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Significant Figures • scientists convey information by the numbers they report • 4.21 mL means the 4.2 mL is certain and the 0.01 mL is uncertain • it is important for you to convey the proper information when reporting numerical values Rounding • 4.2051 is rounded to 4.21 • 4.2049 is rounded to 4.20 • 4.2050 is rounded to 4.2? – from 4.201, 4.202, 4.203, 4.204 round to 4.20 – from 4.206, 4.207, 4.208, 4.209 round to 4.21 – rounding 4.205 to 4.21 would provide a higher probability of rounding up (5 cases to 4 cases) • since there are 4 cases of each – round up to make an even number – round down to make an even number – 50% of the time you will round down (or up) Significant Figures • the standard deviation conveys uncertainty – round all types of error to 2 sig figs – since uncertainty lies in the first digit, the second digit is even more uncertain – the second digit is useful to prevent rounding errors – the third, fourth, etc. digits are completely useless (in the final answer, but may be useful in propagation of error calculations) Rounding • when doing a compound calculation, never round until the very end of the calculation – it is a good idea to record 2 or three extra sig figs for future calculations • notebook entry 1.4562 g NaCl 58.54 g/mol = 0.0248752 mol 0. 0248752 mol 0.500 mL = 0.0497504 = 0.04975 M – (if the extra sig figs are left out...) 0.02487 mol 0.500 mL = 0.04974 M (-0.02% error) – (if the numbers were rounded to begin with) 1.5g 59 g/mol 0.5 mL = 0.051 M (2.5% error) Rounding 24 4.52 100.0 = 1.0848 = 1.1 24 4.02 100.0 = 0.9648 = 0.96 • should both answers have 2 sig figs? • what if the number were 0.999 ? • should you round up then drop a sig fig? • if a number barely rolls over into the next digit, add an extra digit to the sig figs (1.00) Error Sig Figs • sig figs are meant to communicate uncertainty in a number • a buret reading of 20.14 mL – certain of the 20.1 mL – uncertain of the 0.04 mL • if a measurement is 20.14 (±1.2) mL – the 0.04 mL is meaningless (so is the 0.2 mL, really) – it is OK to use 2 sig figs of uncertainty – 20.1 (±1.2) mL or 20 (±1) mL is OK 1 Error Sig Figs • 20.1 (±1.2) mL or 20 (±1) mL is OK • keep the extra sig fig of uncertainty to prevent rounding errors from increasing your uncertainty • guard digit the extra sig fig in uncertainty Measurement Statistics (read on your own) • the mean ( x) Use the spreadsheet – the center of the distribution function AVERAGE – the number that would result from the measurement if there were no errors – represents accuracy • the standard deviation (s) – is a measure of the error in a single measurement 2 – has the same units as the mean N x i N – represents precision 2 xi i 1 Use the spreadsheet N i 1 s function STDEV N 1 Read About the Following • Accuracy, precision – How sample statistics relate to accuracy & precision • • • • average: μ or x standard deviation: σ or s median range – How the following errors relate to accuracy & precision • random errors • systematic errors Measurement Statistics • population (or universe) distribution – created when N (infinity) – yields a mean (), and a standard deviation () • since it is impossible to perform an infinite number of measurements, we are stuck with the sample distribution – created when N is small – yields a mean ( x ), and a standard deviation ( s ) • the sample statistics are usually the same as the population statistics when N>20 or 30 Pooled Standard Deviation • if data from an instrument or method has been collected over a period of time, you have a track-record of the random error • instead of having to make many replicates in one sitting (N>20), spooled can be used x x x x 2 s pooled What do you call this? 5000 averaged scans 2 i set1 Example: i set 2 12 averaged scans What do you call this? N1 N 2 2 s ( N1 1) s22 ( N 2 1) N1 N 2 2 2 1 2 Systematic Errors (Bias) • could be positive or negative (but not at the same time for the same error) • effects the accuracy of the measurement • can sometimes be eliminated • different types: – instrumental - did not calibrate instrument – method errors - problems w/ chemicals, etc. • strong acid/strong base titration with phenolphthalein – personal - color blindness, bias in reading scale Detecting Systematic Errors • calibrate your instrument • use standard reference materials – their purity and composition are certified • use