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Weak Approximation of
βˆ—
Yan Dolinsky
Marcel Nutz
𝐺-Expectations
†
‑
H. Mete Soner
March 2, 2011
Abstract
We introduce a notion of volatility uncertainty in discrete time and
dene the corresponding analogue of Peng's 𝐺-expectation. In the
continuous-time limit, the resulting sublinear expectation converges
weakly to the 𝐺-expectation. This can be seen as a Donsker-type
result for the 𝐺-Brownian motion.
Keywords 𝐺-expectation, volatility uncertainty, weak limit theorem
AMS 2000 Subject Classications 60F05, 60G44, 91B25, 91B30
JEL Classications G13, G32
Acknowledgements Research supported by European Research Council Grant
228053-FiRM, Swiss National Science Foundation Grant PDFM2-120424/1,
Swiss Finance Institute and ETH Foundation.
1 Introduction
The so-called
𝐺-expectation
[12, 13, 14] is a nonlinear expectation advanc-
ing the notions of backward stochastic dierential equations (BSDEs) [10]
𝑔 -expectations [11]; see also [2, 16] for a related theory of second order
𝐺
BSDEs. A 𝐺-expectation πœ‰ 7β†’ β„° (πœ‰) is a sublinear function which maps random variables πœ‰ on the canonical space Ξ© = 𝐢([0, 𝑇 ]; ℝ) to the real numbers.
The symbol 𝐺 refers to a given function 𝐺 : ℝ β†’ ℝ of the form
and
1
1
𝐺(𝛾) = (𝑅𝛾 + βˆ’ π‘Ÿπ›Ύ βˆ’ ) =
sup π‘Žπ›Ύ,
2
2 π‘Žβˆˆ[π‘Ÿ,𝑅]
0 ≀ π‘Ÿ ≀ 𝑅 < ∞ are xed numbers. More generally, the interval [π‘Ÿ, 𝑅]
D of nonnegative matrices in the multivariate case. The
extension to a random set D is studied in [9].
𝐺
The construction of β„° (πœ‰) runs as follows. When πœ‰ = 𝑓 (𝐡𝑇 ), where 𝐡𝑇
is the canonical process at time 𝑇 and 𝑓 is a suciently regular function,
𝐺
then β„° (πœ‰) is dened to be the initial value 𝑒(0, 0) of the solution of the nonlinear backward heat equation βˆ’βˆ‚π‘‘ 𝑒 βˆ’ 𝐺(𝑒π‘₯π‘₯ ) = 0 with terminal condition
where
is replaced by a set
βˆ—
†
‑
ETH Zurich, Dept. of Mathematics, CH-8092 Zurich,
ETH Zurich, Dept. of Mathematics, CH-8092 Zurich,
[email protected]
[email protected]
ETH Zurich, Dept. of Mathematics, CH-8092 Zurich, and Swiss Finance Institute,
[email protected]
1
𝑒(β‹…, 𝑇 ) = 𝑓 . The mapping β„° 𝐺 can be extended to random variables of the
form πœ‰ = 𝑓 (𝐡𝑑1 , . . . , 𝐡𝑑𝑛 ) by a stepwise evaluation of the PDE and then to
1
1
the completion 𝕃𝐺 of the space of all such random variables. The space 𝕃𝐺
consists of so-called quasi-continuous functions and contains in particular all
bounded continuous functions on
functions are included (cf. [3]).
Ξ©;
however, not all bounded measurable
While this setting is not based on a sin-
𝐺-Brownian
gle probability measure, the so-called
motion is given by the
𝐺 (cf. [14]). It reduces to the standard
canonical process 𝐡 seen under β„°
𝐺 is then the (linear) expectation
Brownian motion if π‘Ÿ = 𝑅 = 1 since β„°
under the Wiener measure.
In this note we introduce a discrete-time analogue of the
𝐺-expectation
and we prove a convergence result which resembles Donsker's theorem for
the standard Brownian motion; the main purpose is to provide additional
intuition for
𝐺-Brownian
point is the dual view on
motion and volatility uncertainty.
𝐺-expectation
Our starting
via volatility uncertainty [3, 4]: We
consider the representation
β„° 𝐺 (πœ‰) = sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰],
(1.1)
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«
where
𝒫
is a set of probabilities on
Ξ©
such that under any
𝑃 ∈ 𝒫,
the
𝐡 is a martingale with volatility π‘‘βŸ¨π΅βŸ©/𝑑𝑑 taking values in
D = [π‘Ÿ, 𝑅], 𝑃 × π‘‘π‘‘-a.e. Therefore, D can be understood as the domain of
𝐺 as the corresponding worst-case
(Knightian) volatility uncertainty and β„°
canonical process
expectation. In discrete-time, we translate this to uncertainty about the conditional variance of the increments. Thus we dene a sublinear expectation
ℰ𝑛
on the
𝑛-step canonical space in the spirit of
(1.1), replacing
𝒫
by a suit-
able set of martingale laws. A natural push-forward then yields a sublinear
expectation on
the domain
D
Ξ©,
which we show to converge weakly to
of uncertainty is scaled by
1/𝑛
ℰ𝐺
as
𝑛 β†’ ∞,
if
(cf. Theorem 2.2). The proof
relies on (linear) probability theory; in particular, it does not use the central
limit theorem for sublinear expectations [14, 15]. The relation to the latter
is nontrivial since our discrete-time models do not have independent increments. We remark that quite dierent approximations of the
𝐺-expectation
(for the scalar case) can be found in discrete models for nancial markets
with transaction costs [8] or illiquidity [5].
The detailed setup and the main result are stated in Section 2, whereas
the proofs and some ramications are given in Section 3.
2 Main Result
𝑑 ∈ β„• and denote by ∣ β‹… ∣ the Euclidean norm on ℝ𝑑 .
𝑑
𝑑
we denote by π•Š the space of 𝑑 × π‘‘ symmetric matrices and by π•Š+
We x the dimension
Moreover,
its subset of nonnegative denite matrices. We x a nonempty, convex and
2
compact set
D βŠ† π•Šπ‘‘+ ;
the elements of
D
will be the possible values of our
volatility processes.
Continuous-Time Formulation.
