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National Association of Flood & Stormwater Management Agencies Climate Adaptation Challenges for Boston’s Water and Sewer Systems John P Sullivan P.E. October 15,2014 Boston 1630 Boston 1630 -2012 Boston 2100? Boston Water and Sewer Commission • Provides water and sewer services to more than one million residents, workers, students, shoppers, conventioneers, hospital patients and visitors each and every day. • Owns and operates a system for the distribution of potable water to approximately 88,000 active accounts throughout the City of Boston. • Owns and operates a system for the collection and transport of wastewater and storm drainage in the City of Boston. Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 BWSC Infrastructure: Wastewater and Storm Drainage Systems • 1,455 linear miles of sewers: • • • • • • • • • • • 622 miles of sanitary sewers 595 miles of storm drains 235 miles of combined sewers 3 miles of combined sewer overflow outfalls 8 pumping stations 35,934 catch basins 47,413 manholes 174 combined sewer regulators 430 CSO and stormwater outfalls 202 tide gates 8 rainfall gauges Tide gates on CSO outfalls in Fort Point Channel prevent high tides from entering combined sewers Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Climate Change Risks • Increased Rainfall • Average annual rainfall will increase • Storms will become more intense • Storm drains and combined sewer systems will have to convey more runoff • Increased river flows and flooding • Charles River, Neponset River and Mystic River may flood areas of the City during storms • Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge • Storm surge with hurricanes and nor’easters will flood city streets now. • Sea level rise will increase the elevation of the storm surge and the areas that will flood. • Sewer systems may be inundated in flooded areas. • Pump stations may be flooded and disabled. • More streets may be flooded if the water has nowhere to go. Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Sewer and River Monitoring Systems • Sewer Metering: • Six permanent metering stations located near the downstream end of BWSC’s sanitary sewer system prior to discharge to the MWRA system. • More than 20 other metering stations moving around the City to identify problems and plan solutions. • Characterize flow throughout the system and determine how it reacts to climate change conditions. • Identify and eliminate extraneous flow to increase capacity to convey increased storm flows. • River Data Analysis • Rivers are regulated by dams and water levels by pumping. • As annual rainfall and the intensity of storms increase, the frequency of river flooding may increase as well. • Account for more frequent and higher future river stages in planning. Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Climate Change Scenarios for Planning • Using information consistent with the IPCC and National Climate Assessments • Managing the uncertainty of the risks by considering at the range of climate change scenarios • Looking ahead 25, 50 and 100 years in the future Forecasted Greenhouse Gas Emissions Forecasted Sea Level Rise Source: Vermeer & Rahmstorf, 2009 Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Analyzing Rainfall Data Forecasted vs. Observed Annual Rainfall Storm Volume and Intensity Forecasts Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Increased Monitoring Changes in Rainfall • Average annual rainfall is increasing, it is now about 52 inches per year – could be 65 inches by 2100. • The Commission designs its storm sewers and combined sewers based on a design storm. • The design storm is statistically calculated based on historical data. • The current design storm is 4.8 inches in 24 hours, which conveys 90% of daily storms in an average year. • Climate change is increasing the size and intensity of this statistical storm and it could be 6.65 inches by 2100. Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Evaluating Flooding Risks to Infrastructure • Running 2-dimensional computer inundation models of current and future storm surge conditions • Identifying pump stations and other critical BWSC infrastructure at risk of inundation Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Boston Harbor Sea Level Rise Trend • Historical sea level rise is 0.1 inch/year • Sea levels could rise from 3.8 to 7.2 feet by 2100. Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Risks Of Flooding With Sea Level Rise And Storm Surge – Year 2060 Year 2060 Rain Sea Level Rise, No Storm Surge Year 2060 Rain Sea Level Rise, With Storm Surge Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Risks Of Flooding With Sea Level Rise And Storm Surge – Year 2100 Year 2100 Rain Sea Level Rise, No Storm Surge Year 2100 Rain Sea Level Rise, with Storm Surge Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Boston Harbor Hotel Boston Harbor Hotel Boston Back Bay Copyright © 2014 Boston Water and Sewer Commission 980 Harrison Ave. Boston, MA 02119 617-989-7000 Boston Back Bay Mean High High Water +2.5 feet Projected to occur by mid-century Similar to flooding from Hurricane Sandy 28 Mean High High Water +5’ Projected to occur by mid- to late-century Equivalent to flooding from Hurricane Sandy if it hit during high tide 29 Mean High High Water + 7.5’ Could occur by late-century Charles River Dam is over-topped Sandy at mid-century 30 Winter Storm Hercules, 2014 Christopher Columbus Park Hurricane Sandy, 2012 Long Wharf & Morrisey Blvd High Tide, 2011 Long Wharf 31 32 Communication with the Public The Beginning