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Modeling plant species distributions under future
Modeling plant species distributions under future

... 2 How does the predicted distribution of climatechange refugia (areas of future climatic suitability within the current species range) vary as a function of the scale (spatial resolution or grain) of climate grids? We hypothesized that: (a) On average, the predicted extent of modeled suitable habita ...
Monitoring and evaluating climate change adaptation and
Monitoring and evaluating climate change adaptation and

... and Development (IIED) and partners have been developing an approach known as Tracking, Adaptation and Measuring Development (TAMD) that assesses whether climate change adaptation and risk reduction are keeping development on track and whether costs and benefits are rationally distributed. TAMD has ...
How does climate change alter agricultural strategies to - PIM
How does climate change alter agricultural strategies to - PIM

... evidence that a combination of heat stress and salinity stress leads to additional physiological effects over and above the effects that each stress has in isolation. In general, much is unknown about how stresses may combine in agricultural and aquacultural systems in the face of climate change. Th ...
aberdeen beach case study
aberdeen beach case study

... background to these events as well as providing some contextual information on the beach and its importance to the city. The beach is an important asset for Aberdeen City. The beach itself is also a popular tourist and recreational attraction, for example the main recreational activities include: su ...
No. 2005:5 A BASIC FINNISH CLIMATE DATA SET 1961
No. 2005:5 A BASIC FINNISH CLIMATE DATA SET 1961

... programme no special data set describing present day climate was created. However, in both of the above-mentioned programmes, researchers were provided with climate change scenarios aimed at giving the best estimate of future climate in Finland (Carter et al., 1996; Jylhä et al., 2004) During the 20 ...
An Agent Based Model of Climate Change and Conflict
An Agent Based Model of Climate Change and Conflict

... vegetation growth and re-filling of watering holes. Model runs start in January and use the same rainfall values each year. In addition to data driven monthly rainfall, we can change rainfall to simulate droughts by using a drought parameter. Waterholes are located in randomly assigned parcels. A wa ...
Carbon Capture and Storage Association
Carbon Capture and Storage Association

... critical enabler for industrial and energy sector decarbonisation. Right sized infrastructure can enable significant economies of scale, driving down aggregate socialised costs and derisking investment in other parts of the CCS chain. It can also act as an enabler for future CO2 enhanced oil recove ...
PDF
PDF

... Only a few research studies focus on the loss or gain to China's farmers, impacts on crop prices, and especially agricultural trade due to climate change. Wang et al. (2009b) research based on 8405 households indicates that global climate change will likely be harmful to rain fed farms, but benefici ...
Climate Change and Marine Turtles in the Wider Caribbean
Climate Change and Marine Turtles in the Wider Caribbean

... These changes will have knock-on effects, bringing about a multitude of physical changes to ecosystems. Species in many areas are already exhibiting responses to a changing climate, and shifts in the phenology and distribution of plants and animals have been observed in terrestrial, freshwater and m ...
FAQ Sustainable Development Summit (English)
FAQ Sustainable Development Summit (English)

... Civil society has participated in the process of negotiations for the new sustainable development agenda. How can we quantify their contribution to the final document?  The negotiating process on the sustainable development goals involved the unprecedented participation of civil society and other ...
Georgia report NEWER - Physicians for Social Responsibility
Georgia report NEWER - Physicians for Social Responsibility

... 102 years. This trend may continue. There is actually a triple threat for drought in the near future in New Mexico because of the combined effects of global warming, the region’s natural tendency toward drought, and a probable new phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, which many climatologists s ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... 3. The details and history of local conditions, instruments, operating procedures, data processing algorithms and other factors pertinent to interpreting data (i.e., metadata) should be documented and treated with the same care as the data themselves. So we can figure out when changes happened rathe ...
Climatic drivers of potential hazards in Mediterranean coasts
Climatic drivers of potential hazards in Mediterranean coasts

... The second analysed case, the Gulf of Oran, located in western Algeria, is delimited by the Aiguille Cape in the east and the Falcon Cape in the west, and it is about 50 km wide. This gulf encompasses, in its western part, from the port of Oran to the Mers El Kebir, and it is characterized by high a ...
G8 Climate Governance, 1975-2008
G8 Climate Governance, 1975-2008

... architecture of this regime is debated, some scholars and even policy-makers such as US President Barack Obama are endorsing smaller, more plurilateral forums for climate change leadership. They feel the international system needs a strong climate control regime, one not plagued by ineffectiveness d ...
climate change in the american mind
climate change in the american mind

... 1.3. Half of Americans think that if global warming is happening, it is mostly human caused. The 2014 U.S. National Climate Assessment (written and reviewed by hundreds of climate experts over the past 4 years) states: “the global warming of the past 50 years is primarily due to human activities, pr ...
to open - Gifted Leadership Services
to open - Gifted Leadership Services