Let
Ξ© = 𝐢([0, 𝑇 ]; ℝ𝑑 )
be the space of
𝑑-dimensional continuous paths πœ” = (πœ”π‘‘ )0≀𝑑≀𝑇 with time horizon 𝑇 ∈ (0, ∞),
βˆ₯πœ”βˆ₯∞ = sup0≀𝑑≀𝑇 βˆ£πœ”π‘‘ ∣. We denote by 𝐡 =
(𝐡𝑑 )0≀𝑑≀𝑇 the canonical process 𝐡𝑑 (πœ”) = πœ”π‘‘ and by ℱ𝑑 := 𝜎(𝐡𝑠 , 0 ≀ 𝑠 ≀ 𝑑)
the canonical ltration. A probability measure 𝑃 on Ξ© is called a martingale
law if 𝐡 is a 𝑃 -martingale and 𝐡0 = 0 𝑃 -a.s. (All our martingales will start
endowed with the uniform norm
at the origin.) We set
{
𝒫D = 𝑃
where
⟨𝐡⟩
martingale law on
}
Ξ© : π‘‘βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘‘ /𝑑𝑑 ∈ D, 𝑃 × π‘‘π‘‘-a.e. ,
denotes the matrix-valued process of quadratic covariations. We
can then dene the sublinear expectation
β„°D (πœ‰) := sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰]
for any random variable
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D
πœ‰:Ω→ℝ
ℱ𝑇 -measurable and 𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£πœ‰βˆ£ < ∞ for all 𝑃 ∈ 𝒫D . The mapping
β„°D coincides with the 𝐺-expectation (on its domain 𝕃1𝐺 ) if 𝐺 : π•Šπ‘‘ β†’ ℝ
is (half ) the support function of D; i.e., 𝐺(Ξ“) = sup𝐴∈D trace(Γ𝐴)/2. In-
such that
πœ‰
is
deed, this follows from [3] with an additional density argument as detailed
in Remark 3.6 below.
(ℝ𝑑 )𝑛+1 as the
canonical space of 𝑑-dimensional paths in discrete time π‘˜ = 0, 1, . . . , 𝑛. We
𝑛
𝑛
𝑛 𝑛
denote by 𝑋 = (π‘‹π‘˜ )π‘˜=0 the canonical process dened by π‘‹π‘˜ (π‘₯) = π‘₯π‘˜ for
π‘₯ = (π‘₯0 , . . . , π‘₯𝑛 ) ∈ (ℝ𝑑 )𝑛+1 . Moreover, β„±π‘˜π‘› = 𝜎(𝑋𝑖𝑛 , 𝑖 = 0, . . . , π‘˜) denes
𝑛 𝑛
the canonical ltration (β„±π‘˜ )π‘˜=0 . We also introduce 0 ≀ π‘ŸD ≀ 𝑅D < ∞ such
that [π‘ŸD , 𝑅D ] is the spectrum of D; i.e.,
Discrete-Time Formulation.
Given
π‘ŸD = inf βˆ₯Ξ“βˆ’1 βˆ₯βˆ’1
Ξ“βˆˆD
βˆ₯β‹…βˆ₯
𝑛 ∈ β„•,
and
we consider
𝑅D = sup βˆ₯Ξ“βˆ₯,
Ξ“βˆˆD
π‘ŸD := 0 if D has an
element which is not invertible. We note that [π‘ŸD , 𝑅D ] = D if 𝑑 = 1.
𝑑 𝑛+1 is called a martingale law if 𝑋 𝑛
Finally, a probability measure 𝑃 on (ℝ )
𝑛
𝑛
𝑛
𝑛
is a 𝑃 -martingale and 𝑋0 = 0 𝑃 -a.s. Denoting by Ξ”π‘‹π‘˜ = π‘‹π‘˜ βˆ’ π‘‹π‘˜βˆ’1 the
𝑛
increments of 𝑋 , we can now set
{
}
𝑃 martingale law on (ℝ𝑑 )𝑛+1 : for π‘˜ = 1, . . . , 𝑛,
𝑛
𝒫D =
𝑛 ] ∈ D and 𝑑2 π‘Ÿ ≀ βˆ£Ξ”π‘‹ 𝑛 ∣2 ≀ 𝑑2 𝑅 , 𝑃 -a.s. ,
𝐸 𝑃 [Ξ”π‘‹π‘˜π‘› (Ξ”π‘‹π‘˜π‘› )β€² βˆ£β„±π‘˜βˆ’1
D
D
π‘˜
where
denotes the operator norm and we set
β€²
Ξ”π‘‹π‘˜π‘› is a column vector, so
𝑑
π•Š+ . We introduce the sublinear expectation
where prime ( ) denotes transposition. Note that
𝑛
𝑛 β€²
that Δ𝑋 (Δ𝑋 ) takes values in
𝑛
β„°D
(πœ“) := sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ“]
𝑛
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D
for any random variable
3
πœ“ : (ℝ𝑑 )𝑛+1 β†’ ℝ
πœ“ is ℱ𝑛𝑛 -measurable and 𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£πœ“βˆ£ < ∞ for all 𝑃 ∈
𝑛
of β„°D as a discrete-time analogue of the 𝐺-expectation.
such that
Remark 2.1. The second condition in the denition of
the desire to generate the volatility uncertainty by a
𝑛,
𝒫D
𝑛
𝒫D
and we think
is motivated by
small set of scenarios;
we remark that the main results remain true if, e.g., the lower bound
𝑅D
omitted and the upper bound
π‘ŸD
is
replaced by any other condition yielding
tightness. Our bounds are chosen so that
{
𝑛
𝒫D
= 𝑃
martingale law on
Continuous-Time Limit.
(ℝ𝑑 )𝑛+1 : Δ𝑋 𝑛 (Δ𝑋 𝑛 )β€² ∈ D, 𝑃 -a.s.
if
𝑑 = 1.
To compare our objects from the two formu-
lations, we shall extend any discrete path
π‘₯
Λ†βˆˆ Ξ©
}
by linear interpolation.
π‘₯ ∈ (ℝ𝑑 )𝑛+1
to a continuous path
More precisely, we dene the interpolation
operator
Λ† : (ℝ𝑑 )𝑛+1 β†’ Ξ©,
π‘₯ = (π‘₯0 , . . . , π‘₯𝑛 ) 7β†’ π‘₯
Λ† = (Λ†
π‘₯𝑑 )0≀𝑑≀𝑇 ,
where
π‘₯
ˆ𝑑 := ([𝑛𝑑/𝑇 ] + 1 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑑/𝑇 )π‘₯[𝑛𝑑/𝑇 ] + (𝑛𝑑/𝑇 βˆ’ [𝑛𝑑/𝑇 ])π‘₯[𝑛𝑑/𝑇 ]+1
[𝑦] := max{π‘š ∈ β„€ : π‘š ≀ 𝑦} for 𝑦 ∈ ℝ. In particular, if 𝑋 𝑛 is the
𝑑 𝑛+1 and πœ‰ is a random variable on Ξ©, then πœ‰(𝑋
ˆ𝑛 )
canonical process on (ℝ )
𝑑
𝑛+1
denes a random variable on (ℝ )
. This allows us to dene the following
𝑛
push-forward of β„°D to a continuous-time object,
and
𝑛
𝑛
ˆ𝑛 ))
β„°Μ‚D
(πœ‰) := β„°D
(πœ‰(𝑋
for
πœ‰:Ω→ℝ
being suitably integrable.
