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Assessment Synthesis Slides OEWG 3Aug2011
Assessment Synthesis Slides OEWG 3Aug2011

...  Nitrous oxide (N2O) is known to both deplete global ozone and warm the climate. The current ODP-weighted anthropogenic emission is larger than that of any ODS.  Geo-engineering: Deliberate large injections of sulfurcontaining compounds into the stratosphere would alter the radiative, dynamical, a ...
Investigating whether man or mountain emits more atmospheric
Investigating whether man or mountain emits more atmospheric

... have far more impact than the planet’s natural volcanic processes. Graphs also reveal that humans contributed to the rising amounts of CO2, but volcanic processes exhibit stability. Even when larger volcanic eruptions are considered, the total CO2 output by volcanoes is stable when compared to the s ...
PDF
PDF

... averages. Many studies have used averages of temperature and rainfall during different quarters of the year or the monthly means for January, April, July, and October as representative of the respective quarters. But, there is a possibility of high correlation between quarterly or monthly series of ...
PowerPoint presentation (PPT file)
PowerPoint presentation (PPT file)

... number of species on Earth, where a large proportion of the world’s human population lives and where conservation and economic capacity to adapt are limited.” — Mora et al. 2014 ...
Air pollution, greenhouse gases and climate change: Global and
Air pollution, greenhouse gases and climate change: Global and

... planetary system will get rid of this excess energy by warming and thus emitting more infrared radiation, until the excess energy trapped is given off to space and the surface–atmosphere system is in balance. That, in a nutshell, is the theory of the greenhouse effect and global warming. A rigorous ...
Control + 1 – Block Headings
Control + 1 – Block Headings

... US-Russia relations solve nuclear war and every major impact Allison & Blackwill, ’11 [Graham, director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard’s Kennedy School, former assistant secretary of defense in the Clinton administration, Robert D., Henry A. Kissinger senior fe ...
NRDC: Temperatures Rising: Global Warming Turns up the Heat on
NRDC: Temperatures Rising: Global Warming Turns up the Heat on

... The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projects that the average temperature in the United States will rise more than 7.2 degrees Fahrenheit by the end of the 21st century.3 Maximum temperatures may climb even higher as hot spells become longer and more frequent. Summers similar to those expe ...
are our laws responding to the challenges posed to our
are our laws responding to the challenges posed to our

Global warming - The Open University
Global warming - The Open University

... University: www.open.edu/openlearn/nature-environment/theenvironment/environmental-science/global-warming/content-section-0a. There you’ll also be able to track your progress via your activity record, which you can use to demonstrate your learning. ...
Phenology and Climate Change
Phenology and Climate Change

... assessment report reveals that unprecedented climate change, associated disturbances and other global change drivers are likely to exceed the resilience of many ecosystems. This would result in the increased risk of extinction of 20–30% of plant and animal species if increases in global average temp ...
Dangerous Scientific Reticence
Dangerous Scientific Reticence

... However, I felt that by continuing to push on the title in a potentially time consuming indirect interaction with the editorial board, relations could deteriorate as they had with the anonymous editorial board member at PNAS and publication was already delayed. Given the urgency of getting the pape ...
As a defining human development challenge of the 21st century [UN
As a defining human development challenge of the 21st century [UN

... Under these key areas, the GoB has initiated specific projects on each sector. The underlying assumption is to use ICT as a key enabler in fulfilling goals set by this strategy and action plan. Despite the national level consensus and efforts in combating climate change is growing with time, we can ...
Recent warming trends inferred from borehole temperature data in
Recent warming trends inferred from borehole temperature data in

... We note that the GSTH amplitude in the three boreholes 279– 50, 293–50 and 433–50 is in good agreement with SAT observations recorded at Bechar meteorological station since 1957 (around 1, 5 °C) while, the borehole 291–50 presents a temperature increase of 3 °C during these fifty years (Table 1). Tho ...
donald trump (r) - League of Conservation Voters
donald trump (r) - League of Conservation Voters

... International Golf Links submitted an environmental impact statement — prepared by an Irish environmental consultancy — which argues that erosion is likely to accelerate as sea levels rise more quickly. The statement acknowledges one Irish government study that assumes a steady rate of erosion throu ...
How to involve companies in the project updated LATEST
How to involve companies in the project updated LATEST

... as well as ‘planet-saving’ actions. This ‘win-win’ approach is an effective way of identifying and exploiting common ground. It not only incentivises climate change actions, it also promotes a more positive attitude and increases the public acceptability of pursuing climate change action in general ...
Climate change and human health: Impacts, vulnerability and public
Climate change and human health: Impacts, vulnerability and public

... possible to determine whether any observed changes in disease might be related to changes in climate. Interpretation is complicated by potential competing explanations due to changes in important health determinants over time, as well as changes in the way in which diagnoses may be recorded. Empiric ...
Communicating Climate Change
Communicating Climate Change

... civic engagement. First, people may be generally disinterested in political matters, prefer to leave political activism to others, and/or may feel deeply disenfranchised from the political process. Election campaigns serve as good reminders of why this general political disengagement is such an omin ...
Climate Change Effects and Adaptation Approaches in Freshwater
Climate Change Effects and Adaptation Approaches in Freshwater

... from 1970 to 1999 showed most stations remained below 68°F (20°C), the upper threshold for salmon survival.59 However, in the 21st century, a prolonged duration of water temperatures beyond the thermal maximum for salmon is projected for the Fraser River (BC),60 the Lake Washington/Lake Union ship c ...
Polar Science for Planet Earth
Polar Science for Planet Earth

... changes, we can observe the past and study the present – only then can we predict the future. Important processes in regulating the Earth System take place in or near the polar regions, and the best records for understanding the way the Earth has worked in the past (ice cores) are found there. The C ...
Adapting_to_Climate_Change_ - MDG-F
Adapting_to_Climate_Change_ - MDG-F

... The assessment of vulnerability at the local and regional levels is strongly centered on the involvement and knowledge of a diversity of stakeholders Key stakeholders may include community members, policy-makers, researchers, experts, civil society and non-governmental organizations Stakeholders’ in ...
Climate change as a threat to biodiversity
Climate change as a threat to biodiversity

... section explores some of the driving forces for climate change in order to illustrate this element of the DPSIR framework. Human economic activity is a major underlying cause of rapid changes in atmospheric composition (in particular emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols) and changing land cove ...
IMPACT2C – Policy Brief 3
IMPACT2C – Policy Brief 3

... Some of the largest future risks arise from potential changes in the water cycle and water resources in sub-Saharan Africa, increasing variability and changes in patterns of extremes (including floods and droughts). The IMPACT2C project set out to investigate these issues, focusing on two major rive ...
The Projected Death of the Fertile Crescent
The Projected Death of the Fertile Crescent

... It is widely accepted that the global and regional-scale water cycle has been changing since the last century due to the accumulation of anthropogenic greenhouse gases and land use/land cover changes (IPCC 2007). The rise in the world’s population (UNFPA 2005) has brought increases in water usage fo ...
Pope Benedict XVI
Pope Benedict XVI

... The Common Good • “For this reason I share the growing concern caused by economic and political resistance to combatting the degradation of the environment. This problem was evident even recently, during the XV Session of the Conference of the States Parties to the United Nations Framework Conventi ...
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS IN NEW ZEALAND: A CROSS
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS IN NEW ZEALAND: A CROSS

... The key changes in Step 1 above were the climate projections from NIWA, demographics, social variables, and wildcard variables. In summary, for the social scenarios we assumed an overall growth in the New Zealand population up to over five million people by the 2080s with larger Maori, Pacific Islan ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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