Download Economic implications of projected changes to tuna

Objectives and structure of the
workshop
Purpose
• Transfer results of the recent vulnerability
assessment
• Answer the question: how could climate
change affect national plans for fisheries?
• Identify priority adaptations to reduce risks
and capitalise on opportuntiies
Background documents
Supported by AusAID
Background documents
National plans
• Maximise economic benefits from tuna
• Provide fresh fish at low cost for a growing
population
• Create more livelihoods based on fisheries
and aquaculture
The challenge for food security
Fish needed for good nutrition (35 kg per person per year)
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
Fish needed for food security (x 1000 tonnes)
1.2
The challenge for food security
Fish needed for good nutrition (35 kg per person per year)
Tuna
Reef fish /inverts
Aquaculture
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
Fish needed for food security (x 1000 tonnes)
1.2
What we will discuss
Projected changes to
atmospheric and oceanic
conditions
Ecosystems supporting fish
Fish stocks/aquaculture species
Implications for economic
development, food security and
livelihoods
Adaptations and policies to reduce
threats and capitalise on
opportunities
Climate change scenarios
Global emissions
are tracking
above A2
scenario
A2 (High)
B1 (Low)
Year
2035
2050
2100
Vulnerability framework
• For effects of projected changes on fish
habitats, fish stocks and aquaculture species
Likelihood and confidence
Probability that
a projection will
occur based on
expert opinion
Scientific
understanding
in support of a
conclusion
The programme – how we will work
Session 2: Understanding projected changes to surface climate and the ocean
10h30
Observed and projected changes to surface climate
10h50
Observed and projected changes to the ocean
11h20
Breakout groups to discuss changes to the climate and ocean
Discussion points - breakout groups
• What did you find most interesting about the talk?
• Is there anything you did not understand clearly?
• What connection can you see to your work or
livelihood?
The programme – last task
COFFEE & TEA: 15h00 – 15h30
Understanding projected changes to tuna resources for Nauru
15h30
Projected changes to tuna resources
15h50
Adaptations to maximise opportunities and minimise risks
16h10
Breakout groups to discuss changes to tuna and list adaptations
Enjoy the workshop!