Our main result states that this sublinear expectation with discrete-time
volatility uncertainty converges to the
𝐺-expectation
as the number
𝑛
of
periods tends to innity, if the domain of volatility uncertainty is scaled as
D/𝑛 := {π‘›βˆ’1 Ξ“ : Ξ“ ∈ D}.
Theorem 2.2. Let πœ‰ : Ξ© β†’ ℝ be a continuous function satisfying βˆ£πœ‰(πœ”)∣ ≀
𝑛 (πœ‰) β†’ β„° (πœ‰) as 𝑛 β†’ ∞;
𝑐(1+βˆ₯πœ”βˆ₯∞ )𝑝 for some constants 𝑐, 𝑝 > 0. Then β„°Μ‚D/𝑛
D
that is,
ˆ𝑛 )] β†’ sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰].
sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰(𝑋
𝑛
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D/𝑛
(2.1)
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D
We shall see that all expressions in (2.1) are well dened and nite.
Moreover, we will show in Theorem 3.8 that the result also holds true for a
strong formulation of volatility uncertainty.
Remark 2.3. Theorem 2.2 cannot be extended to the case where πœ‰ is
1
merely in 𝕃𝐺 , which is dened as the completion of 𝐢𝑏 (Ξ©; ℝ) under the
𝑃
norm βˆ₯πœ‰βˆ₯𝐿1 := sup{𝐸 βˆ£πœ‰βˆ£, 𝑃 ∈ 𝒫D }. This is because βˆ₯ β‹… βˆ₯𝐿1 does not see
𝐺
𝐺
the discrete-time objects, as illustrated by the following example. Assume
4
0 ∈
/ D and let 𝐴 βŠ‚ Ξ©
𝑃 (𝐴) = 0 for any 𝑃 ∈ 𝒫D ,
for simplicity that
be the set of paths with nite
variation. Since
we have
πœ‰ := 1 βˆ’ 1𝐴 = 1
in
and the right hand side of (2.1) equals one. However, the trajectories of
lie in
𝐴,
so that
ˆ𝑛 ) ≑ 0
πœ‰(𝑋
and the left hand side of (2.1) equals zero.
In view of the previous remark, we introduce a smaller space
as the completion of
βˆ₯πœ‰βˆ₯βˆ— := sup 𝐸 𝑄 βˆ£πœ‰βˆ£,
π‘„βˆˆπ’¬
If
πœ‰
𝕃1𝐺
ˆ𝑛
𝑋
𝐢𝑏 (Ξ©; ℝ)
𝕃1βˆ— ,
dened
under the norm
}
{
ˆ𝑛 )βˆ’1 : 𝑃 ∈ 𝒫 𝑛 , 𝑛 ∈ β„• .
𝒬 := 𝒫D βˆͺ 𝑃 ∘ (𝑋
D/𝑛
is as in Theorem 2.2, then
πœ‰ ∈ 𝕃1βˆ—
(2.2)
by Lemma 3.4 below and so the
following is a generalization of Theorem 2.2.
Corollary 2.4. Let
𝑛 (πœ‰) β†’ β„° (πœ‰) as 𝑛 β†’ ∞.
πœ‰ ∈ 𝕃1βˆ— . Then β„°Μ‚D/𝑛
D
Proof. This follows from Theorem 2.2 by approximation, using that
sup{𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£πœ‰βˆ£
: 𝑃 ∈ 𝒫D } +
ˆ𝑛 )∣
sup{𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£πœ‰(𝑋
:𝑃 ∈
𝑛 ,
𝒫D/𝑛
𝑛 ∈ β„•}
βˆ₯πœ‰βˆ₯βˆ— and
are equivalent
norms.
3 Proofs and Ramications
In the next two subsections, we prove separately two inequalities that jointly
imply Theorem 2.2 and a slightly stronger result, reported in Theorem 3.8.
3.1
First Inequality
In this subsection we prove the rst inequality of (2.1), namely that
ˆ𝑛 )] ≀ sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰].
lim sup sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰(𝑋
𝑛
π‘›β†’βˆž 𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D/𝑛
(3.1)
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D
The essential step in this proof is a stability result for the volatility (see
Lemma 3.3(ii) below); the necessary tightness follows from the compactness
of
D;
i.e., from
𝑅D < ∞.
We shall denote
πœ†D = {πœ†Ξ“ : Ξ“ ∈ D}
for
πœ† ∈ ℝ.
Lemma 3.1. Given
𝑝 ∈ [1, ∞), there exists a universal constant 𝐾 > 0 such
𝑛,
that for all 0 ≀ π‘˜ ≀ 𝑙 ≀ 𝑛 and 𝑃 ∈ 𝒫D
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
𝐸 𝑃 [supπ‘˜=0,...,𝑛 βˆ£π‘‹π‘˜π‘› ∣2𝑝 ] ≀ 𝐾(𝑛𝑅D )𝑝 ,
2 (𝑙 βˆ’ π‘˜)2 ,
𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£π‘‹π‘™π‘› βˆ’ π‘‹π‘˜π‘› ∣4 ≀ 𝐾𝑅D
𝐸 𝑃 [(𝑋𝑙𝑛 βˆ’ π‘‹π‘˜π‘› )(𝑋𝑙𝑛 βˆ’ π‘‹π‘˜π‘› )β€² βˆ£β„±π‘˜π‘› ] ∈ (𝑙 βˆ’ π‘˜)D 𝑃 -a.s.
𝑋 := 𝑋 𝑛 to ease the notation.
(i) Let 𝑝 ∈ [1, ∞). By the Burkholder-Davis-Gundy (BDG)
there exists a universal constant 𝐢 = 𝐢(𝑝, 𝑑) such that
[
]
𝑃
𝑛 2𝑝
𝐸
sup βˆ£π‘‹π‘˜ ∣
≀ 𝐢𝐸 𝑃 βˆ₯[𝑋]𝑛 βˆ₯𝑝 .
Proof. We set
π‘˜=0,...,𝑛
5
inequalities
In view of
𝑛,
𝑃 ∈ 𝒫D
we have
βˆ₯[𝑋]𝑛 βˆ₯ = βˆ₯
βˆ‘π‘›
β€²
𝑖=1 Δ𝑋𝑖 (Δ𝑋𝑖 ) βˆ₯
(ii) The BDG inequalities yield a universal constant
𝐢
≀ 𝑛𝑑2 𝑅D 𝑃 -a.s.
such that
𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£π‘‹π‘™ βˆ’ π‘‹π‘˜ ∣4 ≀ 𝐢𝐸 𝑃 βˆ₯[𝑋]𝑙 βˆ’ [𝑋]π‘˜ βˆ₯2 .
