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The Deep Causes of Secular Stagnation and the Rise of
The Deep Causes of Secular Stagnation and the Rise of

A Slow-Motion CollApSe
A Slow-Motion CollApSe

ppt - 587 kb
ppt - 587 kb

... in what is purchased with that produce from other nations. “According therefore, as this produce, or what is purchased with it, bears a greater or smaller proportion to the number of those who are to consume it, the nation will be better or worse supplied with all the necessaries and conveniences fo ...
S A Slow-Motion CollApSe Why hasn’t regulation crashed the American economy?
S A Slow-Motion CollApSe Why hasn’t regulation crashed the American economy?

... A different or complementary answer for why the American economy has not collapsed under growing regulation is that regulation has crashed the economy, albeit in a gradual way. Consider the recent “Great Recession.” Real GDP fell by 4.2 percent over six quarters of economic contraction. Youth and lo ...
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Unemployment in the Great Recession: A Comparison of Germany
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... depressed state relative to its pre-recession level. After hovering between 4 and 5 percent in 2006 and 2007, the unemployment rate spiked up to 10 percent in October 2009 and declined very slowly since then. More than six years after the onset of the Great Recession, it remains substantially above ...
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Untitled
Untitled

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Engels` Pause: A Pessimist`s Guide to the British Industrial

... realized. Nevertheless, between 1760 and 1860, per capita output increased by 82%. This was an important advance in the history of the world. Standard theories of economic development have been used to explain this increase. Lewis’ theory attributed economic expansion to a rise in the investment rat ...
here
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Transformation in economics



Transformation in economics refers to a long-term change in dominant economic activity in terms of prevailing relative engagement or employment of able individuals.Human economic systems undergo a number of deviations and departures from the ""normal"" state, trend or development. Among them are Disturbance (short-term disruption, temporary disorder), Perturbation (persistent or repeated divergence, predicament, decline or crisis), Deformation (damage, regime change, loss of self-sustainability, distortion), Transformation (long-term change, restructuring, conversion, new “normal”) and Renewal (rebirth, transmutation, corso-ricorso, renaissance, new beginning).Transformation is a unidirectional and irreversible change in dominant human economic activity (economic sector). Such change is driven by slower or faster continuous improvement in sector productivity growth rate. Productivity growth itself is fueled by advances in technology, inflow of useful innovations, accumulated practical knowledge and experience, levels of education, viability of institutions, quality of decision making and organized human effort. Individual sector transformations are the outcomes of human socio-economic evolution.Human economic activity has so far undergone at least four fundamental transformations:From nomadic hunting and gathering (H/G) to localized agricultureFrom localized agriculture (A) to internationalized industryFrom international industry (I) to global servicesFrom global services (S) to public sector (including government, welfare and unemployment, GWU)This evolution naturally proceeds from securing necessary food, through producing useful things, to providing helpful services, both private and public (See H/G→A→I→S→GWU sequence in Fig. 1). Accelerating productivity growth rates speed up the transformations, from millennia, through centuries, to decades of the recent era. It is this acceleration which makes transformation relevant economic category of today, more fundamental in its impact than any recession, crisis or depression. The evolution of four forms of capital (Indicated in Fig. 1) accompanies all economic transformations.Transformation is quite different from accompanying cyclical recessions and crises, despite the similarity of manifested phenomena (unemployment, technology shifts, socio-political discontent, bankruptcies, etc.). However, the tools and interventions used to combat crisis are clearly ineffective for coping with non-cyclical transformations. The problem is whether we face a mere crisis or a fundamental transformation (globalization→relocalization).
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