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Germany
Germany

... • Belmont Challenge (ICSU) • Links with the Hamburg Planetarium • Session at the Summer AGU Assembly (Brazil) on climate Services • COSMOS Project (Prof. Claussen) • Meeting of the European Global Change Forum (industry, NGO) at CSC in March ...
How Do We Know that Humans Are the Major Cause of Global
How Do We Know that Humans Are the Major Cause of Global

... climate change affects different parts of the Earth, climate scientists break the models down into smaller pieces, calculate how small parts of the Earth’s surface react to the Sun and greenhouse gases, and then connect those small parts together, based on measurements of how the atmosphere and ocea ...
SPECIAL SESSION OF AMCEN ON CLIMATE CHANGE NAIROBI
SPECIAL SESSION OF AMCEN ON CLIMATE CHANGE NAIROBI

... • In addition, following have been carried out: – Climate Scenarios have been developed using base data 1960 – 2000 and projections up to 2080 for all agro-ecological zones – Climate change and poverty incidences – Impact of climate change on women’s livelihood ...
Do people “personally experience” global warming, and if so how
Do people “personally experience” global warming, and if so how

... and July rainfall patterns during the previous seven years did not match expectations for conditions predicted under global warming, climate change belief was negatively correlated with accurate recollections of rainfall ( .43), and disbelief was positively correlated (+.34) (Weber, 1997). Alternate ...
PowerPoint - Princeton University
PowerPoint - Princeton University

... eastern US is comparable in magnitude, but opposite in sign, to global forcing due to CO2. Due to short lifetime, forcing due to aerosols is not uniform across globe. Over the US, radiative forcing due to sulfate aerosols is -2 Wm-2. ...
Earth`s Changing Climate - The Center for Health and the Global
Earth`s Changing Climate - The Center for Health and the Global

... the biosphere. Changes in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases resulting from human activities now have the potential to swamp these natural changes. The fundamental physical and chemical aspects of these processes are known, but important details, especially the moderating and enhancin ...
news and views - Victoria University of Wellington
news and views - Victoria University of Wellington

... past? For instance, the small step at about 24 million years ago that coincides with a widely recognized fall in sea level10 and a shift in Antarctic coastal vegetation from beech forest to tundra11? Or the larger step at 15 million years ago, which is widely interpreted as the transition from an ep ...
Alaska - climate-change frontier
Alaska - climate-change frontier

... Anthony Arendt, a postdoctoral fellow at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration' s Goddard Space Flight Center. The ice melting here is raising global sea levels by 0.27 millimeters yearly, nearly double what Greenland ice sheets contribute now, Mr. Arendt says. So while all eyes are on t ...
Global Systems Impacting our Planet – 15 Page Resource of Earth
Global Systems Impacting our Planet – 15 Page Resource of Earth

... • considering the long-term effects of loss of biodiversity • investigating currently occurring changes to permafrost and sea ice and the impacts of these ...
Climate change and its potential effects on tree line position: An
Climate change and its potential effects on tree line position: An

... balance between resource acquisition and consumption. Herbaceous plants, on the other hand, have a much more favourable relationship between productive tissues and their support structures, which may explain their predominance above the tree line. CONCLUSION: There is abundant evidence that changes ...
Ecosystem services: Valuing ecosystems for climate
Ecosystem services: Valuing ecosystems for climate

Understanding the Effects of Climate Change on Water Resources
Understanding the Effects of Climate Change on Water Resources

Climate Change Observed and Projected
Climate Change Observed and Projected

... • Tree growth • Buildings, roads, other infrastructure added ...
Transcript (in Word format)
Transcript (in Word format)

... dramatic, spring is arriving earlier here and in Europe. But the significant sea level rise… the increased flooding and increased drought… the more powerful storms and extended heat waves… and other types of extreme weather-related events -- those are still decades down the road. Indeed, the full im ...
climate projections for new zealand
climate projections for new zealand

... According to the 2016 climate projections, New Zealand will likely experience: >> Higher temperatures, with an increase of about 0.7°C (low emissions scenario) and 1.0°C (high emissions scenario) by 2040 and about 0.7°C (low emissions scenario) and 3.0°C (high emissions scenario) by 2090. There will ...
How is climate change affecting life on Earth?
How is climate change affecting life on Earth?

...  A1B: Rapid growth of technology and economies, but population grows slowly. There is less disparity between developing and developed countries.  A2: Economies grow but there is more disparity between developing and developed countries. Energy use is high and population is growing rapidly.  B1: D ...
19. Atmosphere and climate change
19. Atmosphere and climate change

... 19. Atmosphere and climate change Rapid economic growth and changing production pattern in the region are causing heightened levels of air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions Emissions scenarios leading to greenhouse gases (GHG) concentrations in 2100 of about 450 ppm CO2 equivalent or lower are ...
Earth,Notes,RevQs,Ch21
Earth,Notes,RevQs,Ch21

... formation. Aerosols, once released into the troposphere, will remain there for only a few days. 18. Four potential consequences of global warming are 1) increases warming due to increased greenhouse gases; 2) a wide difference in the impact of climate change on various regions; 3) the disappearance ...
Modes of the wintertime Arctic temperature variability Report No. 343
Modes of the wintertime Arctic temperature variability Report No. 343

... been exceeded yet, according to some data [Polyakov et al., 2002]), does not support the polar amplification concept when century-long time periods are considered [Polyakov et al., 2002]. The northern high latitudes are characterized by high natural variability most pronounced during winter. It has ...
[07] Dynamical Forecasting 2
[07] Dynamical Forecasting 2

... Impact of ENSO The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) may have a warm phase (El Niño) or cool phase (La Nina). In both cases it represents a warm or cold SST anomaly in the Eastern ...
The Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in North America
The Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in North America

SCSD Grade 4 Reading
SCSD Grade 4 Reading

Climate Change: Science Update 2007
Climate Change: Science Update 2007

... November. The year also saw continued release of new scientific findings on various aspects of climate change. The IPCC “Fourth Assessment Report” (AR4) critically reviewed the research on science, impacts, and mitigation strategies, and underscored large areas of agreement on climate issues (as wel ...
module 11: how do we predict the future
module 11: how do we predict the future

... fact that very small scale processes have to represented in a fairly coarse sort of way, as well as uncertainties in our knowledge of the climate system – are there feedback mechanisms that will come into operation that we don’t know about? ...
Objective of Downscaling
Objective of Downscaling

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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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