Download Explanatory, Predictive, and Heuristic Roles of

Survey
yes no Was this document useful for you?
   Thank you for your participation!

* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project

Document related concepts

Biological Dynamics of Forest Fragments Project wikipedia , lookup

Theoretical ecology wikipedia , lookup

Ecological fitting wikipedia , lookup

Occupancy–abundance relationship wikipedia , lookup

Megafauna wikipedia , lookup

Allometry wikipedia , lookup

Transcript
Articles
Explanatory, Predictive, and
Heuristic Roles of Allometries
and Scaling Relationships
Jani P. Raerinne
Allometries and scaling relationships have become popular among biologists. One reason for this popularity is the generality of these relationships, which has provided authors hope that allometries and scaling relationships represent biological laws or explanatory generalizations. In this
article, I discuss three roles of allometries and scaling relationships: the explanatory, the predictive, and the heuristic. I argue that allometries and
scaling relationships often function successfully heuristically—that is, discovering or elucidating patterns from data rather than making accurate
predictions or giving illuminating explanations. The heuristic role is not to be overlooked. A science or discipline without interesting objects of
explanation lacks the potential to progress and mature.
Keywords: allometry, body size, causes, Kleiber’s rule, scaling relationships
I
n allometries and scaling relationships, body size is used as an independent variable of different dependent variables representing anatomical, physiological, morphological,
behavioral, social, life historical, ecological, or paleobiological traits of taxa. Peters (1983) discussed what body size
relationships imply, for instance, about animals’ locomotion
and immigration, home ranges and sociality, behavior, and
nutrient cycling and turnover. Many of these implications of
body size, as they were presented by Peters, seem to be explanations of phenomena. However, Peters’s aim was to argue
that body size relationships represent scientifically legitimate
theories that are predictively accurate and falsifiable, in contrast to many other ecological theories.
My focus is not on Peters’s (1983, 1991) general philosophical views, such as his adherence to the hypothetico­
deductive falsificationism in ecology. Besides, an extensive
critical discussion of these views already exists (Southwood
1980, Quinn and Dunham 1983, Shrader-Frechette 1990,
1994, Castle 2001). Instead, I will focus on a specific methodological issue in Peters (1983)—namely, what different roles
allometries and scaling relationships have in scientific explanations and predictions and how well allometries and scaling
relationships are capable of functioning in these roles.
One of the goals of the philosophy of science is to investigate how scientific explanations are possible and what is
required of such explanations. In the literature, these issues
are discussed in accounts of scientific explanation, the most
famous of which is the covering-law account (Hempel 1965).
According to the covering-law account, a pheno­menon is
explained and predicted by subsuming it under general
laws, thereby showing that the phenomenon occurred in
accordance with or follows from the operation those laws.
To explain a phenomenon is therefore to show how the
phenomenon would have been expected to happen had we
taken into account the laws that cover its occurrence. In this
sense, laws are indispensable for scientific explanations and
predictions.
Both the validity of Hempel’s covering-law account and
its applicability to the biological sciences have been questioned. There are many counterexamples to and difficulties
with this account, and it is far from a settled issue whether
biology has laws of its own (Raerinne 2011a). Moreover,
I have argued against views that regard allometries and
scaling relationships as representing laws (Raerinne 2011b).
Although allometries and scaling relationships appear to
apply to many taxa, they are neither universal nor exceptionless. Nor are the constants in allometries and scaling relationships stable or universal in character; they vary in value
across different taxa and background conditions. Finally,
these relationships represent evolutionary contingent generalizations, which threatens their lawlike status.
If it is true that allometries and scaling relationships do
not represent biological laws, the covering-law account cannot be used to explicate how and under what conditions
BioScience 63: 191–198. ISSN 0006-3568, electronic ISSN 1525-3244. © 2013 by American Institute of Biological Sciences. All rights reserved. Request
permission to photocopy or reproduce article content at the University of California Press’s Rights and Permissions Web site at www.ucpressjournals.com/
reprintinfo.asp. doi:10.1525/bio.2013.63.3.7
www.biosciencemag.org March 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 3 • BioScience 191
Articles
allometries and scaling relationships function in giving
explanations and making predictions, in contrast to what
Peters (1983, 1991) suggested. That is, some other account
is needed to salvage the putative explanatory and predictive
roles of allometries and scaling relationships.
I proceed in the present article as follows. In the “Causes
as differencemakers” section, I defend an alternative account
of explanation, the interventionist account of causal explanation. According to this account, explanatory generalizations should remain invariant during their interventions
rather than being lawlike. In the “Allometries and scaling
relationships” section, I apply the interventionist account to
allo­metries and scaling relationships. I argue that allometries
and scaling relationships often function successfully heuristically rather than in making accurate and reliable predictions or giving illuminating explanations of phenomena.