...  An independent, non-profit organization that campaigns for positive change to protect the natural world and promote peace.  Originally known as ‘Greenpeace Foundation’ and was initially founded in Vancouver, Canada, in 1971, to oppose the USA testing nuclear devices in Alaska before it changed it ...
Climate change impacts on snow water availability in the Euphrates
Climate change impacts on snow water availability in the Euphrates

... are associated with higher precipitation and lower temperature. While this work focused on past climate conditions, it provides empirical evidence for climate-induced variations in snow pack dynamics that could be affected under future climate change scenarios. A number of studies also investigated ...
states and cities as actors in global climate regulation: unitary vs
states and cities as actors in global climate regulation: unitary vs

... or whether current SNA initiatives are or should be of an interim nature. Based on analysis of the positive political economy of independent SNA regulation, Part II.A concludes that while some of the incentives for current U.S. SNA regulatory measures may dissipate with the adoption of federal regul ...
Full CV
Full CV

... APPOINTMENTS: Current: Professor of Resource Policy and Management with joint appointments in the Department of Natural Resources and Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks. (Professor 2012-present; Associate Professor 2006-2012; Assistant Professor ...
GOVERNMENT LIABILITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE: SELECTED LEGAL ISSUES RELATED TO FLOOD
GOVERNMENT LIABILITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE: SELECTED LEGAL ISSUES RELATED TO FLOOD

... expected in the coming years. This is particularly true where scientific studies quantify climate change and increases in the frequency and intensity of flooding. To reduce flood damages from climate change, governments can strengthen their floodplain regulations including revised floodplain maps, i ...
Adaptation to Climate Change in Management of Prairie Grasslands
Adaptation to Climate Change in Management of Prairie Grasslands

... Adaptation options were structured according to the “three Rs”: o Create resistance to change (short-term adaptation) o Promote resilience to change (medium-term adaptation) o Enable ecosystems to respond to change (long-term adaptation) In grazing management, most of the adaptations that have been ...
Simulated and Observed Preindustrial to Modern
Simulated and Observed Preindustrial to Modern

... interval was insufficient to significantly enhance photosynthesis. Fung instead proposed that increasing temperatures might have accelerated snowmelt and lengthened the growing season, thereby enhancing photosynthesis, while the melting of permafrost might have released trapped nutrients. Lucht et a ...
Assessment of impacts of agricultural and climate change scenarios
Assessment of impacts of agricultural and climate change scenarios

... climate change on surface water quantity and quality provides useful information for planning effective water, environmental and land use policies. Despite the significant impacts of agriculture on water quantity and quality, limited literature exists that describes the combined impacts of agricultu ...
Top-level Research Initiative
Top-level Research Initiative

Written submissions received for the Adapting to Climate Change in
Written submissions received for the Adapting to Climate Change in

... There is concern about projected increases in climate-related natural disasters in Tasmania. Stakeholders indicated that the broader community is not clear who is responsible for natural disaster risk management and what can be done by various parties to minimise the associated risks. It was suggest ...
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Scientific opinion on climate change



The scientific opinion on climate change is the overall judgment amongst scientists about whether global warming is happening, and if so, its causes and probable consequences. This scientific opinion is expressed in synthesis reports, by scientific bodies of national or international standing, and by surveys of opinion among climate scientists. Individual scientists, universities, and laboratories contribute to the overall scientific opinion via their peer-reviewed publications, and the areas of collective agreement and relative certainty are summarised in these high level reports and surveys.The scientific consensus is that the Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, and that it is extremely likely (at least 95% probability) that humans are causing most of it through activities that increase concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, such as deforestation and burning fossil fuels. In addition, it is likely that some potential further greenhouse gas warming has been offset by increased aerosols.National and international science academies and scientific societies have assessed current scientific opinion on global warming. These assessments are generally consistent with the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report summarized:Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as evidenced by increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, the widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.Most of the global warming since the mid-20th century is very likely due to human activities.Benefits and costs of climate change for [human] society will vary widely by location and scale. Some of the effects in temperate and polar regions will be positive and others elsewhere will be negative. Overall, net effects are more likely to be strongly negative with larger or more rapid warming.The range of published evidence indicates that the net damage costs of climate change are likely to be significant and to increase over time.The resilience of many ecosystems is likely to be exceeded this century by an unprecedented combination of climate change, associated disturbances (e.g. flooding, drought, wildfire, insects, ocean acidification) and other global change drivers (e.g. land-use change, pollution, fragmentation of natural systems, over-exploitation of resources).Some scientific bodies have recommended specific policies to governments and science can play a role in informing an effective response to climate change, however, policy decisions may require value judgements and so are not included in the scientific opinion.No scientific body of national or international standing maintains a formal opinion dissenting from any of these main points. The last national or international scientific body to drop dissent was the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, which in 2007 updated its statement to its current non-committal position. Some other organizations, primarily those focusing on geology, also hold non-committal positions.
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