On forced temperature changes, internal variability
... experiments [Stocker et al., 2013]. Estimates of the forced component of NH mean temperature were derived by averaging over large ensembles of independent realizations, such that the internal variability component approaches zero amplitude. We used both a sizeable ensemble (N = 24) of simulations fr ...
... experiments [Stocker et al., 2013]. Estimates of the forced component of NH mean temperature were derived by averaging over large ensembles of independent realizations, such that the internal variability component approaches zero amplitude. We used both a sizeable ensemble (N = 24) of simulations fr ...
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... According to the latest IPCC report (2007) there is unequivocal evidence of the warming of the climate system, which is expected to affect both ecosystems and socio-economic systems to varying degrees. Changes in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs) are deemed responsible for the ob ...
... According to the latest IPCC report (2007) there is unequivocal evidence of the warming of the climate system, which is expected to affect both ecosystems and socio-economic systems to varying degrees. Changes in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs) are deemed responsible for the ob ...
Sulfate aerosols in the troposphere and lower stratosphere
... gases play a significant role in global climate science, carbon dioxide is the one on which many models and estimates are based, and which humans play the greatest role in emitting into the atmosphere. Natural greenhouse gases play an important role in our global climate. They act as a blanket keepi ...
... gases play a significant role in global climate science, carbon dioxide is the one on which many models and estimates are based, and which humans play the greatest role in emitting into the atmosphere. Natural greenhouse gases play an important role in our global climate. They act as a blanket keepi ...
related paper by Mann (PDF)
... published just after the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption in the Philippines, Hansen and his collaborators also used a climate model to successfully predict that global surface temperatures would cool by roughly one half degree Celsius for the two years following the eruption.2 F. Earth’s clima ...
... published just after the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption in the Philippines, Hansen and his collaborators also used a climate model to successfully predict that global surface temperatures would cool by roughly one half degree Celsius for the two years following the eruption.2 F. Earth’s clima ...
The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment
... triple by the 2080s4. The probability that more than two million acres will burn in a given year is projected to increase from 5% (observed) to 33% by the 2080s. Primarily east of the Cascades, mountain pine beetles will likely reach higher elevations and pine trees will likely be more vulnerable to ...
... triple by the 2080s4. The probability that more than two million acres will burn in a given year is projected to increase from 5% (observed) to 33% by the 2080s. Primarily east of the Cascades, mountain pine beetles will likely reach higher elevations and pine trees will likely be more vulnerable to ...
Special Report on Emission Scenario’s
... • Energy infrastructure investment decisions, (20 trillion US$ till 2030; 50% in developing countries) will have long term impacts on GHG emissions. • The widespread diffusion of low-carbon technologies may take many decades, even if early investments in these technologies are made attractive. • Ret ...
... • Energy infrastructure investment decisions, (20 trillion US$ till 2030; 50% in developing countries) will have long term impacts on GHG emissions. • The widespread diffusion of low-carbon technologies may take many decades, even if early investments in these technologies are made attractive. • Ret ...
Creation Unit 090115
... a deeper insight into how climate change affects people in LEDCs. CAFOD has been working with partners in Latin America since the 1960s. In recent years this work has been greatly affected by climate change. We will look at examples of this in ...
... a deeper insight into how climate change affects people in LEDCs. CAFOD has been working with partners in Latin America since the 1960s. In recent years this work has been greatly affected by climate change. We will look at examples of this in ...
Statistical downscaling of daily mean temperature, pan evaporation
... The climate in China is strongly controlled by the East Asian monsoon, in which the atmosphere circulation feature is quite different between winter and summer, and the scale of circulation pattern is large. Thus, it is a huge challenge in China to choose predictors in the wide tempospatial space (S ...
... The climate in China is strongly controlled by the East Asian monsoon, in which the atmosphere circulation feature is quite different between winter and summer, and the scale of circulation pattern is large. Thus, it is a huge challenge in China to choose predictors in the wide tempospatial space (S ...
