Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Economic Report Austria 2016 Executive Summary www.bmwfw.gv.at Originally published as „Wirtschaftsbericht Österreich 2016“, http://www.bmwfw.gv.at/Wirtschaftspolitik/Wirtschaftspolitik/Seiten/Wirtschaftsbericht.aspx Published by: Bundesministerium für Wissenschaft, Forschung und Wirtschaft (BMWFW) – Federal Ministry of Science, Research and Economy Stubenring 1, 1010 Vienna Translation: Euro Text Services, Seidengasse 14/10, A-1070 Vienna Layout: Sigma Tau Stummvoll KG, Viriotgasse 9/19, 1090 Wien, www.sigmatau.at Vienna, June 2016 2 1 Utilising digitisation, improving competitiveness 3 Utilising digitisation, improving competitiveness Wirtschaftsbericht Österreich 2016 1. Utilising digitisation, improving competitiveness Austria‘s economy currently is on an upward trend again. The Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO) expects growth rates of 1.7% in both 2016 and 2017. Boosted by the effects of the tax reform, Austria succeeds in catching up with the euro area level again. Economic development in Austria up to 2017 Source: Statistik Austria; forecasts of WIFO and IHS, June 2016 The global economy develops slightly better than most recently, but especially the International Monetary Fund warns that the upswing is heterogeneous and still fragile in the different economic areas. The persistently depressed level of investment activities recorded in the euro area suggests that economic recovery will remain too weak without further countermeasures in the European Union. Nevertheless, Austria will also tap its growth potential especially in foreign trade and, as a result, further increase export market shares in the next years. After all, the number of exporters is expected to reach a new record of around 55,000 companies in 2016. To continue on this path and to strengthen foreign trade integration, the „go international“ promotion initiative supports 4 Utilising digitisation, improving competitiveness Wirtschaftsbericht Österreich 2016 Austrian enterprises in opening up new markets based on new products and services so that we can profit from the growth potential of promising markets and cushion possible effects of political and economic crises in regions of conflict. The recovery of the Austrian economy is additionally bolstered by demand stimuli mainly resulting from the reduction of the tax burden by the wage tax reform. The Federal Government wants to further improve the framework for entrepreneurship, for example, by curbing bureaucracy, deregulating and supporting new companies, especially startups. Combating unemployment is a priority. Implementing stability-oriented macro-policy The Austrian Federal Government continues to follow its course of stability-oriented, sustainable and growth-oriented budget and economic policy. The structural deficit adjusted for cyclical and one-off effects decreased continuously in the past few years. In 2015, the structural balance showed a slight surplus. Austria‘s budget policy aims at maintaining its sustainable orientation. In this context, the following actions are given priority: • Further reduction of bureaucracy and deregulation; • Implementation of the major tax reform 2015/2016; furthermore, non-wage labour costs of enterprises will be gradually reduced by up to € 1 billion per year until 2018; • Stepping up of investments for the future in order to strengthen the growth factors of Austria‘s economy (e.g. start-up package); this also comprises the digitisation initiative and measures addressing the labour market and employment situation; • Continuation of structural reforms. Supporting investments, strengthening competitiveness Backed by favourable financing conditions and an increasing need for replacement investments, investments pick up again. For the first time in three years, construction investments are also expected to grow this year, which is owed to housing construction; the federal residential construction initiatives (housing investment bank WBIB, Austrian Real Estate) will further accelerate the positive trend of construction investments. Through WBIB, new ground is broken insofar as European funding is used for residential construction in a budget-friendly and Maastricht-neutral way. Business investments result both in an economic stimulus and in the introduction of new technologies and processes that in their turn raise competitiveness. Therefore, it is necessary to create a favourable investment climate not only with regard to the business cycle but also in the medium and long term. One of the main reasons for the reluctance to invest is weak domestic demand coupled with low sales expectations in the euro area. Another restraining factor still is the financing situation for start-up entrepreneurs. To reduce the dominance of credits in corporate financing, the focus therefore increasingly is on alternatives, such as the equity initiatives of the public promotional agency Austria Wirtschaftsservice (aws) as well as the strengthening of crowdfunding. The Alternative Finance Act (Alternativfinanzierungsgesetz) establishes an innovative, modern legal framework for crowdfunding and public participation models in Austria that can serve as an example for Europe. Additionally, the public sector makes effective investments for the future, for example, in the € 1 billion broadband initiative. 