Download Proposed adaptation options for the LULUCF sector

NAMIBIAN NATIONAL ISSUES REPORT ON LAND USE,
LAND-USE CHANGE AND FORESTRY (LULUCF)
(ADAPTATION)
Prepared by Dr. Juliane Zeidler,
Integrated Environmental Consultants Namibia (IECN)
24 September 2008
Speaking Points
(1) The LULUCF sector & key economic points
(2) Proposed adaptation options
(3) Key issues in assessing I&F flows
The LULUCF sector
•
•
•
•
•
UNFCCC: LULUCF sector includes six broad land use categories: (1) Forestland,
(2) Cropland, (3) Grassland, (4) Wetlands, (5) Settlements, and (6) Other land.
NCCC: Namibia has a more integrated approach - need to address all key
production systems, (1) Agriculture, including both crops and livestock, (2)
Forestry, (3) Fisheries (inland), (4) Tourism, (5) Wildlife and (6) the underlying
Ecosystem Services.
Degradation issues critical: CC Risk and expected impacts of CC will exacerbate
already pressing environmental problems
Namibia natural arid country: autonomous adaptation ongoing
Example: conversion of livestock to wildlife based farming
State-protected area
Government agriculture
Other govt or parastatal
Resettlement
Urban
Agriculture and tourism on
freehold land
Large-scale agriculture on
communal land
Small-scale agriculture on
communal land
Key economic points I
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Agriculture, including both crops and
livestock,
Forestry,
Fisheries (inland),
Tourism,
Wildlife and
Ecosystem Services
Source Reid et al, 2007
Key economic points II
Source Reid et al, 2007
• Overall it is suggested that over 20 years, annual loses to the
Namibian economy could be up to 6% of the GDP, from CC
impacts on NRs alone.
Proposed adaptation options for the LULUCF sector in
Namibia
Development itself is recognised as the most effective way to promote adaptation
Some of the required measures for strengthening adaptation include:
•
Ensuring access to high-quality information about the impacts of climate change and
carrying out vulnerability assessments. Early warning systems and information
distribution systems help to anticipate and prevent disasters.
•
Increasing the resilience of livelihoods and infrastructure using existing knowledge and
coping strategies.
•
Improving governance, including a transparent and accountable policy and decisionmaking process and an active civil society.
•
Empowering communities so that they participate in assessments and feed their
knowledge into the process at crucial points.
•
Integrating climate change impacts in issues in all national, sub-national and sectoral
planning processes and macro-economic projections. The national budget process is key
here.
•
Encouraging a core ministry with a broad mandate, such as finance, economics or
planning, to be fully involved in mainstreaming adaptation.
Source: Adapted from Sperling (2003) in Stern Review: The Economics of Climate Change (2006)
Proposed adaptation options for the LULUCF sector in
Namibia
•
Mainstreaming CCA in national policy
•
Land use planning and promotion of climate compatible land uses and associated
production systems
•
Prevention of land degradation and rehabilitation
•
Examples of land and resource management options
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Crop, forage and tree species/varieties
Livestock, game and fish species/breeds
Crop and tree management
Livestock, game, aquaculture and wild fish management
Moisture management, irrigation and soil & water conservation
Pest and disease management
Management of natural areas
Fire management
•
Identifying key infrastructure and development investments that require “climate
change proofing”
•
Upscaling EWS and generally improving information on CC and CCA
Key issues in assessing I&F flows
Key information needs
• Reliable information on expected CC impacts are needed
• The costs and benefits of action vs inaction to make a good business case
• Key adaptation options need to be strategised and costed
• ID opportunity cost of upgrading and CC proofing existing investments, policies and project
interventions
• Information on current investments and financial -> baseline
Key information available in Namibia
• Expert studies under SNC; longterm investments into research and information needed
• Key information from NDP3 and MTEF 2007/08-2009/10
• The Natural Resource Accounts (NRA) & Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) database
• ODA flows
• More difficult to assess: current domestic and private investments
Various other issues
• The National Capacity Self Assessment (NCSA): severe shortage of natural resource
economists
• Other technical capacity gaps may impede a systematic country wide analysis
Thank you!