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Epidemiology and Infection Chemoprophylaxis and vaccination in preventing subsequent cases of meningococcal disease among households contacts of a case of meningococcal disease: a systematic review L. Telisinghe, T. D. Waite, M. Gobin, O. Ronveaux, K. Fernandez, J. M. Stuart, R. J. P. M. Scholten Supplementary material Supplementary Table S1: Study design features for assessing the risk of bias in cohort studies (based on the Newcastle-Ottawa Scalel(1)) Study number Author Year Was there a comparison: Between two or more groups/ groups of participants receiving different interventions? Within the same group/ group of participants over time? Were groups/participants allocated to intervention groups by: Time difference? (i.e. groups not concurrently followed-up) Location differences? Treatment decisions specific to an area? Participants' or groups preferences? Some other process? (specify) Which parts of the study were prospective: Identification of participants/groups? Assessment of baseline and allocation to intervention? Assessment of outcomes? Generation of hypotheses? Representativeness of the exposed cohort of all household contacts of a case of meningococcal disease Yes Somewhat Not representative (selected group of household contacts) No description Selection of non-exposed cohort From the same community as exposed cohort Drawn from a different source |__|__| __________________ |__|__|__|__| No description Ascertainment of exposure Objective source Self-report No description Demonstrated that outcome was not present at the start Yes No On what variables was comparability between groups assessed: Potential confounders? Baseline assessment of outcome variables? Assessing the outcome Independent blind assessment Record linkage Self-report No description Was follow-up long enough for the outcome to occur Yes No Adequacy of cohort follow-up Complete follow-up Subjects lost to follow-up unlikely to introduce bias - >70% followed up Successful follow-up <70% No description Was there adequate control for confounding? Yes No No description Y=Yes; P=Possibly; P*=Possible for one group only; N=No; na=not applicable. NB:. Note that ‘possibly’ is used in the table to indicate cells where either ‘Y’ or ‘N’ may be the case. It should not be used as a response option when applying the checklist; if uncertain, the response should be ‘can’t tell Supplementary Table S2: Chemoprophylaxis – risk of bias assessment for observational studies Item Stefanoff 2008(2) Samuelsson 2000(3) Scholten 1993(4) MDSG 1976(5) Kristiansen 1992(6) Cohort Cohort Cohort Cohort Cohort (time series in (national) (national) (national) Treatment decision Treatment decision Treatment decision Treatment decision Treatment decision specific to area specific to area specific to area specific to area specific to area + - + + + + + + + - Comparability of exposed and unexposed assessed - - - - - Baseline demographic details given - - - - - Study design Allocation of intervention one county) Selection Cohort exposed representative of all household contacts of a case of meningococcal disease Cohort not given chemoprophylaxis from the same population as the exposed cohort Comparator group from a different time period to Comments Fatal cases excluded intervention group but from the same area. Outcomes Objective sources used to ascertain outcome + ? + - + Adequate duration of follow up for outcome ascertainment Losses to follow up/no information ? ? + + + ? 32% 25% ? ? Households contacted to Follow up 7-31months 378/502 eligible households enquire on secondary cases, during the intervention included. Valid information at least 30days after period. From 1984-1987 only on 1102/1130 (97.5%) of hospitalization of index case. (comparator period) some included contacts. No information to assess cases were followed up for losses to follow-up at least 300 days. - - Notification systems used to identify cases. Households Data obtained from Comments author interviewed. Unclear if subsequent cases determined by notification or interview. 172/252 eligible households participated Analysis Adequate control for confounders MDSG = meningococcal disease surveillance group - - - Supplementary Table S3: Chemoprophylaxis – risk of bias assessment for the randomised controlled trial (Kaiser 1974(7)) Domain Judgement Justification Selection bias Random sequence generation Allocation concealment Low risk of bias Unclear risk of bias Allocation by dice throw Not stated Performance bias Blinding Low Not specified, but it is unlikely that blinding would have influenced the outcome. Detection bias Blinding of outcome assessment Low Unclear if investigators assessing outcome status of study participants were blinded. However, it is unlikely that assessment of this objective outcome would have been influenced (and there were no subsequent cases in the study) Attrition bias Incomplete outcome data Unclear risk of bias Not stated Unclear risk of bias Protocol not available to Reporting bias Selective reporting determine main objectives of study Supplementary Figure S1: Timings of all cases of invasive meningococcal disease among household contacts of an index case 5 Cases of IMD in the first 24 hours following the index case Cases of IMD in the control arm Cases of IMD in the intervention arm Number of cases 4 3 2 1 0 Days Supplementary Figure S2: Forest plot of the risk of subsequent cases of meningococcal disease in the one year after an index case among household contacts given and not given chemoprophylaxis Risk Events, Events, % name Ratio (95% CI) Treatment Control Weight stefanoff 0.68 (0.07, 6.49) 1/629 3/1276 23.23 samuelsson 0.02 (0.00, 0.42) 0/724 2/72 53.27 Scholten 0.75 (0.08, 6.67) 1/276 4/826 23.50 Overall (I-squared = 52.4%, p = 0.122) 0.34 (0.11, 1.06) 2/1629 9/2174 100.00 .001 .01 .11 .34 Favours chemoprophylaxis 1 2 6 Favours no chemoprophylaxis Risk Ratio Supplementary Table S4: Vaccination – risk of bias assessment for the randomised controlled trial (Greenwood 1978(8)) Domain Judgement Justification Selection bias Random sequence generation Unclear risk of bias Alternative compounds allocated to intervention and comparator group. Unclear if allocation could have been predicted in advance Allocation concealment Unclear risk of bias Not specified Performance bias Blinding Low Not specified, but it is unlikely that blinding would have influenced the outcome. Detection bias Blinding of outcome assessment Low / Unclear risk of bias Unclear if investigators assessing outcome status of study participants were blinded. However it is unlikely that blinding would influence the outcome assessment for definite cases. For probable cases, the risk of bias is unclear Attrition bias Incomplete outcome data Low risk of bias Study does not appear to have any missing data for outcomes Reporting bias Selective reporting Unclear risk of bias Protocol not available to determine main objectives of study References 1. Wells GA, et al. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) for assessing the quality of nonrandomised studies in meta-analyses. . Available from: http://www.ohri.ca/programs/clinical_epidemiology/oxford.htm 2. Stefanoff P, et al. The detection of meningococcal household clusters and their prophylaxis in the changing epidemiological situation of invasive meningococcal disease in Poland, 2003-2006. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin. 2008;13(10). 3. Samuelsson S, et al. Prevention of secondary cases of meningococcal disease in Denmark. Epidemiology and infection. 2000;124(3):433-40. 4. Scholten RJ, et al. [Secondary cases of meningococcal disease in The Netherlands, 19891990; a reappraisal of chemoprophylaxis]. Nederlands tijdschrift voor geneeskunde. 1993;137(30):1505-8. 5. Analysis of endemic meningococcal disease by serogroup and evaluation of chemoprophylaxis. The Journal of infectious diseases. 1976;134(2):201-4. 6. Kristiansen BE, et al. Preventing secondary cases of meningococcal disease by identifying and eradicating disease-causing strains in close contacts of patients. Scandinavian journal of infectious diseases. 1992;24(2):165-73. 7. Kaiser AB, et al. Seroepidemiology and chemoprophylaxis disease due to sulfonamideresistant Neisseria meningitidis in a civillian population. The Journal of infectious diseases. 1974;130(3):217-24. 8. Greenwood BM, et al. Prevention of secondary cases of meningococcal disease in household contacts by vaccination. British medical journal. 1978;1(6123):1317-9.