
STATISTICS : basic statistics and probability 982
... Concepts of a Frequency Table i. Class limits: The observations which constitute a class are called class limits. The left hand side observations are called lower limits and the right hand side observations are called upper limits. ii. Working classes: The classes of the form 0-9, 10-19, 20-29,... a ...
... Concepts of a Frequency Table i. Class limits: The observations which constitute a class are called class limits. The left hand side observations are called lower limits and the right hand side observations are called upper limits. ii. Working classes: The classes of the form 0-9, 10-19, 20-29,... a ...
MA6465
... Continuous probability distributions – Expectation – Moment generating function – probability generating function - Probability mass and density functions Objective: To acquaint the students with fundamental knowledge of the concepts of ...
... Continuous probability distributions – Expectation – Moment generating function – probability generating function - Probability mass and density functions Objective: To acquaint the students with fundamental knowledge of the concepts of ...
On the Foundations of Quantitative Information Flow
... One promising approach to relaxing noninterference is to develop a quantitative theory of information flow that lets us talk about “how much” information is being leaked, and perhaps allowing us to tolerate “small” leaks. Such a quantitative theory has long been recognized as an important generaliza ...
... One promising approach to relaxing noninterference is to develop a quantitative theory of information flow that lets us talk about “how much” information is being leaked, and perhaps allowing us to tolerate “small” leaks. Such a quantitative theory has long been recognized as an important generaliza ...
A Poisoned Dart for Conditionals
... landing points. But look at all the gifts that infinity has brought us, or better, wrought upon us: Zeno’s paradox, Hilbert’s Hotel, the Banach-Tarski paradox, the Burali-Forti paradox, Yablo’s paradox, controversy about continuum hypothesis, undecidability, Skolem’s paradox, the St. Petersburg para ...
... landing points. But look at all the gifts that infinity has brought us, or better, wrought upon us: Zeno’s paradox, Hilbert’s Hotel, the Banach-Tarski paradox, the Burali-Forti paradox, Yablo’s paradox, controversy about continuum hypothesis, undecidability, Skolem’s paradox, the St. Petersburg para ...
pdf
... to pointing out that asymptotic conditional probabilities do not exist in general, he shows that it is undecidable whether such a probability exists. He then investigates the special case of conditioning on formulas involving unary predicates only (but no equality). In this case, he proves that the ...
... to pointing out that asymptotic conditional probabilities do not exist in general, he shows that it is undecidable whether such a probability exists. He then investigates the special case of conditioning on formulas involving unary predicates only (but no equality). In this case, he proves that the ...
(pdf)
... that the only harmonic functions on Z are linear. Because must always be nonnegative, we know that the slope of must be zero. If (x)P= 0 for all x, then is not a probability distribution; similarly, if (x) 6= 0, then x2Z (x) = 1, so is not a probability distribution. Thus, the simple rand ...
... that the only harmonic functions on Z are linear. Because must always be nonnegative, we know that the slope of must be zero. If (x)P= 0 for all x, then is not a probability distribution; similarly, if (x) 6= 0, then x2Z (x) = 1, so is not a probability distribution. Thus, the simple rand ...
Lecture 8
... finite VC dimension. In this lecture we will talk about other methods for obtaining generalization bounds and establishing learnability. We start with PAC-Bayes bounds which can be though of as an extension to Minimum Description Length (MDL) bounds and Occam’s razor. Next, we discuss a compression ...
... finite VC dimension. In this lecture we will talk about other methods for obtaining generalization bounds and establishing learnability. We start with PAC-Bayes bounds which can be though of as an extension to Minimum Description Length (MDL) bounds and Occam’s razor. Next, we discuss a compression ...
Justification logic with approximate conditional probabilities
... and hence also for intuitionistic logic. The Logic of Proofs interprets justification terms as formal proofs (e.g., in Peano Arithmetic) and thus t:α is read as t is a proof of α [1, 24]. Fitting [16] provides a possible world semantics for justification logics. Based on this epistemic semantics, a ...
... and hence also for intuitionistic logic. The Logic of Proofs interprets justification terms as formal proofs (e.g., in Peano Arithmetic) and thus t:α is read as t is a proof of α [1, 24]. Fitting [16] provides a possible world semantics for justification logics. Based on this epistemic semantics, a ...
BAYESIAN STATISTICS
... from the lack of an axiomatic basis; as a consequence, their proposed desiderata are often mutually incompatible, and the analysis of the same data may well lead to incompatible results when different, apparently intuitive procedures are tried. In marked contrast, the Bayesian approach to statistica ...
