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Phenological responses of prairie plants vary among species
Phenological responses of prairie plants vary among species

... flowered five to eight days earlier under high warming. For seven species, interannual variability in flowering time equaled or exceeded experimental warming treatment effects in any given year. Responses to warming were not consistent among years for several species, especially Liatris aspera. Warm ...
Marine Ecology Progress Series 394:1
Marine Ecology Progress Series 394:1

... (only near Maria Island) were analysed by HPLC using methods developed by Wright et al. (1991) for extraction and gradient elution. Remotely sensed chl a. The Sea-viewing Wide Fieldof-view Sensor (SeaWiFS) operated from September 1997 collecting ocean colour data in the visible and far red region of ...
Environmental and historical constraints on global patterns of
Environmental and historical constraints on global patterns of

... The number of species available to colonize an area can interact with climatic constraints on establishment to determine richness patterns (Qian & Ricklefs 2000; Ricklefs 2004). We use biogeographic realm as an indicator of the importance of history. While realm alone is a relatively weak predictor ...


... Climate change has entered the mainstream as a potential threat to U.S. national security. The 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review, and the 2010 National Security Strategy all identify climate change as likely to trigger outcomes that will threaten U.S. security. These assessments have had to rely on pr ...
Climate Extremes: Recent Trends with Implications for National Security
Climate Extremes: Recent Trends with Implications for National Security

... Climate change has entered the mainstream as a potential threat to U.S. national security. The 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review, and the 2010 National Security Strategy all identify climate change as likely to trigger outcomes that will threaten U.S. security. These assessments have had to rely on pr ...
East London Extreme Rainfall
East London Extreme Rainfall

... It is clear that climate change presents a risk to the facilities and infrastructure of national and local authorities. An assessment and analysis of these risks is required to develop a robust risk assessment, mitigation and adaptation programme at regional and national levels. The objectives of th ...
Smoke, Mirrors & Hot Air How ExxonMobil Uses Big Tobacco’s Tactics
Smoke, Mirrors & Hot Air How ExxonMobil Uses Big Tobacco’s Tactics

... n its campaign to sow uncertainty about the scientific evidence on global warming, ExxonMobil has followed a corporate strategy pioneered by the tobacco industry. Because ExxonMobil’s strategy, tactics, and even some personnel draw heavily from the tobacco industry’s playbook, it is useful to look b ...
Past and future influence of climate change on spatially
Past and future influence of climate change on spatially

... and will be almost distributed in the north of China, except the northeast and northwest China with significant but varying influence of temperature rising, while the regions with temperature dominated vegetation activity mainly located in the southern part of China. There will be different climatic ...
Acclimation of photosynthesis to different growth temperatures in
Acclimation of photosynthesis to different growth temperatures in

... greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, implying the combustion of fossil fuels and changes in land use. Since pre-industrial times, annual emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), which is regarded as the most important anthropogenic GHG, have increased around 80% regarding the period between 1970 and 2004. Acco ...
Misconceptions PowerPoint KB
Misconceptions PowerPoint KB

... 3. Correlation between temperature and CO2 levels does not prove causation – anyway, CO2 is going up & temperatures falling! 4. Global warming just an unproven theory. ‘Science not settled’ 5. Many scientists disagree with the IPCC conclusions and anyway the IPCC is a political body. 6. Ice core dat ...
Dynamics of the coupled human-climate system resulting from
Dynamics of the coupled human-climate system resulting from

... response yields λ = 1.2 W m−2 K−1 , τ = β 2/(λ2 κ) = 13 years, and C = 3.2 × 106 J m−2 K−1 . Note that the small estimated heat capacity C is only the value needed to correct the highfrequency behaviour of the diffusion model and not the full heat capacity of the ocean mixed layer; most of the mixed ...
The Response of Precipitation Minus Evapotranspiration to Climate
The Response of Precipitation Minus Evapotranspiration to Climate

... As we will show, simulations of global warming exhibit only weak increases in P − E over land, at a rate substantially smaller than the 7%K−1 given by the simple scaling. Furthermore, projected regional decreases in P − E (Seager and Vecchi 2010), for instance in the Mediterranean (Seager et al. 201 ...
HENRY N. POLLACK, PhD Professor of Geophysics
HENRY N. POLLACK, PhD Professor of Geophysics

... Jansen, E., Overpeck, J. (Coordinating Lead Authors), Pollack, H. N. and 40 other lead and contributing authors, 2007. Chapter 6: Paleoclimate, in Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, Cambridge University Press, 433-497. ...
The Response of Precipitation Minus
The Response of Precipitation Minus

... 2014), it seems that there may be a robust and widespread mechanism retarding the response of the terrestrial water cycle to global warming. Here, we investigate the physical mechanisms controlling projected changes in P 2 E over all land regions in simulations from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Inte ...
Plant communities and global change: adaptation by changes in
Plant communities and global change: adaptation by changes in

... gradients in different valleys. These temperature gradients are excellent natural manipulation experiments that allow studying the response of these northern grassland ecosystems to temperature increases. In one of the two studied valleys, these natural temperature gradients have been present for ce ...
Assessing an IPCC Assessment: An Analysis of Statements on Projected Regional Impacts in the 2007 Report
Assessing an IPCC Assessment: An Analysis of Statements on Projected Regional Impacts in the 2007 Report