Several authors have provided explanations for allometries
and scaling relationships and especially for the constancy of
their scaling exponents (Peters 1983, West et al. 1997, 1999,
Anderson-Teixeira et al. 2009, Glazier 2010) rather than
addressing the explanatory status of allometries and scaling relationships. The explanatory status of allometries and
scaling relationships is largely independent of the issue of
whether we can explain allometries and scaling relationships or the (putative) constancy of their scaling exponents.
Moreover, I focus on the explanatory status of allometries
and scaling relationships, because this issue has remained
unaddressed. Or, at least, there should be more encompassing discussion on different kinds of roles of allometries and
scaling relationships in the context of scientific explanation
rather than on only a few negative aspects of these relationships (Stump and Porter 2012). Finally, researchers, such as
Peters (1983), have sometimes relied on indefinite or inapplicable ideas when deciding by what criteria the explanatory status of allometries and scaling relationships should
be evaluated.
To avoid cumbersome terminology, I sometimes use the
terms regularities, relationships, and generalizations interchangeably. Strictly speaking, this is inaccurate: Generalizations
are statements or expressions of regularities and relationships
that are objective uniformities in nature. Explanations are
descriptions of dependency relationships, and explanations
are frequently given in terms of generalizations. Explanations
are explanatory and true if the explanations correctly describe
dependency relationships in nature.
Causes as differencemakers
According to the interventionist account of causal explanation, explanatory generalizations should remain invariant during their interventions (Woodward 2000, 2001,
2003a, 2003b; cf. Raerinne 2011c). Invariant generalizations
describe causal dependency relationships that can be used to
manipulate things. In the interventionist account, causes are
differencemakers. One should understand causes and effects
as (i.e., they are representable as) variables. Many vernacular causal locutions can be understood to be about binary
192 BioScience • March 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 3
variables. Causes are differencemakers in that they can
be intervened on to manipulate or control their effects. A
change in the value of a cause makes a difference in the value
of its effect. This formulation extends to indeterministic
contexts, such that causes make a difference in the probability distribution of effects—for example, when a drug makes
a difference in the probability of the recovery of a patient.
An invariant generalization describes what would happen
to the value of a variable of a generalization if a value of one
or more of its other variables were changed by an intervention or manipulation:
The underlying idea of my account of causal explanation [is that] we are in a position to explain when we
have information that is relevant to manipulating,
controlling, or changing nature, in an “in principle”
manner of manipulation.… We have at least the
beginnings of an explanation when we have identified factors or conditions such that manipulations or
changes in those factors or conditions will produce
changes in the outcome being explained. Descriptive
knowledge, by contrast, is knowledge that, although
it may provide a basis for prediction, classification, or
more or less unified representation or systematization,
does not provide information potentially relevant to
manipulation.
Woodward 2003b, pp. 9–10
The stability of a generalization under interventions in
its variables is what matters in explanations. For variable
X to be explanatory with regard to variable Y, an invariant relationship or connection between the two is required
in which interventions of the value of variable X change
the value (or the probability distribution) of variable Y in
accordance with the relationship between the two variables:
If the value of the variable X of a generalization Yi = f(Xi)
were changed by an intervention from x1 to x2, the value of
the variable Y would be changed from y1 to y2 in accordance
with the relationship Yi = f(Xi). An intervention is a manipulation affecting the value of Y by changing the value of X. It
should not affect Y via a route failing to go through X. Nor
should the intervention be correlated with the other causes
of Y, except for those intermediate causes of Y—if there are
such—that are between X and Y. As long as a process has the
properties described above, it is an intervention, regardless
of whether it is based on the agency or activities of humans.
For instance, there are so-called natural experiments, in
which the interventions are not anthropogenic but are those
of nature.
In order for there to be an intervention and a possibility of
a manipulation, at least some of the terms of a generalization
are required to be representable as variables. If there is no
well-defined notion or idea of what it would mean to change
a value or values of a term or multiple terms of a generalization or what it means to represent its terms as variables, the generalization is non-change-relating. Consider a
www.biosciencemag.org
Articles
generalization that is sometimes presented as a chemical law:
Noble gases are chemically inert. This generalization is nonchange-relating and consequently not invariant, because it
does not allow for a well-defined change in its terms, noble
gases and chemically inert. In fact, the generalization denies
changes in the properties of noble gases that could be used
in the manipulation of their properties. The explanation of
chemical inertness of noble gases is that these gases have
their outermost electron shell filled, and consequently, they
cannot form bonds with other elements.
Generalizations describing static, qualitative, or categorical relationships can often be viewed as non-change-relating.
Taxonomy is riddled with examples of non-change-relating
generalizations, such as that members of the class Asteroidea
may reproduce either sexually or asexually and that lichens
are symbiotic composite organisms between a fungus species and a species capable of photosynthesis. As the examples
just presented show, non-change-relating is not a pejorative
label, but it can refer to legitimate nonexplanatory but classificatory or descriptive generalizations.
A necessary (but not sufficient) condition for a generalization to count as explanatory and invariant is that it expresses
a change-relating generalization. A change-relating generalization describes how changes in the value of its variable or
variables are related to the changes in the value of other its
variables. Change-relating generalizations typically describe
dynamic or active relationships between things.
