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4.3.1. Atmospheric changes - Ensembles RT3
4.3.1. Atmospheric changes - Ensembles RT3

... In response to a future warmer atmosphere that can hold more moisture, climate models project an intensification of the global hydrological cycle (e.g. Held and Soden, 2006). On a European scale this implies more precipitation in northern Europe and less in the south in both winter and summer (Chris ...
Slide 1 - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Slide 1 - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

... See Meinshausen et al., Climatic Change, 2011, doi: DOI 10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z and Rogelj et al., Nature Climate Change, 2011, doi: DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1258 ...
An Introduction to Simple Climate Models
An Introduction to Simple Climate Models

... of several hundred kilometres. Simpler climate models may represent these physical quantities as averages over one or more spatial dimensions. Instead of, for instance, a three-dimensional grid, one might use a two-dimensional (latitude-height) grid, with each point being an average over all longitu ...
SCIENCE BASED TARGETS: THE CALL TO ACTION
SCIENCE BASED TARGETS: THE CALL TO ACTION

... Complete the commitment letter form Completing this form indicates a commitment to setting a science-based target if one does not ...
Variation in the sensitivity of organismal body and geographic scales
Variation in the sensitivity of organismal body and geographic scales

... thought to be set by abiotic conditions associated with the terrestrial climate (21, 23, 28). Our results indicate that, for the upper vertical limits of mussel beds, Tw experienced during immersion has nearly as large an influence on body temperatures during emersion as Ta. The spatial variation in ...
Climate Policy of the European Union: What to Expect from the Paris
Climate Policy of the European Union: What to Expect from the Paris

... with the current impending trends in order to keep up in the global governance and maintain its leading position in the world’s international relations. According to the EU’s renewable energy plan up to date, renewable energy can be generated from a wide assortment of sources comprising of solar, ti ...
Top margin 1
Top margin 1

Climate change integrated assessment methodology for cross
Climate change integrated assessment methodology for cross

... We use 16 SRES-A2 simulations of 24 GCMs x 6 emission scenarios (incomplete matrix). ...
Conference Presentation
Conference Presentation

... LIABILITY - IMPLICATIONS Climate change is often cited a a paradigmatic example of market failure. The climatic impacts of GHG emissions occur decades to centuries after the emissions occur. ...
chapter 1
chapter 1

... mathematical models to simulate the spread of diseases through different kinds of intervention strategies. An important role of mathematical models has been seen throughout the history of epidemiology. A mathematical model uses the language of Mathematics to produce a more refined and precise descri ...
Detectability of Anthropogenic Changes in Annual Temperature and
Detectability of Anthropogenic Changes in Annual Temperature and

... 2002). To address this issue, we study changes in extreme rainfall and minimum and maximum temperature from two coupled climate models. The models, which are introduced below, are unrelated (they have different ocean, atmosphere, and sea ice components). By using two models we can extend the perfect ...
Silva2013-ERL-APMortality.pdf
Silva2013-ERL-APMortality.pdf

... the component of that burden attributable to past climate change. Using simulated concentrations for 2000 and 1850 and concentration–response functions (CRFs), we estimate that, at present, 470 000 (95% confidence interval, 140 000 to 900 000) premature respiratory deaths are associated globally and ...
1k_Wielicki_ClimateChangeAccuracyRequirements
1k_Wielicki_ClimateChangeAccuracyRequirements

... – Understanding robustness of mission options – Understanding how one aspect of the mission (e.g. instrument accuracy) relates to others (science goals, climate record length, orbit sampling, instrument noise) – Understanding the impact of baseline vs threshold mission – Optimizing the mission desig ...
Global premature mortality due to anthropogenic outdoor air pollution and... past climate change
Global premature mortality due to anthropogenic outdoor air pollution and... past climate change

