Met Office science strategy 2010–2015
... even a forecast for a few hours ahead will need to be probabilistic in formulation. For forecast lead-times beyond 2–3 days, the skill of the global forecast will be critical in setting the context for hazardous weather. This will require continued investment in global data assimilation research to ...
... even a forecast for a few hours ahead will need to be probabilistic in formulation. For forecast lead-times beyond 2–3 days, the skill of the global forecast will be critical in setting the context for hazardous weather. This will require continued investment in global data assimilation research to ...
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... without increasing future climate damages. Pareto improvements are possible when a market failure exists, and the Stern Review (2006, p. xviii) has called climate change “the greatest market failure the world has ever seen”. Thus the possibility of climate policies that yield Pareto improvements sho ...
... without increasing future climate damages. Pareto improvements are possible when a market failure exists, and the Stern Review (2006, p. xviii) has called climate change “the greatest market failure the world has ever seen”. Thus the possibility of climate policies that yield Pareto improvements sho ...
The Politics of Fear on a Warming Planet
... result in behaviour change. The so-called “attitude-behaviour gap”: the discrepancy between the importance that an individual may ascribe to environmental issues when questioned and actual behaviour patterns. Part of the reason for this may be that people are pessimistic about the possibility of cha ...
... result in behaviour change. The so-called “attitude-behaviour gap”: the discrepancy between the importance that an individual may ascribe to environmental issues when questioned and actual behaviour patterns. Part of the reason for this may be that people are pessimistic about the possibility of cha ...
Climate in the Heartland
... waste operations must process greater quantities of debris, and services such as public transportation can be disrupted. Other hazardous weather events, such as tornadoes, wind, hail, drought, heat waves, and winter storms come with their own range of impacts. Over the past century, governments evol ...
... waste operations must process greater quantities of debris, and services such as public transportation can be disrupted. Other hazardous weather events, such as tornadoes, wind, hail, drought, heat waves, and winter storms come with their own range of impacts. Over the past century, governments evol ...
global_cooling_ESS_analysis_final
... Easterling of the U.S. National Climate Data Center and Michael Wehner of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory show that naturally occurring periods of no warming or even slight cooling can easily be part of a longer-term pattern of global warming. Easterling and Wehner pored over global temperatur ...
... Easterling of the U.S. National Climate Data Center and Michael Wehner of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory show that naturally occurring periods of no warming or even slight cooling can easily be part of a longer-term pattern of global warming. Easterling and Wehner pored over global temperatur ...
Inter-comparison of two land-surface models applied at different
... the replacement of the LSM with overall increased annual mean near surface air temperature (+1 K) and less annual precipitation (−56 mm) with different spatial and temporal behaviour. Finally, feedbacks can set up positive and negative effects on simulated evapotranspiration, resulting in a decrease ...
... the replacement of the LSM with overall increased annual mean near surface air temperature (+1 K) and less annual precipitation (−56 mm) with different spatial and temporal behaviour. Finally, feedbacks can set up positive and negative effects on simulated evapotranspiration, resulting in a decrease ...
Clexit members
... Researcher on forecasting methods for business and public policy decision making. Has led efforts to apply scientific methods to climate forecasting. Has audited the IPCC’s temperature projections and found the methods unscientific and the forecasts invalid. Is responsible, with Scott Armstrong and ...
... Researcher on forecasting methods for business and public policy decision making. Has led efforts to apply scientific methods to climate forecasting. Has audited the IPCC’s temperature projections and found the methods unscientific and the forecasts invalid. Is responsible, with Scott Armstrong and ...
Climate action in the land sector: Treading - Heinrich-Böll
... Climate action must be urgently scaled up to limit global warming. Action in the land sector is critical and necessary for achieving the Paris Agreement’s goal of limiting planetary warming to 1.5° or well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels. The land sector is already playing an increasingly impo ...
... Climate action must be urgently scaled up to limit global warming. Action in the land sector is critical and necessary for achieving the Paris Agreement’s goal of limiting planetary warming to 1.5° or well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels. The land sector is already playing an increasingly impo ...
Is it Ethical to Use a Single Probability Density Function?
... RDM rests on a simple concept. Rather than using computer models and data to describe a best-estimate future, RDM runs models over hundreds to thousands of different sets of assumptions to describe how plans perform in many plausible futures. The approach then uses statistics and visualizations on t ...