Invariance is a degree property of generalizations with
a threshold. There are non-change-relating generalizations
that are not invariant. Likewise, there are change-relating
generalizations, such as correlations between factors that
are joint effects of a common cause (i.e., confounding factors), which are not invariant. An example is the correlation
between readings on a barometer and the occurrence of
storms that correlate because of their common cause—the
changes in atmospheric pressure. Joint effects of common
causes express change-relating generalizations that fail to
be invariant during interventions. Only interventions in the
value of a common cause variable make a difference to the
values of the correlated joint effects.
Above the threshold of invariance, there are more or
less invariant generalizations. Woodward (2003b) called the
invariance domain the set or range of changes over which a
generalization is invariant. This range need not be universal
in the sense that during all the interventions on its variables,
a generalization holds. A generalization remains invariant
and explanatory even if during some interventions, it breaks
down. Typically, generalizations fail to be invariant under
extreme values of their variables or under some background
conditions.
According to the species–area rule, the number of species (on an island) varies with the area (of that island); this
relationship can be presented as a power equation, S = cAz, in
which S is the number of species of a given taxonomic group,
A is the area (of the island), and c and z are constants. There
appears to be an invariant relationship between the variables
www.biosciencemag.org area and species diversity (cf. Simberloff 1974). According
to a rule of thumb, the manipulation of an area of an island
or habitat that increases that area tenfold doubles the species diversity. The explanatory status of the species–area
rule does not depend on there being a generalization that
is universally true that holds in many or most background
con­ditions and that has no exceptions. In other words, it
does not depend on the putative lawlike status of this rule,
as some authors believe (Lange 2005). Rather, it depends on
whether the rule is invariant during its interventions.
The interventionist account has many advantageous features. It acknowledges that instead of laws, biologists are in
the business of explaining phenomena by discovering the
underlying causes and mechanisms of those phenomena.
The interventionist account, moreover, further explicates
under what conditions causal and mechanistic explanations
are explanatory (Raerinne 2011c), in contrast to some other
mechanistic accounts that lack normative and explicative
force (Machamer et al. 2000, Pâslaru 2009). The interventionist account seems to accord well with the intuitions and
practices of many biologists concerning explanation and
experimentation, as well (cf. Lehman 1986, Hairston 1989,
Glazier 2005).
The interventionist account is a realist account of explanation. Although explanations can be reconstructed as
arguments, explanations are not explanatory as a result of
their argumentative structure as they are, for instance, in
the covering-law account. Rather, explanations are descriptions of objective causal dependency relationships between
things. Explanations are explanatory and true if they correctly describe causal dependency relationships. What has
just been said implies that an explanation or a prediction
cannot be charged with being insufficient on the basis that it
lacks an argumentative structure, such as not being based on
a deductive argument with universal laws, as Popperian eco­
logists (Peters 1983, 1991, Murray 2000, 2001), who adhere
to the strict hypotheticodeductive scientific method and the
covering-law account of explanation, argue.
The account resolves the problems of explanatory irrelevance and asymmetry, which have plagued previous
accounts of scientific explanation, such as the covering-law
account. The account allows us to speak of absences and
omissions as causes and of preventions as effects, in contrast
to some other accounts of scientific explanations, which is
fortunate, because such “negative facts” are treated as causes
and effects in the biological sciences. For a variable to count
as an indeterministic cause, it is not required that it raise
(or lower) the probability of the occurrence of its effect in
every background condition, only that the variable should
do this under some of the interventions in some background conditions. This last feature is especially fortunate,
since many biological generalizations seem to lack stable
probabilities, and many biological causes are evidently not
unanimous in their effects.
The interventionist account therefore gives normatively
correct answers to many issues about explanations. It would
March 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 3 • BioScience 193
Articles
be interesting, therefore, to investigate what the account
implies about the explanatory status of allometries and scaling relationships or whether the account fits with the ways in
which researchers use allometries and scaling relationships.
Allometries and scaling relationships
The interventionist account gives experimentation a central
place in establishing and testing explanatory generalizations. Nevertheless, some biologists use nonmanipulative or
nonexperimental methods, such as regression equations and
other correlations, to study phenomena.
Allometries and scaling relationships can be represented
as regression equations or power equations, in which one
variable changes as a power of another, such as
Y = aW b,
where Y is the dependent variable or response, W represents
the independent or “explanatory” variable, a is the normalization constant, and b is the scaling exponent. In allometries
and scaling relationships, body size or weight is treated as an
independent variable of different anatomical, physiological,
morphological, behavioral, social, life historical, ecological,
and paleobiological dependent variables.
Depending on the value of their scaling exponents, allo­
metries and scaling relationships are called either allometric
(b ≠ 1) or isometric (b = 1). Scaling exponents can take
both negative and positive values. In general, the larger the
value of b, the faster Y increases (if b is positive in value)
or decreases (if b is negative in value) with increasing W.
If the scaling exponent, b, is less than unity, Y increases
(or decreases if negative in value) more slowly than W does.
