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Reindeer and tundra in a changing world: threats and opportunities Boazu ja duottar rievdamin máilmmis – uhkidusaid ja vejolašvuođaid NCoE Tundra, 2010-2015, funded by Co-Nordic TFI grant The threat: climate is warming Uhkidus: dálkkádat liegganišgoahtá Mean annual temperature in Lapland/Sápmi Gaskamearalaš jagitemperatuvra Sámis <-2.0 oC -2.0-0.0 0.0-2.0 >2.0 today otne 2050 Source http://www.worldclim.org/ processed by Sonja Kivinen Climatic treeline: summer cooler than + 10oC Orda dálkadaga mielde: geassi čoaskab go + 10oC 2070 jus RCP = +2.6 W/m2 otne / today if RCP = +2.6 W/m2 Muihte: dat lea optimistalaš ”niehkuskenario” orda treeline orda treeline Remember: this is the optimoistic ”dream scenario” Source http://www.worldclim .org/ processed by Sonja Kivinen If tree line follows climate change, the Fennoscandian tundra will almost vanish even if CO2 emissions would be strongly reduced Jus orda čuovvu dálkadaga, Sámi duottar measta jávkka, berosgeahtta man bures mi nágodat gáržžit CO2 njuoskadeami What will be left is mainly rocks and bouderfields, unsuitable for tundra plants and animals Dušše ráššat ja báljis rávdat bázet birgemeahtun dilli duottara ealidje ja rássidje Goodbye?? Báhccet dearvan?? If tundra vanishes, global warming will be even faster Jus duottar jávka, dálkkádatrievdan manná vel jođáneappot Open tundra reflects solar radiation back to space, forest changes it to warmth Rábas duottar speadjalasta beaivesuotnjariid ruovttoluotta gomuvuhtii, vuovdi fás rievdá suotnjariid liekkasvuođain Snow melts earlier in forest large increase in absorbed radiation Vuovdi bievlá árat go duottar bievla geasuha beaivesuotnjariid J Cohen et al. 2013 Remote Sensing of Environment, 135:107-117 Growing trees fix carbon - somethng positive anyway? Muhto muorat válddet hiilla áimus – igo dat lea buorre? So it seems: above ground plant biomass increases if the tundra becomes forest but… Nubat sáhtta doaivut. Vumin lea gal eambo hiila oainusin, muhtto… in north, most of carbon is in soil; decomposition is faster in forest davviguovlluin hiila lea eanes oassin eatnamis, «decomposition» dáhpáhuvvá jođáneappot vuomis Forest advancement would thus mean large net release of CO2 lassáneapmi máksá dánin áhte ollu hiila (karbona) beassa áibmui Hartley et al. 2012, Nature Climate Change Vumiid The changes are not just theory: brushwood has expanded in North Norwegian inland Rissevuovdi leage lassanan Sis-Finnmarkust 1976 2016 But on Darju (35 km NW of Garasavvon / Karesuanto), tree line has not moved at all from 1976 (a) to 2016 (b). Muhto Darjust (35 km Gárasávvona davabealde) orda i lea sirdun i veahage 1976st (a) 2016 rádjai (b) Vuorinen et al. 2017, under revision for Climate Change Biology In N. Finnish Lapland tundra has rather expanded Ohcejogast duottar lea šaddan viidaseabot When I was young, I could only see birches in this place Mu nuoravuođas dás i oaidnan šat eara go soagid Geavvu, Ohcejohkka because the tundra has also defenders dáningo duottaris lea maiddai bealusdeajit Moths kill birch trunks – small mammals and reindeer eat up recovery shoots Lastamáđut goddet sogiid, sáhpanat ja bohccot borret ođđa soahkenáđđuid After a moth outbreak in summer grazed areas, only birches with high surviving branches recover Máhtojagi máŋŋil dušše dat soagit seilot geasseeatnamist, main leat eallimin alla oavssit The result is a kind of ”birch savanna” Boađus lea juogalágan ”soahke savanna” And that is equal to tundra for plants, animals and climate Ja dat lea seamma go duottar šattuide, elliide ja dálkkádahkii Arctic species dependent on base rich soils especially in trouble, since dolomite primarily found in the oldest (=basal) parts of the mountains, i.e. at low altitudes Arktalaš rássit erenomalažžan uhkiduvvon – gáibidit dolomitta ja dat gávdnu lahkka ordda Large parts of arctic biodiversity hot spots thus in Sweden and Finland, much of the Norwegian high mountain nature species poor Biodiversieattaguovddažat leat dánin stuorra oasin Ruođa ja Suoma bealde, Norga alla várin i lea šat ollu hárvi rásid Occurrence of Ca favored arctic vascular plant species in Fennoscandia; source Atlas Florae Europae (as available in 2005) But do arctic plants tolerate intense grazing? Muhtto: gierdetgo árktalaš rásit garra guohtuma? Method: chose dolomite outcrops