A Review of Climate Fiction (Cli-Fi)
... for Snowpiercer, now available on dvd, is much lower than its foreign take, and lower than the domestic take for films that received far less acclaim. Snowpiercer is the name of the train that circum-locomotes the globe each year, its powerful engine and sleek shape piercing any snow that might pile ...
... for Snowpiercer, now available on dvd, is much lower than its foreign take, and lower than the domestic take for films that received far less acclaim. Snowpiercer is the name of the train that circum-locomotes the globe each year, its powerful engine and sleek shape piercing any snow that might pile ...
Dealing with the uncertainties of climate engineering
... The complex and dynamic environments in these studies need to be controlled by the participants. This requires them to make decisions in consecutive rounds. In other words, rather than taking one single decision in order to complete the task, the participants need to make a series of interdependent ...
... The complex and dynamic environments in these studies need to be controlled by the participants. This requires them to make decisions in consecutive rounds. In other words, rather than taking one single decision in order to complete the task, the participants need to make a series of interdependent ...
EU RESEARCH ON CLIMATE CHANGE:Present and Future
... Aviation emission impacts on cirrus clouds three times larger than that from CO2 emissions alone on climate AICSEX (Arctic Ice Cover Simulation Experiment): The Arctic warming in 1920-1930 and the subsequent cooling in 1950-1970 are due to natural fluctuations in the climate system. PRUDENCE (Pr ...
... Aviation emission impacts on cirrus clouds three times larger than that from CO2 emissions alone on climate AICSEX (Arctic Ice Cover Simulation Experiment): The Arctic warming in 1920-1930 and the subsequent cooling in 1950-1970 are due to natural fluctuations in the climate system. PRUDENCE (Pr ...
Global trends in extreme precipitation
... (Held and Soden, 2006; Pall et al., 2006). Increasing availability of moisture in the atmosphere can be expected to result in increased intensity of extreme precipitation (Allan and Soden, 2008; Allen and Ingram, 2002; O’Gorman and Schneider, 2009; Trenberth, 2011; Trenberth et al., 2003), with a pr ...
... (Held and Soden, 2006; Pall et al., 2006). Increasing availability of moisture in the atmosphere can be expected to result in increased intensity of extreme precipitation (Allan and Soden, 2008; Allen and Ingram, 2002; O’Gorman and Schneider, 2009; Trenberth, 2011; Trenberth et al., 2003), with a pr ...
Selecting and Using Climate Change Scenarios for British Columbia
... The purpose of this report is to assist in the selection of projections of climate change by those who do climate change impact, vulnerability and adaptation analyses. The focus is on British Columbia but much of the content of this report is generally applicable to regional climate change scenarios ...
... The purpose of this report is to assist in the selection of projections of climate change by those who do climate change impact, vulnerability and adaptation analyses. The focus is on British Columbia but much of the content of this report is generally applicable to regional climate change scenarios ...
Acceleration technique for Milankovitch type forcing in a coupled
... performed either on the basis of time slices or time dependent (transient) simulations. Restricted by computer resources, atmospheric and oceanic general circulation models (AOGCMs) have at first been used to simulate Palaeoclimate time slices allowing for acceptable amounts of computing time (Gates ...
... performed either on the basis of time slices or time dependent (transient) simulations. Restricted by computer resources, atmospheric and oceanic general circulation models (AOGCMs) have at first been used to simulate Palaeoclimate time slices allowing for acceptable amounts of computing time (Gates ...
Key aspects of global climate change
... aerosol-induced atmospheric cooling holds a SAT increase (new estimates suggest the conclusion about a weaker manifestation of the aerosol impact); 4) the presence of the warming minima in the North Atlantic and in the circumpolar regions of the oceans in the Southern Hemisphere due to mixing in the ...
... aerosol-induced atmospheric cooling holds a SAT increase (new estimates suggest the conclusion about a weaker manifestation of the aerosol impact); 4) the presence of the warming minima in the North Atlantic and in the circumpolar regions of the oceans in the Southern Hemisphere due to mixing in the ...