On double log axes, the values of Y and W yield straight
lines, and a gives the intercept or elevation of the regression
line and b gives its slope.
There are many biological traits that correlate with body
size, W, and that can be represented as dependent variables, Y (Newell 1949, Rensch 1960, Gould 1966, Jarman
1974, Clutton-Brock and Harvey 1977, 1983, Peters 1983,
McKinney 1990, Brown 1995, Marquet 2000, Marquet et al.
2005). Some of the more common traits are fasting endurance scales as aW 0.44 for mammals and between aW 0.40 and
aW 0.60 for birds; the size of the home range of birds and
mammals varies positively with body size, aW 1; the inversescaling rule states that the maximum population density,
D, of herbivorous mammals declines as their body size
increases, D = aW –0.75; the number of animals of a given species declines with its body size, aW –1; according to Kleiber’s
rule, basal metabolism, an estimate of the energy required
by an individual for the basic processes of living, varies as
aW 0.75; heart rate varies as aW –0.25; and, in mammals, sociality and group behavior increase with body size.
Even though we know that correlation is not intimately or
necessarily connected to causation or explanation, in practical terms, this dictum is sometimes forgotten in the literature
on allometries and scaling relationships (­Clutton-Brock and
194 BioScience • March 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 3
Harvey 1983, pp. 632, 635, 642, 644; Peters 1983, pp. 135, 138;
Peters and Raelson 1984, pp. 499, 504; Damuth 1991, p. 268;
Brown 1995, pp. 95, 106, 119). In this literature, body size
as an independent variable is claimed to explain (a major)
part of the variation in the dependent variable. How much
it explains is dependent on the indices of fit—for example,
on the value of r 2. According to the interventionist account,
however, correlations, by themselves, are not explanatory,
regardless of how strong the connection between the correlating factors is. For a correlation to be explanatory, there has
to be an intervention during which the relationship between
factors remains invariant.
Below are reasons to be suspicious of the explanatory
and causal relevance of some allometries and scaling relationships. There are other issues with these body size relationships that I will not take up here. I do not discuss the
statistical problems, the problems of fitting data to regressions, or the choice of methods for estimating the parameters that are relevant in interpreting allometries and scaling
relationships and that affect their reliability (Gould 1966,
Peters 1983, McKinney 1990, Kaitaniemi 2003). Nor do I
discuss the adaptive significance of allometries and scaling
relationships (Rensch 1960, Bonner 1968, Clutton-Brock
and Harvey 1983).
If a generalization cannot be tested for how it might
behave during interventions in or manipulations of its variables, the claims made about its explanatory status should
be treated with suspicion. Testing whether allometries and
scaling relationships represent invariant generalizations is
sometimes difficult purely for scale-related reasons (cf. large
ecosystems studies and paleobiological allometries and scaling relationships) and owing to many ethical, technical, and
conceptual (see below) reasons.
In some cases, body size is used as an independent variable for the sake of convenience. Body size is relatively easy
to quantify, compare, and estimate from fossil parts and
other field samples. In other words, body size is sometimes a
proxy for or a correlate of other features that are not so easy
to quantify, compare, or estimate and that represent the real
causes (see box 1).
Sometimes, the dependent variable in allometries and
scaling relationships is such that it is difficult to understand what it means to change its value or what its different values would be. In other words, the problem is how
dependent variables are to be represented as variables
that have well-­defined values. Consider the two regressions presented above that relate body size to sociality
and group behavior. These generalizations are possibly
non-change-relating, because what is meant by sociality or
group ­behavior as variables is not well defined (see box 2).
If this is true, it follows that it is unclear how changes in
the value of an independent variable affect the dependent
variables, simply because the dependent variables are
not well defined as variables. What has been said about
dependent variables applies to independent variables, as
well. Body size is sometimes used as a proxy because the
www.biosciencemag.org
Articles
real causes are not well defined or well definable as variables. Allometries and scaling relationships with ill-defined
variables are non-change-relating and nonexplanatory as
generalizations. The point here applies even if “explaining”
is understood in the noncausal or statistical sense—that is,
that the independent variable explains (a major) part of the
variation in the dependent variable.
When the problems above can be avoided, it is likely that
many allometries and scaling relationships presented in the
literature turn out to be change-relating but noninvariant
­during interventions. Putative examples include the relationship between the number of animals of a given species and
body size and the relationship between the home range of
birds and mammals and body size. Therefore, even though
many allometries and scaling relationships represent change-relating generalBox 1. Proxy variables.
