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12.1fiscal policy The goal of stabilization is to keep the economy as close as possible to its . Stabilization policy is government policy designed to lessen the effects of the business cycle which can be either expansionary policies or contractionary policies. Expansionary policies attempt to unemployment and total output (Contains expansionary fiscal policy and expansionary momentary policy. contractionary policies attempt to prices and bring the economy to its potential output. (Contains contractionary fiscal policy and contractionary momentary policy.) Fiscal Policy uses and as its tools. Fiscal Year is the 12-month period to which a budget applies Monetary policy uses interest rates and the money supply as its tool. (Not included in this chapter, but will be involved in later chapters) The government makes changes on government purchases and tax rates to influence the aggregate demand Government Purchases(Immediate effect on aggregate demand ) Tax rate(less immediate effect on aggregate demand) Effect on Aggregate demand Expansionary fiscal policy Contractionary fiscal policy Increase Decrease Cut Tax Increase Tax Increase aggregate demand, shifting the aggregate demand curve to right. Push up the equilibrium price level and output.(p282) Reduce aggregate demand, thereby shifting the aggregate demand curve to the left. Equilibrium price level and output are pushed down(p283) 1 Discretionary Policy is international government intervention in the economy such as budgeted changes in spending or taxation. Automatic stabilizers: built-in measures, such as taxation& transfer payment programs, which affect aggregate demand and minimize the impact of inflationary and recessionary gaps. Net tax revenues = taxes collected — transfers subsidies 12.2The Spending Multiplier The multiplier effect: The multiplier effect: demand . the magnified impact of a spending change on aggregate The marginal propensity to consumer (MPC): the effect on domestic consumption of a change in income. MPC = change in consumption on domestic items Change in income The marginal propensity to withdraw: the effect on withdrawals (i.e. saving import , and taxes ) of a change in income. , MPW = change in total withdrawals Change in income MPC + MPW =111 because income is either spen on domestic consumption or withdraw from the circular flow as saving, import, and taxes. 2 *Exercise: A $100 increase in a person's income causes him to increase his saving by $5, his imports by $35, and his tax payments by $20. In this case, the marginal propensity to withdraw is: The spending Multiplier Spending Multiplier: the value by which an initial __________ _____________ is multiplied to give the ___________ _____________ in real output. Total change in output = initial change x spending (Shift in AD curve) in spending multiplier The spending multiplier is the ________________ of the marginal propensity to withdraw Spending Multiplier =__1__ MPW Effect of a Tax Cut The initial change in spending on domestic items from a change in ________ (T) is found by multiplying the economy’s ______________ ______________ to consume by the size of the _______ then it is multiplied by the ______________ ____________, _______________ (1/MPA). Only the amount used to buy ______________ _____________ represents the initial spending increase. Total change in output = - (MPC X change in T) x (1/MPA) -(MPC X T) has a minus sign because the spending change is in the opposite direction to the tax change 3 Relevance of the Spending Multiplier When the economy is close to its potential level, the _____________ in aggregate demand translates into ___________ price levels more than into expanded production When the stated goal being a stable economy and expanded output, ________________ ____________ ___________ is less effective the closer the economy is to its potential Similarly, for the __________________ fiscal policy, when the economy is above its potential, a _____________ in aggregate demand means both price level and total output will fall Benefits of fiscal policy Two benefits as stabilization tool: 1.___________________ 2.___________________ Regional focus Discretionary fiscal policy can focus on particular regions. E.g. During a recession, new government purchases and program to_________ the amount of tax paid can be targeted to regions where unemployment rate are______________ Net income revenue __________hit by unemployment and falling output. In a boom,__________ and__________ can be concentrated on the regions where inflation is at its worst.____________ in net tax revenue in regional where the economy is most over-heated. Impact on spending Fiscal policy direct impact on the spending through alters the government power. Drawbacks of fiscal policy 1_______________ 2.________________ 3._____________ Label each definition with the corresponding terms. Delays-- Recognition lag Decision lag Impact lag ___________________ The amount of time needed to formulate and implement an appropriate policy 4 ___________________ The amount of time between a policy’s implementation and its having an effect on the economy ___________________ The amount of time it takes policy-makers to realize that a policy needed. Political visibility Discretionary is highly visible element of government activity, therefore, it is often affected by political and economic considerations. E.G vote: increases in government purchases and reduce the taxes, regardless of the appropriateness of these policies for the economy. Public debt Public debt Total government Public debt charges Label each definition with the corresponding terms. ___________________ The total amount owned by the federal government as a result of its past borrowing. ____________________ Include the debts of individuals’ provinces and territories and incorporates local government and hospital _____________________ : The amounts paid out each year by the federal government to cover the interest The federal government’s public charge were37.2billion, the government should pay 507.7 to bondholders. What is the average interest? Average interest rate=public debt charge/public debt charges on its public debt. 5 12.3The Impact of Fiscal Policy Budget surpluses and deficits When the government’s expenditures and revenues are equal, we cell that _____________ When the government’s revenues exceed its expenditures, we cell that _________________ When the government’s expenditures exceed its revenues, we cell that _________________ _______________= government revenues- government expenditures ________________= government expenditure – government revenue The government’s debt represents the sum of its entire past budget deficits minus any budget surpluses. Fiscal Policy Guidelines and Recent Policy Annually balanced budgets are: Cyclically balanced budgets are: Functional finance is: Critics also say that an __________________________________ is not necessarily appropriate for society and state it is flawed reasoning. Defenders of functional finance are: Economist who support cyclically or annually balanced budget _____________________________________________________________________ _________ _____________________________________________________________________ _________ A) In the 1970s and early ______, Canada believed in ____________________ but recently had made unsuccessful attempts to move towards _________________________. 6 B) Total government deficits were highest during ____________________ in early 1980s and 1990s. C) The 1980s deficit ______________________, while the 1990s deficits were related to __________________________. Keynes and His Influence: Neoclassical theory is __________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ _______ Flexible labour markets: Neoclassical economists suggest that both the demand and supply of _________ depend on ______________, or ______________ expressed in constant base-year dollars, rather than the ________________, which is valued in current dollars. There are two types of unemployment: 1.) 2.) Voluntary unemployment exists whenever _____________________________________________________________________ _______ Involuntary unemployment is when _______________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ _______ Say’s Law: Say argued that ____________________________________________ An example would be _________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________. Think of other examples! Keynes believed that workers are influenced by ___________________________ rather than__________________________ and ___________________________ 7 8