5 Utilising digitisation, improving competitiveness Wirtschaftsbericht Österreich 2016 Focusing on research and education As international comparisons show, Austria has caught up significantly in the field of research and innovation in the past 15 years. The R&D ratio is above 3% and, hence, markedly exceeds the EU average of 2%. As a result, Austria records the third-highest R&D ratio of all EU countries. Further efforts are needed to continue this successful track record. A decisive impetus is the increase of the research premium that has already been adopted. In the next few years, a substantial challenge will be to raise private and public R&D and promotional budgets in order to achieve the objectives agreed in the Federal Strategy for Research, Technology and Innovation 2011 by 2020. The targeted and strategic application of open innovation is to improve significantly Austria‘s competitiveness and generate a dynamism that could not be achieved by means of traditional methods. The international dimension also becomes more and more important in the field of research, technology and innovation, in particular with a view to non-European countries. Therefore, the programmes „Beyond Europe“ and „Global Incubator Network“ support Austrian enterprises in their efforts towards further internationalisation. Gross domestic expenditure on R&D in percent of GDP Source: Statistik Austria Education and innovation shape the future of society and determine the lives and professional careers of our young people. A comprehensive reform of education sectors is the sustainable response of the Federal Government to the challenges in the education and school system of today and tomorrow. Thereby, the basic competences, talents, interests and gifts of children are to be strengthened regardless of their social background right from the start. Within the framework of the existing budgetary path, more pedagogical, organisational, personnel and financial leeway is to be opened up at schools. 6 Utilising digitisation, improving competitiveness Wirtschaftsbericht Österreich 2016 Exploiting the potential of the digital shift optimally The Digital Roadmap Austria is designed to shape optimally the digital shift in order to strengthen Austria as a location for business and innovation and enable all people to benefit from its advantages. Digitisation already pervades all policy areas today: It plays a special role in research policy in which specific programmes are implemented. Additionally, digitisation is relevant in numerous other fields. „Industry 4.0“ stands for the integration of cutting-edge information and communication technologies into products and processes in manufacturing and logistics across technologies and enterprises. This opens up great economic possibilities and new employment opportunities for Austria as a location for industry that are promoted by targeted measures, such as pilot factories, research programmes and endowed professorships. However, digitisation is also on the advance in other areas – in the education sector but also in public administration, transport and healthcare. This generates potentials not only for raising efficiency but also for improving the quality of life through smart services. At the same time, digitisation also raises challenges that need to be addressed as quickly as possible, for instance, with a view to fair conditions of competition, data protection and a changing world of work. Creating incentives and stimuli for employment With regard to the labour market, Austria had played a leading role for a long time, achieving the lowest unemployment rate in the EU. Because of a relatively low level of economic growth and rising labour supply, the unemployment rate has also increased considerably in the past few years – and continues to augment in contrast to the EU average so that Austria lost its place among the top-5 Member States. Development of unemployment rates: Euro area average and best performers Source: Eurostat, forecast of the European Commission, May 2016 7 Utilising digitisation, improving competitiveness Wirtschaftsbericht Österreich 2016 The reduction of non-wage labour costs initiated in 2016 and the decrease of the tax rates in the course of the tax reform provide incentives for growth and employment. It is to be expected that corporate as well as public investments will generate stimuli for the labour market. In addition to combating unemployment, increasing employment among older workers and women are priorities of employment policy - in accordance with the EU-recommendations. Apart from additional funding for active labour market policy, the focal areas of employment policy are a bonus-malus system, easier reintegration into working life, in particular for women, based on specific services of counselling and support institutions, as well as stronger integration of people with impaired health through targeted assistance, rehabilitation and retraining. Another key issue is integration. At least some sectors complain about a shortage of skilled workers again and again. As a result, it is necessary not only to improve the qualifications of the domestic workforce but also to identify existing qualifications of migrants, to upgrade them where necessary – in particular with regard to German language skills – and appropriately deploy potential workers. The Recognition Act (Anerkennungsgesetz) made a good step in the right direction. Making the most of opportunities Austria‘s economic policy faces diverse challenges. At present, the debate mainly focuses on strengthening economic growth, combating unemployment and further cutting red tape. One of the most important topics of the future is rising digitisation. Austria has to shape the digital shift actively in order to make the most of new opportunities. The development of innovative products and services decisively contributes to securing prosperity in our country in the long term. An additional success factor is and will be European integration from which a strong exporting country like Austria continues to benefit. One thing is clear: We need sensible European solutions for transnational challenges. However difficult they may be, there is no way around it. 8 Federal Ministry of Science, Research and Economy 1010 Vienna | Stubenring 1 | www.bmwfw.gv.at