Download CSPR Briefing CS PR Br

In Hac Vita: Increasing Nordic
Homeowners’ Adaptative Capacity
to Climate Change
– research and development of a
web-based tool VisAdaptTM
Tina–Simone Neset, Björn-Ola Linnér, Erik Glaas,
Carlo Navarra, Jimmy Johansson, Tomaz Opach,
Jan Rød, Anne Gammelgaard Ballantyne
and Michael Goodsite
CSPR Briefing No 10, 2013
CSPR Briefing
The Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research is a joint venture between
Linköping University and the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological
Institute. We conduct interdisciplinary research on the consequences of
climate change as well as measures to mitigate emissions of greenhouse gases
and ways to adapt society to a changing climate. Producing effective climate
strategies presupposes that the climate issue is studied in its context with other
measures for sustainable development, therefore the Centre also undertakes
research on related environmental and resource issues. Our research spans
international and global as well as Swedish conditions.
For more information on our research and other publications please visit
www.cspr.se
Linköping University
Centre for Climate Science
and Policy Research
The Tema Institute
SE-601 74 Norrköping
Sweden
Telephone + 46 (0)11 36 33 47
Telefax +46 (0)11 36 32 92
E-mail: [email protected]
Contact CSPR
Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research
Neset, T-S., Linnér, B-O., Glaas, E., Navarra, C., Johansson, J., Opach, T., Rød, J., Gammelgaard Ballantyne, A. and
Goodsite, M. (2013). In Hac Vita Project Briefing No 1, 2013. CSPR Briefing No. 10. Centre for Climate Science and
Policy Research, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden.
In Hac Vita: Increasing Nordic Homeowners’
Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change
- research and development of a web-based tool VisAdaptTM
The NordForsk funded research project In Hac Vita project is a collaboration between the Nordic
insurance companies If, Gjensidige, Trygg-Hansa/ Codan and Tryg Insurance, and the Top-level
Research Initiative the Nordic Centre of Excellence NORD-STAR.
The project concerns climate change adaptation and insurance in the Nordic countries and
focuses on the design and implementation of the web-based visualisation tool VisAdaptTM,
allowing homeowners to assess potential climate related risk factors that may have an impact
on their living conditions, and to get an overview of existing guidelines of how to adapt to
climate change and extreme weather effects.
Impacts from climate change and extreme weather events
Over the last couple of years, the Nordic countries have experienced severe damages and rising
costs due weather related events, such as flooding and storms. As a result, insurance companies
have had an increase in the number of compensation payments made to homeowners. Over the
coming years, payments are expected to rise even more throughout the Nordic region
(Forsikring & pension 2013).
The Nordic countries are facing several expected climate change and weather related
challenges, including increased annual precipitation, more common and intensified cloudbursts,
Increased variation in water run-off and levels, increased annual temperatures, higher humidity,
increased number of days with extreme high temperatures (heat waves), sea level rise, coastal
erosion, increased number of landslide events and potentially more days with strong wind
(Goodsite et al. 2013, IPCC 2012).
The VisAdaptTM tool
The web-based interactive tool VisAdaptTM applies elements of geographic and information
visualization to increase individuals’ capacity to adapt to climate variability and change by
facilitating exploration and learning of expected climate and weather related effects in the
Nordic Region. Users can select specific locations or regions to discern information about
potential climate impacts and adaptation measures from national government authorities,
municipalities and insurance companies in Denmark, Norway and Sweden, as well as comparing
multiple scenarios and historical changes. This enables assessment of local vulnerability and
Neset, T-S., Linnér, B-O., Glaas, E., Navarra, C., Johansson, J., Opach, T., Rød, J., Gammelgaard Ballantyne, A. and
Goodsite, M. (2013). In Hac Vita Project Briefing No 1, 2013. CSPR Briefing No. 10. Centre for Climate Science and
Policy Research, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden.
reflection of possible adaptation options. VisAdaptTM is predominantly developed for private
homeowners, but has potential to function as a decision support and information tool for e.g.
insurance professionals, land-use planners or property managers.
