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AP STATISTICS – CHAPTER 10 REVIEW _____1. You want to compute a 96% confidence interval for a population mean. Assume that σ = 10 and the sample size is 50. The value of z* to be used in this calculation is (a) 1.960 (b) 1.645 (c) 1.7507 (d) 2.0537 _____2. You want to estimate the mean SAT score for a population of students with a 90% confidence interval. Assume that σ = 100. If you want the margin of error to be approximately 10, you will need a sample size of (a) 16 (b) 271 (c) 38 (d) 1476 _____3. A significance test gives a p-value of 0.04. From this we can (a) Reject Ho at the 1% significance level (b) Reject Ho at the 5% significance level (c) Say that the probability that Ho is false is 0.04 (d) Say that the probability that Ho is true is 0.04 _____4. In a test of Ho: μ = 100 against Ha: μ ≠ 100, a sample of size 80 produces z = 0.8 for the value of the test statistic. The p-value of the test is thus equal to (a) 0.20 (b) 0.40 (c) 0.29 (d) 0.42 (e) 0.21 _____5. Suppose that the population of the scores of all high school seniors who took the SAT Math test this year follows a normal distribution with mean μ and standard deviation σ = 100. You read a report that says, “On the basis of a simple random sample of 100 high school seniors that took the SAT-M test this year, a confidence interval for μ is 512.00 ± 25.76.” The confidence level for this interval is (a) 90% (b) 95% (c) 99% (d) 99.5% (e) over 99.9% _____6. A certain population follows a normal distribution with mean μ and standard deviation σ = 2.5. You collect data and test the hypothesis Ho: μ = 1 and Ha: μ ≠ 1. You obtain a p-value of 0.022. Which of the following is true? (a) A 95% confidence interval for μ will include the value 1. (b) A 95% confidence interval for μ will include the value 0. (c) A 99% confidence interval for μ will include the value 1. (d) A 99% confidence interval for μ will include the value 0. _____7. The government claims that students earn an average of $4500 during their summer break. A random sample of students gave a sample average of $3975 and a 95% confidence interval was found to be $3525 < μ < $4425. This interval is interpreted to mean that: (a) If the study were to be repeated many times, there is a 95% probability that the true average summer earnings is not $4500 as the government claims. (b) Because our specific confidence interval does not contain the value $4500, there is a 95% probability that the true average summer earnings is not $4500. (c) If we were to repeat our survey many times, then about 95% of all the confidence intervals will contain the value $4500. (d) If we repeat our survey many times, then about 95% of our confidence intervals will contain the true value of the average summer earnings of students. _____8. To determine the reliability of experts used in interpreting the results of polygraph examinations in criminal investigations, 280 cases were studied. The results were: TRUE STATUS INNOCENT GUILTY EXAMINER’S “INNOCENT” 131 15 DECISION “GUILTY” 9 125 If the hypotheses were Ho: suspect is innocent vs. Ha: suspect is guilty, then we could estimate the probability of making a Type II error as: (a) 15/280 (b) 9/280 (c) 15/140 (d) 9/140 (e) 15/146 9. A student is helping another student learn about confidence intervals. He says to her, “I am 95% confident that all of the test scores lie between 75 and 83”. Comment on his sentence. 10. When asked to explain the meaning of “the P-value was P = 0.03”, a student says, “This means there is only a 3% chance that the null hypothesis is true.” Is this a correct explanation? Explain. 11. Randomly selected statistics students participated in an experiment to test their ability to determine when 1 min (60 seconds) has passed. Forty students yielded a mean of 58.3 sec. (a) Assuming that σ = 9.5 sec, construct a 95% confidence interval and state in a sentence your findings. (b) Is it likely that students can determine when exactly 1 minute has passed? (c) Find the sample size to have a margin of error no bigger than 2. 12. In the past, the mean score of the seniors at Valley High on the ACT college entrance exam has been 20. This year a special course is offered, and all 53 seniors planning to take the ACT test enroll in the course. The mean of their ACT scores is 22.1. The principal believes that the new course has improved the students’ ACT scores. Assume that ACT scores vary normally with σ = 6. Test the principal’s claim at the 1% level by stating the null and alternative, drawing a picture, stating the test statistics and p-value, whether you reject or retain, and finally a complete sentence stating your conclusion. Based on your answer, what error could you have made? 13. The probability that a senior dares to cut Miss Biro’s class after Disney is 12%. This year Miss Biro has 135 students. What is the probability that more than 17% will cut her class? MULTIPLE CHOICE ANSWERS: D, B, B, D, C, C, D, C