... from the lack of an axiomatic basis; as a consequence, their proposed desiderata are often mutually incompatible, and the analysis of the same data may well lead to incompatible results when different, apparently intuitive procedures are tried. In marked contrast, the Bayesian approach to statistica ...
Utility theory - Create and Use Your home.uchicago.edu Account
... excerpts from Chapter 3: Utility Theory with Constant Risk Tolerance 3.1. Taking account of risk aversion: utility analysis with probabilities In the decision analysis literature, a decision-maker is called risk-neutral if he (or she) is willing to base his decisions purely on the criterion of maxim ...
... excerpts from Chapter 3: Utility Theory with Constant Risk Tolerance 3.1. Taking account of risk aversion: utility analysis with probabilities In the decision analysis literature, a decision-maker is called risk-neutral if he (or she) is willing to base his decisions purely on the criterion of maxim ...
Method - Psychology Department
... controversial because the statistical analysis did not allow each participant to have a different true preference order. Recently, however, it has been theorized that an inherently intransitive process governs risky decision making. This paper uses a relatively new statistical technique for testing ...
... controversial because the statistical analysis did not allow each participant to have a different true preference order. Recently, however, it has been theorized that an inherently intransitive process governs risky decision making. This paper uses a relatively new statistical technique for testing ...
DIFFUSION PROCESSES IN ONE DIMENSION
... The elementary return process represents the most general diffusion process in (ri, r2) except if at least one boundary is regular in the sense of [2]. In this case we obtain analogues to the classical elastic and reflecting barrier processes by a direct passage to the limit from an instantaneous re ...
... The elementary return process represents the most general diffusion process in (ri, r2) except if at least one boundary is regular in the sense of [2]. In this case we obtain analogues to the classical elastic and reflecting barrier processes by a direct passage to the limit from an instantaneous re ...
Probability interpretations

The word probability has been used in a variety of ways since it was first applied to the mathematical study of games of chance. Does probability measure the real, physical tendency of something to occur or is it a measure of how strongly one believes it will occur, or does it draw on both these elements? In answering such questions, mathematicians interpret the probability values of probability theory.There are two broad categories of probability interpretations which can be called ""physical"" and ""evidential"" probabilities. Physical probabilities, which are also called objective or frequency probabilities, are associated with random physical systems such as roulette wheels, rolling dice and radioactive atoms. In such systems, a given type of event (such as the dice yielding a six) tends to occur at a persistent rate, or ""relative frequency"", in a long run of trials. Physical probabilities either explain, or are invoked to explain, these stable frequencies. Thus talking about physical probability makes sense only when dealing with well defined random experiments. The two main kinds of theory of physical probability are frequentist accounts (such as those of Venn, Reichenbach and von Mises) and propensity accounts (such as those of Popper, Miller, Giere and Fetzer).Evidential probability, also called Bayesian probability (or subjectivist probability), can be assigned to any statement whatsoever, even when no random process is involved, as a way to represent its subjective plausibility, or the degree to which the statement is supported by the available evidence. On most accounts, evidential probabilities are considered to be degrees of belief, defined in terms of dispositions to gamble at certain odds. The four main evidential interpretations are the classical (e.g. Laplace's) interpretation, the subjective interpretation (de Finetti and Savage), the epistemic or inductive interpretation (Ramsey, Cox) and the logical interpretation (Keynes and Carnap).Some interpretations of probability are associated with approaches to statistical inference, including theories of estimation and hypothesis testing. The physical interpretation, for example, is taken by followers of ""frequentist"" statistical methods, such as R. A. Fisher, Jerzy Neyman and Egon Pearson. Statisticians of the opposing Bayesian school typically accept the existence and importance of physical probabilities, but also consider the calculation of evidential probabilities to be both valid and necessary in statistics. This article, however, focuses on the interpretations of probability rather than theories of statistical inference.The terminology of this topic is rather confusing, in part because probabilities are studied within a variety of academic fields. The word ""frequentist"" is especially tricky. To philosophers it refers to a particular theory of physical probability, one that has more or less been abandoned. To scientists, on the other hand, ""frequentist probability"" is just another name for physical (or objective) probability. Those who promote Bayesian inference view ""frequentist statistics"" as an approach to statistical inference that recognises only physical probabilities. Also the word ""objective"", as applied to probability, sometimes means exactly what ""physical"" means here, but is also used of evidential probabilities that are fixed by rational constraints, such as logical and epistemic probabilities.It is unanimously agreed that statistics depends somehow on probability. But, as to what probability is and how it is connected with statistics, there has seldom been such complete disagreement and breakdown of communication since the Tower of Babel. Doubtless, much of the disagreement is merely terminological and would disappear under sufficiently sharp analysis.