slightly above tree line in areas with different densities of reindeer; sample areas immediately below the outcrops, count numbers of subplots where different plant species occur 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Kilpisjärvi (Pikku-Malla, Iso-Malla, Saana) Abisko-Riksgränsen (Geađgečorro, Boazuvárri) Torneträsk (Vággečohkka) Altafjord (Jeahkkir) Nordreisa (Jávrioaivit) Reindeer / km2 Results - bohhtosat but more red listed species in areas with higher grazing intensity Grazing had no impact on total total number of species muhto eambo ”rukšes lista” soarttaid garrasid guhtujuvvon duoddarin species richness Seamma ollu rássisoarttaind berosgeahtta guohtuma 80 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 reindeer density index Reindeer density index here based on dropping counts Black: Pikku and Iso Malla, gray: Saana Ohter methods: comparisons across reindeer fences Eara barguvuogit: geavadit boazuaidit eksperimenttan intensely used summer range abandoned since mid 1960’s garrasid guhtujuvvon geassieana hilgujuvvon 1960 logu rájist Main Collaborators: Johan Olofsson, Sari Stark , Henni Ylänne, Long term exclosure experiments Bistevas áidigehččalusat Both reindeer and rodents excluded Open refererence area Rábas veardidansadji Sihke bohccot áhte sáhpanat olggustuvvon Fenced for 10 years Áidujuvvun 10 jagi Main collaborators: Risto Virtanen, Johan Olofsson, Jon Moen, Elina Kaarlejärvi Main results - oaivibohttosat Tall forbs suffer from hard grazing Garra guohttun baha stuorra rásidje Also the glacial buttercup – a specialist of nival altitudes – suffers from grazing Maiddai jieŋŋarássi – jiehkkalvári šáddu – i gierde šat guohtuma Whereas most graminoids and low growing, lime dependent arctic dicots gain from intense reindeer grazing muhto suinidje ja smávva árktaš rásidje garra guohttun lea ávkkalaš In this group there are many species, which are rare and threatened on the entire European mainland Dán joavkku siste lea ollu šaddusoarttaid mi leat hárvi miehtta Europa nannamist Reason: carrying capacity in unproductive tundra areas is lower than the herbivore density required by efficient predators intense grazing is an essential part of tundra´s natural state (Tihomirov 1959) Carrying capacity 200 kg / km2 Here ”desert dynamics” = pre-emptive competition between plants Strong herbivore-plant interactions in this productivity interval = typical tundra Green worlds where predators control herbivores, and plants compete with other plants The same seen from plant’s perspective seamma šattulasvuođa perspektivast Compete! Tolerate grazing! Brown = impact of natural herbivory Compete! Green = plant biomass at natural equilibrium state We can save the tundra and its flora in spite of global warming Mii sáhttit seailluhit duoddara váikko dálkkádat liegganišgoahtá But then reindeer grazing is needed – just voles and moths do not do it alone Muhto dálle lea dehalaš ahte bohccot guhtot- sáhpanat ja lastamađut eai okto šat nagot And reindeer must be there in early summer when birch leaves are tasty Ja bohccot fertejit leat doppe guohtume giđđageasi, go soahkelasttat leat njálgát But: grazing during snow-free season damages lichen grounds Muhtto: guohttun bievllaáigis duolmma jeagileatnamat Lichens are important winter forage and have also high albedo Jeagil lea dehalaš dalvebiepmu ja jeagilist lea alla ”speadjalastanfábmu” So, bog here - marsh there? De, ráhppa dás, rohtu dovle? Enontekiö-Guovddageidnu border / rádji; 2.5 – 3.3 reindeer / km2 on both sides goabbage bealde Guovddageidnu: only winter grazing lichen cover good but brushwood advances Guovddageidnu: dušše dálviguohttun jeagileatnamat vielgat, muhtto rissevuovdi lassana Enontekiö: year-around grazing brushwood controlled but lichens suffer from summer trampling Eanudat: guohttun birra jagi rissevuovde lassaneabmi hehttejuvvun, muhtto jeagieatnamat leat čáhppun Problems are not tivial – but remember: reindeer can cover long distances Ollu váttisvuođaid– muhtto muihte: boazu johtta guhkis máŧki jus lea dárbbu The future of the tundra can be brigth IF the big societies understand the importance of reindeer in protecting it and act accordingly Duoddara boahtteáigi sáhttá leat čuovgat JUS stuorraservvodagat ipmirdit bohcco dehálašvuođa ja váldet dan vuhtii Our job is to start the process! Galga fál barganisgoahttit!