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Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Targets
Joint Oireactas Committee
Communications, Climate Change and Natural Resources
EPA
Dara Lynott, Tom Ryan Stephen Treacy
25th October 2016
EPA role in relation to Greenhouse Gases
 The compilation and provision of annual reports of
Ireland’s greenhouse gas emissions by sector
 The development and provision of National Emissions
Projections taking into account national climate change
mitigation policies and measures
 Implementation of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU
ETS) – Permitting, Monitoring, Reporting, Verification
 Union Registry Management, Credit Auction Monitoring
 Secretariat to the Climate Council and support for climate
change research
Collaborative approach
Greenhouse Gases
Greenhouse Gas Sectoral Contributions
1990
2014
Total Greenhouse Emissions – nonETS and ETS
80
70
60
Mt CO2 eq
50
40
30
20
10
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Non ETS Emissions
ETS Emissions
EU Targets
Non-ETS Emissions Trajectory to 2020
50
45
40
Mt CO2eq
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2013
2014
WM Non-ETS Emissions
2015
2016
2017
WAM Non-ETS Emissions
2018
2019
2020
Annual Limits
Projected cumulative distance to Target for
Non-ETS Sector 2013-2020
14
12
10
8
Mt CO2eq
6
4
2
0
-2
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
-4
-6
-8
-10
With Measures
With Additional Measures
2019
2020
Challenges Post 2020 for non-ETS
 EU Climate Energy Framework sets targets to cut emissions
in EU Territory by 40% below 1990 levels by 2030
 New ESR proposal for the Non-ETS sectors to be agreed for
years 2021-2030 – proposal for Ireland to reduce emissions
by 30% below 2005 by 2030
 New flexibilities potentially available in terms of GHG
accounting and compliance in the new proposal:
 Use of credits from carbon sinks – LULUCF (capped at 5.6% of 2005
emissions)
 Use of EU ETS allowances (capped at 4% of 2005 emissions)
LULUCF?
 Land Use Land Use Change and Forestry
 Forests and agricultural lands currently cover more than three-quarters of
the EU's territory
 Hold large stocks of carbon, preventing its escape into the atmosphere.
 Draining of peat land, felling of forest or ploughing up grassland generates
emissions
 Actions such as afforestation or conversion of arable land into grassland
can protect carbon stocks or result in carbon sequestration.
 Land use and forestry – which include our use of soils, trees, plants,
biomass and timber – can thus contribute to a robust climate policy.
Closing Comments
 Under current projections, Ireland will likely not meet 2020 targets
(even under cumulative mechanism & with additional measures)
 Economic recovery evident in emissions from transport and
certain industrial sectors – increases the challenge
 Significant challenge to meet EU2030 and National 2050 targets
Thank you