... the component of that burden attributable to past climate change. Using simulated concentrations for 2000 and 1850 and concentration–response functions (CRFs), we estimate that, at present, 470 000 (95% confidence interval, 140 000 to 900 000) premature respiratory deaths are associated globally and ...
Climate change impacts on groundwater hydrology
Climate change impacts on groundwater hydrology

... 1. Introduction Numerous studies of climate change impacts on hydrology have been presented during the past decade (Bates et al. 2008, Jiménez Cisneros et al. 2014). The present climate projections exhibit large uncertainties arising from assumptions on greenhouse gas emissions, incomplete climate ...
UKCP09: Probabilistic projections of wind speed
UKCP09: Probabilistic projections of wind speed

... considerable spread in the responses of individual ensemble members. In order to produce probabilistic projections for specific 21st century periods, further simulations of time-dependent climate change are required, in addition to the simulations of equilibrium climate change discussed above. In pa ...
SWAN_workshop_fullppt_081111
SWAN_workshop_fullppt_081111

... [See Climate Drivers xls tables for SWAN for more complete list, confidence values, sources, etc] ...
effects of climate change: the global concern
effects of climate change: the global concern

... Arguments based on physical phenomena clearly indicate that global warming will cause an increase of evaporation from the ocean. A warmer atmosphere can carry more moisture, which can lead to larger amounts of precipitable water. Global warming will also induce higher temperature differences between ...
Instruktioner för GU:s mall
Instruktioner för GU:s mall

... Doran and Zimmerman conclude that the challenge is to communicate the fact that eperts agree on human influence to policy makers and to public. The increasing scientific consensus about climate change is seen in IPCC´s reports: - IPCC (1995) said that ”it is unlikely that this rise in global tempera ...
2A.3 APPLICATION OF DIFFERENT WEATHER PATTERN
2A.3 APPLICATION OF DIFFERENT WEATHER PATTERN

... are projected in case of circulation pattern type 9 (the decrease is likely to exceed 1.1 and 1.4 mm/day for B2 and B2 scenario, respectively). This circulation type showing a strong zonal/cyclonic isobar structure in Fig. 1, was the wettest one in Hungary during the reference period (1961-1990). Ho ...
Information and communication technologies , the environment and
Information and communication technologies , the environment and

... that the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimated that global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions had risen by more than 70 percent since 1970, having an effect on global warming, changing weather patterns, rising sea-levels, desertification, shrinking ice cover and other ...
Emerging markets and climate change: Mexican standoff or low-carbon race?: Working Paper 46 (489 kB) (opens in new window)
Emerging markets and climate change: Mexican standoff or low-carbon race?: Working Paper 46 (489 kB) (opens in new window)

... anthropogenic climate change, and this has implications for the normative dimensions of climate policy. In this chapter, we divide countries into three categories: the G20 North, the G20 emerging markets (or the “GEMs”), and the rest of the world (the “ROW”), as shown in Table 1. In section 2, we em ...
2000 year atmospheric history of methyl chloride from a South Pole
2000 year atmospheric history of methyl chloride from a South Pole

... The validity of this relationship should be confirmed by analyzing multiple ice cores, and by extending the record to earlier periods of more dramatic climate change. Taking the correlation at face value implies that atmospheric CH3Cl levels may rise due to future greenhouse-driven warming. The ice ...
schedule of events. - Marine Biological Association
schedule of events. - Marine Biological Association

... Dissolution of aerosol trace metals into surface waters: influence of aerosol source, seawater temperature and seawater pH A number of trace metals are required by phytoplankton for a range of important biochemical functions. A major pathway supplying trace metals to the open ocean is atmospheric de ...
Long-Term Climate Change - Ontario Power Generation
Long-Term Climate Change - Ontario Power Generation

... conditions in this region during the Late Quaternary glacial events. This is a consequence of the fact that each 100,000 year glacial cycle includes multiple episodes of local advance and retreat. Since Ontario is located near the southern margin of glacial extent, it is a region of particularly int ...
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