Download Update on DG RTD activities Climate change impacts, vulnerability

7th EIONET Workshop on
Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation
EEA, 20th June 2013
Update on DG RTD activities
Climate change impacts,
vulnerability and adaptation
Eleni Manoli
DG Research and Innovation
Directorate I – Environment
Climate Change and Natural Hazards Unit
[email protected]
Research and
Innovation
Developments since mid-2012…
• Adaptation-related projects from the last FP7
Environment call – expected to start in
November 2013
• Impacts of higher-end scenarios
• Economics of adaptation to climate change
• Launch of research projects on Strategies, costs
and impacts of adaptation to climate change
• Towards the end of several research projects on
adaptation
• Outputs to be linked to Climate-Adapt
Policy
Research and
Innovation
Impacts of higher-end
scenarios (1/3)
HELIX
High-End cLimate Impacts and eXtremes
• Driving questions:
• What do 4ºC and 6ºC worlds look like in
comparison to 2ºC?
• What are the consequences of different
adaptation choices?
• Key elements
• Multiple climate projections(RCPs) &
SSPs, and downscaling experiments
• Global impact models: Agriculture,
Water, Biomes, Health, Coastal
infrastructure
• Synthesis of impacts at different
warming levels, uncertainty and impact
emulators
© Crown copyright Met Office
The HELIX focus areas
Duration: 48 Months – Consortium of 16 partners, led by the University
of Exeter
Policy
Research and
Innovation
Impacts of higher-end
scenarios (2/3)
IMPRESSIONS
Impacts and risks from high-end scenarios – Strategies for innovative
solutions
• Focus: Integrated scenarios, adaptation
measures, climate and socio-economic
tipping points
• Key elements
• Modelling framework, stakeholder
engagement
• Advances in the CLIMSAVE IA platform:
new models, simulation of time- and
path-dependent impacts, adaptation and
vulnerabilities
• 5 Case Studies: Global, Europe, 3 local
sites in Europe
Duration: 60 Months – Consortium of 24 partners,
led by the University of Oxford
Policy
Research and
Innovation
Impacts of higher-end
scenarios (3/3)
RISES-AMResponses to coastal climate change: Innovative Strategies
for high End Scenarios -Adaptation and Mitigation
• Focus
• Impacts, vulnerability, adaptation in
coastal areas
• Sea level rise, storm surges, other
climate change impacts
• Key elements
• Diverse assessment cases: Deltas,
estuaries, coastal cities
• Accommodate and retreat adaptation
strategies, other green options for
coastal areas
Duration: 36 Months – Consortium of 12 partners,
led by the University of Catalonia
Policy
Research and
Innovation
Economics of adaptation
to climate change
ECONADAPT
Economics of climate change adaptation in Europe
• Aim: User-orientated methodologies and evidence relating to economic
appraisal criteria to inform the choice of adaptation actions
• Focus on a set of methodological challenges
• Long time scales (discounting and future preferences), Adaptive capacity in
economic analysis, Uncertainty, future learning and decision-making, Scaling and
transfer (Micro → Macro), Treatment of systemic change
• Set of case studies
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Disaster risk management – pan European scale
Project appraisal for flood protection (Czech Republic) and port infrastructure
(Spain)
Policy impact assessment of linkages between reformed CAP and ecosystem
management in the EU
Macro-economic assessment of adaptation strategies in the EU
Economic appraisal of financial support for adaptation from the EU to developing
countries
• Toolbox on the economics of adaptation (economic analysts, policy support
for non-economists)
Duration: 36 Months – Consortium of 14 partners,
led by the University of Bath
Policy
Research and
Innovation
Recently launched projects
(October 2012)
ToPDad/ BASE/ RAMSES/
Strategies, costs and impacts of adaptation to climate change
• Tool-supported policy-development for regional adaptation
(ToPDAd) - end September 2015
• Socioeconomic methods & tools for integrated assessments,
focus on Energy, Transport, Tourism, Mid - (2010-2050) and
long-(2050-2100) term strategy horizons
• Framework for the next generation toolset
http://www.topdad.eu/
• Bottom-up Climate Adaptation Strategies towards a
Sustainable Europe (BASE) - end September 2016
• Case Study approach (20 cases), Novel model combinations for
combining top-down and bottom-up analysis, Stakeholder
engagement, Policy guidelines
http://base-adaptation.eu/
• Reconciling Adaptation, Mitigation and Sustainable
Development for Cities (RAMSES) - end September 2017
• EU and international cities, full economic costs and benefits of
adaptation, strategy development in a sustainability context
Policy
Research and
Innovation
http://www.ramses-cities.eu/
Thank you for your attention
More information
Research on Environment: http://ec.europa.eu/research/environment/
Horizon 2020: http://ec.europa.eu/research/horizon2020/
Research and
Innovation