Download Introduction to Agricultural Economics

Introduction to Agricultural Economics
Economics examines:
• how scarce resources are allocated.
• how firms maximize profits.
• how market competition affects firms and
consumers.
• the limitations of markets.
We will examine some problems unique to
agriculture which lead to The Farm Problem.
DEMAND
The DEMAND CURVE shows the quantity of
a good demanded at various prices. Demand
Curves have negative slopes. Goods more
necessary to life usually have steeper slopes .
PRICE
Q Demand for Good X
d
QUANTITY
DEMANDED
ELASTICITY
% change in Quantity Demanded
Price Elasticity =
% Change in Price
Q
$
$
INELASTIC DEMAND
Q
ELASTIC DEMAND
Q
Inelastic - little change in demand for a change in price.
Elastic - small changes in price cause large demand changes.
Goods more necessary to life (e.g., medicine, water) usually
have less elastic demand (steeper slopes) than other items.
Elasticity of Agricultural Goods
• Demand for most farm products is inelastic.
• People can consume only so much then they
are satiated. Even if price drops they will
not buy much more.
• When demand is inelastic a drop in price
that spurs more quantity being sold results
in lower revenue and profit for the producer.
• Inelastic demand is a serious problem for
farmers.
Inelastic Demand and Revenue
Q
$
$
Q
Q
A
B
Q
When price falls the increase in quantity does not make up
for the revenue loss due to the lower price.
A (the lost revenue) is greater than B the revenue increase.
Elasticity Exercise
Demand curve
is steeply
sloping, so
demand is
inelastic.
$3
$2
$1
0
100
120
Elasticity Exercise
Demand curve
is steeply
sloping, so
demand is
inelastic.
(100,$3)
$3
Give up $100,000
(110,$2)
$2
Gain $20,000
$1
0
100
120
Elasticity Exercise
• Gross Income @ 100,000 bushels = $300,000
• Gross Income @ 110,000 bushels = $220,000
• Net Income @ 100,000 bushels = $100,000
$300,000 - $200,000
• Net Income @ 100,000 bushels = $14,000
$220,000 - $206,000
SUPPLY
The SUPPLY CURVE shows the quantity of
a good supplied by firms at various prices.
Supply Curves have positive slopes.
PRICE
Q Supply of Good X
s
QUANTITY
SUPPLIED
The Market Clearing Price
• The Quantity at which the Demand and Supply curves
cross gives the Price that clears the market.
• At the market clearing price the demand of buyers
willing to pay that price or higher just equals the
willingness of firms to supply that quantity.
• At any other price either:
– Demand exceeds Suppliers willingness to provide
goods (price too low).
– Demand is less than the amount produced (price
too high).
The Market Clearing Price
Quantity demanded equals Quantity supplied.
Market is in equilibrium.
PRICE
Q
Q
d
s
P*
Q*
QUANTITY
If Price Is Too High
Supply exceeds Demand so a surplus occurs.
PRICE
Q
Q
d
s
P
Qd
Qs
QUANTITY
If Price Is Too Low
Demand exceeds Supply so a shortage occurs
PRICE
Q
Q
d
s
P
Qs
Qd
QUANTITY
Costs
• Average - the cost of producing one item at a
particular level of production.
• Average Cost x Quantity = Total Cost
Total Cost
• Average Cost =
Quantity Produced
• Marginal Cost - the cost of producing one more
unit.
• Compute Marginal Cost by subtracting the total
cost of producing n units from the total cost of
producing n+1 units.
Typical Cost Curves for a Firm
Costs include a normal rate of return
25
Marginal Cost
20
15
Average Cost
10
5
0
The Shaded Area Shows Abnormal Profit
25
20
MC
Profit per unit
15
10
5
0
Price
Average Cost
25
Maximize Profit at Q for which P = MC
20
MC
Profit increase
15
Price
10
5
Average Cost
Profit decrease
0
A normal profit is included in the cost curves.
The profit shown here is above normal,
supra-normal or abnormal profit.
Maximize Profit at Q for which P = MC
A company maximizes its profit by producing
every unit it can for which marginal cost is
below sales price.