izations rather than non-change-relating
generalizations with ill-defined or conIn antelope species, body size is positively correlated with group size, and the two variflation variables, it is quite possible that
ables covary from small, almost solitary antelope species, such as the species in the genus
they might be joint correlation effects,
Cephalophus, to large herding species, such as Oryx beisa (Jarman 1974). A qualitatively
because of their common causes or
similar correlation between body size and group size has been found in primates, as well
certain background conditions—that is,
(Clutton-Brock and Harvey 1977). In the regression for antelope species, however, body
cases of spurious causation. Finally, even
size is a proxy for or a correlate of other variables, such as the available food supply in the
if we find that some of these generalizahome range of these species or the level of threat from predation. The latter two, rather
tions are change-relating and invariant,
than body size, seem to represent the true causes or explanatory factors for differences
allometries and scaling relationships
in group sizes among antelope species (Jarman 1974). Body size is therefore used as an
independent variable for convenience: It is more easily quantifiable and measurable than
seem to offer rather superficial explanathe putative true causes of the phenomenon. For instance, species’ home ranges can be
tions that need to be supplemented with
notoriously difficult to estimate, let alone to measure.
information about the mechanisms that
Presenting a proxy as a cause is not only inaccurate and false but is also misleading
underlie them. An example is Kleiber’s
insofar as we are searching for ways to control and understand nature. Of course, the use
rule. There seems to be an invariant and
of proxies is unobjectionable if the authors acknowledge this and do not present proxies
causal relationship between body size
as explanatory factors, as, for instance, Jarman (1974) did. However, proxies are someand basal metabolic rate that scales as
times used because the true causes or effects are not easily definable as variables, in which
aW 0.75 in many taxa, even though the
case, they can be used to hide the fact that the allometries and scaling relationships in
underlying mechanism or mechanisms
question are non-change-relating as generalizations. An example could be Jarman’s varibehind the rule are unknown or debated
able level of threat from predation, which might represent a conflation variable (box 2).
(Glazier 2005).
Box 2. Conflation variables: Comparing apples and oranges.
In antelope species, body size and antipredator behavior correlate (Jarman 1974). In general, the larger the antelope species, the more
prepared the species is to defend itself; likewise, the larger the species, the more inclined it is to combine with others for mutual defense
against predators. The problem is that antipredator behavior as a variable includes as its different values a heterogeneous collection of
actions, behaviors, and social forms, which seem to lack common currency that would allow the different values to be compared. For
instance, avoidance of detection, flight under detection, aggregation and other specialized forms of group formation, different kinds of
alarm responses, avoidance of water holes or certain vegetation types, and escaping predators all count as different instances or values
of antipredator behavior. Even such a specific behavior as avoidance of detection is actually a heterogeneous collection of different
kinds of behaviors, such as feeding under cover, being nocturnal, and freezing in the presence of predators, that are difficult to evaluate
and compare. That is, antipredator behavior seems to be a conflation variable.
In antelope species, body size and social organization are related to each other (Jarman 1974). Social organization of antelope species
first and foremost involves their territorial behavior. Territorial behavior seems to be another conflation variable without well-defined
or comparable values, because it, too, includes different kinds of behaviors and activities as its different values, which seem to lack
­comparability, such as scent markings of a territory, visual or vocal displays of territoriality, and direct aggression or defense of a territory. Consequently, judgments that an antelope species is more (or less) social than another species because the species uses visual
displays and scent markings to mark its territory, whereas another species defends its territory by aggressive behavior, are possibly
subjective judgments on the part of the scientists rather than judgments based on comparable and plottable data that have some quality
in common. No wonder, then, that such studies produce only semiquantitative or qualitative data and results.
The problem is not that social and behavioral allometries and scaling relationship studies make use of gross- or macrolevel variables,
such as sociality or group behavior (Peters 1983) but, rather, that the variables are conflations of items that have little in common. That
is, these studies use variables that are represented by units in many dimensions—dimensions that are possibly incommensurable as
well. The charge of comparing apples and oranges is not intended as a criticism of social and behavioral variables, however. The charge
is generalizable to other variables, and there are social and behavior allometry and scaling relationship studies using well-defined variables (e.g., Clutton-Brock and Harvey 1977).
www.biosciencemag.org March 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 3 • BioScience 195
Articles
Marquet and colleagues (2005) seem to have had something similar in mind in the following passage:
The ubiquity and simplicity of scaling relationships
and power laws in ecological systems might be deceptive when compared with the complexity of the systems
that they attempt to describe. Unless their theoretical
foundations and underlying mechanisms are worked
out to a sufficient detail to be able to predict new, so
far unknown, relationships, there is the danger for this
field to become adrift in a sea of empiricism devoid of
theory and with little explanatory power. Recent theoretical developments, such as the metabolic theory of
ecology… hold great hope in this direction; however,
there is still ample ground for synthesis and theory
refinement. In particular, experimental approaches
with either model organisms or simple ecosystems
have been little explored in the context of scaling and
power-law relationships and could prove to be parti­
cularly fruitful to gain a deeper understanding of their
generating mechanisms and implications.
p. 1764
Describing an “underlying mechanism” is a complement
to an invariant causal relationship, because it describes how
the relationship produces its phenomenon by describing
the mechanism within the system. A causal explanation
complemented with mechanistic details provides us with
possibilities of more precise interventions and information
about the extrapolability of a causal relationship, because
with mechanistic details, we obtain information about how
the parts of a system are related to one another and under
what conditions parts of the system fail to operate. In other
words, a causal explanation complemented with information about its underlying mechanism provides us with better
or more illuminating explanations than does an explanation omitting mechanistic details. (Ylikoski and Kuorikoski
[2010] gave a more detailed account as to how mechanistic
details affect the “goodness” of an explanation.)