Similarly as in (i),
𝑛
𝑃 ∈ 𝒫D
implies that
βˆ₯[𝑋]𝑙 βˆ’ [𝑋]π‘˜ βˆ₯ ≀ (𝑙 βˆ’ π‘˜)𝑑2 𝑅D 𝑃 -a.s.
(iii) The orthogonality of the martingale increments yields that
𝑃
𝐸 [(𝑋𝑙 βˆ’ π‘‹π‘˜ )(𝑋𝑙 βˆ’
β€²
π‘‹π‘˜ ) βˆ£β„±π‘˜π‘› ]
=
𝑙
βˆ‘
𝐸 𝑃 [Δ𝑋𝑖 (Δ𝑋𝑖 )β€² βˆ£β„±π‘˜π‘› ].
𝑖=π‘˜+1
Since
𝑛 ] ∈ D 𝑃 -a.s.
𝐸 𝑃 [Δ𝑋𝑖 (Δ𝑋𝑖 )β€² βˆ£β„±π‘–βˆ’1
and since
D
is convex,
]
[
𝑛 𝑛
𝐸 𝑃 [Δ𝑋𝑖 (Δ𝑋𝑖 )β€² βˆ£β„±π‘˜π‘› ] = 𝐸 𝑃 𝐸 𝑃 [Δ𝑋𝑖 (Δ𝑋𝑖 )β€² βˆ£β„±π‘–βˆ’1
] β„±π‘˜
again takes values in
D.
Ξ“1 + β‹… β‹… β‹… + Ξ“π‘š ∈ π‘šD
by convexity.
It remains to observe that if
Ξ“1 , . . . , Ξ“π‘š ∈ D,
then
The following lemma shows in particular that all expressions in Theorem 2.2 are well dened and nite.
Lemma 3.2. Let
πœ‰ : Ξ© β†’ ℝ be as in Theorem 2.2. Then βˆ₯πœ‰βˆ₯βˆ— < ∞; that is,
ˆ𝑛 )∣ < ∞
sup sup 𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£πœ‰(𝑋
𝑛
π‘›βˆˆβ„• 𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D/𝑛
sup 𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£πœ‰βˆ£ < ∞.
and
(3.2)
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D
𝑛 . By the assumption on πœ‰ , there
𝑛 ∈ β„• and 𝑃 ∈ 𝒫D/𝑛
constants 𝑐, 𝑝 > 0 such that
[
]
]
[
𝑛 𝑝
ˆ𝑛 )∣ ≀ 𝑐 + 𝑐𝐸 𝑃 sup βˆ£π‘‹
ˆ𝑛 βˆ£π‘ ≀ 𝑐 + 𝑐𝐸 𝑃
𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£πœ‰(𝑋
∣
.
sup
βˆ£π‘‹
π‘˜
𝑑
Proof. Let
0≀𝑑≀𝑇
exist
π‘˜=0,...,𝑛
𝑅D/𝑛 = 𝑅D /𝑛 yield that
𝑝/2
ˆ𝑛 )∣ ≀ 𝐾𝑅
𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£πœ‰(𝑋
D and the rst claim follows. The second claim similarly
𝑃
𝑝
follows from the estimate that 𝐸 [sup0≀𝑑≀𝑇 βˆ£π΅π‘‘ ∣ ] ≀ 𝐢𝑝 for all 𝑃 ∈ 𝒫D ,
Hence Lemma 3.1(i) and the observation that
which is obtained from the BDG inequalities by using that
D is bounded.
We can now prove the key result of this subsection.
Λœπ‘›
Lemma 3.3. For each 𝑛 ∈ β„•, let {𝑀 𝑛 = (π‘€π‘˜π‘› )𝑛
π‘˜=0 , 𝑃 } be a martingale
𝑛
ˆ𝑛 on Ξ©. Then
with law 𝑃 𝑛 ∈ 𝒫D/𝑛
on (ℝ𝑑 )𝑛+1 and let 𝑄𝑛 be the law of 𝑀
(i) the sequence (𝑄𝑛 ) is tight on Ξ©,
(ii) any cluster point of
(𝑄𝑛 ) is an element of 𝒫D .
6
Proof. (i) Let
0 ≀ 𝑠 ≀ 𝑑 ≀ 𝑇.
As
𝑅D/𝑛 = 𝑅D /𝑛,
Lemma 3.1(ii) implies that
𝑛
Λœπ‘› Λ†
2
𝑛
ˆ𝑛 4
𝐸 𝑄 βˆ£π΅π‘‘ βˆ’ 𝐡𝑠 ∣4 = 𝐸 𝑃 βˆ£π‘€
𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑀𝑠 ∣ ≀ πΆβˆ£π‘‘ βˆ’ π‘ βˆ£
𝐢 > 0.
for a constant
(ii) Let
𝑄
Hence
(𝑄𝑛 )
is tight by the moment criterion.
be a cluster point, then
𝐡
is a
𝑄-martingale
as a consequence
of the uniform integrability implied by Lemma 3.1(i) and it remains to show
that
π‘‘βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘‘ /𝑑𝑑 ∈ D
holds
scalar inequalities: given
𝑄 × π‘‘π‘‘-a.e. It will be
Ξ“ ∈ π•Šπ‘‘ , the separating
useful to characterize
D
by
hyperplane theorem implies
that
Ξ“βˆˆD
if and only if
β„“
β„“(Ξ“) ≀ 𝐢D
:= sup β„“(𝐴)
for all
β„“ ∈ (π•Šπ‘‘ )βˆ— ,
(3.3)
𝐴∈D
(π•Šπ‘‘ )βˆ— is the set of all linear functionals β„“ : π•Šπ‘‘ β†’ ℝ.
Let 𝐻 : [0, 𝑇 ] × Ξ© β†’ [0, 1] be a continuous and adapted function and let
β„“ ∈ (π•Šπ‘‘ )βˆ— . We x 0 ≀ 𝑠 < 𝑑 ≀ 𝑇 and denote Δ𝑠,𝑑 π‘Œ := π‘Œπ‘‘ βˆ’ π‘Œπ‘  for a process
π‘Œ = (π‘Œπ‘’ )0≀𝑒≀𝑇 . Let πœ€ > 0 and let DΜƒ be any neighborhood of D, then for 𝑛
where
suciently large,
Λœπ‘›
𝐸𝑃
(
[
)]
𝑛, 0 ≀ 𝑒 ≀ 𝑠 βˆ’ πœ€
ˆ𝑛 )(Δ𝑠,𝑑 𝑀
ˆ𝑛 )β€² 𝜎 𝑀
Λ†
∈ (𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑠)DΜƒ π‘ƒΛœ 𝑛 -a.s.
