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GIS and Spatial Statistics: One
World View or Two?
Michael F. Goodchild
University of California
Santa Barbara
Location as attribute
„
The data table
– Census summary table
What value is location as an
explanatory variable?
„ Linking the table to a boundary file
„
– enabling maps of summary data
Tract
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Pop Location Shape
3786
x,y
2966
x,y
5001
x,y
4983
x,y
4130
x,y
3229
x,y
4086
x,y
3979
x,y
Abstraction of geographic
space
„
Cartograms
„
Invariance under rotation, displacement
Reconstruction from a distance matrix
Reconstruction from ranked distances
„
„
– ordered metric data (Coombs)
Space as a matrix
„
W where wij is some measure of
interaction
– adjacency
– decreasing function of distance
– invariant under rotation, displacement
– readily obtained from a GIS
Applications of the W matrix
„
Spatial regression
– add spatially lagged terms weighted by W
– Anselin’s SPACESTAT
„
Moran and Geary indices of spatial
dependence
(n − 1)∑∑ wij (xi − x j )
2
c=
i
j
2∑∑ wij ∑ ( xi − a )
2
i
j
i
The location-as-attribute
world view
„
Objective: scientific explanation,
understanding of social processes
– is location an explanatory factor?
„
Relative location as expressed in the W
matrix
– a surrogate for spatial interaction
– reflecting costs of transport, probability of
interaction and acquaintance, probability of
migration or travel, probability of seed dispersal
Geographic information
systems
Systems to acquire, store, transform,
analyze, display, share, archive
geographic information
„ Geographic information
„
– information about the specific
characteristics of places on or near the
Earth’s surface
– <x,z> where x is a location in space-time
and z is some set of general properties
Origins of GIS
„
The Canada Geographic Information
System
– circa 1965
– support for the Canada Land Inventory
– $20 million investment by the Government
of Canada
– justified by accurate cost-benefit analysis
Objectives of GIS
„
Mapping and inventory
– representing the contents of the Earth’s surface
– using space (and time) as the organizing
dimensions
„
Design
– formulation, evaluation of future scenarios
„
Support for science
– search for pattern, anomalies, hypotheses,
explanation
– integrating layers of data
– geographic context
The impact of the Internet
„
Communication of geographic
knowledge as the new purpose
– sharing what we know
– geographic information as a public good
– spatial analysis as added value,
manipulation of the message
– spatial data archives and clearinghouses,
the National Spatial Data Infrastructure
Fundamental parameters of
the communication paradigm
„
Technical
– bandwidth, speed, access, reliability
– interoperability, semantics, understanding
„
Media and formal structures
– visual, auditory, tactile
– speech, text, imagery, maps, tables…
– facilitating or imposing
It's chilly
today in
Seattle
Spoken word
Text
Picture
x, y, T
Interoperability
„
Common understanding of meaning
– semantics over syntax
– x is more commonly understood than z
The Modifiable Areal Unit
Problem
„
Openshaw and Taylor
– 99 counties of Iowa
– % Republican voters, % over 65
48 regions: -.548 to +.886
„ 12 regions: -.936 to +.996
„ Solutions:
„
– manipulate to determine range
– strengthen theoretical framework
The GIS data types
„
Discrete geographic features
– points, lines, areas
– the contents of maps
– with associated attributes
– countable
– conceived as tables with associated
feature geometry
„
ESRI shapefiles
Fields
„
Geography as a collection of continuous
variables
– measured on nominal, ordinal, interval,
ratio scales
– vector fields of direction and magnitude
– exactly one value per point
– z=f(x)
– population density, land ownership, zoning
The location-as-continuum
world view
Discrete objects result from human
interpretation
„ Social processes respond to both fields
and discrete objects
„ Reporting zones lump the continuum in
arbitrary ways
„
Spatial heterogeneity
Uncontrolled variance over the Earth’s
surface
„ There is no average place
„ Results depend explicitly on bounds
„ Places as samples
„ Consider the model:
y = a + bx
„
Spatial dependence
„
The First Law of Geography (Tobler)
– all things are related but nearby things are
more related than distant things
Acceptance of the null hypothesis of no
spatial dependence is always a Type II
error
„ Hell is a place with no spatial
dependence
„
Integrating GIS and spatial
statistics
„
Role of space
–
–
–
–
„
an organizing dimension for information
a source of context and linkage
an explanatory variable
a problem
Terminology
– lattice, support, drift, topology, layer, coverage,
region
„
Software as glue
– within what conceptual framework?