A debated issue in the context of Kleiber’s rule concerns
the value of its scaling exponent. Some studies have suggested that the scaling exponent of the rule should be aW 0.66
rather than aW 0.75 (Glazier 2005). This issue has different
implications for the explanatory status of Kleiber’s rule and
explanations for allometries and scaling relationships. For
the explanatory status of Kleiber’s rule, it does not matter
whether the scaling exponent is closer to 0.66 than to 0.75.
Of course, the functional relationship between the variables
in question if the exponent is 0.66 is different from that
if it is 0.77, but the causal and explanatory relationship
between the variables exists regardless of this difference.
In many explanations for allometries and scaling relationships, Kleiber’s rule is used as a master equation, from
which the constancy of scaling exponents of other body size
relationships is derived. These explanations are noncausal,
covering-law explanations. Now, if Kleiber’s rule scales as
196 BioScience • March 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 3
aW 0.66 rather than as aW 0.75, it cannot be used to explain
the constancy of the scaling exponents of other allometries
and scaling relationships, because current explanations are
based on the premise that the rule scales as aW 0.75. This
argument shows why the explanatory status of allometries
and scaling relationships is independent of the explanations
for these relationships. The two explanations are different
as explanations, and they have different objects of explanations, as well.
Another role of allometries and scaling relationships is
using body size as a predictive tool. It is trivial that mere
correlations or change-relating but noninvariant generalizations can be used to make predictions. In other words,
a causal or explanatory interpretation of allometries and
scaling relationships is not a necessary condition for their
functioning in making predictions. I have nothing against
the idea that allometries and scaling relationships function
in making predictions. At the same time, this role should be
adopted with some qualifications.
Body size as an independent variable typically “explains”
only part of the variation in the dependent variable of
allometries and scaling relationships. The presence of this
residual variation around the regression lines shows that for
successful and accurate predictions, other independent variables are needed in addition to body size. In other words, it
is sometimes not true that allometries and scaling relationships can be used in making successful or accurate predictions. Furthermore, although mere correlations can be used
in making predictions, it is not true that all the predictions
are equally good, reliable, or illuminating. Mere correlations
represent accidents that hold because of common causes or
certain background conditions. Predictions based on invariant generalizations are more than accidents, because there
exists a causal relationship or connection between the variables, and invariant generalizations often lead to more reliable or projectable predictions, because there are typically
back-up causes and mechanisms in biology capable of producing some effect if some other cause or mechanism failed
to operate under some conditions. In other words, mere correlations could provide bases for fragile and unrealiable predictions; greater confidence than is warranted is sometimes
given to using body size as a reliable and accurate predictive
tool (see figure 1).
The third role of allometries and scaling relationships is
that these relationships should be understood as elucidating phenomena from data; that is, they are used to discover, describe, and classify phenomena to be explained, or
­patterns, rather than things that do the explaining. In other
words, many allometries and scaling relationships serve a
heuristic role by suggesting new hypotheses and phenomena
to be explained and by helping to discover regular connections between body size and other biological variables.
For instance, homeotherms, poikilotherms, and unicellular
organisms have different a values in the equations that relate
their metabolic rates to their body size. In the equation for
a basal metabolic rate (Kleiber’s rule), which scales with
www.biosciencemag.org
Articles
Log metabolic rates (in watts)
Endotherms, a = 4.4
Ectotherms, a = 0.10
Unicells, a = 0.01
Log W (body mass in kilograms)
Figure 1. Kleiber’s rule: In organisms, the basal metabolic
rate is proportional to the three-fourths power of body size
or weight. Note that although all three different major
metabolic groups depicted here—endotherms, ectotherms,
and unicells—generally and approximately obey the
rule, there are differences between them in the elevation
of the allometric equation—that is, in the value of the
constant a. These differences may be ecologically and
evolutionarily important.
body size as aW 0.75 in these taxa, the values of a are 4.1, 0.14,
and 0.018 for homeotherms, poikilotherms, and unicellular
organisms, respectively (Peters 1983). Rather than providing
us with explanations, many allometries and scaling relationships represent interesting objects of explanation. Why is it
that unicellular organisms have the lowest values of a in such
equations? How and why do homeotherms metabolize at a
higher level (and therefore seem to use and exhaust relatively
more resources) than do poikilotherms and unicellular organ­
isms of similar size?
Does the claim that some allometries and scaling relationships represent phenomena to be explained rather than
things that do the explaining cast a shadow over allometry
and scaling relationship studies? No. A science or discipline
without interesting phenomena to be explained lacks the
potential to progress and mature. In this respect, these studies show great potential.
Conclusions
I have argued that allometries and scaling relationships often
function successfully heuristically—that is, discovering or
elucidating patterns from data rather than making accurate
and reliable predictions or giving illuminating explanations
of phenomena.