... RDM rests on a simple concept. Rather than using computer models and data to describe a best-estimate future, RDM runs models over hundreds to thousands of different sets of assumptions to describe how plans perform in many plausible futures. The approach then uses statistics and visualizations on t ...
Suitability of European climate for the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes
... chikungunya fever and two cases of dengue fever transmitted by A. albopictus were confirmed in the Var French department [10]. In summer 2010, a case of dengue fever was also diagnosed in a German traveller returning from Croatia [11]. Environmental factors might have exacerbated the establishment of ...
... chikungunya fever and two cases of dengue fever transmitted by A. albopictus were confirmed in the Var French department [10]. In summer 2010, a case of dengue fever was also diagnosed in a German traveller returning from Croatia [11]. Environmental factors might have exacerbated the establishment of ...
Stakeholder Consultation Report
... well as to the country’s socioeconomic development. Mombasa is already affected by sea level rise, flooding, high temperatures and humidity levels. These climate-related disasters are projected to increase in frequency and intensity with long-term climate change. An estimated 17 per cent of Mombasa’ ...
... well as to the country’s socioeconomic development. Mombasa is already affected by sea level rise, flooding, high temperatures and humidity levels. These climate-related disasters are projected to increase in frequency and intensity with long-term climate change. An estimated 17 per cent of Mombasa’ ...
Future urbanization in Asia and potential heat risk
... distribution of urban and non-urban population across national space • The output of this model is associated with temperature outputs from 30 models for RCP 8.5 pathways to 2050 • Results suggest increasing and large urban populations may experience very warm consecutive months in the mid-term (205 ...
... distribution of urban and non-urban population across national space • The output of this model is associated with temperature outputs from 30 models for RCP 8.5 pathways to 2050 • Results suggest increasing and large urban populations may experience very warm consecutive months in the mid-term (205 ...
Complexities in modelling water availability in the water
... to decline? c) how does the snow cover distribution change in given climate scenarios? d) what impacts would improvements in irrigation efficiencies have on water availability? e) what are likely the land use change scenarios and what impact would they have on water availability downstream? f) what ...
... to decline? c) how does the snow cover distribution change in given climate scenarios? d) what impacts would improvements in irrigation efficiencies have on water availability? e) what are likely the land use change scenarios and what impact would they have on water availability downstream? f) what ...
A bitter cup: climate change profile of global production of Arabica
... climate change. The average lifespan of a coffee plantation is about 30 years (Wintgens 2009) but can be more than 50 years. Existing coffee plantations may thus experience the climate change foreseen by global circulation models (GCMs). Commercial varieties in current use have a narrow genetic base ...
... climate change. The average lifespan of a coffee plantation is about 30 years (Wintgens 2009) but can be more than 50 years. Existing coffee plantations may thus experience the climate change foreseen by global circulation models (GCMs). Commercial varieties in current use have a narrow genetic base ...
- Eionet Forum
... The Law on protection and rescue prescribes a set of measures and activities to prevent danger of natural disasters, technological accidents and other disasters. In order to effectively protect the population and the material heritage against possible disasters and preventing the spreading of risk, ...
... The Law on protection and rescue prescribes a set of measures and activities to prevent danger of natural disasters, technological accidents and other disasters. In order to effectively protect the population and the material heritage against possible disasters and preventing the spreading of risk, ...
1 - Terranova
... Wheat and Sorghum Climate change adaptation options for broad-acre mixed farms are relatively well documented. Options include diversification of crop varieties, species change, shifting planting windows, 'new' adaptive farming and tillage methods (no/low tillage, controlled traffic systems, row con ...
... Wheat and Sorghum Climate change adaptation options for broad-acre mixed farms are relatively well documented. Options include diversification of crop varieties, species change, shifting planting windows, 'new' adaptive farming and tillage methods (no/low tillage, controlled traffic systems, row con ...
Morality in Public Policy: Climate Change Carmen Lawrence Earth
... in solar radiation, humans have become a force of nature, so much so that, in the prophetic words of Will Steffen and his colleagues, the “human imprint on the global environment has now become so large and active that it rivals some of the great forces of Nature in its impact on the functioning of ...
