Communicating Uncertainty PPT Slides
... • it will rain 3 out of 10 days when rain is forecasted – not useful when: i.e. 0.0001% chance of as a severe event • Abstract, “invisible”, even catastrophic events • Public more concerned with issues of control, trust and equity ...
... • it will rain 3 out of 10 days when rain is forecasted – not useful when: i.e. 0.0001% chance of as a severe event • Abstract, “invisible”, even catastrophic events • Public more concerned with issues of control, trust and equity ...
Potential near future runoff changes in Croatia
... on regional spatial scales is by using regional climate models (RCMs). RCMs are being used in the last two decades and have many features in common with limited area numerical weather prediction models. They enable to dynamically downscale the results of global climate models (GCMs) and provide clim ...
... on regional spatial scales is by using regional climate models (RCMs). RCMs are being used in the last two decades and have many features in common with limited area numerical weather prediction models. They enable to dynamically downscale the results of global climate models (GCMs) and provide clim ...
Low Rank Language Models for Small Training Sets
... rank. This letter introduces a new approach to language modeling that more directly optimizes the low rank objective, using a factored low-rank tensor representation of the joint probability distribution. Using a novel approach to parameter-tying, the LRLM is better suited to modeling domains where ...
... rank. This letter introduces a new approach to language modeling that more directly optimizes the low rank objective, using a factored low-rank tensor representation of the joint probability distribution. Using a novel approach to parameter-tying, the LRLM is better suited to modeling domains where ...
Global and Climate Change
... • Global CO2 emissions since 2000 have been higher than even the highest predictions • Arctic sea ice has been melting at rates much faster than predicted • Sea level rise has become more rapid • Feedbacks in the climate system might lead to much more rapid climate changes 11 June 11 2009, G8 countr ...
... • Global CO2 emissions since 2000 have been higher than even the highest predictions • Arctic sea ice has been melting at rates much faster than predicted • Sea level rise has become more rapid • Feedbacks in the climate system might lead to much more rapid climate changes 11 June 11 2009, G8 countr ...
Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
... Figure 2 | Overlapping trend in annual mean temperature. a–c, Overlapping trend in global mean surface temperature (GMST) in three updated observational datasets3–5. d, Ensemble mean GMST from 124 simulations from 41 CMIP-5 models using RCP4.5 extensions from 200528. The shading in a–e is plus to mi ...
... Figure 2 | Overlapping trend in annual mean temperature. a–c, Overlapping trend in global mean surface temperature (GMST) in three updated observational datasets3–5. d, Ensemble mean GMST from 124 simulations from 41 CMIP-5 models using RCP4.5 extensions from 200528. The shading in a–e is plus to mi ...
An Assessment of the Foundational Assumptions in High-Resolution Climate Projections: The Case of UKCP09
... grid point is described by a number of variables such as temperature and pressure). Collectively these variables form the model’s state space X . The time evolution of these variables is hoped to mirror the evolution over time of relevant physical variables. These models also include hundreds of par ...
... grid point is described by a number of variables such as temperature and pressure). Collectively these variables form the model’s state space X . The time evolution of these variables is hoped to mirror the evolution over time of relevant physical variables. These models also include hundreds of par ...
2017-03-27 Climate Citizens Lobby v2
... Ontario: When, not if • Health impacts, e.g. more: • Infectious diseases • Extreme weather events • Extreme heat • Poor air quality • Water stress ...
... Ontario: When, not if • Health impacts, e.g. more: • Infectious diseases • Extreme weather events • Extreme heat • Poor air quality • Water stress ...
Forest dynamics: a broad view of the evolution of the topic
... succession. The refusal of this theory based on emergent properties of populations and communities has needed many years and a number of steps. For example, Egler (1954) sustained that nearly all the species are present from the beginnings in the community (theory of initial composition), and that t ...
... succession. The refusal of this theory based on emergent properties of populations and communities has needed many years and a number of steps. For example, Egler (1954) sustained that nearly all the species are present from the beginnings in the community (theory of initial composition), and that t ...
impact of climate change in the kilimanjaro region of tanzania
... Candida lives in Chinandega. She grew up carrying water from a nearby creek for her family. The children were often sick. This creek often flooded during the rainy season but eventually dried up. The men in her family left for Costa Rica trying to find ...
... Candida lives in Chinandega. She grew up carrying water from a nearby creek for her family. The children were often sick. This creek often flooded during the rainy season but eventually dried up. The men in her family left for Costa Rica trying to find ...
Document
... Changes In Hurricane Power? “… future warming may lead to an upward trend in tropical cyclone destructive potential, and – taking into account an increasing coastal population – a substantial increase in hurricane-related losses in the twenty-first century.” Year ...