(Δ𝑠,𝑑 𝑀
𝑒
as a consequence of Lemma 3.1(iii). Since
D̃ was arbitrary, it follows by (3.3)
that
{ (
)
}]
𝑛[
β„“
lim sup 𝐸 𝑄 𝐻(𝑠 βˆ’ πœ€, 𝐡) β„“ (Δ𝑠,𝑑 𝐡)(Δ𝑠,𝑑 𝐡)β€² βˆ’ 𝐢D
(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑠)
π‘›β†’βˆž
Λœπ‘› [
= lim sup 𝐸 𝑃
π‘›β†’βˆž
{ (
)
}]
ˆ𝑛 ) β„“ (Δ𝑠,𝑑 𝑀
ˆ𝑛 )(Δ𝑠,𝑑 𝑀
ˆ𝑛 )β€² βˆ’ 𝐢 β„“ (𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑠) ≀ 0.
𝐻(𝑠 βˆ’ πœ€, 𝑀
D
πœ‰(πœ”) = βˆ₯πœ”βˆ₯2∞ , we may pass to the limit and conclude that
[
(
)]
[
]
β„“
𝐸 𝑄 𝐻(𝑠 βˆ’ πœ€, 𝐡) β„“ (Δ𝑠,𝑑 𝐡)(Δ𝑠,𝑑 𝐡)β€² ≀ 𝐸 𝑄 𝐻(𝑠 βˆ’ πœ€, 𝐡) 𝐢D
(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑠) . (3.4)
Using (3.2) with
Since
𝐻(𝑠 βˆ’ πœ€, 𝐡)
is
ℱ𝑠 -measurable
and
𝐸 𝑄 [(Δ𝑠,𝑑 𝐡)(Δ𝑠,𝑑 𝐡)β€² βˆ£β„±π‘  ] = 𝐸 𝑄 [𝐡𝑑 𝐡𝑑′ βˆ’ 𝐡𝑠 𝐡𝑠′ βˆ£β„±π‘  ] = 𝐸 𝑄 [βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘‘ βˆ’ βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘  βˆ£β„±π‘  ]
as
𝐡
𝑄-martingale, (3.4) is equivalent to
(
)]
[
]
β„“
𝐻(𝑠 βˆ’ πœ€, 𝐡) β„“ βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘‘ βˆ’ βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘  ≀ 𝐸 𝑄 𝐻(𝑠 βˆ’ πœ€, 𝐡) 𝐢D
(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑠) .
is a square-integrable
𝐸
[
𝑄
𝐻 and dominated convergence as πœ€ β†’ 0, we
[
(
)]
[
]
β„“
𝐸 𝑄 𝐻(𝑠, 𝐡) β„“ βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘‘ βˆ’ βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘  ≀ 𝐸 𝑄 𝐻(𝑠, 𝐡) 𝐢D
(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑠)
Using the continuity of
and then it follows that
𝐸𝑄
[∫
𝑇
]
[∫
𝐻(𝑑, 𝐡) β„“(π‘‘βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘‘ ) ≀ 𝐸 𝑄
0
0
7
𝑇
]
β„“
𝐻(𝑑, 𝐡)𝐢D
𝑑𝑑 .
obtain
𝐻 which
β„“ holds
β„“(π‘‘βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘‘ /𝑑𝑑) ≀ 𝐢D
𝑄 × π‘‘π‘‘-a.e., and since β„“ ∈ (π•Šπ‘‘ )βˆ— was arbitrary, (3.3) shows that π‘‘βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘‘ /𝑑𝑑 ∈ D
holds 𝑄 × π‘‘π‘‘-a.e.
By an approximation argument, this inequality extends to functions
are measurable instead of continuous. It follows that
We can now deduce the rst inequality of Theorem 2.2 as follows.
Proof of (3.1). Let
πœ‰
be as in Theorem 2.2 and let
𝑛
there exists an πœ€-optimizer 𝑃
Ξ©
under
𝑃𝑛 ,
∈
𝑛 ; i.e., if
𝒫D/𝑛
𝑛
𝑛
By Lemma 3.3, the sequence
𝒫D .
For each
(𝑄𝑛 )
ˆ𝑛 )] βˆ’ πœ€.
sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰(𝑋
𝑛
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D/𝑛
is tight and any cluster point belongs
πœ‰ is continuous and (3.2) implies sup𝑛 𝐸 𝑄𝑛 βˆ£πœ‰βˆ£ < ∞,
𝑛
lim sup𝑛 𝐸 𝑄 [πœ‰] ≀ sup𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰]. Therefore,
Since
yields that
π‘›βˆˆβ„•
ˆ𝑛 on
𝑋
then
ˆ𝑛 )] β‰₯
𝐸 𝑄 [πœ‰] = 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰(𝑋
to
πœ€ > 0.
𝑄𝑛 denotes the law of
tightness
ˆ𝑛 )] ≀ sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰] + πœ€.
lim sup sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰(𝑋
𝑛
π‘›β†’βˆž 𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D/𝑛
Since
πœ€>0
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D
was arbitrary, it follows that (3.1) holds.
Finally, we also prove the statement preceding Corollary 2.4.
Lemma 3.4. Let
πœ‰ : Ξ© β†’ ℝ be as in Theorem 2.2. Then πœ‰ ∈ 𝕃1βˆ— .
Proof. We show that πœ‰ π‘š
πœ‰ in the norm βˆ₯ β‹… βˆ₯βˆ— as
sup{𝐸 𝑄 [ β‹… ] : 𝑄 ∈ 𝒬}
π‘š
is continuous along the decreasing sequence βˆ£πœ‰ βˆ’ πœ‰ ∣, where 𝒬 is as in (2.2).
Indeed, 𝒬 is tight by (the proof of ) Lemma 3.3. Using that βˆ₯πœ‰βˆ₯βˆ— < ∞ by
π‘š β†’ ∞,
:= (πœ‰ ∧ π‘š) ∨ π‘š
converges to
or equivalently, that the upper expectation
Lemma 3.2, we can then argue as in the proof of [3, Theorem 12] to obtain
the claim.
3.2
Second Inequality
The main purpose of this subsection is to show the second inequality β‰₯
of (2.1). Our proof will yield a more precise version of Theorem 2.2. Namely,
we will include strong formulations of volatility uncertainty both in discrete
and in continuous time; i.e., consider laws generated by integrals with respect
to a xed random walk (resp. Brownian motion). In the nancial interpretation, this means that the uncertainty can be generated by
models.
