Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
IIASA and India Highlights January 2015 INDIA’S FUTURE “We need to put science, technology and innovation at the top of national priorities.” PM Narendra Modi, 102nd Indian Science Congress,Mumbai, Jan 2015 “The world has changed. India cannot sit isolated in one corner and determine its future.” PM Narendra Modi, Independence Day speech, Red Fort, 2014 IIASA An international research institute that brings scientists from across the world to use systems analysis to study major global problems CONTENTS 1. Summary 2. National Member Organization 3. Leading Indian Personalities Associated with IIASA 4. Research Partners 5. Research Collaborations: Selected Highlights 6. Capacity Building 7. Further Information SUMMARY National Member Organization Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment Council (TIFAC) Membership start date 2007 Research partners 45 institutes in India Areas of research collaborations Land, soil and water management Pathways to sustainable energy systems Tackling air pollution Disaster risk management Population projections Energy and climate change modeling Forest management Capacity Building 31 young Indian scientists took part in IIASA’s capacity building programs 19 training workshops in India Publication output 168 publications Events Over 460 Indian nationals at IIASA events NATIONAL MEMBER ORGANIZATION • Department of Science and Technology’s Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment Council (TIFAC) • Prof Ranjan, Executive Director, TIFAC is IIASA’s Council Member • National committee for the India-IIASA Programme chaired by Dr Parikh, former member, Planning Commission, & Chairman, IRADe SOME LEADING PERSONALITIES IN INDIA AND ASSOCIATED WITH IIASA Kanchan Chopra Jyoti Parikh Sunita Narain Kirit Parikh Rajendra Pachauri Leena Srivastava RESEARCH PARTNERS • 45 institutions in India, including: • • • • • • • • • • Centre For Water Resources Development and Management (CWRDM) Indian Institute of Forest Management (IIFM) Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Ahmedabad Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA) Institute for Social and Economic Change (ISEC) Integrated Research and Action for Development (IRADe) International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics (ICRISAT) National Environmental Engineering Research Institute (NEERI) National Institute of Hydrology (NIH) The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI) RESEARCH COLLABORATIONS Selected Highlights: • Projecting India’s future population • Sustaining and improving food security and livelihoods in India • India’s energy future – India and the Global Energy Assessment – Electricity Access and Climate Change – Tackling air pollution in India • Increasing India’s resilience to natural disasters INDIA’S GOALS “India’s demographic dividend has to be leveraged fruitfully over the next few decades.” Resolution of the Government of India Cabinet in January 2015 when it replaced the Planning Commission with a new institution named NITI Aayog (National Institute for Transforming India). PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION Age (in Years) India - Base Year 2010 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 1.22 Billion Males 100 75 Females 50 25 0 Population in Millions 25 50 75 100 PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION RAPID DEVELOPMENT Age (in Years) India - Projections 2030 - SSP1 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 1.5 Billion Males 100 75 Females 50 25 0 Population in Millions 25 50 75 100 PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION RAPID DEVELOPMENT Age (in Years) India - Projections 2060 - SSP1 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 1.5 Billion Males 100 75 Females 50 25 0 Population in Millions 25 50 75 100 PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION Age (in Years) India - Base Year 2010 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 1.22 Billion Males 100 75 Females 50 25 0 Population in Millions 25 50 75 100 PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION STALLED DEVELOPMENT Age (in Years) India - Projections 2030 - SSP3 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 1.6 Billion Males 100 75 Females 50 25 0 Population in Millions 25 50 75 100 PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION STALLED DEVELOPMENT Age (in Years) India - Projections 2060 - SSP3 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 2.1 Billion Males 100 75 Females 50 25 0 Population in Millions 25 50 75 100 IMPACT OF EDUCATION ON POPULATION RAPID VERSUS STALLED DEVELOPMENT 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 1.5 Billion Males 100 India - Projections 2060 SSP3 100+ Females Age (in Years) Age (in Years) India - Projections 2060 SSP1 100+ 75 50 25 0 25 50 Population in Millions 75 100 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 2.1 Billion Males 100 75 Females 50 25 0 25 50 Population in Millions 75 100 INDIA’S GOALS “Responsible development implies environmentally sound development. Our development agenda has to ensure that development does not sully the quality of life of the present and future generations.” Resolution of the Government of India Cabinet in January 2015 when it replaced the Planning Commission with a new institution named NITI Aayog (National Institute for Transforming India). SUSTAINING AND IMPROVING FOOD SECURITY AND LIVELIHOODS IN INDIA Water Management Climate Change Adaptation Soil Nutrient Balances Bundelkhand Gujarat Kerala Water management tool to select measures to adapt to impending scarcity of fresh water resources Identify strategies for vulnerable rural communities to cope with the impending impacts of climate change Establish a decision support system for sustainable soil management in different agro-ecological environments GIS/DSS: Spatial assessment and interactive data access system Policy Options for Sustaining and Improving Food Security and Livelihoods • Adaptation to climate change • Water management options • Soil nutrient management WATER AND THE FUTURE OF HUMANITY • Gulbenkian Think Tank on Water and the Future of Humanity • Members include: Sunita Narain, Director-General, Center for Science and Environment, New Delhi & Pavel Kabat, Director-General IIASA • Changes to the way we access, provide and use water INDIA’S GOALS “Achieving universal access to electricity is one of the most important goals and the Government plans to provide electricity to each and every household in the country in the next five years.” 