... Changes In Hurricane Power? “… future warming may lead to an upward trend in tropical cyclone destructive potential, and – taking into account an increasing coastal population – a substantial increase in hurricane-related losses in the twenty-first century.” Year ...
PDF
... To date, however, the only published study that aims to quantify uncertainty in climate change for multiple models is the U.S. government Interagency Working Group report on the social cost of carbon, which is published in Greenstone et al. (2013) and more extensively described in IAWG (2010). This ...
... To date, however, the only published study that aims to quantify uncertainty in climate change for multiple models is the U.S. government Interagency Working Group report on the social cost of carbon, which is published in Greenstone et al. (2013) and more extensively described in IAWG (2010). This ...
Climate Risk Assessment and Management : Tamil Nadu State
... • With support from RIMES and UN ESCAP, SPC coordinating the initiative on applications of CRM for planning in all climate sensitive sectors • Strategy to engage with climate sensitive sectoral departments in phased manner evolved • In 1st Phase detailed interactions have been held with: 1. Agricult ...
... • With support from RIMES and UN ESCAP, SPC coordinating the initiative on applications of CRM for planning in all climate sensitive sectors • Strategy to engage with climate sensitive sectoral departments in phased manner evolved • In 1st Phase detailed interactions have been held with: 1. Agricult ...
Introduction to Discrete Optimization
... There are 4 jobs that should be processed on the same ...
... There are 4 jobs that should be processed on the same ...
Global Warming - Millersville University
... releases some of that energy, Greenhouse Gases absorb it and prevent it from escaping, causing temperatures to rise. ...
... releases some of that energy, Greenhouse Gases absorb it and prevent it from escaping, causing temperatures to rise. ...
C. Causes of global warming
... Global surface temperatures have increased since the late 19th century. Warming has been recorded in both the northern and southern hemispheres, and over the oceans. ...
... Global surface temperatures have increased since the late 19th century. Warming has been recorded in both the northern and southern hemispheres, and over the oceans. ...
The AMS Education Program - Geological Society of America
... Natural and Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change Paleoclimatic Investigations: Relevancy to the Present State of Climate Future Projections and Extremes of Climate Human and Ecosystem Vulnerabilities Climate Change Mitigation and Energy Use Human Needs, Actions and Public Policy Climate Studies a ...
... Natural and Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change Paleoclimatic Investigations: Relevancy to the Present State of Climate Future Projections and Extremes of Climate Human and Ecosystem Vulnerabilities Climate Change Mitigation and Energy Use Human Needs, Actions and Public Policy Climate Studies a ...
Climate Finance Regional Briefing
... • Financing sustainable development: The critical role of risk and resilience. Charlene Watson and Jan Kellett make the case that better risk management and the building of resilience are imperative for sustainable development. Available at: http://bit.ly/2efIUtX • Mutually Reinforcing: Climate Ju ...
... • Financing sustainable development: The critical role of risk and resilience. Charlene Watson and Jan Kellett make the case that better risk management and the building of resilience are imperative for sustainable development. Available at: http://bit.ly/2efIUtX • Mutually Reinforcing: Climate Ju ...
Causes of the northern high-latitude land surface
... [4] The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is defined as the leading mode of Northern Hemisphere sea level pressure (SLP) variability from the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. A series of papers have shown that the AO exerts a strong influence on the winter atmospheric circulation in the northern ...
... [4] The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is defined as the leading mode of Northern Hemisphere sea level pressure (SLP) variability from the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. A series of papers have shown that the AO exerts a strong influence on the winter atmospheric circulation in the northern ...
... on energy and climate to all sorts of different audiences. Every once in a while an adamant skeptic is in the crowd. On one occasion, I (Seth) was confronted by a skeptic who raised a myth that—at the time—was new to me, and as a result, I was not prepared to offer any evidence disputing his claim. ...
PDF
... choice of the socio-economic scenario in each case (see below). The functional forms for each region represent the realistic water limited and potential conditions for the mix of crops, management alternatives, and endogenous adaptation to climate characteristic of each area. Here we take the change ...
... choice of the socio-economic scenario in each case (see below). The functional forms for each region represent the realistic water limited and potential conditions for the mix of crops, management alternatives, and endogenous adaptation to climate characteristic of each area. Here we take the change ...
The Great Warming THE GREAT WARMING
... would not rehash the tired debate about whether or not global warming is real. Instead, THE GREAT WARMING begins from an editorial premise that acknowledges the reality and the threat of global climate change. It’s time to get past the debate and act! But having an idea and bringing it to fruition – ...
... would not rehash the tired debate about whether or not global warming is real. Instead, THE GREAT WARMING begins from an editorial premise that acknowledges the reality and the threat of global climate change. It’s time to get past the debate and act! But having an idea and bringing it to fruition – ...