As long as MC is less than sales price the unit
contributes to the company’s profit or
contributes to covering fixed costs.
If the marginal cost (the cost of producing the
next unit) is below the sales price, then that
unit is costing the company more than it is
bringing in and should not be produced.
Supra-Normal Profits Attract Competitors
• When other companies see supra-normal profits
they will enter that market. They will offer a
similar product at a slightly lower price, but still
make an abnormal profit.
• As long as profits persist, other firms will enter
by offering consumers a lower price.
• Entry continues until the good sells for a price
equal to the minimum of the average cost per
unit and all abnormal profits have been
competed away.
Entry lowers Price
Higher Supply is sold only at a lower Price
Demand
Supply 1
Price 1
Price 2
Q1
Q2
Supply 2
The Efficiency of Competitive Entry
20
In the long-run, entry will drive Price to
the minimum of the Average Cost curve.
Price = Marginal Cost
15
MC
10
5
Price
Average Cost
0
Every firm must produce in the most efficient
manner or they will lose money. Consumers will pay
the lowest possible price for the good.
The Benefits of Competition
• It forces companies to adopt the most
efficient production processes and make the
most efficient use of resources.
• It drives Price to the lowest level at which
production can be maintained (which allows
companies to make a normal profit).
• Low prices let consumers spread their
income over more goods, so increases their
happiness.
Assumptions for Perfect Competition
• Commodity-like Good - consumers can easily
change suppliers.
• Consumers consider only Price when deciding
which firm to buy from.
• Many small producers and many buyers none
of whom can affect price. Price-taking
behavior - take prices as given.
• Easy entry and exit from the market.
• Information about prices is freely available.
Perfect Competition and Agriculture
•
•
•
•
Commodity-like Good - YES.
Consumers consider only Price - YES.
Information is freely available - YES.
Many producers and many buyers - NO.
– With few buyers they can set prices
• Easy entry and exit from the market - NO.
– Farmland has few other uses. This is the
problem of Asset Fixity. Exit is difficult or
impossible. Farmers may quit but the land is
still used to produce crops or animals.
The Farm Problem
Technology regularly increases yields
PRICE
Qd
Q*
s
Q **
s
P*
P**
Q* Q**
QUANTITY
Why do farmers adopt the new technologies?
• If all farmers ignored the new technologies
then there would less yield increase.
• But if a few adopt then everyone has to adopt.
–A few adopters will over-produce and push the
price down. technology.
–Non-adopters bear both a low price and low yield.
–Therefore, everyone adopts the new
Subsidizing inputs lowers Cost Curves
which motivates more production
25
Marginal Cost
20
Market Price
15
10
With
Subsidy
5
Production without subsidy
0
Setting a parity price above the
market prices creates a surplus.
PRICE
Q
Q
d
s
P
Qd
Qs
QUANTITY
Supply Increasing Factors
• Technology
• Subsidies
• Price Supports
Combine to increase supply, but
with inelastic demand income must
go down!
Possible Solutions
Continue to support prices
• Draws out more and more production
• Expensive
Reduce Supply
• Take land out of production
• Destroy food
• Send food overseas
• Prohibit cheaper food from other countries
Supply Management
Set-aside or CRP programs reduce supply
so enhance farm income
Demand
Psa
Supply after
set-aside
Supply
Pc
Qd
Sending Food Overseas
Reduces domestic Supply so Price rises
S2
P2
P1
Q2
Q1
S1
History of Farm Policies
• Parity Pricing - prices that provide same buying power per
unit produced (e.g., per bushel of wheat) as in 1910-14
(inflation adjusted).
• Price Support Loan (Commodity Credit Corp.)
nonrecourse loan using harvested crop as collateral set at
some target price for the commodity. Farmers may repay
the loan by selling the product, or let the Government have
the crop at the support price.
• FAIR (Federal Agriculture Improvement and Reform Act)
the 1996 Farm Bill reduces governmental intervention in
favor of markets.
The Farm Problem
• Inelastic demand for farm products.
• Technology increases yield and thus supply.
• There are limited ways to exit the market.
• Inputs purchased from a few big firms.
• Output sold to a few large firms.
• Many products are highly perishable.
Result
• Over supply and very low farm incomes.