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The weakness of formal rural finance in Peru : a supply-side problem? Catherine Guirkinger University of Namur, Belgium Carolina Trivelli Instituto de Estudios Peruanos, Peru « Limitado financiamiento formal para la pequeña agricultura:¿Solo un problema de falta de oferta?” Conventional wisdom The lack of rural credit is an obstacle to agricultural development. Empirical evidence Market conditions for formal financial institutions have improved over the last 15 years. HOWEVER: Household survey in Piura: No deepening of formal credit market between 1997 and 2003. The questions Research question: Why do farmers not borrow (more) from the formal sector? Policy question: Should we be worried? Outline of talk Rural finance in Peru since 1990 Credit markets in Piura and Huancayo Supply constraints? A majority of farmers in Piura and Huancayo claim having access to formal loans Demand constraints? Some simply do not need formal loan Many are discouraged by risk and transaction costs Conclusions Supply and demand constraints have a negative impact on the ag sector The deepening of rural formal finance requires a broad policy response Rural financial sector in Peru: recent evolution 1992: closure of state development bank (banco agrario) 1997-1998: El Niño + financial crises Loan Volume to Agricultural Sector (100 millions of 1982 $US) 6.0 Banco Agrario Private Sector 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 sept-04 2003 2002 2001 2000 BA Closed 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1980-1989 1980-1989 Crisis Positive changes in market conditions for small farmers Micro-finance institutions (municipal and rural banks) increased their supply Ag-portfolio of CMAC Sullana Graphe page 41 Gráfico 3. Saldos de cartera agropecuaria de la CMAC Sullana 1995 - 2002 30,000 Miles de Soles 2002 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 Saldo acumulado de cartera Lineal (M onto otorgado agrícola) 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 M onto otorgado agrícola Lineal (Saldo acumulado de cartera) 2003 Positive changes in market conditions for small farmers Land titling program Information: credit bureaux Micro-level evidence: the case of Piura and Huancayo Piura •Only irrigated ag •Rice, cotton, corn •Banana, Lemons, Mango Mantaro Valley •Central Highlands (3,200 m.) •Irrigated & rainfed ag •Potatoes, fava bean, grains •Artichokes Micro-level evidence: the case of Piura and Huancayo Credit use terms Does the lack of access explain the limited credit market participation ? The percentage of farmers claiming having positive supply to formal loan increased from 56% to 71% between survey years in Piura and was 73% in Huancayo in 2003. Why not taking a loan if it is available: Demand constraints? Do farmers need formal credit? Many who have access to cheaper formal loans take an expensive informal loan. Why not taking a loan if it is available: Demand constraints? Transaction costs as an obstacle. Why not taking a loan if it is available: Demand constraints? Risk as an obstacle. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% racionados por riesgo / c. transaccion sin acesso 50% sin necesidad con credito formal 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% piura 97 piura 03 Conclusions Credit constraints are prevalent and costly Demand-side obstacles require specific interventions