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Non-consumptive Predator Effects Risk Effects and the Ecology of Fear ESRM 450 Wildlife Ecology and Conservation The Role of Predators in Ecosystems • Predators eat their prey – In so doing, can influence prey population dynamics, prey distribution, and community organization – But is that all predators do? Painted dogs (Lycaon pictus) Predation is Costly “During any given day, an animal may fail to obtain a meal and go hungry, or it may fail to obtain matings and thus realize no reproductive success, but in the long term, the day’s shortcomings may have minimal influence on lifetime fitness. Few failures, however, are as unforgiving as the failure to avoid a predator: being killed greatly decreases future fitness” - Lima and Dill (1990) Can J Zool* *Modern classic: cited 2946 times (Web of Science)! So “Risk Management” Is Expected • From an evolutionary perspective, we expect most animals to make adjustments that mitigate possibility of predation – Predation is unforgiving, no room for mistakes • Risk management – No eating involved – Can be physiological, morphological, or… • Behavioral – Antipredator behavior – Today’s focus Didn’t make the proper adjustment Defining Predation risk • When we discuss risk management, we need to define what is being managed • Predation risk: an animal’s likelihood of predator-induced mortality – Two components: chances of encounter * chances of escape – Meaning: risk isn’t always highest where/when predators are most numerous – Risk is highest where product of components is greatest Lima and Dill (1990) Can J Zool The Ecology of Fear • Implications of risk management often called the “Ecology of Fear” – Because, for many species, predation risk may inspire fear… – …but this notion is hard to demonstrate and anthropomorphic – However, idea of ‘fear’ works well as a metaphor for the way predators influence prey non-consumptively • In truth, species need not be able to experience fear to respond to predation risk • Instead, only have to have evolved tendency to manifest adaptive trait changes when exposed to cues associated with heightened likelihood of mortality – i.e., risk effects are products of natural selection; lack of response to risk is maladaptive Kinds of Antipredator Behavior • Antipredator behavior can take many forms, all of which share something in common • Namely, they all carry a price - i.e., investment in defense usually requires that something of value is given up, such as energy reserves, resources or reproductive opportunities - Why? Anti-predator investment is energetically expensive and/or incompatible with efficient foraging, searching for mates - Otherwise, prey would be maximally defended all the time - Let’s consider some common anti-predator adjustments Lima and Dill (1990) Can J Zool Kinds of Antipredator Behavior • Major means of risk management: alteration of space use – i.e., habitat shifts Predator * Hugie and Dill (1994) J Fish Biol Spatial Shifts • Across landscape, patches – offer different foraging payoffs (benefits) and – feature different levels of predation risk (cost) • So, benefits gained from foraging in any patch must be discounted by the probability of being eaten while acquiring resources – i.e., predation risk is a foraging cost1 • Spatially - food and predation risk often positively correlated – Why? Predators “game” against prey; best policy often to choose areas where resources for prey are abundant2 – Meaning: plentiful (resource-rich) patches are often of lower quality (in terms of fitness) than they seem 1Brown and Kotler (2004) Ecol Lett 2Hugie and Dill (1994) J Fish Biol Spatial Shifts: Negotiating the Food-Safety Tradeoff • When resource-rich patches are also most dangerous – Safety-conscious prey use resource-poor patches to degree greater than expected based on expected energy gain (or another fitness currency) – i.e., prey individuals will trade food for safety Predator Safe (but fewer resources) Dangerous Exploiting The Fear Metaphor Per capita net rate of energy gain Back to IFD Figure – No Risk Good patch Poor patch Density at which consumers start using poor patch Number of competitors Per capita net rate of energy gain Back to IFD Figure – With Risk Food that is given up to be safe Good patch (same resources, but now more dangerous) Poor patch (safer) * New ‘switching’ density * Old ‘switching’ density Number of competitors Kinds of Antipredator Behavior • Another means of mitigating danger: enhanced vigilance – i.e., spending more time watching out for predators – Costly because, in many cases, individuals cannot forage, or forage less efficiently, when surveying for predators – Result: Where predators are a threat, prey foraging is reduced e.g., Guppies (Poecilia reticulata) are less vulnerable to predators when in ‘head-up’ position, but can’t forage Krause and Godin (1996) Anim Behav Costly Antipredator Behavior An Example • Elk (Cervus elaphus) under risk of wolf (Canis lupus) predation in YNP – One defensive tactic: increased vigilance Winnie and Creel (2007) Animal Behaviour Vigilance • Female elk increase vigilance, at the expense of grazing, when wolves are nearby • Vigilance and grazing times of male elk not affected by wolf proximity • Why this sex difference? Grazing Winnie and Creel (2007) Animal Behaviour Are Some Species Immune to Risk? • A qualified yes – “True” apex predators – Perhaps some “megafaunal herbivores” (e.g., elephants, rhinos) • But most are not – Even many that experience negligible predator-induced mortality! Are Some Species Immune to Risk? • African buffalo (Syncerus caffer) in Kruger national Park, S. Africa – Eaten by lions but, because of high survival and effective defenses, long considered immune to risk • Yet, in some cases, these mega-herbivores appear to avoid prime foraging areas in exchange for safety from lions Are Some Species Immune to Risk? Plant quality NVDI = Normalized Difference Vegetation Index Lion risk uniform Lion risk correlates with NDVI • African buffalo accept low-quality food where high-quality foraging patches feature high lion predation risk (basalt) Winnie et al. (2008) Ecology 89: 1457-1468 Humans and Predation Risk • Gordon Orians (emeritus, UW Biology) – Compared levels of refuge symbolism (e.g., cabin, cave, open area) in paintings of sunsets and sunrises – Prediction: more refuges in sunset paintings; why? Humans and Predation Risk • Gordon Orians (emeritus, UW Biology) – Compared levels of refuge symbolism (e.g., cabin, cave, open area) in paintings of sunsets and sunrises – Prediction: more refuges in sunset paintings; why? • 35 sunsets, 11 sunrises • 66% of sunset paintings offered built refuge, 9% for sunrises Is Cognitive Complexity a Prerequisite for Risk-Sensitivity? • No – Responses to predation risk manifested by many invertebrates • e.g., zooplankton exhibit daily movement patterns known as diel vertical migration (DVM) – Deep strata used during day, shallow at night • Best explanation: response to predation risk – Use of deep strata facilitates avoidance of visually orienting fish predators that hunt near the surface Hays (2003) Hydrobiologia Risk Effects “Risk effects are the non-consumptive effects of predators on prey, namely the lost foraging opportunities and lower levels of growth and reproduction experienced by prey investing in antipredator behavior ” Risk Effects Impact Prey Populations • Even in the absence of heavy mortality, risk effects can depress prey population size • How? – Carrying capacity reduced because prey animals do not exploit all available resources (acquisition of some resources too dangerous) Without Predators Fully Exploited With Predators Exploited Eschewed Risk Effects Impact Prey Populations • Example: Elk in Yellowstone – Since reintroduction of wolves (1995-1996), northern Yellowstone elk population has declined by 43% (14,500 to 8,300); ~ double the predicted decline based on wolf-induced mortality – Wolf-free populations elsewhere in MT have increased – Why? Reduced calf recruitment stemming from foraging adjustments – i.e., females are giving up food in prime but dangerous foraging locations and suffering the nutritional consequences Creel et al. (2005) Ecology Creel and Christianson (2008) TREE Why Study Risk Effects? • To assess full impact of predators on prey – Consumption plus Intimidation – If we focus only on consumption, we risk underestimating or completely missing predator effects • To gain insight regarding possible non-consumptive impacts of humans on wildlife – Seemingly benign activities may have negative consequences if they induce costly antipredator behavior • So that we can predict impacts of predator removal, restoration – Prey responses presage population, ecosystem changes