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Slide 1
Slide 1

... from scenarios of the future climate, produced by Global Climate Models (GCMs) forced by projected Greenhouse Gas (GHG) concentrations. Although GCMs contain all the important physical processes of the climate system, their predictions lack the detail useful in the local level because of the relativ ...
Click here to read the media release
Click here to read the media release

... “The energy sector is currently undergoing a fundamental structural transformation. Falling demand, changing price dynamics, rapid technology deployment, decarbonisation and the physical impacts of climate change are all impacting how energy infrastructure operate globally. These trends are also pla ...
v i e w p o i n t s (UGETS)
v i e w p o i n t s (UGETS)

... (1) A stringent cap is placed on global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that will serve, at the very least, to halve current emissions by mid-century. The cap must achieve an acceptable level of climate stability in light of the latest analysis of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2) A ...
Frank Niepold - NSTA Learning Center
Frank Niepold - NSTA Learning Center

... 1. The Sun is the primary source of energy for Earth’s climate system 2. Climate is regulated by complex interactions among components of the Earth system. 3. Life on Earth depends on, is shaped by, and affects climate 4. Climate varies over space and time through both natural and man-made processes ...
01_Some_Geoengineeri..
01_Some_Geoengineeri..

... Abstract: We provide an overview of geoengineering by stratospheric sulphate aerosols. The state of understanding about this topic as of early 2008 is reviewed, summarizing the past 30 years of work in the area, highlighting some very recent studies using climate models, and discussing methods used ...
adaptation - Eionet Forum
adaptation - Eionet Forum

... Building a European Knowledge Based Bio-Economy by bringing together science, industry and other stakeholders, to exploit new and emerging research opportunities that address social, environmental and economic challenges: the growing demand for safer, healthier, higher quality food and for sustainab ...
Health impact of climate change due to combustion of fossil fuel
Health impact of climate change due to combustion of fossil fuel

... sun’s energy reaches the earth’s surface, some of it is reflected back and some of it is absorbed by the earth’s surface. The absorbed energy warms the earth. This heat is then re-radiated back towards space as terrestrial radiation. Certain gases such as CH4, N2O in the earth’s atmosphere act as “g ...
Prospicience and Geoengineering
Prospicience and Geoengineering

... How can we not know whether we live in Fattailia? Havoc studies are a priority. They are a challenge to GFDL and the rest of the climate research community. Do we know for sure that the climate sensitivity is less that 20oC? Is so, because of what evidence? Why can’t the same reasoning rule out 10o ...
presentation - Mitigation and Adaptation Research Institute (MARI)
presentation - Mitigation and Adaptation Research Institute (MARI)

... – Partners: University of East Anglia, Cardiff University, Newcastle University, Oxford University, University of Cambridge, University of Sussex, Manchester University, Fudan University ...
Karl W. Steininger · Martin König Birgit Bednar
Karl W. Steininger · Martin König Birgit Bednar

... Michael Hanemann, Professor of Economics, Arizona State University and University of California, Berkeley ...
The unexpected Hurricane Catarina
The unexpected Hurricane Catarina

Cool It - Ning.com
Cool It - Ning.com

... – Section One: Consumer Protection (now there’s a clue) – Caps CO2 emissions 17% below 2005 level by 2020 (adjusted for growth in electricity demand could mean a 24% reduction) – 83% below 2005 by 2050 (estimated to reduce global temperature by a mere 0.05 degree Celsius) – Price of carbon permits c ...
for immediate release
for immediate release

... Increase in risk of dengue, malaria and other social safety nets so as to allow infectious diseases in some areas. households to better cope with climate  The Amazon rainforest could shrink by 20 percent shocks, and improving the functioning of to 80 percent if temperatures increase by 2 to 3oC lan ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... Sound suggest overall increases in peak annual discharge over the next half-century, but only those projections resulting from one of the two RCM simulations are statistically significant. Magnitudes of projected changes vary widely, depending on the particular basin under consideration and the choi ...
Alina Rossi-Conaway Dr. Auroop Ganguly Climate Change Hazards and Resilient Cities
Alina Rossi-Conaway Dr. Auroop Ganguly Climate Change Hazards and Resilient Cities

... first dinner was marked by pleasant conversation and basic planning, but there was an undertone of stress as the bulk of the work loomed ahead of us. At least, that’s how I felt. A historical over-stresser, I tend to be easily intimidated by new academic assignments. As my team laughed and casually ...
Climate Change Streamflow Scenarios for Critical Period Water
Climate Change Streamflow Scenarios for Critical Period Water

... Because most planning studies currently use a critical period framework, our project produces “adjusted” realizations of the historic streamflow record based on simulations from a physically based hydrologic model driven by simple climate change scenarios. The methods are flexible and portable and c ...
Climate Change and the Great Basin
Climate Change and the Great Basin

... carbon dioxide has increased 32 percent and methane has increased 150 percent. In the absence of significant changes in human activities, atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases will continue to increase. Earth’s surface has warmed about 0.6 °C (1.1 °F) since 1900. This warming is most like ...
Managing coral reefs in the face of climate change: Is
Managing coral reefs in the face of climate change: Is

... impact ...
Chapter 3 Powerpoint
Chapter 3 Powerpoint

... 1. CO2 and other gases generated by human activity are responsible for the temperature increase. 2. The average global temperature will continue to rise as emissions of anthropogenic greenhouse gases increase. ...
Is the Earth Getting Warmer?
Is the Earth Getting Warmer?

... this gas is released into the atmosphere. This causes the atmosphere to warm up, which melts more permafrost, which heats up the atmosphere, etc… Again, a feedback loop ensues, in which a warm climate leads to the creation of an even warmer climate. A more complex example of a similar phenomenon inv ...
Global Climates: An Uncertain Forecast (cont.)
Global Climates: An Uncertain Forecast (cont.)

... – The Four Major Greenhouse Gases • Carbon Dioxide (CO2): makes up more than 50% of anthropogenic greenhouse gases; comes mainly from burning fossil fuels • Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs): about 25% of human-generated greenhouse gases; come mainly from aerosol sprays, refrigeration, & air conditioning • ...
Document
Document

... 2. We’ve never seen anything like this before. 3. Humans are the cause. 4. Climate change will continue. 5. Get ready for more heat waves… 6. …more and bigger storms… 7. …less ice and snow… 8. …higher sea levels… 9. …and acid oceans. 10. These changes will be with us for a long time. 11. How bad thi ...
report_v2
report_v2

... varies over a long period does not affect the results. ...
Issue Brief - Mesa Community College
Issue Brief - Mesa Community College

... and 5 hurricanes has nearly doubled since 1970.11 A resounding theme in atmospheric research facilities points at one fact—storms may not necessarily be increasing in number, but they are definitely increasing in strength. The same goes for other natural disasters, such as earthquakes and tidal wav ...
Climate and Carbon Cycle Prediction: C3P
Climate and Carbon Cycle Prediction: C3P

... Anthropogenic Forcing Only ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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