another method which has been validated – it’s like a second opinion • can eliminate with digital meters Hypothesis Testing Types of Errors (Summary) • this is the scientific method • random or indeterminate a measure of precision • systematic (bias) or determinate a measure of accuracy • PIBCAK • ID10T – – – – – make a hypothesis make some measurements do the results support the hypothesis? if yes, then use the hypothesis again if no, then abandon the hypothesis • you will use this when you need to compare your results to something – the true value or theoretical value – to another measurement (another method) Hypothesis Testing (t-testing) • Null Hypothesis two numbers (means) are the same – is my mean the same as within error? – is the mean from my sample the same as the mean from your sample? – is the mean from instrument #1 the same as the mean from instrument #2? – is the standard deviation from instrument #1 the same as the standard deviation from instrument #2? as N (actually 20 or so), t z 3 Comparing An Experimental Mean and the True Value • you assay an NIST antacid tablet for CaCO3 – you get 535 12 mg (N = 4) – NIST gets 550.0 mg • are they the same? is there significant bias? x t s N where is the true value, s is the std. dev. and N is the number of replicates • then compare tcalc with ttable from the Student’s t table • if |tcalc | ttable then reject the null hypothesis Comparing An Experimental Mean and the True Value • if |tcalc | ttable then there is a significant bias (systematic error) in the method • the systematic error needs to be tracked down and eliminated • NOTE: just because the null hypothesis is correct, does not mean that your method is acceptable (std error may be too large) Comparing Experimental Means • aspirin tablets from two different batches are assayed for their aspirin content – batch #1: 328.1 2.6 mg/tablet – batch #2: 341.5 2.3 mg/tablet (N=4) (N=5) Comparing An Experimental Mean and the True Value • you assay an NIST antacid tablet for CaCO3 – you get 535 12 mg (N = 4) – NIST gets 550.0 mg • are they the same? t 535 550 2.5 12 / 4 x s N tcrit= ttable= 3.18 (@ 3 DOF and 95%) • |tcalc | ttable to reject the null hypothesis • 2.5 < 3.18, so the numbers are the same Comparing An Experimental Mean and the True Value • what if s is a good estimate of ? • then, t becomes z and you look up ztable from the table z x N • if |zcalc | ztable then there is a significant bias (systematic error) in the method • the systematic error needs to be tracked down and eliminated Comparing Experimental Means – batch #1: 328.1 2.6 mg/tablet – batch #2: 341.5 2.3 mg/tablet (N=4) (N=5) • are they the same? is there significant bias? s1 = 2.6 s2 = 2.3 • are they the same? x x x x 2 • since both samples were collected under the same conditions, use spooled to answer the question t s pooled 2 i set1 i set 2 N1 N 2 2 s ( N1 1) s22 ( N 2 1) N1 N 2 2 2 1 spooled = 2.433 4 Summary Comparing Experimental Means – batch #1: 328.1 2.6 mg/tablet – batch #2: 341.5 2.3 mg/tablet • compare exp. mean with true (N=4) (N=5) • are they the same? is there significant bias? t x1 x 2 s pooled 328.1 341.5 N1N 2 2.433 N1 N 2 45 8.2098 45 • |tcalc | ttable to reject the null hypothesis • 8.21>2.36 (7 DOF and 95%), so the null hypothesis is rejected • there is a significant different between the two batches – use the eqn as is – compare to tcrit from the table t x s N • comparing two exp. means (same method) – change xt to x 2 (bar) x x N1 N 2 t 1 2 – find spooled s pooled N1 N 2 These equation change slightly when you move from sample statistics to population statistics (s) Definitions Summary • compare the calculated t to the t value in the table (tcrit) for a given confidence interval and degrees of freedom (DOF) • blank the solution that contains everything except the analyte • matrix everything except the analyte • |tcalc | ttable to reject the null hypothesis • |tcalc | < ttable to accept the null hypothesis • difference? – The matrix is in every solution that contains the sample – The blank is one solution of the calibration curve made without the analyte Figures of Merit • Precision standard deviation of a measurement - a measure of random error – example: white noise or static • Bias is measured value higher or lower than the actual? – example: analyte loss in processing • Sensitivity the slope of the calibration curve • Limit of Detection (LOD) how low can you go? (S is the signal, NOT the stdev (rep. by s or ) – Qualitative (LOD): Sm = Sbl + 3bl – Quantitative (LOQ): Sm = Sbl + 10bl – We’ll do an example in a minute why the difference? 