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Example 1 2. Collecting Data continued How do we select a small subset of a population representative of the whole population? The sample should represent the population well, so sample statistics from a random sample should provide reasonable estimates of population parameters 1 Given that are 806 students in MA238, determine the total possible number of samples of size 50. 2 Sampling Schemes 1. Probability Sampling 2. Non-Probability Sampling 3 4 SimpleRandom Sampling. ‘a sample of n units chosen from a population of N units in such a way that every sample of n units has the same chance of selection’ 5 Stratified Random Sampling. (i) chose strata within the population so that units in each stratum resemble each other. 6 Cluster Sampling. (i) Divide the population into groups, or clusters and label (ii) take a SRS of these clusters. (ii) Take an SRS in each stratum 7 8 One consequence of natural variation is that two samples drawn by the same method from the same population will give somewhat different estimates of the population parameters (sampling variation). Sampling Errors 1.Random Sampling Errors Example 2 (Opinion poll) 46% Fianna Fail; 32% Fine Gael; 15% Labour; 4% PDs; 3% Others. 2.Non-Sampling Errors 9 10 Margin of Error Key Point When a sample is drawn using a probability sampling method, then we can use probability theory to indicate the extent to which the estimates obtained from different samples are likely to differ from one another, and from the true value of the population parameter. 11 In order to quantify random sampling errors we must first determine the sampling distribution of the statistic. 12