The aim was not to suggest that allometries and ­scaling
relationships cannot be used in causal explanations of pheno­
mena. For instance, Kleiber’s rule seems to describe a causal
dependency relationship, which can be represented as a causal
generalization in which the variables body size and basal
www.biosciencemag.org metabolic rate have well-defined values describing what would
happen to the value of the latter variable had we changed the
value of the former variable to such and such. Interestingly,
as was argued at the end of the last section, Kleiber’s rule has
another role in the context of explanations, as well. Not only
is Kleiber’s rule capable of functioning as a thing that provides us with explanations, it also provides us with objects of
explanations. Likewise, I did not argue that body size cannot
be manipulated. Body size is manipulable by means of, for
instance, direct resizing of (colonial) organisms and so-called
allometric engineering (Sinervo and Huey 1990, Frankino et al.
2005, Glazier 2005). In fact, there are many studies focused
on what effects the manipulation of body size may have on
certain other traits of organisms (Sinervo and Huey 1990,
Sinervo et al. 1992). Rather, the argument was that there are
reasons to be suspicious of the explanatory status of some
allometries and scaling relationships, such as that they include
ill-defined or conflation variables, make use of proxies, display
change-relating but noninvariant dynamics, or furnish us
with comparatively superficial explanations of phenomena,
because the mechanisms behind allometries and scaling relationships are unknown.
The use of proxies and other ill-defined variables is not an
empirical issue only in the sense that we should expect the
bad variables to be eliminated as more empirical studies are
conducted. Proxies and other ill-defined variables are sometimes used when the independent or dependent variable
cannot—for whatever reason—be exactly defined, operationalized, quantified, or measured as a variable that has a
well-defined and comparable value. That is, the use of proxies and ill-defined variables is a problem prior to empirical
testing. In fact, proxies and ill-defined variables can be used
as devices to hide empirical and conceptual inadequacies in
one’s research.
There is no point in debating whether many of the causal
or explanatory locutions given to body size referred to in
the previous section are what the authors meant rather than
lapses. However, there is a way to express the basic question
of this article without causal or explanatory locutions. Why
is body size—in contrast to some another variable—used
as an independent variable in the literature on allometries
and scaling relationships? That is, what justifies or explains
the use of body size as an independent variable? There
is a strong correlation between population density and
body size across motile taxa, known as the inverse-scaling
rule, where body size is used as an independent variable.
However, there is a similar strong correlation for plants and
other sessile organisms between the two variables, but, in
this case, it is the density of populations that is treated as the
independent variable. What explains or justifies this difference? The correlation itself does not explain the asymmetry
in this case nor the asymmetry of using body size as an independent variable in allometries and scaling relationships in
general; the variables simply covary.
It is easy to criticize the ideas presented above by suggesting that there is a mathematical or statistical sense of
March 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 3 • BioScience 197
Articles
explanation according to which allometries and scaling laws
are explanatory, regardless of their explanatory status in the
context of causal explanations. I have nothing against the
idea that there should be explanations that differ from causal
explanations. Even though the interventionist account covers only causal explanation and even if the scope of this
article is therefore limited, an important species of explanation is nevertheless discussed, because causal explanations
allow controlling, understanding, and manipulating nature,
in contrast to some noncausal forms of explanation.
Acknowledgments
This research was supported financially by the Academy
of Finland as a part of the project Causal and Mechanistic
Explanations in the Environmental Sciences (project no.
1258020). I am grateful to Jan Baedke and three anonymous
referees for this journal who provided helpful comments on
earlier drafts of this article.
References cited
Anderson-Teixeira KJ, Savage VM, Allen AP, Gillooly JF. 2009. Allometry
and metabolic scaling in ecology. Encyclopedia of Life Sciences. Wiley.
doi:10.1002/9780470015902.a0021222
Bonner JT. 1968. Size change in development and evolution. Journal of
Paleontology 42: 1–15.
Brown JH. 1995. Macroecology. University of Chicago Press.
Castle DGA. 2001. A semantic view of ecological theories. Dialectica 55:
51–65.
Clutton-Brock TH, Harvey PH. 1977. Primate ecology and social organization. Journal of Zoology 183: 1–39.
———. 1983. The functional significance of variation in body size
among mammals. Pages 632–663 in Eisenberg JF, Kleiman DG, eds.
Advances in the Study of Mammalian Behavior. American Society of
Mammalogists.
Damuth J. 1991. Of size and abundance. Nature 351: 268–269.
Frankino WA, Zwaan BJ, Stern DL, Brakefield PM. 2005. Natural selection
and developmental constraints in the evolution of allometries. Science
307: 718–720.
Glazier DS. 2005. Beyond the “3/4-power law”: Variation in the intra- and
interspecific scaling of metabolic rate in animals. Biological Reviews
80: 611–662.
———. 2010. A unifying explanation for diverse metabolic scaling in animals and plants. Biological Reviews 85: 111–138.
Gould SJ. 1966. Allometry and size in ontogeny and phylogeny. Biological
Reviews 41: 587–640.