... in solar radiation, humans have become a force of nature, so much so that, in the prophetic words of Will Steffen and his colleagues, the “human imprint on the global environment has now become so large and active that it rivals some of the great forces of Nature in its impact on the functioning of ...
Robust Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis of Climate System Properties
... short-term weather fluctuations and ENSO-related variability that are not included in the parameterizations of the Bern2.5D model. The control run has a length of 341 yr and was first detrended by a local polynomial fit. We then estimated the autocovariance in the HadCM3 control run time series of g ...
... short-term weather fluctuations and ENSO-related variability that are not included in the parameterizations of the Bern2.5D model. The control run has a length of 341 yr and was first detrended by a local polynomial fit. We then estimated the autocovariance in the HadCM3 control run time series of g ...
Impacts of climate change on the worldTs most exceptional ecoregions
... rarity, and their representation of biomes (16). However, the majority of these regions are threatened by habitat loss, fragmentation, and degradation, with 147 of 185 terrestrial and freshwater regions being classified as either vulnerable or critically endangered (CE) (16). Exposure of these ecoreg ...
... rarity, and their representation of biomes (16). However, the majority of these regions are threatened by habitat loss, fragmentation, and degradation, with 147 of 185 terrestrial and freshwater regions being classified as either vulnerable or critically endangered (CE) (16). Exposure of these ecoreg ...
FAME
... Changes in tuna distribution and abundance of skipjack tuna may lead to changes in fishery distribution and catch rates which could have potential impacts on Pacific economies, food security and social capital. The strong interaction between environment and tuna species, necessitates the inclusion o ...
... Changes in tuna distribution and abundance of skipjack tuna may lead to changes in fishery distribution and catch rates which could have potential impacts on Pacific economies, food security and social capital. The strong interaction between environment and tuna species, necessitates the inclusion o ...
An attitude of daily newspapers toward climate change in Korea
... previous study. Hankyoreh Shinmun had 47 articles in year 2008 and 60 articles in year 2009 in our study, that number was 313 in the previous study [8]. The number of articles was quite different between two studies, because there was a difference in the search words. The previous study had a search ...
... previous study. Hankyoreh Shinmun had 47 articles in year 2008 and 60 articles in year 2009 in our study, that number was 313 in the previous study [8]. The number of articles was quite different between two studies, because there was a difference in the search words. The previous study had a search ...
Climate Change Scenarios for New Zealand Rainfall
... rainfall. The expectation was that such an analog approach should provide useful information on local spatial scales about extreme rainfall behavior that is not available directly from GCM output. Given that the basic physics of the atmosphere can be considered invariant, warm and windy periods from ...
... rainfall. The expectation was that such an analog approach should provide useful information on local spatial scales about extreme rainfall behavior that is not available directly from GCM output. Given that the basic physics of the atmosphere can be considered invariant, warm and windy periods from ...
Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. I
... Data from the Atmospheric GCM HadAM3H was used to drive the regional model. The HadAM3H model is a highresolution version (1.25° latitude by 1.875° longitude resolution) of the Hadley Centre Atmospheric Global Model. Details on model configuration can be found in Pope et al. (2000). Present climate ...
... Data from the Atmospheric GCM HadAM3H was used to drive the regional model. The HadAM3H model is a highresolution version (1.25° latitude by 1.875° longitude resolution) of the Hadley Centre Atmospheric Global Model. Details on model configuration can be found in Pope et al. (2000). Present climate ...
Information pack template New - Centre for Public Appointments
... statutory assessment of climate actions set out in the National Adaptation Programme. The ASC’s next major milestones will be publication of an independent Evidence Report for the second UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA, due July 2016), its first statutory report on the progress of the Scotti ...
... statutory assessment of climate actions set out in the National Adaptation Programme. The ASC’s next major milestones will be publication of an independent Evidence Report for the second UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA, due July 2016), its first statutory report on the progress of the Scotti ...
iprc climate vol14 no1
... change in Hawai‘i will threaten habitats and perturb island ecosystems, not only on land, but also along the coastline and in the surrounding ocean. The latter will be further stressed by ocean acidification. The systems that directly support the human population—including those producing the state’ ...
... change in Hawai‘i will threaten habitats and perturb island ecosystems, not only on land, but also along the coastline and in the surrounding ocean. The latter will be further stressed by ocean acidification. The systems that directly support the human population—including those producing the state’ ...