A Call to Truth, Prudence, and Protection of the
... estimate . . . close to 3E C” (5.4E F). They concluded, “our implied claim that climate sensitivity actually has as much as a 5% chance of exceeding 4.5E C is not a position that we would care to defend with any vigour, since even if it is hard to formally rule it out, we are unaware of any signific ...
... estimate . . . close to 3E C” (5.4E F). They concluded, “our implied claim that climate sensitivity actually has as much as a 5% chance of exceeding 4.5E C is not a position that we would care to defend with any vigour, since even if it is hard to formally rule it out, we are unaware of any signific ...
Historical and idealized climate model experiments: an
... complexity of one or more climate model component. Often EMICs are used at lower resolution, and model components may have reduced dimensionality. While generally simpler, EMICs sometimes include more subcomponent models than Earth system AOGCMs. New subcomponents (for example, continental ice sheet ...
... complexity of one or more climate model component. Often EMICs are used at lower resolution, and model components may have reduced dimensionality. While generally simpler, EMICs sometimes include more subcomponent models than Earth system AOGCMs. New subcomponents (for example, continental ice sheet ...
Temporal Data Models
... Time support in conventional DBs is only user-defined time: Date, Time, Timestamp Table I (temporal relational data models): – 14 “valid time” models – 3 “transaction time” models – 9 “valid and transaction time” models ...
... Time support in conventional DBs is only user-defined time: Date, Time, Timestamp Table I (temporal relational data models): – 14 “valid time” models – 3 “transaction time” models – 9 “valid and transaction time” models ...
Su et al, Monitoring climate change - core
... from multiple sources is vital to understanding the potential implications for our planet and its population data records (CDRs), the project will help to substantiate how Copernicus observations and products (from both in situ and Space components) can contribute to climate change analyses. We are ...
... from multiple sources is vital to understanding the potential implications for our planet and its population data records (CDRs), the project will help to substantiate how Copernicus observations and products (from both in situ and Space components) can contribute to climate change analyses. We are ...
Unit Roots in the Climate: Is the Recent Warming Due to Persistent
... themselves generate the recently observed high temperatures. An example of the hybrid approach is Schlesinger and Ramankutty (1995), which simulates the Energy-balance climate/upwelling diffusion (EBC) GCM with white noise and perform spectral analysis on the simulated global mean temperature data t ...
... themselves generate the recently observed high temperatures. An example of the hybrid approach is Schlesinger and Ramankutty (1995), which simulates the Energy-balance climate/upwelling diffusion (EBC) GCM with white noise and perform spectral analysis on the simulated global mean temperature data t ...
Time series analyses reveal possible responses by the lichen
... units, and values are presented in Table 1. The convexity (θ) was initially set to 0.9 in the ...
... units, and values are presented in Table 1. The convexity (θ) was initially set to 0.9 in the ...
File - Climatelinks
... Peru has three distinct climates: desert coastal lowlands along the Pacific Ocean, the Andes Mountain range, and the Andean highlands. The desert coastal lowlands are the location of the country’s major cities and much of the mechanized agriculture. To the east, the Andes Mountain range runs north-s ...
... Peru has three distinct climates: desert coastal lowlands along the Pacific Ocean, the Andes Mountain range, and the Andean highlands. The desert coastal lowlands are the location of the country’s major cities and much of the mechanized agriculture. To the east, the Andes Mountain range runs north-s ...
Review Copy
... The impact of global warming on the energy consumption of a country for space heating and cooling depends on the current and future regional climate, the required thermal comfort inside buildings, and technical building features such as thermal insulation quality. Quantitative projections of future ...
... The impact of global warming on the energy consumption of a country for space heating and cooling depends on the current and future regional climate, the required thermal comfort inside buildings, and technical building features such as thermal insulation quality. Quantitative projections of future ...