Download For a given CA II K-line index there are too few sunspots

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Transcript
For a given CA II K-line index there
are too few sunspots after 2000
The Plage index is MWO’s Magnetic Plage Strength Index MPSI:
For each magnetogram taken at the 150-Foot Solar Tower, a Magnetic Plage Strength Index (MPSI) value is calculated. To determine MPSI we sum the absolute values of
the magnetic field strengths for all pixels where the absolute value of the magnetic field strength is between 10 and 100 gauss. This number is then divided by the total of
number of pixels (regardless of magnetic field strength) in the magnetogram. The MPSI has been scaled by Luca Bertello to match the Ca II K-index. The calibration after
1986 is believed to be good.
The rising phase seems to be slightly higher than the declining, but the overall trend is a decline of
sunspot numbers compared to the plage index.
Same result if using MWO’s MPSI directly:
The Sunspot Number is dropping
SSN obs / SSN*
4
SSN* = 53.901 MPSI 1.0195
3.5
dy = -0.035 dx
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
We show the ratio between observed SSN and the linearized MWO Plage Index
For a given F10.7 flux there are too
few sunspots after 2000
Since at least 2000 the magnetic field
of spots has steadily decreased
Livingston & Penn Effect