12th Five Year Plan 2012-2017 Planning Commission Government of India GLOBAL ENERGY ASSESSMENT AND INDIA • GEA co-Chair, 4 convening lead analysts, and several lead analysts were Indians • GEA’s energy scenarios developed into a global energy vision for India till 2050 with IRADe • Spin-off report on GEA’s insights into providing two billion access to clean modern energy had focus on India • UN Secretary-General’s Sustainable Energy For All initiative adopted GEA’s key findings and IIASA with TERI providing knowledge to achieve these objectives POPULATION NEEDING NEW CONNECTIONS TO ACHIEVE UNIVERSAL ACCESS BY 2030 IN INDIA 0.3 Additional population that needs to be electrified to achieve universal electrification by 2030 No. of people (billions) 0.25 0.2 65 kWh 420 kWh 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 2010 2020 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.04.075 2030 ELECTRICITY ACCESS & CLIMATE CHANGE ELECTRICITY ACCESS IN INDIA: 1981 Pachauri, S. 2014. Household electricity access a trivial contributor to CO2 emissions growth in India. Nature Climate Change DOI:10.1038/nclimate2414 ELECTRICITY ACCESS & CLIMATE CHANGE ELECTRICITY ACCESS IN INDIA: 1991 Pachauri, S. 2014. Household electricity access a trivial contributor to CO2 emissions growth in India. Nature Climate Change DOI:10.1038/nclimate2414 ELECTRICITY ACCESS & CLIMATE CHANGE ELECTRICITY ACCESS IN INDIA: 2001 Pachauri, S. 2014. Household electricity access a trivial contributor to CO2 emissions growth in India. Nature Climate Change DOI:10.1038/nclimate2414 ELECTRICITY ACCESS & CLIMATE CHANGE ELECTRICITY ACCESS IN INDIA: 2011 Pachauri, S. 2014. Household electricity access a trivial contributor to CO2 emissions growth in India. Nature Climate Change DOI:10.1038/nclimate2414 EMISSION GROWTH IN INDIA 1981-2011 (MtCO2) Pachauri, S. 2014. Household electricity access a trivial contributor to CO2 emissions growth in India. Nature Climate Change DOI:10.1038/nclimate2414 CO2 MITIGATION IN MAJOR ECONOMIES IN 2°C REGIMES 2011-2014 €3.5 million van Sluisveld, M.A.E., Gernaat, D.E.H.J., Ashinab, S., Calvin, K.V. Garg, A., Isaac, M., Lucas, P.L., Mouratiadou, I., Otto, A.A.C., Rao , S., Shukla, P.R., van Vliet, J., van Vuuren, D.P., : Regional differences in mitigation efforts across modeled current and emerging major economies in 2°C regimes. Special Issue, Climate Change Economics (LIMITS) TACKLING AIR POLLUTION IN INDIA • GAINS ASIA identified advanced air pollution measures for India for next 20 years which will: • Increase life expectancy by 2.8 years • Avoid 2.5 million premature deaths • Pay for themselves by improving health, reducing lost work days, and increasing productivity DOI: 10.1021/es402867r INDIA’S GOALS “Disaster risk reduction will need to be thus incorporated in all major schemes for reducing the vulnerability in the hazards prone areas of the country.” 12th Five Year Plan 2012-2017 Planning Commission Government of India INCREASING INDIA’S RESILIENCE DOI: 10.5595/idrim.2012.0033 INDIA’S GOAL “Our future will be secure and our global leadership possible, if we also prepare the next generation of world class scientists.” PM Narendra Modi, 102nd Indian Science Congress,Mumbai, Jan 2015 CAPACITY BUILDING 22 Indian nationals won places on IIASA’s Young Scientists Summer Program between 2007 and 2014 SIX INDIAN NATIONALS: REGIONAL YSSP: SOUTHERN AFRICA YSSP 2012/13 19 doctoral students from 16 countries YSSP 2013/14 36 doctoral students from 21 countries YSSP 2014/15 28 doctoral students from 17 countries 35 POSTDOCTORAL FELLOWS • Narasimha Rao (2011-2013): Relationship between electricity access, livelihoods and carbon dioxide emissions in India. (7 journal articles) • Tapas Mishra (2007-2008): Demography and economic growth. (7 journal articles) POSTDOCTORAL FELLOWS DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0300-8 • Upasna Sharma • PhD: Indian Institute of Technology, Bombay • Postdoc with IIASA’s risk and vulnerability team 2009-2011 • Researched reducing vulnerability to natural disasters in India and published 5 journal articles. • E.g. Compared landslide management in India and Italy and found landslide risk benefits from a decentralized approach. • Today: Indian Institute of Technology, Delhi and continues to collaborate with IIASA ACADEMIC TRAINING WORKSHOPS • 19 workshops in India since 2007, including: • • • • • • • • • • CEPT University, Ahmedabad (2011) Indian Institute of Forest Management (IIFM), Bhopal (2010) Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA), (2012) Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore (2010) International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai (2010) International Training Programme Air Pollution Management, Pune (2010) Madras School of Economics, Madras (2010) National Environmental Engineering Research Institute (NEERI), Nagpur, (2012) National Institute of Hydrology (NIH), Roorkee (2011) National Institute of Science, Technology & Development Studies (NISTADS), New Delhi (2009) THANK YOU Further Information IIASA and INDIA www.iiasa.ac.at/india India-IIASA Programme TIFAC (www.tifac.org) [email protected]