economics of Global Warming 1 With growth in fossil fuel intensive
Economics of Global Warming 1 With growth in fossil fuel intensive

Jackson et al. 2010 - UW Program on Climate Change
Jackson et al. 2010 - UW Program on Climate Change

... Figure sources: http://www.cics.uvic.ca/scenarios/index.cgi?More_Info-Emissions; IPCC 2001, Summary for Policy Makers ...
Using Web-based Data Sets to Enhance Student
Using Web-based Data Sets to Enhance Student

... both short and long-term time scales. Temperature data for the last ~200 years is available from NASA in both a tabular and graphical format. Students are asked a series of questions designed to get them to critically evaluate the scale of changes, the signal to noise ratio of the data, and the sign ...
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Findings of the IPCC Third Ass - global change SysTem for Analysis

... information relevant for the understanding of the risk of human-induced climate change. • It does not carry out research nor does it monitor climate related data or other relevant parameters. • IPCC reports are neutral with respect to policy, although they may need to deal objectively with scientifi ...
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group

... Cooling due to US anthropogenic aerosols in 1970-1990 From difference of GISS general circulation model (GCM )simulations with vs. without US aerosol sources (GEOS-Chem), including direct and indirect effects Five-member ensembles; dots indicate statistical significance ...
Japan`s efforts to fight global warming have flagged in recent years
Japan`s efforts to fight global warming have flagged in recent years

... levels could rise by 26 to 82 cm by the end of the 21st century compared with the latest 20 years. The report, which follows one released in 2007, said that as greenhouse gases continue to accumulate in the atmosphere, more heat waves, floods and droughts will take place, and sea levels will rise as ...
Is Global Warming Mainly Due to Anthropogenic GHG Emissions?
Is Global Warming Mainly Due to Anthropogenic GHG Emissions?

... However, Lindzen (2007) argues that the warming at characteristic level is from more than twice to about three times larger than near the surface regardless of which models researchers use.5 Since the trend in the troposphere is about 0.1 degree C per decade, this should be associated with a surface ...
Climate_edit attempt - Rondout Valley Intermediate School
Climate_edit attempt - Rondout Valley Intermediate School

... Global climate patterns (ESRT p. 14) include: wet conditions and calm winds centered around the equator (doldrums); east-to-west winds trade winds in the tropics; zones of calm centered around 30 degrees north and south ("horse latitudes"); west-to-east winds in the mid-latitudes ("prevailing wester ...
Causes and effects of global warming
Causes and effects of global warming

... hotter, disasters like hurricanes, droughts and floods are getting more frequent.Over the last 100 years, the average air temperature near the Earth’s surface has risen by a little less than 1 degree Celsius or 1.3 degrees Fahrenheit. Global warming is the cause, climate change is the effect. Scient ...
Global Environmental Change
Global Environmental Change

... eight inches in the past 100 years. Current projections suggest that sea levels could continue to rise between 4 inches and 36 inches over the next 100 ...
IPCC_Process
IPCC_Process

Detection and attribution of climate change for the
Detection and attribution of climate change for the

... The Hiatus problem ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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