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South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Klima-Risiken für Investoren SSF Anlass Zürich, 10. Mai 2016 Renat Heuberger CEO, South Pole Group Page 1 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Global consensus… Page 2 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 3 …that Climate Change is real, and that the world can – and will – take responsibility. South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 4 Post COP21: change on its way “For the first time, every country in the world has pledged to curb emissions, strengthen resilience and join in common cause to take common climate action” Baan Ki-moon, UN Secretary-General, at the end of COP 21, December 2015 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 5 The Paris Agreement is a Framework… … on which all nations must now start acting. South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Every year another heat record Page 6 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Impacts on human settlement: Louisiana, USA Page 7 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Mapping the US energy transition Souce: EIA Page 8 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 9 The transition towards renewable energy has already begun Research this! South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Renewables: where the investments are happening 2004 - 2014 Page 10 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Renewables: Global solar PV capacity 2004 2014 Page 11 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Energy Disruption: No escape for fossil fuels Page 12 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 The size of global fossil fuel subsidies Page 13 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 14 Falling oil prices with little effect on thriving investments into renewables Brent crude price in US$ per barrel Source: Bloomberg Business Research this! South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Stranded assets: Bankruptcy looms Page 15 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 16 Stranded assets: governments are becoming aware Australian Senate South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 17 Stranded assets: Climate risk as investment risk “Climate change will threaten financial resilience and longer term prosperity” Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, December 2015 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 18 Stranded assets: national regulators react “I require (…) insurance companies to provide detailed and specific disclosures of their investments in the carbon economy including coal, oil and gas. We will make this new information public.” Dave Jones, Commissioner, California Department of Insurance, January 2016 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 19 Momentum beyond COP21 Portfolio Decarbonization Coalition with over 10 AO members Mandatory investments footprinting in France and transparency requirements in Sweden and California Montreal Pledge with 100 signatories (USD 3tn+) Global Investor Statement on Climate Change of 350 investors Low Carbon Investment Registry reports USD 24bn of emission reducing investments by 45 investors South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 20 Institutional investors: Low-carbon indices on the rise Status Quo Fossil Free Indexes Low Carbon Indexes New Climate Leader Index Climate Targets Index In collaboration with multiple index providers, such as 2 Degree Index South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Direct Investments in the Renewable Future Page 21 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Page 22 Challenges for a 2°C World Invested 20102014 $1.1 trillion Source: CPI, IEA Needed to support NDC pledges $13.5 trillion Needed to limit to 2°C $16.5 trillion South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Thank you! Page 23 South Pole Group · 05/05/16 Contacts thesouthpolegroup.com Headquarters Zurich [email protected] Offices worldwide Addis Ababa, Bangkok, Berlin, Beijing, Hanoi, Hong Kong, Jakarta, London, Medellin, Melbourne, Mexico City, New Delhi, San Francisco, Stockholm, Sydney, Zurich Page 24