Hairston NG Sr. 1989. Ecological Experiments: Purpose, Design, and
Execution. Cambridge University Press.
Hempel CG. 1965. Aspects of Scientific Explanation: And Other Essays in
the Philosophy of Science. Free Press.
Jarman PJ. 1974. The social organization of antelope in relation to their
ecology. Behavior 48: 215–267.
Kaitaniemi P. 2003. Testing the allometric scaling laws. Journal of
Theoretical Biology 228: 149–153.
Lange M. 2005. Ecological laws: What would they be and why would they
matter? Oikos 110: 394–403.
Lehman JT. 1986. The goal of understanding in limnology. Limnology and
Oceanography 31: 1160–1166.
Machamer P, Darden L, Craver CF. 2000. Thinking about mechanisms.
Philosophy of Science 67: 1–25.
Marquet PA. 2000. Invariants, scaling laws, and ecological complexity.
Science 289: 1487–1488.
Marquet PA, Quiõnes RA, Abades S, Labra F, Tognelli M, Arim M,
Rivadeneira M. 2005. Scaling and power-laws in ecological systems.
Journal of Experimental Biology 208: 1749–1769.
198 BioScience • March 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 3
McKinney ML. 1990. Trends in body-size evolution. Pages 75–118 in
McNamara KJ, ed. Evolutionary Trends. Belhaven.
Murray BG Jr. 2000. Universal laws and predictive theory in ecology and
evolution. Oikos 89: 403–408.
———. 2001. Are ecological and evolutionary theories scientific? Biological
Reviews 76: 255–289.
Newell ND. 1949. Phyletic size increase, an important trend illustrated by
fossil invertebrates. Evolution 3: 103–124.
Quinn JF, Dunham AE. 1983. On hypothesis testing in ecology and evolution. American Naturalist 122: 602–617.
Pâslaru V. 2009. Ecological explanation between manipulation and
mechamism description. Philosophy of Science 76: 821–837.
Peters RH. 1983. The Ecological Implications of Body Size. Cambridge
University Press.
———. 1991. A Critique for Ecology. Cambridge University Press.
Peters RH, Raelson JV. 1984. Relations between individual size and mammalian population density. American Naturalist 124: 498–517.
Raerinne JP. 2011a. Generalizations and Models in Ecology: Lawlikeness,
Invariance, Stability, and Robustness. PhD dissertation. University
of Helsinki, Finland. (12 December 2012; http://urn.fi/URN:ISBN:
978-952-10-6768-6)
———. 2011b. Allometries and scaling laws interpreted as laws: A reply to
Elgin. Biology and Philosophy 26: 99–111.
———. 2011c. Causal and mechanistic explanations in ecology. Acta
Biotheoretica 59: 251–271.
Rensch B. 1960. The laws of evolution. Pages 95–116 in Tax S, ed.
Evolution after Darwin: The Evolution of Life, vol. 1. University of
Chicago Press.
Shrader-Frechette K. 1990. Interspecific competition, evolutionary epistemology, and ecology. Pages 47–61 in Rescher N, ed. Evolution,
Cognition, and Realism: Studies in Evolutionary Epistemology.
University Press of America.
———. 1994. Ecological explanation and the population-growth thesis. Pages 34–45 in Hull D, Forbes M, Burian RM, eds. PSA 1994:
Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science
Association, vol. 1. University of Chicago Press.
Simberloff DS. 1974. Equilibrium theory of island biogeography and ecology. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 5: 161–182.
Sinervo B, Huey RB. 1990. Allometric engineering: An experimental test
of the causes of interpopulational differences in performance. Science
248: 1106–1109.
Sinervo B, Zamudio K, Doughty P, Huey RB. 1992. Allometric engineering:
A causal analysis of natural selection on offspring size. Science 258:
1927–1930.
Southwood TRE. 1980. Ecology: A mixture of pattern and probabilism.
Synthese 43: 111–122.
Stump MPH, Porter MA. 2012. Critical truths about power laws. Science
355: 665–666.
West GB, Brown JH, Enquist BJ. 1997. A general model for the origin of
allometric scaling laws in biology. Science 276: 122–126.
———. 1999. The fourth dimension of life: Fractal geometry and allo­
metric scaling of organisms. Science 284: 1677–1679.
Woodward J. 2000. Explanation and invariance in the special sciences.
British Journal for Philosophy of Science 51: 197–254.
———. 2001. Law and explanation in biology: Invariance is the kind of
stability that matters. Philosophy of Science 68: 1–20.
———. 2003a. Experimentation, causal inference, and instrumental realism. Pages 87–118 in Radder H, ed. The Philosophy of Scientific
Experimentation. University of Pittsburgh Press.
———. 2003b. Making Things Happen. Oxford University Press.
Ylikoski P, Kuorikoski J. 2010. Dissecting explanatory power. Philosophical
Studies 148: 201–219.
Jani P. Raerinne ([email protected]) is affiliated with the Department
of Philosophy, History, Culture, and Art Studies at the University of Helsinki,
in Finland.
www.biosciencemag.org