5 Figures of Merit • Selectivity how easy is it to ignore contaminants? A selective method/instrument can detect a group of related analytes. LOD: sigm = sigbl + 3bl LOQ: sigm = sigbl + 10bl • examine the error in the y-int of the graph and blank signal • take the larger of the two values (blank and error) – y-int: 0.0161470.0028 – blank: sigbl=0.02130.0018 • Specificity how selective is the method/instrument? The ultimate selectivity is one that is specific for a single analyte. Limit of Detection Example 0.16 Slope Std. Dev. in Slope (s m ) Y-intercept Std. Dev. in Y-int (s b ) 0.015178 0.000581 0.016147 0.0028 0.14 R2 0.991293 Error Analysis Standard error in y (s r ) N (count of standards) S xx ybar (avg absorbance) 0.005837 8 1.01E+02 6.56E-02 sigm = sigbl + 3bl sigm = 0.0213 + 30.0028 = 0.0297 • this is the minimum signal, so substitute it into the linear eqn: y=mx+b (where y is the signal) x = (y-b)/m = (0.0297- 0.016147)/0.015178 = 0.8929 • this is the minimum signal for the LOD • Repeat for the LOQ (replace 3 with 10): 2.184 y = 0.0152x + 0.0161 R2 = 0.9914 0.12 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Concentration (mg/L) Limit of Detection Example y-int: 0.0161470.0028 blank: sigbl=0.02130.0018 Calibration Curve 0.18 y = 0.0152x + 0.0161 R2 = 0.9913 0.16 0.14 0.12 Signal LOD: sigm = sigbl + 3bl LOQ: sigm = sigbl + 10bl Calibration Curve 0.18 Regression Analysis Signal • Dynamic Range or Limit of Linearity (LOL) linear calibration curve from LOD to some concentration Limit of Detection Example 0.1 0.08 0.06 LOD LOQ 0.04 0.02 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Concentration (mg/L) Methods of Quantitation • method of external standards - commonly associated with calibration curves • method of multiple standard additions - used when the matrix of the sample is complicated External Standards • produce as series of solutions with known analyte concentration • produce a calibration curve (signal vs. conc.) • measure the signal of the unknown • use the regression statistics to find unknown concentration, uncertainty • advantage - curve can be used for several unknowns • disadvantage - since std’s are made w/ pure solvent, matrix is not the same as unknown 6 External Standards Calibration Curve • IMPORTANT: the error in the unknown concentration is minimized if it is centered in the calibration curve 0.9 y = 0.0056x - 0.0076 2 R = 0.9998 0.8 unknown signal (measured) 0.6 0.5 Uncertainty in Calc. x 1 0.4 0.3 unknown concentration (calculated) 0.2 0.1 0 0 50 100 150 Observed Y Absorbance 0.7 0.8 0.6 Data Uncertainty 0.4 0.2 0 200 0 Concentration 50 100 150 200 Calculated x • advantage - the sample and standards have the same matrix, so there is not systematic error due to a matrix mismatch • disadvantage - must repeat the entire procedure for every unknown sample Multiple Standard Additions Multiple Standard Additions step 1: step 2: step 3: Multiple Standard Additions (graphing method #1) 1) measure signal of all solutions 2) plot signal vs. volume of standard added 3) find the and use x-intercept (gives the equivalent volume of the standard that represents the unknown) Rephrase: gives the # of mL’s of the standard that, if diluted to the volume of the original unknown, would give the concentration of the unknown (this method is the one discussed in your textbook) 7 Multiple Standard Additions (graphing method #1) 1) measure signal of all solutions 2) plot signal vs. conc of diluted standard 3) find the and use x-intercept (gives the equivalent conc. of the unknown in the diluted volume) Internal Standard • A compound that the analyte can be compared to in quantitation • example: – you need to inject a sample into an instrument, but it is difficult to get the injection volumes from one injection to another to be exactly the same Internal Standard • Example (continued): – if, after processing, 50% of the internal std. was lost, then 50% of the analyte was also lost – thus, the real conc. of analyte is twice the measured conc. – variations in the injection volume lead to variations in the analyte signal – add a known amount of an I.S. before the injections – if the injection volume is large, then the I.S. signal is large (vice versa for smaller injections) 8