8
complete market
Strong Formulation in Continuous Time.
nian martingales: with
{
𝒬D =
𝑃0 ∘
(∫
𝑃0
Here we shall consider
Brow-
denoting the Wiener measure, we dene
𝑓 (𝑑, 𝐡) 𝑑𝐡𝑑
)βˆ’1
√ )
: 𝑓 ∈ 𝐢 [0, 𝑇 ] × Ξ©; D
(
}
,
adapted
√
√
√
D = { Ξ“ : Ξ“ ∈ D}. (For Ξ“ ∈ π•Šπ‘‘+ , Ξ“ denotes the unique square𝑑
root in π•Š+ .) We note that 𝒬D is a (typically strict) subset of 𝒫D . The
elements of 𝒬D with nondegenerate 𝑓 have the predictable representation
where
property; i.e., they correspond to a complete market in the terminology of
mathematical nance.
We have the following density result; the proof is
deferred to the end of the section.
Proposition 3.5. The convex hull of
𝒬𝐷 is a weakly dense subset of 𝒫D .
We can now deduce the connection between
associated with
β„°D
and the
𝐺-expectation
D.
Remark 3.6. (i) Proposition 3.5 implies that
sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰] = sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰],
𝑃 βˆˆπ’¬D
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D
πœ‰ ∈ 𝐢𝑏 (Ξ©; ℝ).
𝐺-expectation
πœ‰ β†’
7 sup𝑃 βˆˆπ’¬βˆ—D 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰]
(3.5)
In [3, Section 3] it is shown that the
as introduced in [12,
13] coincides with the mapping
for a certain set
satisfying
𝒬D βŠ†
π’¬βˆ—D
βŠ† 𝒫D .
π’¬βˆ—D
In particular, we deduce that the right hand
side of (3.5) is indeed equal to the
𝐺-expectation,
as claimed in Section 2.
(ii) A result similar to Proposition 3.5 can also be deduced from [17,
Proposition 3.4.], which relies on a PDE-based verication argument of
stochastic control. We include a (possibly more enlightening) probabilistic
proof at the end of the section.
Strong Formulation in Discrete Time.
For xed
𝑛 ∈ β„•,
we consider
{
}
Ω𝑛 := πœ” = (πœ”1 , . . . , πœ”π‘› ) : πœ”π‘– ∈ {1, . . . , 𝑑 + 1}, 𝑖 = 1, . . . , 𝑛
equipped with its power set and let
𝑃𝑛 := {(𝑑 + 1)βˆ’1 , . . . , (𝑑 + 1)βˆ’1 }𝑛
be
the product probability associated with the uniform distribution. Moreover,
πœ‰1 , . . . , πœ‰π‘› be an i.i.d. sequence of ℝ𝑑 -valued random variables on Ω𝑛 such
2
that βˆ£πœ‰π‘˜ ∣ = 𝑑 and such that the components of πœ‰π‘˜ are orthonormal in 𝐿 (𝑃𝑛 ),
βˆ‘π‘˜
for each π‘˜ = 1, . . . , 𝑛. Let π‘π‘˜ =
𝑙=1 πœ‰π‘™ be the associated random walk.
𝑓
Then, we consider martingales 𝑀 which are discrete-time integrals of 𝑍 of
let
the form
π‘€π‘˜π‘“ =
π‘˜
βˆ‘
𝑓 (𝑙 βˆ’ 1, 𝑍)Δ𝑍𝑙 ,
𝑙=1
9
where
by
𝑍;
𝒬𝑛D
𝑓
is measurable and adapted with respect to the ltration generated
i.e.,
𝑓 (𝑙, 𝑍)
depends only on
π‘βˆ£{0,...,𝑙} .
We dene
{
√
= 𝑃𝑛 ∘(𝑀 𝑓 )βˆ’1 ; 𝑓 : {0, . . . , π‘›βˆ’1}×(ℝ𝑑 )𝑛+1 β†’ D
To see that
𝑛,
𝒬𝑛D βŠ† 𝒫D
we note that
measurable,
Ξ”π‘˜ 𝑀 𝑓 = 𝑓 (π‘˜ βˆ’ 1, 𝑍)πœ‰π‘˜
}
adapted .
and the or-
πœ‰π‘˜ yield
[
(
)β€²
]
𝐸 𝑃𝑛 Ξ”π‘˜ 𝑀 𝑓 Ξ”π‘˜ 𝑀 𝑓 𝜎(𝑍1 , . . . , π‘π‘˜βˆ’1 ) = 𝑓 (π‘˜ βˆ’ 1, 𝑍)2 ∈ D 𝑃𝑛 -a.s.,
thonormality property of
while
βˆ£πœ‰π‘˜ ∣ = 𝑑 and 𝑓 2 ∈ D imply that
(
)
[
]
Ξ”π‘˜ 𝑀 𝑓 Ξ”π‘˜ 𝑀 𝑓 β€² = βˆ£π‘“ (π‘˜ βˆ’ 1, 𝑍)πœ‰π‘˜ ∣2 ∈ 𝑑2 π‘ŸD , 𝑑2 𝑅D 𝑃𝑛 -a.s.
Remark 3.7. We recall from [7] that such
πœ‰1 , . . . , πœ‰π‘› can be constructed as
follows. Let 𝐴 be an orthogonal (𝑑 + 1) × (𝑑 + 1) matrix whose last row
βˆ’1/2 , . . . , (𝑑 + 1)βˆ’1/2 ) and let 𝑣 ∈ ℝ𝑑 be column vectors such
is ((𝑑 + 1)
𝑙
that [𝑣1 , . . . , 𝑣𝑑+1 ] is the matrix obtained from 𝐴 by deleting the last row.
1/2 𝑣
Setting πœ‰π‘˜ (πœ”) := (𝑑 + 1)
πœ”π‘˜ for πœ” = (πœ”1 , . . . , πœ”π‘› ) and π‘˜ = 1, . . . , 𝑛, the
above requirements are satised.
We can now formulate a result which includes Theorem 2.2.
Theorem 3.8. Let
lim
πœ‰ : Ξ© β†’ ℝ be as in Theorem 2.2. Then
ˆ𝑛 )] = lim
sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰(𝑋
π‘›β†’βˆž 𝑃 βˆˆπ’¬π‘›
ˆ𝑛 )]
sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰(𝑋
π‘›β†’βˆž 𝑃 βˆˆπ’« 𝑛
D/𝑛
D/𝑛
𝑃
= sup 𝐸 [πœ‰]
𝑃 βˆˆπ’¬D
= sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰].
