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Transcript
Food production
in a changing climate
Dr Andy Challinor+, Dr Tom Osborne+ and Dr Tim Wheeler #
+
NCAS-Climate and #Dept Agriculture, University of Reading
Higher temperatures can
seriously reduce crop yields
Key messages
 The impacts of climate change will be a serious
threat to food security
 Short periods of high temperatures during
flowering time can seriously reduce yields of
annual crops like wheat and groundnut
Under climate change, crops in many regions will
be prone to environmental stresses not observed in
today’s climate.
Our UK and international
collaborators
By the end of the 21st century short periods of hot temperatures
that are found in some regions in the current climate will be found
over a wider area. If these occur at flowering time then the harvest of
annual crops such as groundnut and wheat can be seriously
reduced.
The Crops and Climate Group collaborates with key
research groups in the UK and internationally, such
as the Hadley Centre at the Met Office, and research
institutions in China, India and Brazil.
The findings of our research are published in specialist journals, books
and conferences, as well as in popular articles and in the media.
Climate affects food security
The impacts of climate change on crops will be a
serious threat to food security in tropical and
temperate regions.
Rice plants showing the effect of high temperature: only the brown
grains (left) contain seed that will be harvested (right)
Crops are sensitive to weather and climate. Much of the world’s supply
of staple food - crops such as rice and maize – is produced in the
tropics where weather and climate can vary dramatically from year-toyear.
Find out more…..
Reliable seasonal forecasts of crop yield would be of real benefit to
farmers and policymakers, and could assist with famine early warning
systems in vulnerable regions.
Wheeler and Osborne et at (2007) More papers, ….
Challinor A et al (2007) Crops paper…, Nature,…
Wheeler T et al (2007) Another crops paper…... Science,…
Contact: Tim Wheeler [email protected]
Walker Institute for Climate System Research
www.walker-institute.ac.uk