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Compound Probability – Independent and Dependent Events Application Teacher: Renee Carpenter Topic: Probability and Statistics Date: April 15, 2015 Content Area: Math Grade Level: 7 Duration: 50 minutes Rationale: This lesson is designed to provide students with the opportunity to discover the rule for independent and dependent events through hands on investigation. Therefore, they will develop a more comprehensive understanding of how to find the probability of independent and dependent events as they practice writing and solving their own. Massachusetts Framework Mathematics: Probability and Statistics o 7.SP.8. Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation. a. Understand that, just as with simple events, the probability of a compound event is the fraction of outcomes in the sample space for which the compound event occurs. b. Represent sample spaces for compound events using methods such as organized lists, tables and tree diagrams. For an event described in everyday language (e.g., "rolling double sixes"), identify the outcomes in the sample space which compose the event. Objectives After the lesson, students will be able to explain the difference between independent and dependent events in their own words without any assistance. Given a set of manipulatives, students will be able to write and solve an independent probability problem with 90% accuracy. Given a set of manipulatives, students will be able to write and solve a dependent probability problem with 90% accuracy. After creating an independent and dependent probability problem, students will be able to teach the problem to their classmates by independently identifying the problem as an independent or dependent event, explain why is classified as such, and demonstrating the solution to their problems. Materials Mimio Lesson Paper bag and colored cubes Notecards (2 per student) Colored chips Dice Coins Spinners Homework: Chapter 10 practice quiz Lesson Procedure Activator: Bell Work. o Have a bell work problem reviewing independent and dependent events displayed on the board for students to work on as they come in. Provide students with 5 minutes to work on the problem before reviewing it as a class. Activities: Independent/Dependent event review and creating independent and dependent probability problems. o Independent/Dependent event review – Quickly review the concept of compound probability and ask students if they can identify the two types of compound probability. Review the terms independent event and dependent event and ensure that students can identify the difference between the two and the key words associated with each. Work through an example of both an independent and dependent probability problem as a class. o Creating independent and dependent probability problems - Transition into the application activity by passing out the manipulatives and two notecards to each student. Explain that their challenge is to use the manipulatives to help them write their own independent and dependent probability problems. After they have written one of each on the front of each of their notecards, they are to solve them on the back. When there is about 20 minutes of class time remaining, have students come up to the board, present their problems, and explain why they are independent or dependent in addition to explaining their solution to teach the class. Have a review worksheet one independent and dependent probability ready for early finishers or students who demonstrate behavior that shows they cannot handle the activity. Summarizer: Exit ticket. o Work with the class to help them define independent and dependent events in their own words and determine the formula for finding each kind of probability. They must show that they have copied down these notes in their notebook as an exit ticket. Homework Practice quiz - The homework assignment will serve as a review for students of all the concepts covered in this unit in preparation for the upcoming quiz at the end of the week. Assessment Pre-Assessment: Bell work. o The bell work will serve as review of the different kinds of compound events. The students’ ability to identify the event in the problem as independent or dependent will allow me to identify the extent to which I need to reteach the vocabulary and concepts in class before moving on to the new material. Informal Assessments: Classroom discussion, observation, Mimio lesson, exit ticket, and homework assignment. o The observation and discussion throughout the students’ participation in the Mimio lesson and follow along worksheet help determine the students’ understand of independent and dependent events. These activities will informally assess students’ ability to differentiate between the two kinds of compound probability as well as their ability to find the probability of various compound events. Formal Assessments: creating independent and dependent probability problems. o By creating their own independent and dependent events and explaining them to the class, students will formally demonstrate the extent to which they understand the difference between independent and dependent events in addition to their ability to find the probability of these events. Students will be formally assessed against the instructional objectives for the lesson. Accommodations/Modifications/ELL Accommodations o Use preferential seating. o Provide additional wait time when asking questions. o Provide students with verbal or physical warnings that they are about to be called on. o Provide student with verbal cues to stay on task. o Provide students with fidget toys and frequent breaks as needed. o Review vocabulary with students to enhance understanding. o Seat students next to a model peer to encourage good behavior and participation. o Use a classroom timer to help students with time management. o Allow students to stand if feeling restless. o Provide students with the opportunity to use manipulatives to help determine the probability. o Simplify word problems and read them out loud for students. o Work with struggling students in a small group. o o o o o Provide frequent checks for accuracy when students are doing classwork. Keep sample math problems on the board. Provide students with additional time to complete the assignments. Allow students to work in collaborative groups to increase understanding. Provide students with a list of what they need to be prepared to present to the class while teaching their problems. Modifications o The content will be modified as needed and stated on students’ IEPs. Teacher Reflections Were the instructional objectives met? What were the strongest and weakest components of my lesson? Were any additional accommodations needed? Was the activity addressing too many concepts at once? Were the students overwhelmed by the task? What was the biggest struggle for the students during the lesson and how can I address it in the next lesson? Would the students benefit from working in partners next time? Did the manipulatives help promote the students’ understand or were they distracting? How did students respond to the challenge of creating their own problems? How did students respond to the challenge of teaching their problems to the class? Resources Big Ideas Math; A Common Core Curriculum – Green by Ron Larson & Lauri Boswell