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World Meteorological Organization WMO OMM Working together in weather, climate and water GCW Support for an Arctic PRCC-Network R. Kolli* and B.Goodison *Climate & Water Department, WMO With contributions from: Vasily Smolyanitsky (RU), Hilppa Gregow (FI), Marina Livezey (US), Richard Thoman (US), Wanqiu Wang (US), Chantale Cote (CA), Lena Lindstrom (SE), Ernesto Rodrigez (ES), Chenghu Sun (CN) WMO ● Climate & Water Department www.wmo.int WMO OMM Regional Climate Centres (RCCs) • RCCs are Centres of Excellence, designated through through the WMO Technical Regulations to perform regional-scale climate functions, e.g.: – – – – – – Operational LRF and Climate Monitoring Coordination between RCCs, GPCs and NMHSs in the region Data services Climate Applications Training and capacity building Research and Development • RCCs are complementary to and supportive of NMHSs, who will deliver all Warnings and national-scale products • Establishment of RCCs will be initiated by Regional Associations, based on regional needs and priorities • WMO RCCs are part of WMO’s baseline infrastructure; Members shall follow or implement standard practices and procedures User Needs for Arctic PRCC “National Strategies” – priorities placed upon stewardship, responsible resource development, international collaboration Economic drivers: natural resources, tourism, transportation Ecosystem changes: permafrost degradation, increasing runoff, coastal erosion, reduced ice thickness Arctic Populations/communities commonly distributed along or dependent on coastal waterways and river systems for access and subsistence Arctic PRCC Target Users NMHSs Arctic Council Federal Stakeholders – local governments Global Users Partners Scientific Consortiums Additional Users Value Added Covering unique polar regional elements Bringing unified and harmonized view to core services Upscaling /downscaling capabilities Avoiding contradictions from various sources Sharing information / common data base Addressing more requirements Reducing costs to individual service provider Considering national concerns and feedback Creating common wealth of knowledge Arctic PRRC Geographic Domain • Defined by elements • Identified by AC • Permafrost / glaciers/ sea ice extent • Indigenous People Parameters of interest Cryosphere Sea and Freshwater Ice Snow Cover Glaciers, Ice Caps, and Ice Sheets Permafrost Atmosphere SLP, Ta, precipitation Storminess, winds, atmospheric circulation patterns Polar oceanography Water temperature, Salinity Sea level Waves River runoffs Land issues Coastal and river erosion Fresh water runoffs WMO OMM • • • • • WMO RCC: Definitions WMO-RCC – A multifunctional centre that fulfils all the required functions of an RCC for the entire region, or for a sub-region to be defined by the regional association WMO RCC-Network – A group of centres performing climate-related activities that collectively fulfil all the required functions of an RCC WMO RCC-Network Node – a centre in a designated WMO RCC-Network – a node will perform, for the region or sub-region defined by the regional association, one or several of the mandatory RCC activities (e.g. long-range forecasting (LRF), climate monitoring, climate data services, training). In the case of the Arctic, it is likely that a network approach will be adopted. This will require co-operation across 3 WMO regional associations (RAII, IV, VI) GCW and AMAP have expressed a strong interest in contributing to PRCC development and operations. Process TBD RCC Functions WMO OMM Mandatory, for RCC designation: • Operational Activities for long range forecasts (LRF) • Operational Activities for Climate Monitoring • Operational Data Services, to support operational LRF and climate monitoring • Training in the use of operational RCC products and services Highly Recommended: • Climate prediction and projection • Non-operational data services • Coordination functions • Training and capacity building • Research and development WMO OMM WMO RCC Status Worldwide NEACC BCC ACMAD CIIFEN ICPAC Designated RCCs Designated RCC-Networks RCCs in Demonstration Phase RCC-Networks in Demo Phase RCCs Proposed RCC-Networks Proposed SADC-CSC TCC WMO OMM Arctic PRCC-Network and International Partnerships • To ensure the efficient operation of the proposed Arctic PRCCNetwork, it is important to liaise with and build strong partnership with various international communities either beyond the WMO scope or WMO initiatives with significant non-NMHS participation. • Those include but are not limited to the Arctic Council (AC), Global Cryosphere Watch (GCW), the Global Integrated Polar Prediction System (GIPPS), the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP), Aboriginal Communities, and so on. Discussed Elements (within the zone of each PRCC responsibility) Operational activity for LRF, additional elements: interpretation and estimates: sea ice, atmosphere, etc,; monthly or quarterly. reparation of regional and sub-regional products: sea ice, polar oceanography; 10 days – 1 month consensus statement: sea ice, atmosphere; semiannual-annual Verification: sea ice, atmosphere…. Operational activity for climate monitoring, additional elements: climate diagnosis: actual and anomaly values of sea ice, atmosphere, polar oceanography….. Development of historical climatology for region/subregion: sea ice, polar oceanography…… Service Delivery PRCC-Network Monthly/quaterly bulletin of PRCC Polar Climate Outlook Forums (?) Portal (Amazon style to individual service providers – PRCC-Network and NMHSs) Leverage WIS, CSIS, and other existing sources Seamless suite of products daily, monthly (monitoring) monthly, seasonal, decadal timescales (prediction and projection) WMO OMM GCW Contributions to the Arctic-PRCC Network (as per Concept Paper) • GCW may ensure a comprehensive, coordinated, and sustainable system of observations and information to allow for a more complete understanding of the cryosphere and to contribute to improved observations, research and services. The GCW surface network – CryoNet –could support the RCC mandatory and highly recommended functions. • GCW products, tailored to the pan-Arctic region, and the associated assessment and intercomparison of cryosphere products, would be a contribution to the PRCC effort. In addition: • GCW efforts in, for example, establishing guidelines/best practices, terminology, user requirements and services, data rescue, validation should support PRCC operations. • GCW contributions will include both national and collaborative inputs Way Forward WMO OMM • • • • • EC-68 aims to achieve endorsement of RAII, IV and VI to proceed Concept will be reviewed by stakeholders, then refined and endorsed by ECPHORS to serve as basis for an IP representatives of existing international efforts, such as GCW, that can provide operational and sustainable support to PRCC-Network need to be closely involved and their potential roles adequately captured in the IP. Meeting of potential contributors of the network is planned for late 2016 Demonstration phase initiated tentatively 2017 GCW challenges: • Determining which GCW contributions can be aligned to Arctic-PRCC timeline • increase number of GCW reps engaged in national PRCC implementation (currently, Rick Thoman (USA), Vasily Smolyanitsky (Russia)) • Snow Watch team to identify products and information to support Arctic-PRCC World Meteorological Organization WMO OMM Working together in weather, climate and water Thank You WMO ● Climate & Water Department www.wmo.int