Figure 1: Screenshot of the VisAdapt
TM
interface (November 2013)
VisAdaptTM is a web-based tool with multiple linked views. The interface is structured in three
step exploration process and designed to guide non-experts users in locating their house and
exploring data and guidelines for this location:
Step 1: the user inserts the address of the location to investigate as well as specific features of
his/her own house, such as roof type or topography of the garden
Step 2: the user can explore different climate scenarios to investigate projected changes in
temperature, precipitation and other climate parameters
Step 3: information is provided on possible adaptation measures that are of particular relevance
to the climate parameters which is expected for the selected region and to the specific house
type
Throughout the research project, the tool development is continuingly assisted by experimental
evaluations, both individually and in groups with house owners and in groups with experts.
The VisAdaptTM tool is planned to be launched in the autumn of 2014. For more information
please visit www.liu.se/climatevisualization.
Project timeline: March 2012- August 2014
Neset, T-S., Linnér, B-O., Glaas, E., Navarra, C., Johansson, J., Opach, T., Rød, J., Gammelgaard Ballantyne, A. and
Goodsite, M. (2013). In Hac Vita Project Briefing No 1, 2013. CSPR Briefing No. 10. Centre for Climate Science and
Policy Research, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden.
Research Team
Prof. Björn-Ola Linnér.
Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research, Water and Environmental Studies, Linköping
University, Sweden.
Dr. Tina-Simone Neset, Assistant Professor.
Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research, Water and Environmental Studies, Linköping
University, Sweden.
Dr. Erik Glaas. Post-doctoral Research Fellow
Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research, Water and Environmental Studies, Linköping
University, Sweden.
MSc Carlo Navarra, Research Engineer
Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research, Water and Environmental Studies, Linköping
University, Sweden.
Dr. Jimmy Johansson, Assistant Professor
C-Research, Department of Science and Technology, Linköping University, Sweden.
Dr. Tomasz Opach, Post-doctoral Research Fellow
Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway and Centre for Climate Science and
Policy Research, Water and Environmental Studies, Linköping University, Sweden.
Dr. Jan Ketil Röd, Associate Professor
Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway
MA Anne Gammelgaard Ballantyne, PhD candidate
Aarhus University Herning (AU Herning), Denmark and Centre for Climate Science and
Policy Research, Water and Environmental Studies, Linköping University, Sweden.
Prof. Michael Goodsite, Head of Department, AU Herning and Center Director, Nordic Center
of Excellence for Strategic Adaptation Research (NCoE NORD-STAR), Aarhus University,
Denmark
Neset, T-S., Linnér, B-O., Glaas, E., Navarra, C., Johansson, J., Opach, T., Rød, J., Gammelgaard Ballantyne, A. and
Goodsite, M. (2013). In Hac Vita Project Briefing No 1, 2013. CSPR Briefing No. 10. Centre for Climate Science and
Policy Research, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden.
References
Forsikring & pension, Finans Norge, Federation of Finnish Financial Services and Svensk Försäkring. 2013. Weather
related damage in the Nordic countries – from an insurance perspective. [Weather related damage in the
Nordic countries (final).pdf] acc: 2013-09-02.
Goodsite, M.E., M. Davis, R.J.T. Klein, B. Davídsdóttir, R. Atlason, S. Juhola, M. Landauer, B.O. Linnér, T. Neset, E.
Glaas, G. Eskeland (2013). White Paper: Climate Change Adaptation in the Nordic Countries. Nordic Climate,
Mitigation, Adaptation and Economic Policies Network (N-CMAEP), Norden Top-level Research Initiative,
Oslo, Norway
IPCC, 2012: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Special
Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V. Barros,
T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor,
and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, 582 pp.
Please cite this text as:
Neset, T-S., Linnér, B-O., Glaas, E., Navarra, C., Johansson, J., Opach, T., Rød, J., Gammelgaard Ballantyne, A. and
Goodsite, M. (2013). In Hac Vita Project Briefing No 1, 2013. Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research,
Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden. Available at www.cspr.se and www.liu.se/climatevisualization