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XEC30503 UNIVERSITY OF DUBLIN TRINITY COLLEGE FACULTY OF ARTS, HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS Junior Sophister Hilary Term 2008 BESS, TSM, BBS, MSISS, One Year Student INVESTMENT ANALYSIS Tuesday 11th March 2008 LUCE HALL 14:00-16:00 Professor Patrick Honohan Exam Instructions Answer ALL questions Materials Permitted for this Examination Calculators Log Tables You may not start this examination until you are instructed to do so by the Invigilator. Page 1 of 3 XEC30503 1. (i) Which of the following statements is true: “beta and standard deviation differ as risk measures in that beta measures: (a) Only unsystematic risk, while standard deviation measures total risk (b) Only systematic risk, while standard deviation measures total risk (c) Both systematic and unsystematic risk, while standard deviation measures only unsystematic risk (d) Both systematic and unsystematic risk, while standard deviation measures only systematic risk (ii) Based on current dividend yields and expected growth rates, the expected rates of return on stocks A and B are 11% and 14% respectively. The beta of stock A is 0.8, while the beta of stock B is 1.5. The risk-free rate is currently 6% while the expected return on the market index is 12%. The standard deviation of stock A is 10% annually, while than of stock B is 11%. (e) If you currently hold a well-diversified portfolio, would you choose to add either of these stocks to your portfolio? (f) If instead you could invest only in risk free Government bills and one of these stocks, which stock would you choose? Explain your answer using either a graph or a quantitative measure of the attractiveness of the stocks. 2. Suppose asset returns are influenced by two independent economic factors F1 and F2. The following are well-diversified portfolios: Loading Loading Expected on F1 on F2 return A 1.5 2.0 29% B 2.0 -0.5 24% C 1.0 0.5 14% Portfolio Write down the relationship between factor loadings (sensitivities) and factor rewards (risk premia) consistent with this data. Page 2 of 3 XEC30503 3. (i) For each of the following three statements, indicate whether it is true or false: (a) Stocks with a beta of zero offer an expected rate of return of zero (b) The CAPM implies that investors require a higher return to hold highly volatile securities (c) You can construct a portfolio with a beta of 0.75 by investing three-quarters of the investment budget in T-bills and the remainder in the market portfolio. (ii) Assuming that expected returns follow the basic CAPM model, consider the following table, which gives the expected return on two stocks for two particular market returns: Market Aggressive Defensive return stock stock 5% -2% 6% 25% 38% 12% (a) What are the betas of the two stocks? (b) What is the expected return on each stock if the market return is equally likely to be 5% or 25% (c) If the Treasury Bill rate is 6% and the market return in equally likely to be 5% or 25%, draw the Security Market Line (SML) for this economy (d) Plot two securities on the SML graph. What are the alphas of each? (e) What hurdle rate (minimum required rate) of return should be used by the management of the aggressive firm for a project with the risk characteristics of the defensive firm’s stock © UNIVERSITY OF DUBLIN 2008 Page 3 of 3