... From the outset it was clear that the PBL would not be able to repeat the original IPCC Working Group II assessment, given the sheer volume of the scientific work reported in the IPCC exercise.2) What we were able to do, however, was investigate the extent to which the IPCC in their summaries had pr ...
The Response of Precipitation Minus Evapotranspiration
The Response of Precipitation Minus Evapotranspiration

... 2014), it seems that there may be a robust and widespread mechanism retarding the response of the terrestrial water cycle to global warming. Here, we investigate the physical mechanisms controlling projected changes in P 2 E over all land regions in simulations from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Inte ...
The Economic Effects of Long-Term Climate
The Economic Effects of Long-Term Climate

... lead to changes in city size. The …rst channel is the e¤ect of agricultural productivity on income per capita (Nunn et al., 2011: 607). When agricultural productivity increases workers in the rural economy have more to sell and earn more. The further above subsistence level rural per capita income r ...
Aquatic Microbial Ecology 70:17 - ICM-CSIC
Aquatic Microbial Ecology 70:17 - ICM-CSIC

... ABSTRACT: The effect of Arctic warming, which is 3 times faster than the global average, on microbial communities was evaluated experimentally to determine how increasing temperatures affect bacterial and viral abundance and production, protist community composition, and bacterial loss rates (bacter ...
Projected changes in temperature and heating degree
Projected changes in temperature and heating degree

... The results and analyses contained in this report are based on a number of technical, circumstantial or otherwise specified assumptions and parameters. The user must make its own assessment of the suitability for its use of the information or material contained in or generated from the report. To th ...
implications for climate change research b
implications for climate change research b

... climate change. The hypothesis is that short-term warming of ambient temperature will lead to accelerated phenology and increased vigor. Measured characters were date of flowering, number of flowers, stature, number of leaves, and leaf length. Twenty-four small open-top chambers were used to passive ...
STRIVE An Assessment of Uncertainties Report Series No.48
STRIVE An Assessment of Uncertainties Report Series No.48

... of projected temperature changes between GCMs; for ...
Predicting organismal vulnerability to climate warming
Predicting organismal vulnerability to climate warming

... The above considerations suggest indicator traits that may predict species most vulnerable to climate warming: specifically, vulnerable species are likely to be thermal specialists, to be active at Tb that are near (or even above) To [6,9,68,69] and to have limited capacity to acclimatize to changin ...
Predicting organismal vulnerability to climate warming: roles of
Predicting organismal vulnerability to climate warming: roles of

... The above considerations suggest indicator traits that may predict species most vulnerable to climate warming: specifically, vulnerable species are likely to be thermal specialists, to be active at Tb that are near (or even above) To [6,9,68,69] and to have limited capacity to acclimatize to changin ...
Multicentennial Agulhas leakage variability and links to North
Multicentennial Agulhas leakage variability and links to North

... New high-resolution sea surface temperature (SST) and sea surface salinity (SSS) estimates are presented from the Agulhas Bank slope in the Atlantic sector of the Agulhas Corridor using planktic foraminiferal (Globigerinoides ruber) δ18O and Mg/Ca-derived SST. By focusing on the last 80,000 years, t ...
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North Report

The North Report was a 2006 report evaluating reconstructions of the temperature record of the past two millennia, providing an overview of the state of the science and the implications for understanding of global warming. It was produced by a National Research Council committee, chaired by Gerald North, at the request of Representative Sherwood Boehlert as chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science.These reconstructions had been dubbed ""hockey stick graphs"" after the 1999 reconstruction by Mann, Bradley and Hughes (MBH99), which used the methodology of their 1998 reconstruction covering 600 years (MBH98). A graph based on MBH99 was featured prominently in the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), and became a focus of the global warming controversy over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It was disputed by various contrarians, and in the politicisation of this hockey stick controversy the New York Times of 14 February 2005 hailed a paper by businessman Stephen McIntyre and economist Ross McKitrick (MM05) as undermining the scientific consensus behind the Kyoto agreement. On 23 June 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, with Ed Whitfield, Chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, wrote joint letters referring to issues raised by the Wall Street Journal article, and demanding that Mann, Bradley and Hughes provide full records on their data and methods, finances and careers, information about grants provided to the institutions they had worked for, and the exact computer codes used to generate their results. Boehlert said this was a ""misguided and illegitimate investigation"" into something that should properly be under the jurisdiction of the Science Committee, and in November 2005 after Barton dismissed the offer of an independent investigation organised by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Boehlert requested the review, which became the North Report.The North Report went through a rigorous review process, and was published on 22 June 2006. It concluded ""with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries"", justified by consistent evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies, but ""Less confidence can be placed in large-scale surface temperature reconstructions for the period from 900 to 1600"". It broadly agreed with the basic findings of the original MBH studies, which subsequently been supported by other reconstructions and proxy records, while emphasising uncertainties over earlier periods. The principal component analysis methodology that McIntyre and McKitrick had contested had a small tendency to bias results so was not recommended—but it had little influence on the final reconstructions, and other methods produced similar results.
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