(3.6)
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D
Proof. Since
𝑛
𝒬𝑛D/𝑛 βŠ† 𝒫D/𝑛
for each
𝑛 β‰₯ 1,
the inequality (3.1) yields that
ˆ𝑛 )] ≀ sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰].
lim sup sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰(𝑋
π‘›β†’βˆž 𝑃 βˆˆπ’¬π‘›
D/𝑛
𝑃 βˆˆπ’«D
As the equality in (3.6) follows from Proposition 3.5, it remains to show that
lim inf
ˆ𝑛 )] β‰₯ sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰].
sup 𝐸 𝑃 [πœ‰(𝑋
π‘›β†’βˆž 𝑃 βˆˆπ’¬π‘›
D/𝑛
To this end, let
𝑃 ∈ 𝒬D ;
i.e.,
𝑃
𝑃 βˆˆπ’¬D
is the law of a martingale of the form
∫
𝑀=
𝑓 (𝑑, π‘Š ) π‘‘π‘Šπ‘‘ ,
10
where
π‘Š
function. We shall construct
tend to
For
√ )
(
𝑓 ∈ 𝐢 [0, 𝑇 ] × Ξ©; D is an adapted
(𝑛) whose laws are in 𝒬𝑛
martingales 𝑀
D/𝑛 and
is a Brownian motion and
𝑃.
𝑛 β‰₯ 1,
let
(𝑛)
π‘π‘˜
=
βˆ‘π‘˜
𝑙=1 πœ‰π‘™ be the random walk on
(Ω𝑛 , 𝑃𝑛 )
as intro-
duced before Remark 3.7. Let
[𝑛𝑑/𝑇 ]
(𝑛)
π‘Šπ‘‘
:= 𝑛
βˆ’1/2
βˆ‘
πœ‰π‘˜ ,
0≀𝑑≀𝑇
π‘˜=1
be the piecewise constant càdlàg version of the scaled random walk and let
(𝑛)
Λ† (𝑛) := π‘›βˆ’1/2 𝑍ˆ
π‘Š
be its continuous counterpart obtained by linear interpo-
lation. It follows from the central limit theorem that
(
)
Λ† (𝑛) β‡’ (π‘Š, π‘Š )
π‘Š (𝑛) , π‘Š
𝐷([0, 𝑇 ]; ℝ2𝑑 ),
on
the space of càdlàg paths equipped with the Skorohod topology. Moreover,
since
(
𝑓
is continuous, we also have that
(
))
Λ† (𝑛) β‡’ (π‘Š, 𝑓 (𝑑, π‘Š ))
π‘Š (𝑛) , 𝑓 [𝑛𝑑/𝑇 ]𝑇 /𝑛, π‘Š
on
2
𝐷([0, 𝑇 ]; ℝ𝑑+𝑑 ).
Thus, if we introduce the discrete-time integral
(𝑛)
π‘€π‘˜
:=
π‘˜
)
βˆ‘
)( (𝑛)
(
Λ†
Λ† (𝑛)
Λ† (𝑛) π‘Š
βˆ’
π‘Š
𝑓 (𝑙 βˆ’ 1)𝑇 /𝑛, π‘Š
𝑙𝑇 /𝑛
(π‘™βˆ’1)𝑇 /𝑛 ,
𝑙=1
it follows from the stability of stochastic integrals (see [6, Theorem 4.3 and
Denition 4.1]) that
(
(𝑛)
𝑀[𝑛𝑑/𝑇 ]
)
0≀𝑑≀𝑇
⇒𝑀
Moreover, since the increments of
𝑀 (𝑛)
on
𝐷([0, 𝑇 ]; ℝ𝑑 ).
uniformly tend to
0
as
𝑛 β†’ ∞,
it
also follows that
Λ†(𝑛) β‡’ 𝑀
𝑀
As
𝑓 2 /𝑛
takes values in
D/𝑛,
the law of
on
𝑀 (𝑛)
Ξ©.
is contained in
𝒬𝑛D/𝑛
and the
proof is complete.
It remains to give the proof of Proposition 3.5, which we will obtain by
a randomization technique. Since similar arguments, at least for the scalar
case, can be found elsewhere (e.g., [8, Section 5]), we shall be brief.
Proof of Proposition 3.5. We may assume without loss of generality that
there exists an invertible element
(3.7)
D is a convex∩ subset of π•Šπ‘‘+ , we observe that (3.7) is
𝐾 = {0} for 𝐾 := Ξ“βˆˆD ker Ξ“. If π‘˜ = dim 𝐾 > 0, a change
Indeed, using that
equivalent to
Ξ“βˆ— ∈ D.
11
of coordinates bring us to the situation where
π‘˜
coordinates of
ℝ𝑑 .
𝐾
corresponds to the last
We can then reduce all considerations to
β„π‘‘βˆ’π‘˜
and
thereby recover the situation of (3.7).
1. Regularization. We rst observe that the set
{
𝑃 ∈ 𝒫D : π‘‘βŸ¨π΅βŸ©π‘‘ /𝑑𝑑 β‰₯ πœ€1𝑑 𝑃 × π‘‘π‘‘-a.e.
is weakly dense in
𝒫D .
(Here
a martingale whose law is in
for some
1𝑑 denotes the unit matrix.)
𝒫D .
Recall (3.7) and let
𝑁
}
πœ€>0
(3.8)
Indeed, let
𝑀
be
be an independent
continuous Gaussian martingale with
π‘‘βŸ¨π‘ βŸ©π‘‘ /𝑑𝑑 = Ξ“βˆ— .
πœ†π‘€ + (1 βˆ’ πœ†)𝑁
D is convex.
and is contained in the set (3.8), since
tends to the law of
𝑀
For
πœ† ↑ 1,
the law of
2. Discretization. Next, we reduce to martingales with piecewise constant
volatility. Let
𝑀
be a martingale whose law belongs to (3.8). We have
∫
𝑀=
where
𝑀 (𝑛)
πœŽπ‘‘ π‘‘π‘Šπ‘‘
πœŽπ‘‘ :=
for
√
∫
π‘‘βŸ¨π‘€ ⟩/𝑑𝑑
and
π‘Š :=
πœŽπ‘‘βˆ’1 𝑑𝑀𝑑 ,
π‘Š is a Brownian motion by Lévy's theorem. For 𝑛 β‰₯ 1, we introduce
∫ (𝑛)
= πœŽπ‘‘ π‘‘π‘Šπ‘‘ , where 𝜎 (𝑛) is an π•Šπ‘‘+ -valued piecewise constant process
satisfying
(
(𝑛) )2
πœŽπ‘‘
[(
= Ξ D
𝑛
𝑇
∫
π‘˜π‘‡ /𝑛
)2 ]
πœŽπ‘  𝑑𝑠
,
(
]
𝑑 ∈ π‘˜π‘‡ /𝑛, (π‘˜ + 1)𝑇 /𝑛
(π‘˜βˆ’1)𝑇 /𝑛
𝑑 β†’ D is the Euclidean projection.
