Download Chapter 5 Outline

Chapter 5: Probability - 2 tests
Outline
AP Statistics
Mrs. Harrison
Essential Questions:
1. What is probability?
2. Do “independent” and “disjoint” mean the same thing?
3. How can probability rules be used to determine the probability of an outcome?
4. How can simulation be useful?
Knowledge: You should be able to define, illustrate, or calculate the following:
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Skills:
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□ Event
□ Mutually
Exclusive/Disjoint
□ Complementary Events
Law of Large Numbers
Probability
Sample space, S
Probability Model
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Independent events
Union/Intersection
Conditional
Simulation
You should be able to…
Interpret probability as a long-run relative frequency.
Describe a probability model for a chance process.
Use basic probability rules, including the complement rule and the addition rule for mutually exclusive
events.
Use a two-way table or Venn diagram to model a chance process and calculate probabilities involving
two events.
Use the general addition rule to calculate probabilities.
Calculate and interpret conditional probabilities.
Use the general multiplication rule to calculate probabilities.
Use tree diagrams to model a chance process and calculate probabilities involving two or more events.
Determine if two events are independent.
When appropriate, use the multiplication rule for independent events to compute probabilities.
Use simulation to model chance behavior.
Monday
Tuesday
Block Day
Friday
31
1
2/3
4
Idea of Probability (5.1)
Pig Rollin’
7
8
11
Probability Rules (5.2)
General Addition Rule (5.2)
14
Probability Review
15
Test 6: Probability Rules
Chapter 5
9/10
Condition Probability (5.3)
Monty Hall Problem
Paper- Wad Lab
16/17
Simulation 5.1
21
22
23/24
25
Ch. 5 Quiz - FRAPPY!
18
Simulation Practice
 THANKSGIVING BREAK 
28
29
Review Simulation
Test 7: Simulation
30/1
2