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Class 2: 10.2 H H Hypothesis Testing 0 : No change in interest rates is warranted 1 : Reduce interest rates to stimulate the economy 10.6 A random sample is obtained from a population with a variance of 625 and the sample mean is computed. Test the null hypothesis H 0 : μ = 100 versus the alternative H :μ 1 rule a. n = 25. Reject 108.225 b. n = 16. Reject 110.28125 c. n = 44. Reject 106.1998 a. n = 32 Reject 107.26994 ≥ 100 . Compute the critical value xc and state the decision H 0 if x > xc = μ0 + zα σ n = 100 +1.645(25)/ H 0 if x > xc = μ0 + zα σ n = 100 +1.645(25)/ 16 = H 0 if x > xc = μ0 + zα σ n = 100 +1.645(25)/ 44 = H 0 if x > xc = μ0 + zα σ 25 = n = 100 +1.645(25)/ 32 = 10.7 A random sample of n = 25 is obtained from a population with a variance σ 2 and the sample mean is computed. Test the null hypothesis H 0 : μ = 100 versus the alternative H :μ 1 ≥ 100 with alpha = .05. Compute the critical value xc and state the decision rule a. σ 2 = 225. Reject H 0 if x > xc = μ0 + zα σ n = 100 +1.645(15)/ 25 = 104.935 b. σ 2 = 900. Reject 109.87 c. σ 2 = 400. Reject 106.58 d. σ 2 = 600. Reject = 108.0588 H 0 if x > xc = μ0 + zα σ n = 100 +1.645(30)/ 25 = H 0 if x > xc = μ0 + zα σ n = 100 +1.645(20)/ 25 = H 0 if x > xc = μ0 + zα σ n = 100 +1.645(24.4949)/ 25 198 th Solutions Manual for Statistics for Business & Economics, 6 Edition 10.9A random sample is obtained from a population with variance = 400 and the sample mean is computed to be 70. Consider the null hypothesis H 0 : μ = 80 versus the H :μ alternative 1 ≤ 80 . Compute the p-value The probability value of p-value is the smallest significance level at which the null hypothesis can be rejected. x - μ0 , given that H 0 is true) σ/ n x - μ0 = P(Z > | μ = μ0 ) σ/ n p - value = P(Z > x − μ0 70 − 80 = 20 25 σ n x − μ0 70 − 80 b. n = 16. z = = σ n 20 16 x − μ0 70 − 80 c. n = 44. z = = σ n 20 44 x − μ0 70 − 80 d. n = 32. z = = σ n 20 32 a. n = 25. z = 10.15 Test H :μ 0 = 100 ; H :μ 1 = -2.50. p − value = P( z p < −2.50) = .0062 = -2.00. p − value = P( z p < −2.00) = .0228 = -3.32. p − value = P( z p < −3.32) = .0004 = -2.83. p − value = P( z p < −2.83) = .0023 < 100 , using n = 36 and alpha = .05 x − μ0 106 − 100 = 2.40. Since 2.40 is s n 15 36 greater than -1.697, there is insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. x − μ0 104 − 100 = 2.40. Since 2.40 is b. x = 104, s = 10 . Reject if < tn −1,α 2 , s n 10 36 greater than -1.697, there is insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. x − μ0 95 − 100 c. x = 95, s = 10 . Reject if = -3.00. Since -3.00 is less < tn −1,α 2 , s n 10 36 than the critical value of -1.697, there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. x − μ0 92 − 100 d. x = 92, s = 18 . Reject if = -2.67. Since -2.67 is less < tn −1,α 2 , s n 18 36 than the critical value of -1.697, there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. a. x = 106, s = 15 . Reject if < tn −1,α 2 , Chapter 10: Hypothesis Testing 199 X −3 > 1.645 or when X > 3.082. Since the sample .4 64 mean is 3.07% which is less than the critical value, the decision is do not reject the null hypothesis. 3.082 − 3.1 b. The β = P(Z < ) = 1 – FZ(.36) = .3594. Power of the test = 1 - β = .4 64 .6406 10.40a. H 0 is rejected when ⎛ x −μ*⎞ ⎟ β = P(x < x c | μ = μ*) = P⎜⎜ z < c σ / n ⎟⎠ ⎝