π‘˜ = 1, . . . , 𝑛 βˆ’ 1, where Ξ D : π•Šβˆš
(𝑛)
[0, 𝑇 /𝑛] one can take, e.g., 𝜎 := Ξ“βˆ— . We then have
∫ 𝑇
〈
βŒͺ πœŽπ‘‘ βˆ’ 𝜎 (𝑛) 2 𝑑𝑑 β†’ 0
𝐸 𝑀 βˆ’ 𝑀 (𝑛) 𝑇 = 𝐸
𝑑
for
On
0
and in particular
𝑀 (𝑛)
converges weakly to
𝑀.
3. Randomization. Consider a martingale of the form
where
𝜎
π‘Š
𝑀 =
∫
πœŽπ‘‘ π‘‘π‘Šπ‘‘ ,
is a Brownian motion on some given ltered probability space and
√
is an adapted
𝜎=
π‘›βˆ’1
βˆ‘
D-valued
process which is piecewise constant; i.e.,
1[π‘‘π‘˜ ,π‘‘π‘˜+1 ) 𝜎(π‘˜)
for some
0 = 𝑑0 < 𝑑1 < β‹… β‹… β‹… < 𝑑𝑛 = 𝑇
π‘˜=0
𝑛 β‰₯ 1. Consider also a second probability space carrying a Brow˜ and a sequence π‘ˆ 1 , . . . , π‘ˆ 𝑛 of ℝ𝑑×𝑑 -valued random variables
π‘Š
π‘˜
such that the components {π‘ˆπ‘–π‘— : 1 ≀ 𝑖, 𝑗 ≀ 𝑑; 1 ≀ π‘˜ ≀ 𝑛} are i.i.d. uniformly
˜.
distributed on (0, 1) and independent of π‘Š
and some
nian motion
Using the existence of regular conditional probability distributions, we
√
2
2
Ξ˜π‘˜ : 𝐢([0, π‘‘π‘˜ ]; ℝ𝑑 ) × (0, 1)𝑑 × β‹… β‹… β‹… × (0, 1)𝑑 β†’ D
˜ ∣[0,𝑑 ] , π‘ˆ 1 , . . . , π‘ˆ π‘˜ ) satisfy
that the random variables 𝜎
˜ (π‘˜) := Ξ˜π‘˜ (π‘Š
π‘˜
{
} {
}
˜ ,𝜎
π‘Š
˜ (0), . . . , 𝜎
˜ (𝑛 βˆ’ 1) = π‘Š, 𝜎(0), . . . , 𝜎(𝑛 βˆ’ 1)
in law.
(3.9)
can construct functions
such
12
We can then consider the volatility corresponding to a xed realization of
π‘ˆ 1, . . . , π‘ˆ 𝑛.
2
𝑒 = (𝑒1 , . . . , 𝑒𝑛 ) ∈ (0, 1)𝑛𝑑 , let
(
)
˜ ∣[0,𝑑 ] , 𝑒1 , . . . , π‘’π‘˜
𝜎
˜ (π‘˜; 𝑒) := Ξ˜π‘˜ π‘Š
π‘˜
∫ 𝑒
βˆ‘
Λœπ‘’ = 𝜎
˜ 𝑑 , where 𝜎
𝑀
Λœπ‘‘ π‘‘π‘Š
˜ 𝑒 := π‘›βˆ’1
˜ (π‘˜; 𝑒).
π‘˜=0 1[π‘‘π‘˜ ,π‘‘π‘˜+1 ) 𝜎
Indeed, for
and consider
(
𝐹 ∈ 𝐢𝑏 Ξ©; ℝ),
For any
the equality (3.9) and Fubini's theorem yield that
[ ( (π‘ˆ 1 ,...,π‘ˆ 𝑛 ) )]
˜
𝐸[𝐹 (𝑀 )] = 𝐸 𝐹 𝑀
=
≀
∫
(0,1)𝑛𝑑2
˜ 𝑒 )] 𝑑𝑒
𝐸[𝐹 (𝑀
sup
˜ 𝑒 )].
𝐸[𝐹 (𝑀
π‘’βˆˆ(0,1)𝑛𝑑2
𝑀 is contained in the weak
˜ 𝑒 : 𝑒 ∈ (0, 1)𝑛𝑑2 }. We note
{
𝑀
∫
˜ 𝑒 is of the form 𝑀
˜ 𝑒 = 𝑔(𝑑, π‘Š
˜ ) π‘‘π‘Š
˜ 𝑑 with a measurable, adapted,
that 𝑀
√
D-valued function 𝑔 , for each xed 𝑒.
4. Smoothing. As 𝒬𝐷 is dened through continuous functions, it remains
√
to approximate 𝑔 by a continuous function 𝑓 . Let 𝑔 : [0, 𝑇 ] × Ξ© β†’
D be
a measurable adapted function and 𝛿 > 0. By standard density arguments
(
)
𝑑 such that
there exists π‘“Λœ ∈ 𝐢 [0, 𝑇 ] × Ξ©; π•Š
Hence, by the Hahn-Banach theorem, the law of
closure of the convex hull of the laws of
∫
𝐸
𝑇
˜ ) βˆ’ 𝑔(𝑑, π‘Š
˜ )βˆ₯2 𝑑𝑑 ≀ 𝛿.
βˆ₯π‘“Λœ(𝑑, π‘Š
0
Let
𝑓 (𝑑, π‘₯) :=
√ (
)
Ξ D π‘“Λœ(𝑑, π‘₯)2 .
Then
√ )
(
𝑓 ∈ 𝐢 [0, 𝑇 ] × Ξ©; D
and
βˆ₯𝑓 βˆ’ 𝑔βˆ₯2 ≀ βˆ₯𝑓 2 βˆ’ 𝑔 2 βˆ₯ ≀ βˆ₯π‘“Λœ2 βˆ’ 𝑔 2 βˆ₯ ≀ (βˆ₯π‘“Λœβˆ₯ + βˆ₯𝑔βˆ₯)βˆ₯π‘“Λœ βˆ’ 𝑔βˆ₯ ≀ 2
√
𝑅D βˆ₯π‘“Λœ βˆ’ 𝑔βˆ₯
(see [1, Theorem X.1.1] for the rst inequality). By Jensen's inequality we
conclude that
𝐸
βˆ«π‘‡
0
√
˜ ) βˆ’ 𝑔(𝑑, π‘Š
˜ )βˆ₯2 𝑑𝑑 ≀ 2 𝑇 𝑅D 𝛿 ,
βˆ₯𝑓 (𝑑, π‘Š
which, in view of
the above steps, completes the proof.
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