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Lesson 4. Sample Mean, Sample Variance, Confidence
Lesson 4. Sample Mean, Sample Variance, Confidence

13. Confidence Intervals
13. Confidence Intervals

Your favorite professional football team (I shall refer to them as the
Your favorite professional football team (I shall refer to them as the

MAE 108 Probability and Statistical Methods for
MAE 108 Probability and Statistical Methods for

... or using Bayes theorem to invert conditional probabilities; Objective 2 2.1. Students will learn to manipulate random variables as mathematical descriptors of events. For example, derive the probability density functions and probability mass functions of events described in words; or translate mathe ...
Confidence Intervals – Introduction
Confidence Intervals – Introduction

Determining the Sample Size Necessary for a Desired Margin of Error
Determining the Sample Size Necessary for a Desired Margin of Error

... don’t and furthermore we don’t even know p̂ , the sample proportion, until we have our data in hand. In order to use this result we need to plug in a “best guess” for p. This guess might come from:  Pilot study where p̂ = sample proportion is calculated  Prior studies  Use the worst case scenario ...
Chapter 6 - Point Estimation When we assume a class of models
Chapter 6 - Point Estimation When we assume a class of models

... What value of m maximizes this function? If you set the derivative =0, you find mˆ =x. This mˆ is the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of m. ...
Point Estimates
Point Estimates

Point Estimates
Point Estimates

... If using a sample – it will only equal the population if you have the lowest & highest values. The probability for this to happen is very small – almost 0. ...
Inferences for with Excel
Inferences for with Excel

... For the INPUT RANGE, we use the heights in cells A7:A17. Click on LABELS IN FIRST ROW and SUMMARY STATISTICS. Use C7 for the OUTPUT RANGE, and make sure that you put 99% for the CONFIDENCE LEVEL FOR MEAN. Click OK, and then adjust the columns widths accordingly. To construct the confidence interval, ...
estimate ± margin of error
estimate ± margin of error

Document
Document

... Example: Interval Estimation s Unknown •A random sample of n = 25 hasX = 50 and •s = 8. Set up a 95% confidence interval estimate for m. S S X  ta / 2 ,n1   m  X  ta / 2 ,n1  n n ...
Sampling distributions
Sampling distributions

... each of the samples approaches infinity. In practical terms, n ≥ 30 is sufficient. And, as we will see later, even n’s in the lower 20’s often are sufficient, and sometimes even n’s in the teens are o.k. However, there’s a trade-off with “power” [next chapter] when n’s are lower, so one should be ca ...
Populations
Populations

Slide 1
Slide 1

Sample Size Determination for Confidence Intervals
Sample Size Determination for Confidence Intervals

The Unexpected Appearance of Pi in Diverse Problems
The Unexpected Appearance of Pi in Diverse Problems

... to a point (m, n) does not pass through any other lattice point we say that the point (m, n) can be seen from the origin. For example, the point (1, -1) can be seen from the origin but the point (2, -2) can not be seen. Among all lattice points what is the proportion of those that can be seen from t ...
Confidence Interval
Confidence Interval

ECE 275A – Homework 7 – Solutions
ECE 275A – Homework 7 – Solutions

... Nj the number of times that Oj occurs and N = N1 + · · · + N` the total number of observations, we can immediately apply the maximum likelihood solution for the N binary case to determine the MLE p̂j = Nj . We can now see that Worked Example 12.1.2 on page 543 of Moon & Stirling requires some clarif ...
Mathematics, Statistics & Computer Science Department  COURSE NO./TITLE:
Mathematics, Statistics & Computer Science Department COURSE NO./TITLE:

Confidence Intervals – Introduction
Confidence Intervals – Introduction

Econ 351 Test 3 Answer all Questions Due 12/10/13 at the
Econ 351 Test 3 Answer all Questions Due 12/10/13 at the

Stats 2MB3, Tutorial 8
Stats 2MB3, Tutorial 8

Chapter 8
Chapter 8

estimating with confidence 8.1 confidence intervals: the
estimating with confidence 8.1 confidence intervals: the

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German tank problem



In the statistical theory of estimation, the problem of estimating the maximum of a discrete uniform distribution from sampling without replacement is known in English as the German tank problem, due to its application in World War II to the estimation of the number of German tanks.The analyses illustrate the difference between frequentist inference and Bayesian inference.Estimating the population maximum based on a single sample yields divergent results, while the estimation based on multiple samples is an instructive practical estimation question whose answer is simple but not obvious.
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